This matchup features two struggling starting pitchers in Chris Paddack (5.59 ERA) and Dustin May (6.98 ERA), setting up a potentially high-scoring affair at loanDepot park. Paddock has been particularly poor this season, going 0-3 while allowing over a run per inning pitched. His recent velocity has dipped to the mid-80s, making his fastball-heavy approach less effective. May brings better velocity but has been even less effective, posting a concerning 6.98 ERA despite his reputation as a power pitcher. The Cardinals' Jordan Walker presents the biggest offensive threat, leading his team with 8 home runs and showing excellent plate discipline. Miami counters with Xavier Edwards (.337 average) and Otto Lopez (.338), both having breakout seasons. However, the Marlins are significantly hampered by injuries to their outfield depth, with Christopher Morel, Esteury Ruiz, and Griffin Conine all on the IL. This forces Miami to rely on players like Austin Slater (.182) in key spots. The Cardinals' superior overall record (13-9 vs 11-12) and better run differential suggest more consistent offensive production throughout their lineup. While Miami has won the last two games in this series and boasts a strong 9-5 home record, their pitching disadvantage and injury concerns make them vulnerable. The weather conditions are ideal with clear skies and manageable winds, favoring offensive production. Both teams' bullpens will likely be tested early given the starting pitching struggles, but St. Louis appears better positioned to weather this type of game.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both struggling pitchers vulnerable early

Middle (4-6) 4R Bullpens enter with moderate effectiveness

Late (7-9) 4R Cardinals offense proves clutch in final frames

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Strong home record 9-5

Xavier Edwards hitting .337

Currently on 2-game win streak

Multiple IL outfielders

Chris Paddack's 5.59 ERA and 0-3 record

Cardinals

Jordan Walker leading with 8 HRs and 16 RBIs

Better overall record 13-9

Dustin May's higher strikeout potential

6.98 ERA from starting pitcher May

Coming off yesterday's 5-3 loss to Miami

Risk Factors

Both starters have ERAs over 5.50

Marlins missing multiple outfielders

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Chris Paddack batter Walker's power vs struggling righty

Xavier Edwards vs Dustin May batter Hot hitter vs high ERA pitcher

Otto Lopez vs Dustin May batter Lopez's .338 average against hard thrower

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 58%

Strikeouts 12 10-15

Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The Cardinals strike first in the opening inning when Jordan Walker works a leadoff walk against Chris Paddack and scores on a JJ Wetherholt RBI single. Miami responds quickly in the second as Xavier Edwards doubles and Otto Lopez drives him home with a clutch two-out single, then Lopez scores on a wild pitch to give the Marlins a 2-1 lead. The fourth inning proves pivotal when Dustin May walks the leadoff hitter and allows a single before Victor Scott II clears the bases with a two-run double, putting St. Louis ahead 3-2. Miami ties it in the fourth on a solo homer from Edwards, his second of the season. The middle innings feature solid bullpen work from both sides until the seventh, when St. Louis manufactures a run through small ball - a walk, stolen base, and sacrifice fly. Miami answers in the eighth with a clutch RBI single from Lopez, knotting the game at 5-5. The ninth inning belongs to the Cardinals as they break through against Miami's closer. Walker leads off with a single, advances to third on a wild pitch and passed ball, then scores the go-ahead run on Wetherholt's sacrifice fly. An insurance run comes home when José Fermín doubles and scores on a fielder's choice, giving St. Louis a 7-5 victory and salvaging a series split.

The confidence level reflects the unpredictability of two struggling starters with ERAs over 5.50, but St. Louis' superior overall offensive depth and Miami's significant outfield injuries tip the scales toward the Cardinals despite the Marlins' strong home record.

Aruncatori probabili

St. Louis Cardinals — Lot

Jucător	Poz.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
JJ Wetherholt	2B	.229	3	11	.377	.361
Iván Herrera	DH	.217	2	11	.383	.325
Alec Burleson	1B	.278	3	17	.359	.444
Jordan Walker	RF	.292	8	16	.357	.607
Nolan Gorman	3B	.203	3	15	.274	.324
Masyn Winn	SS	.257	1	9	.354	.400
Nathan Church	LF	.231	2	8	.281	.365
Pedro Pagés	C	.196	1	5	.255	.304
Victor Scott II	CF	.207	0	4	.266	.224

Miami Marlins — Lot

Jucător	Poz.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Jakob Marsee	CF	.176	1	5	.303	.264
Kyle Stowers	RF	.300	0	0	.462	.400
Otto Lopez	SS	.318	3	11	.371	.523
Xavier Edwards	2B	.348	1	7	.431	.483
Liam Hicks	C	.324	4	21	.373	.527
Agustín Ramírez	DH	.212	2	11	.284	.353
Javier Sanoja	3B	.320	0	9	.370	.380
Heriberto Hernández	LF	.154	0	9	.290	.192
Connor Norby	1B	.247	2	7	.341	.397

Jocuri de scor

▲ 1

Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.

1-0

▼ 1

Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jakob Marsee homers (1) on a line drive to right field.

1-1

▲ 3

Alec Burleson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Connor Norby. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.

2-1

▲ 4

Nathan Church homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.

4-1

▲ 5

Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Alec Burleson scores.

5-1

▼ 8

Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Xavier Edwards scores. Liam Hicks scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.

5-3

St. Louis Cardinals — Bătaie

Jucător	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt2B	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	.229	.738
Iván HerreraDH	5	0	2	0	0	2	0	.217	.708
Alec Burleson1B	4	1	2	2	0	1	0	.278	.803
Jordan WalkerRF	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.292	.964
Nolan Gorman3B	4	0	1	1	0	2	0	.203	.598
Masyn WinnSS	4	1	2	0	0	0	0	.257	.754
Nathan ChurchLF	4	1	2	2	0	0	1	.231	.646
Pedro PagésC	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.196	.559
Victor Scott IICF	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	.207	.490
Total	36	5	10	5	2	12	1

BATTING

2B: Wetherholt (2, Paddack); Burleson (6, Paddack); Winn (5, Paddack).

HR: Church (2, 4th inning off Paddack, 1 on, 0 out).

TB: Burleson 3; Church 5; Gorman; Herrera 2; Wetherholt 2; Winn 3.

RBI: Burleson 2 (17); Church 2 (8); Gorman (15).

2-out RBI: Gorman.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Church 2; Pagés, P; Gorman 2.

Team RISP: 2-for-11.

Team LOB: 6.

BASERUNNING

SB: Church (3, 2nd base off Phillips/Hicks, L).

CS: Scott II (2, 2nd base by Phillips/Hicks, L).

FIELDING

E: Winn (1, throw).

Outfield assists: Walker, J (Marsee at 1st base).

Miami Marlins — Bătaie

Jucător	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Jakob MarseeCF	4	1	3	1	0	0	1	.176	.567
Kyle StowersRF	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	.300	.862
Otto LopezSS	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	.318	.894
Xavier Edwards2B	4	1	2	0	1	0	0	.348	.914
Liam HicksC	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	.324	.900
Agustín RamírezDH	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.212	.637
Javier Sanoja3B	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.320	.750
Heriberto HernándezLF	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	.154	.482
Connor Norby1B	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	.247	.738
Total	34	3	8	3	4	9	1

BATTING

HR: Marsee (1, 1st inning off May, 0 on, 0 out).

TB: Edwards, X 2; Hernández, H; Marsee 6; Norby; Pauley.

RBI: Hernández, H 2 (9); Marsee (5).

2-out RBI: Hernández, H 2.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stowers 2; Caissie; Lopez, O; Norby; Ramírez.

Team RISP: 1-for-10.

Team LOB: 10.

BASERUNNING

CS: Stowers (1, 2nd base by May/Pagés, P).

FIELDING

Outfield assists: Marsee (Herrera at 2nd base).

a-Lined out for Caissie in the 7th.

b-Hit by pitch for Pauley in the 7th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Lansare

Lansator	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Dustin May(W, 3-2)	5.1	6	1	1	1	5	1	97-59	5.84
Justin Bruihl	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	27-16	5.84
Ryne Stanek	0.2	1	2	2	3	2	0	32-15	9.00
George Soriano(H, 2)	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	6-5	4.66
Riley O'Brien(S, 7)	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	17-11	0.00

Miami Marlins — Lansare

Lansator	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Chris Paddack(L, 0-4)	4.2	8	5	5	1	7	1	90-60	6.38
John King	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	19-14	0.90
Tyler Phillips	3.0	2	0	0	1	3	0	40-26	0.60

Informații meci

Arbitri: Home Plate: Manny Gonzalez; First Base: Jacob Metz; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Scott Barry

Stadion: loanDepot park, Miami

Vreme: 72°F, Roof Closed

Vânt: 0 mph, None

St. Louis Cardinals — Stiri

Cardinals Activează Nootbaar din Lista de Indisponibilitate de 60 de Zile

St. Louis readuce un bateador la adâncimea echipei sale după o absență prelungită, deși mișcarea vine atunci când echipa este 31-28 și 3-7 în ultimele 10 meciuri. Întoarcerea lui Nootbaar abordează flexibilitatea rosterului fără a aborda problemele rotației—cinci lansatori de început combinați pentru un ERA de 4,27 cu valori xwOBA variind de la 0,311 la 0,383.

Lars Nootbaar

St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinali Returnează Alegerea Regulii 5 Matt Pushard la Marlins

Pushard nu a aruncat niciodată o inning pentru St. Louis (27.00 ERA în 0 IP), aterizând pe IL aproape imediat după selecția Regulii 5. Mutarea are un impact minim asupra rotației pentru ambele echipe, având în vedere grupa curentă de 5 oameni a Miamiului condusă de Meyer (2.97 ERA, 74 SO).

Matt Pushard

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins

Rangers Plasează Chris Martin pe Lista Răniților cu Compresie de Umăr

Texas pierde adâncimea bullpenului pe durata sezonului în timp ce stă la 28-31 cu o diferență de runde de +7. Rechemarea Curvelo (fără statistici din 2026) și debutul Ahlstrom oferă opțiuni, dar niciunul nu a stabilit o evidență MLB comprobată împotriva unei formații Cardinals care se confruntă cu deGrom diseara.

Chris Martin

St. Louis Cardinals

Texas Rangers

Cardinalii Desemnează Matt Pushard, Reamintesc Hunter Dobbins

Pushard a apărut în zero meciuri pentru STL înaintea acestei mișcări, făcând aceasta o decizie simplă a listei de 40 de oameni. Dobbins intră într-o rotație unde Liberatore (4,76 ERA, 1,57 WHIP) și Leahy (4,25 ERA, 1,55 WHIP) sunt ambii peste 4,25 ERA.

Matt Pushard

Hunter Dobbins

St. Louis Cardinals

Jimmy Crooks pregătit pentru timp de joc constant ca receptor

Crooks nu are statistici disponibile pentru 2026 pentru a evalua producția ofensivă, făcând aceasta o mișcare de adâncime pentru STL mai degrabă decât o îmbunătățire—Cardinals sunt -10 în diferența de curse în timp ce stau pe locul 3 în NLC cu o serie de 4 înfrângeri.

Jimmy Crooks

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins — Stiri

Cardinali Returnează Alegerea Regulii 5 Matt Pushard la Marlins

Matt Pushard

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins

Hernández: 2 HR, 3 RBI în victoria Marlins-ului împotriva Nationals

Seara cu două home runs a lui Hernández a încheiat seria de 4 înfrângeri a Miamiului și i-a dat Marlins-ului prima lor victorie acasă în cinci jocuri (18-15). Aruncarea Washington-ului a concediat 330 de puncte în acest sezon (cel mai rău din NL East), ceea ce face recordul lor de 31-30 surprinzător de rezistent ținând cont de procentul de victorie de 0,508.

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals

Marlins aleg Brzykcy și Zuber din Triple-A

Miami adaugă profunzime unei rotații care se luptă cu durabilitatea (Junk 4,80 ERA, record 3-5; Alcantara 4,66 ERA) în timp ce se situează la 26-34 și 0-8 în jocurile în deplasare în ultimele cinci meciuri ale lor.

Miami Marlins

Marlins îl selectează pe Zach Brzykcy

Brzykcy intră într-o rotație Miami care este în prezent condusă de Meyer (ERA 2.97, 5-0), dar care depinde mult de Alcantara (ERA 4.66) și Junk (ERA 4.80, 3-5). Mutarea abordează adâncimea rotației, iar Miami stă la 26-33 cu o diferență de puncte de -20.

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk: Nu va porni, ar putea merge pe IL

Junk (ERA 4,80, 3-5) părăsește rotația Miami duminică împotriva NYM; cu Eury Pérez deja accidentat (întindere gracilis), Marlins se confruntă cu probleme de adâncime într-o echipă deja fragilă. Rotația MIA ar depinde mult de ceilalți aruncători dacă Junk merge pe IL.

Janson Junk