返回賽事 星期五, May 29, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners — May 29, 2026 | AI 預測與數據

T-Mobile Park, Seattle
58°F, Roof Closed
5 mph, In From LF
W Cooper Criswell L Juan Morillo

計分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Diamondbacks 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 1 0 6 13 0
Mariners 1 0 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 7 13 0

AI預測神經網絡預測

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 5
Mariners 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 68% Diamondbacks favored
這場比賽展現了兩隊相反的走勢,亞利桑那隊正經歷五連勝,而西雅圖最近在對陣較弱的奧克蘭投手時獲得了成功。喬治·柯比和扎克·加倫之間的投手對決明顯有利於西雅圖,柯比的3.54防禦率和卓越的速度指標遠遠超過了加倫本賽季的困境(防禦率4.80,WHIP 1.44)。然而,亞利桑那明顯更好的戰績(31-24對28-29)和最近的進攻激增不容忽視。響尾蛇隊在目前的五連勝中打進42分,平均每場超過8分。西雅圖的傷病情況令人擔憂,特別是捕手卡爾·雷利和三壘手布蘭登·多諾范的缺陣,這導致了可能影響他們進攻節奏的陣容調整。維克多·羅布斯的最近啟用提供了一定的穩定性,但他的.292打擊率伴隨著有限的力量輸出。亞利桑那的打線儘管缺少卡洛斯·桑塔納和盧迪斯·古里埃爾二世,但仍然有著科爾賓·卡羅爾(.293,7本全壘打)和伊爾德馬羅·瓦加斯(.303,7本全壘打,35分打點)的動態二人組,他們一直在承擔進攻重擔。T-Mobile公園的涼爽52度天氣和多雲條件通常會抑制進攻數據,這應該有利於兩位先發投手,但特別有利於柯比的四縫線快速球和滑球的組合。亞利桑那的牛棚在他們的熱門表現中更加可靠,隨著蓋布·斯皮爾剛被西雅圖激活,他們的後期陣深度存在疑問。亞利桑那在這波連勝期間優異的客場表現,加上他們的動力和略微更好的進攻健康狀況,給了他們優勢在這場預計會是低得分的比賽中。

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R 兩位先發投手在允許早期得分後穩定下來
Middle (4-6) 3R 當投手找到節奏時分散式得分
Late (7-9) 4R 亞利桑那牛棚優勢在後期局次顯現

Matchup Analysis

Mariners

喬治·柯比的速度和轉速
近期對奧克蘭的強勢進攻
T-Mobile公園的主場優勢
缺少關鍵球員卡爾·雷利和布蘭登·多諾范
主場戰績不穩定(14-15)

Diamondbacks

優異的戰績和動力(五連勝)
伊爾德馬羅·瓦加斯和科爾賓·卡羅爾領導進攻
近期優異的客場表現
扎克·加倫的高防禦率和WHIP
多名關鍵進攻球員因傷缺陣

Risk Factors

涼爽天氣影響球的飛行
兩隊都缺少關鍵進攻球員

Key Matchups

Randy Arozarena vs Zac Gallen batter 阿羅薩萊納的.295打擊率對陣加倫的4.80防禦率
Corbin Carroll vs George Kirby pitcher 柯比的滑球對左打者速度的有效性
Ildemaro Vargas vs George Kirby batter 瓦加斯以.303打擊率領導亞利桑那進攻

Statistical Edges

First to Score Diamondbacks 62%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

比賽開始時,扎克·加倫在太平洋西北部寒冷的夜晚苦苦掙扎於他的控制力,讓蘭迪·阿羅薩萊納首先上壘,然後允許一支打點安打,使亞利桑那領先1-0。喬治·柯比通過進入節奏來應對,利用他提高的速度在前兩局依次解決水手隊。西雅圖在第二局回應,維克多·羅布斯獲得首輪保送,最終在帕特里克·威斯頓的犧牲打上得分,將比分扳成1-1。兩位投手在中間局次找到節奏,柯比的滑球對亞利桑那的左打者特別有效。響尾蛇隊在第三局突破,科爾賓·卡羅爾盜上二壘並在伊爾德馬羅·瓦加斯沿左外野線的雙安打上得分。西雅圖最好的得分機會出現在第四局,當時他們在一出局的情況下灌滿壘包,但加倫逃脫,蘭迪·阿羅薩萊納的二分安打只允許兩分,給水手隊一個短暫的3-2領先。比賽在第六局轉折,亞利桑那利用西雅圖牛棚的過渡,加布里埃爾·莫雷諾的打點地滾球得分,將比分扳成3-3。決定性時刻來臨在第八局,響尾蛇隊對西雅圖過度勞累的救援隊伍連續三安打,卡羅爾和瓦加斯連續打出打點安打,以5-3領先。亞利桑那的終結者儘管西雅圖後期有反擊企圖,但確保了最後三個出局,完成了響尾蛇隊的六連勝,維持了他們在國聯西區競爭中的強勢地位。
信心水平反映了亞利桑那近期優異的表現和動力,相比西雅圖在柯比領導下的投手優勢。儘管柯比應該大幅超越加倫,但亞利桑那炙熱的進攻和後期局次的牛棚優勢提供了決定性因素。
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Arizona Diamondbacks — 陣容

球員位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ketel Marte
2B .271932.326.467
Corbin Carroll
RF .294728.390.546
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .232321.341.362
Gabriel Moreno
C .268319.325.420
Tim Tawa
DH .17518.273.263
Ryan Waldschmidt
CF .29407.351.397
Ildemaro Vargas
1B .295737.322.472
Jose Fernandez
3B .268315.301.376
Tommy Troy
LF .31300.421.438

Seattle Mariners — 陣容

球員位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .218922.344.397
Julio Rodríguez
CF .2651129.323.457
Josh Naylor
1B .258524.323.352
Randy Arozarena
LF .297626.382.467
Victor Robles
RF .29201.292.375
Cole Young
2B .243327.320.347
Rob Refsnyder
DH .12038.198.240
Mitch Garver
C .20326.353.319
Colt Emerson
3B .22916.325.457

得分紀錄

1
J.P. Crawford homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.
0-1
3
Julio Rodríguez homers (11) on a line drive to left field. J.P. Crawford scores.
0-3
4
Geraldo Perdomo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.
1-3
5
J.P. Crawford homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jhonny Pereda scores.
1-5
6
Gabriel Moreno doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores.
3-5
6
Ildemaro Vargas grounds into a force out, first baseman Josh Naylor to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Gabriel Moreno scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 3rd. Ryan Waldschmidt out at 2nd. Ildemaro Vargas to 1st.
4-5
6
Jose Fernandez singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Adrian Del Castillo scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd.
5-5
6
Luke Raley homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.
5-6
9
Ildemaro Vargas reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Josh Naylor. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd. Tim Tawa to 2nd.
6-6
10
Randy Arozarena doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. J.P. Crawford scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.
6-7

Arizona Diamondbacks — 打擊

球員ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ketel Marte2B
4000210.271.793
Corbin CarrollRF
6120010.294.936
Geraldo PerdomoSS
6331001.232.703
Gabriel MorenoC
5132000.268.745
Tim TawaDH
0000000.175.536
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
5010020.294.748
Ildemaro Vargas1B
5002000.295.794
Jose Fernandez3B
5031000.268.677
Tommy TroyLF
4000120.313.859
總計436136471
BATTING
2B: Fernandez, Jo 2 (7, Kirby, Bazardo); Perdomo (9, Kirby); Moreno (8, Kirby).
HR: Perdomo (3, 4th inning off Kirby, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arenado; Carroll 2; Fernandez, Jo 5; Moreno 4; Perdomo 7; Waldschmidt.
RBI: Fernandez, Jo (15); Moreno 2 (19); Perdomo (21); Vargas, I 2 (37).
2-out RBI: Fernandez, Jo.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Troy 2; Marte, K 2; Waldschmidt; Carroll 2; Perdomo.
Team RISP: 3-for-17.
Team LOB: 13.
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Waldschmidt (Naylor, J at 2nd base).
DP: 2 (Marte, K-Perdomo-Vargas, I; Perdomo-Vargas, I).
a-Singled for Del Castillo in the 7th.
1-Ran for Arenado in the 9th.

Seattle Mariners — 打擊

球員ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
4423112.218.741
Julio RodríguezCF
5132011.265.780
Josh Naylor1B
4010100.258.675
Randy ArozarenaLF
5021000.297.849
Victor RoblesRF
0000000.292.667
Cole Young2B
4010000.243.667
Rob RefsnyderDH
1000010.120.438
Mitch GarverC
0000000.203.672
Colt Emerson3B
4000030.229.782
總計387137294
BATTING
2B: Rodríguez, J (12, Pfaadt); Arozarena (16, Morillo, J).
HR: Crawford, J 2 (9, 1st inning off Gallen, 0 on, 0 out, 5th inning off Gallen, 1 on, 1 out); Rodríguez, J (11, 3rd inning off Gallen, 1 on, 2 out); Raley, L (12, 6th inning off Pfaadt, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Arozarena 3; Crawford, J 8; Naylor, J; Pereda; Raley, L 5; Rodríguez, J 7; Wisdom; Young.
RBI: Arozarena (26); Crawford, J 3 (22); Raley, L (30); Rodríguez, J 2 (29).
2-out RBI: Rodríguez, J 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Naylor, J.
GIDP: Canzone; Naylor, J.
Team RISP: 2-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Arozarena (15, 2nd base off Gallen/Moreno).
FIELDING
DP: (Young-Naylor, J).
a-Struck out for Canzone in the 9th.
b-Singled for Pereda in the 9th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Zac Gallen
5.085512384-535.16
Brandon Pfaadt
1.231103131-205.59
Taylor Clarke
0.10000004-31.96
Jonathan Loáisiga
1.000001016-132.53
Brandyn Garcia
1.010002016-100.90
Juan Morillo(L, 1-2)
0.11101109-62.86

Seattle Mariners — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
George Kirby
5.164414187-613.77
Matt Brash(BS, 2)
0.221121022-110.64
José A. Ferrer(H, 7)
0.210000012-91.75
Eduard Bazardo(H, 10)
1.020010027-152.13
Gabe Speier(H, 6)
0.10000103-32.63
Andrés Muñoz(BS, 4)
1.021101025-164.98
Cooper Criswell(W, 2-1)
1.00000009-73.20

比賽資訊

裁判: Home Plate: Chris Guccione; First Base: David Rackley; Second Base: Nestor Ceja; Third Base: Louie Krupa
球場: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
天氣: 58°F, Roof Closed
風: 5 mph, In From LF

Seattle Mariners — 新聞

賽季對比

Diamondbacks
STAT
Mariners
32-28 戰績 33-29
53.3% Win % 53.2%
.533 PCT .532
273 得分 266
263 失分 230
60 賽事場次 62
L1 連勝/負 W8
6-4 最近10場 8-2
19-11 主場戰績 19-15
13-17 客場戰績 14-14

交手記錄

0
最近 2 次交手
2
May 31
Diamondbacks 2 - 3 Mariners
May 30
Diamondbacks 1 - 5 Mariners

Diamondbacks 近期

Jun 2 vs Dodgers 6-5 L
Jun 1 vs Dodgers 1-4 W
May 31 @ Mariners 2-3 L
May 30 @ Mariners 1-5 L
May 27 @ Giants 3-2 W

Mariners 近期

Jun 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
Jun 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
Jun 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
May 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
May 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W

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