This matchup features two struggling starting pitchers in Chris Paddack (5.59 ERA) and Dustin May (6.98 ERA), setting up a potentially high-scoring affair at loanDepot park. Paddock has been particularly poor this season, going 0-3 while allowing over a run per inning pitched. His recent velocity has dipped to the mid-80s, making his fastball-heavy approach less effective. May brings better velocity but has been even less effective, posting a concerning 6.98 ERA despite his reputation as a power pitcher. The Cardinals' Jordan Walker presents the biggest offensive threat, leading his team with 8 home runs and showing excellent plate discipline. Miami counters with Xavier Edwards (.337 average) and Otto Lopez (.338), both having breakout seasons. However, the Marlins are significantly hampered by injuries to their outfield depth, with Christopher Morel, Esteury Ruiz, and Griffin Conine all on the IL. This forces Miami to rely on players like Austin Slater (.182) in key spots. The Cardinals' superior overall record (13-9 vs 11-12) and better run differential suggest more consistent offensive production throughout their lineup. While Miami has won the last two games in this series and boasts a strong 9-5 home record, their pitching disadvantage and injury concerns make them vulnerable. The weather conditions are ideal with clear skies and manageable winds, favoring offensive production. Both teams' bullpens will likely be tested early given the starting pitching struggles, but St. Louis appears better positioned to weather this type of game.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both struggling pitchers vulnerable early

Middle (4-6) 4R Bullpens enter with moderate effectiveness

Late (7-9) 4R Cardinals offense proves clutch in final frames

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Strong home record 9-5

Xavier Edwards hitting .337

Currently on 2-game win streak

Multiple IL outfielders

Chris Paddack's 5.59 ERA and 0-3 record

Cardinals

Jordan Walker leading with 8 HRs and 16 RBIs

Better overall record 13-9

Dustin May's higher strikeout potential

6.98 ERA from starting pitcher May

Coming off yesterday's 5-3 loss to Miami

Risk Factors

Both starters have ERAs over 5.50

Marlins missing multiple outfielders

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Chris Paddack batter Walker's power vs struggling righty

Xavier Edwards vs Dustin May batter Hot hitter vs high ERA pitcher

Otto Lopez vs Dustin May batter Lopez's .338 average against hard thrower

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 58%

Strikeouts 12 10-15

Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The Cardinals strike first in the opening inning when Jordan Walker works a leadoff walk against Chris Paddack and scores on a JJ Wetherholt RBI single. Miami responds quickly in the second as Xavier Edwards doubles and Otto Lopez drives him home with a clutch two-out single, then Lopez scores on a wild pitch to give the Marlins a 2-1 lead. The fourth inning proves pivotal when Dustin May walks the leadoff hitter and allows a single before Victor Scott II clears the bases with a two-run double, putting St. Louis ahead 3-2. Miami ties it in the fourth on a solo homer from Edwards, his second of the season. The middle innings feature solid bullpen work from both sides until the seventh, when St. Louis manufactures a run through small ball - a walk, stolen base, and sacrifice fly. Miami answers in the eighth with a clutch RBI single from Lopez, knotting the game at 5-5. The ninth inning belongs to the Cardinals as they break through against Miami's closer. Walker leads off with a single, advances to third on a wild pitch and passed ball, then scores the go-ahead run on Wetherholt's sacrifice fly. An insurance run comes home when José Fermín doubles and scores on a fielder's choice, giving St. Louis a 7-5 victory and salvaging a series split.

The confidence level reflects the unpredictability of two struggling starters with ERAs over 5.50, but St. Louis' superior overall offensive depth and Miami's significant outfield injuries tip the scales toward the Cardinals despite the Marlins' strong home record.

Lanzadores Probables

St. Louis Cardinals — Plantilla

Jugador	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
JJ Wetherholt	2B	.229	3	11	.377	.361
Iván Herrera	DH	.217	2	11	.383	.325
Alec Burleson	1B	.278	3	17	.359	.444
Jordan Walker	RF	.292	8	16	.357	.607
Nolan Gorman	3B	.203	3	15	.274	.324
Masyn Winn	SS	.257	1	9	.354	.400
Nathan Church	LF	.231	2	8	.281	.365
Pedro Pagés	C	.196	1	5	.255	.304
Victor Scott II	CF	.207	0	4	.266	.224

Miami Marlins — Plantilla

Jugador	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Jakob Marsee	CF	.176	1	5	.303	.264
Kyle Stowers	RF	.300	0	0	.462	.400
Otto Lopez	SS	.318	3	11	.371	.523
Xavier Edwards	2B	.348	1	7	.431	.483
Liam Hicks	C	.324	4	21	.373	.527
Agustín Ramírez	DH	.212	2	11	.284	.353
Javier Sanoja	3B	.320	0	9	.370	.380
Heriberto Hernández	LF	.154	0	9	.290	.192
Connor Norby	1B	.247	2	7	.341	.397

Jugadas anotadoras

▲ 1

Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.

1-0

▼ 1

Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jakob Marsee homers (1) on a line drive to right field.

1-1

▲ 3

Alec Burleson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Connor Norby. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.

2-1

▲ 4

Nathan Church homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.

4-1

▲ 5

Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Alec Burleson scores.

5-1

▼ 8

Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Xavier Edwards scores. Liam Hicks scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.

5-3

St. Louis Cardinals — Bateo

Jugador	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt2B	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	.229	.738
Iván HerreraDH	5	0	2	0	0	2	0	.217	.708
Alec Burleson1B	4	1	2	2	0	1	0	.278	.803
Jordan WalkerRF	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.292	.964
Nolan Gorman3B	4	0	1	1	0	2	0	.203	.598
Masyn WinnSS	4	1	2	0	0	0	0	.257	.754
Nathan ChurchLF	4	1	2	2	0	0	1	.231	.646
Pedro PagésC	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.196	.559
Victor Scott IICF	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	.207	.490
Totales	36	5	10	5	2	12	1

BATTING

2B: Wetherholt (2, Paddack); Burleson (6, Paddack); Winn (5, Paddack).

HR: Church (2, 4th inning off Paddack, 1 on, 0 out).

TB: Burleson 3; Church 5; Gorman; Herrera 2; Wetherholt 2; Winn 3.

RBI: Burleson 2 (17); Church 2 (8); Gorman (15).

2-out RBI: Gorman.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Church 2; Pagés, P; Gorman 2.

Team RISP: 2-for-11.

Team LOB: 6.

BASERUNNING

SB: Church (3, 2nd base off Phillips/Hicks, L).

CS: Scott II (2, 2nd base by Phillips/Hicks, L).

FIELDING

E: Winn (1, throw).

Outfield assists: Walker, J (Marsee at 1st base).

Miami Marlins — Bateo

Jugador	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Jakob MarseeCF	4	1	3	1	0	0	1	.176	.567
Kyle StowersRF	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	.300	.862
Otto LopezSS	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	.318	.894
Xavier Edwards2B	4	1	2	0	1	0	0	.348	.914
Liam HicksC	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	.324	.900
Agustín RamírezDH	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.212	.637
Javier Sanoja3B	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.320	.750
Heriberto HernándezLF	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	.154	.482
Connor Norby1B	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	.247	.738
Totales	34	3	8	3	4	9	1

BATTING

HR: Marsee (1, 1st inning off May, 0 on, 0 out).

TB: Edwards, X 2; Hernández, H; Marsee 6; Norby; Pauley.

RBI: Hernández, H 2 (9); Marsee (5).

2-out RBI: Hernández, H 2.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stowers 2; Caissie; Lopez, O; Norby; Ramírez.

Team RISP: 1-for-10.

Team LOB: 10.

BASERUNNING

CS: Stowers (1, 2nd base by May/Pagés, P).

FIELDING

Outfield assists: Marsee (Herrera at 2nd base).

a-Lined out for Caissie in the 7th.

b-Hit by pitch for Pauley in the 7th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Pitcheo

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Dustin May(W, 3-2)	5.1	6	1	1	1	5	1	97-59	5.84
Justin Bruihl	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	27-16	5.84
Ryne Stanek	0.2	1	2	2	3	2	0	32-15	9.00
George Soriano(H, 2)	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	6-5	4.66
Riley O'Brien(S, 7)	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	17-11	0.00

Miami Marlins — Pitcheo

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Chris Paddack(L, 0-4)	4.2	8	5	5	1	7	1	90-60	6.38
John King	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	19-14	0.90
Tyler Phillips	3.0	2	0	0	1	3	0	40-26	0.60

Información del juego

Árbitros: Home Plate: Manny Gonzalez; First Base: Jacob Metz; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Scott Barry

Estadio: loanDepot park, Miami

Clima: 72°F, Roof Closed

Viento: 0 mph, None

St. Louis Cardinals — Noticias

Cardenales Activan a Nootbaar del IL de 60 Días

St. Louis recupera un bateador en la profundidad de su alineación después de una ausencia prolongada, aunque el movimiento llega cuando el equipo tiene un récord de 31-28 y 3-7 en sus últimos 10 juegos. El regreso de Nootbaar aborda la flexibilidad del roster sin resolver las dificultades de la rotación—cinco abridor combinan para una ERA de 4.27 con valores de xwOBA que van de 0.311 a 0.383.

Lars Nootbaar

St. Louis Cardinals

Los Cardenales Devuelven al Selección de la Regla 5 Matt Pushard a los Marlins

Pushard nunca lanzó una entrada para St. Louis (ERA de 27.00 en 0 IP), cayendo en la IL casi inmediatamente después de la selección de la Regla 5. El movimiento tiene un impacto mínimo en la rotación para ambos equipos dado el grupo actual de 5 hombres de Miami encabezado por Meyer (ERA de 2.97, 74 SO).

Matt Pushard

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins

Rangers Colocan a Chris Martin en Lista de Lesionados por Pinzamiento de Hombro

Texas pierde profundidad en el bullpen a mitad de la temporada mientras se sitúa 28-31 con una diferencia de carreras de +7. La reaparición de Curvelo (sin estadísticas de 2026) y el debut de Ahlstrom ofrecen opciones, pero ninguno ha establecido un historial en Grandes Ligas contra una alineación de Cardenales que enfrenta a deGrom esta noche.

Chris Martin

St. Louis Cardinals

Texas Rangers

Los Cardenales Designan a Matt Pushard, Recuerdan a Hunter Dobbins

Pushard no jugó ningún juego para STL antes del movimiento, lo que hace que esta sea una decisión directa de la lista de 40 hombres. Dobbins entra en una rotación donde Liberatore (ERA 4.76, WHIP 1.57) y Leahy (ERA 4.25, WHIP 1.55) están ambos por encima de ERA 4.25.

Matt Pushard

Hunter Dobbins

St. Louis Cardinals

Jimmy Crooks está listo para tener tiempo de juego constante como receptor

Crooks no tiene estadísticas disponibles para 2026 para evaluar la producción ofensiva, lo que hace que este sea un movimiento de profundidad para STL en lugar de una mejora—los Cardenales están -10 en diferencial de carreras mientras ocupan el 3er lugar en NLC con una racha de 4 derrotas.

Jimmy Crooks

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins — Noticias

Los Cardenales Devuelven al Selección de la Regla 5 Matt Pushard a los Marlins

Matt Pushard

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins

Hernández: 2 HR, 3 RBI en victoria de Marlins sobre Nationals

La noche de dos jonrones de Hernández rompió la racha de 4 derrotas de Miami y le dio a los Marlins su primera victoria en cinco juegos en casa (18-15). El lanzamiento de Washington ha permitido 330 carreras esta temporada (peor en la División Este de la NL), lo que hace que su récord de 31-30 sea sorprendentemente resistente dado su perfil de 0.508 de porcentaje de victorias.

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals

Marlins Seleccionan a Brzykcy y Zuber de Triple-A

Miami añade brazos de profundidad a una rotación que lucha con la durabilidad (Junk 4.80 ERA, récord 3-5; Alcantara 4.66 ERA) mientras se ubica 26-34 y 0-8 en juegos de visitante en sus últimos cinco encuentros.

Miami Marlins

Los Marlins seleccionan a Zach Brzykcy

Brzykcy se une a una rotación de Miami actualmente encabezada por Meyer (2.97 ERA, 5-0) pero que depende en gran medida de Alcantara (4.66 ERA) y Junk (4.80 ERA, 3-5). El movimiento aborda la profundidad de la rotación mientras Miami tiene un récord de 26-33 con una diferencia de carreras de -20.

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk: No iniciará, podría ir a la IL

Junk (ERA 4.80, 3-5) sale de la rotación de Miami el domingo contra NYM; con Eury Pérez ya fuera de acción (distensión del gracial), los Marlins enfrentan problemas de profundidad en un equipo ya frágil. La rotación de MIA dependería mucho de los lanzadores restantes si Junk va a la IL.

Janson Junk