Powrot do meczow Wtorek, Kwi 21, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins — Kwi 21, 2026 | Prognoza AI i statystyki

loanDepot park, Miami
72°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Dustin May L Chris Paddack SV Riley O'Brien

Tablica wynikow

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cardinals 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 5 10 1
Marlins 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 8 0

PROGNOZA AIPrognoza sieci neuronowej

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cardinals 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 6
Marlins 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 62% Cardinals favored
This matchup features two struggling starting pitchers in Chris Paddack (5.59 ERA) and Dustin May (6.98 ERA), setting up a potentially high-scoring affair at loanDepot park. Paddock has been particularly poor this season, going 0-3 while allowing over a run per inning pitched. His recent velocity has dipped to the mid-80s, making his fastball-heavy approach less effective. May brings better velocity but has been even less effective, posting a concerning 6.98 ERA despite his reputation as a power pitcher. The Cardinals' Jordan Walker presents the biggest offensive threat, leading his team with 8 home runs and showing excellent plate discipline. Miami counters with Xavier Edwards (.337 average) and Otto Lopez (.338), both having breakout seasons. However, the Marlins are significantly hampered by injuries to their outfield depth, with Christopher Morel, Esteury Ruiz, and Griffin Conine all on the IL. This forces Miami to rely on players like Austin Slater (.182) in key spots. The Cardinals' superior overall record (13-9 vs 11-12) and better run differential suggest more consistent offensive production throughout their lineup. While Miami has won the last two games in this series and boasts a strong 9-5 home record, their pitching disadvantage and injury concerns make them vulnerable. The weather conditions are ideal with clear skies and manageable winds, favoring offensive production. Both teams' bullpens will likely be tested early given the starting pitching struggles, but St. Louis appears better positioned to weather this type of game.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both struggling pitchers vulnerable early
Middle (4-6) 4R Bullpens enter with moderate effectiveness
Late (7-9) 4R Cardinals offense proves clutch in final frames

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Strong home record 9-5
Xavier Edwards hitting .337
Currently on 2-game win streak
Multiple IL outfielders
Chris Paddack's 5.59 ERA and 0-3 record

Cardinals

Jordan Walker leading with 8 HRs and 16 RBIs
Better overall record 13-9
Dustin May's higher strikeout potential
6.98 ERA from starting pitcher May
Coming off yesterday's 5-3 loss to Miami

Risk Factors

Both starters have ERAs over 5.50
Marlins missing multiple outfielders

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Chris Paddack batter Walker's power vs struggling righty
Xavier Edwards vs Dustin May batter Hot hitter vs high ERA pitcher
Otto Lopez vs Dustin May batter Lopez's .338 average against hard thrower

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 58%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The Cardinals strike first in the opening inning when Jordan Walker works a leadoff walk against Chris Paddack and scores on a JJ Wetherholt RBI single. Miami responds quickly in the second as Xavier Edwards doubles and Otto Lopez drives him home with a clutch two-out single, then Lopez scores on a wild pitch to give the Marlins a 2-1 lead. The fourth inning proves pivotal when Dustin May walks the leadoff hitter and allows a single before Victor Scott II clears the bases with a two-run double, putting St. Louis ahead 3-2. Miami ties it in the fourth on a solo homer from Edwards, his second of the season. The middle innings feature solid bullpen work from both sides until the seventh, when St. Louis manufactures a run through small ball - a walk, stolen base, and sacrifice fly. Miami answers in the eighth with a clutch RBI single from Lopez, knotting the game at 5-5. The ninth inning belongs to the Cardinals as they break through against Miami's closer. Walker leads off with a single, advances to third on a wild pitch and passed ball, then scores the go-ahead run on Wetherholt's sacrifice fly. An insurance run comes home when José Fermín doubles and scores on a fielder's choice, giving St. Louis a 7-5 victory and salvaging a series split.
The confidence level reflects the unpredictability of two struggling starters with ERAs over 5.50, but St. Louis' superior overall offensive depth and Miami's significant outfield injuries tip the scales toward the Cardinals despite the Marlins' strong home record.
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St. Louis Cardinals — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .229311.377.361
Iván Herrera
DH .217211.383.325
Alec Burleson
1B .278317.359.444
Jordan Walker
RF .292816.357.607
Nolan Gorman
3B .203315.274.324
Masyn Winn
SS .25719.354.400
Nathan Church
LF .23128.281.365
Pedro Pagés
C .19615.255.304
Victor Scott II
CF .20704.266.224

Miami Marlins — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee
CF .17615.303.264
Kyle Stowers
RF .30000.462.400
Otto Lopez
SS .318311.371.523
Xavier Edwards
2B .34817.431.483
Liam Hicks
C .324421.373.527
Agustín Ramírez
DH .212211.284.353
Javier Sanoja
3B .32009.370.380
Heriberto Hernández
LF .15409.290.192
Connor Norby
1B .24727.341.397

Akcje punktowe

1
Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.
1-0
1
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jakob Marsee homers (1) on a line drive to right field.
1-1
3
Alec Burleson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Connor Norby. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.
2-1
4
Nathan Church homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.
4-1
5
Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Alec Burleson scores.
5-1
8
Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Xavier Edwards scores. Liam Hicks scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.
5-3

St. Louis Cardinals — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
4210120.229.738
Iván HerreraDH
5020020.217.708
Alec Burleson1B
4122010.278.803
Jordan WalkerRF
4000020.292.964
Nolan Gorman3B
4011020.203.598
Masyn WinnSS
4120000.257.754
Nathan ChurchLF
4122001.231.646
Pedro PagésC
4000020.196.559
Victor Scott IICF
3000110.207.490
Razem3651052121
BATTING
2B: Wetherholt (2, Paddack); Burleson (6, Paddack); Winn (5, Paddack).
HR: Church (2, 4th inning off Paddack, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Burleson 3; Church 5; Gorman; Herrera 2; Wetherholt 2; Winn 3.
RBI: Burleson 2 (17); Church 2 (8); Gorman (15).
2-out RBI: Gorman.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Church 2; Pagés, P; Gorman 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-11.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Church (3, 2nd base off Phillips/Hicks, L).
CS: Scott II (2, 2nd base by Phillips/Hicks, L).
FIELDING
E: Winn (1, throw).
Outfield assists: Walker, J (Marsee at 1st base).

Miami Marlins — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jakob MarseeCF
4131001.176.567
Kyle StowersRF
4000110.300.862
Otto LopezSS
5000010.318.894
Xavier Edwards2B
4120100.348.914
Liam HicksC
3100100.324.900
Agustín RamírezDH
4000020.212.637
Javier Sanoja3B
0000100.320.750
Heriberto HernándezLF
1012000.154.482
Connor Norby1B
4010020.247.738
Razem34383491
BATTING
HR: Marsee (1, 1st inning off May, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Edwards, X 2; Hernández, H; Marsee 6; Norby; Pauley.
RBI: Hernández, H 2 (9); Marsee (5).
2-out RBI: Hernández, H 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stowers 2; Caissie; Lopez, O; Norby; Ramírez.
Team RISP: 1-for-10.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
CS: Stowers (1, 2nd base by May/Pagés, P).
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Marsee (Herrera at 2nd base).
a-Lined out for Caissie in the 7th.
b-Hit by pitch for Pauley in the 7th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Dustin May(W, 3-2)
5.161115197-595.84
Justin Bruihl
1.200000027-165.84
Ryne Stanek
0.212232032-159.00
George Soriano(H, 2)
0.10000106-54.66
Riley O'Brien(S, 7)
1.010001017-110.00

Miami Marlins — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Chris Paddack(L, 0-4)
4.285517190-606.38
John King
1.100002019-140.90
Tyler Phillips
3.020013040-260.60

Informacje o meczu

Sędziowie: Home Plate: Manny Gonzalez; First Base: Jacob Metz; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Scott Barry
Stadion: loanDepot park, Miami
Pogoda: 72°F, Roof Closed
Wiatr: 0 mph, None

St. Louis Cardinals — Aktualnosci

Miami Marlins — Aktualnosci

Porownanie sezonowe

Cardinals
STAT
Marlins
32-28 Bilans 29-34
53.3% Win % 46.0%
.533 PCT .460
257 Runy zdobyte 268
269 Runy stracone 286
60 Rozegrane mecze 63
W1 Seria W3
3-7 Ostatnie 10 5-5
16-16 Bilans u siebie 18-15
16-12 Bilans na wyjezdzie 11-19

Bezposrednie starcia

1
Ostatnie 3 spotkan
2
Kwi 22
Cardinals 1 - 4 Marlins
Kwi 20
Cardinals 3 - 5 Marlins
Mar 21
Marlins 4 - 7 Cardinals

Cardinals Ostatnie

Cze 3 vs Rangers 3-5 W
Cze 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
Cze 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
Maj 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
Maj 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L

Marlins Ostatnie

Cze 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Cze 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Cze 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Maj 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
Maj 30 @ Mets 1-6 L

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