Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners — 五月 29, 2026 | AI 預測與數據
計分板
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
|
|
1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
AI預測神經網路預測
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
|
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Confidence: 68%
Diamondbacks favored
這場比賽中,亞利桑那州正經歷五連勝,而西雅圖最近則在較弱的奧克蘭投手面前獲得成功。喬治·柯比和扎克·加倫之間的投手對決有利於西雅圖,因為柯比的3.54防禦率和優越的速度指標遠超加倫本賽季的掙扎(4.80防禦率,1.44 WHIP)。然而,亞利桑那州明顯更好的戰績(31-24對28-29)和最近的進攻激增不容忽視。響尾蛇隊在目前的五連勝中攻入42分,場均超過8分。西雅圖的傷病情況令人擔憂,特別是捕手凱爾·雷利和三壘手布倫丹·多諾萬的缺席,導致名單調整可能影響他們的進攻節奏。維克多·羅布萊斯最近被激活提供了一些穩定性,但他的.292打擊率伴隨著有限的長打能力。亞利桑那州的陣容儘管缺少卡洛斯·桑塔納和盧爾德斯·格里埃爾二世,仍擁有科爾賓·卡羅爾(.293,7次全壘打)和伊爾德瑪羅·瓦爾加斯(.303,7次全壘打,35次打點)的動態組合,他們一直承擔著進攻負荷。T-Mobile公園的52度涼爽天氣和陰雲天氣通常會抑制進攻數據,這應該有利於兩位先發投手,但特別是有利於柯比的四縫線快速球和滑球組合。亞利桑那州的牛棚在熱帶表現中更加可靠,隨著蓋布·斯佩爾剛剛被西雅圖激活,他們的後期深度存在疑問。響尾蛇隊在這次連勝期間的優越客隊表現,結合他們的動力和稍微更好的進攻健康狀況,在這場預計為低分的比賽中給了他們優勢。
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
2R
兩位先發投手在早期允許失分後穩定下來
Middle (4-6)
3R
當投手找到節奏時的孤立得分
Late (7-9)
4R
亞利桑那州牛棚優勢在後期局數顯現
Matchup Analysis
Mariners
喬治·柯比的速度和轉速
對奧克蘭的近期強勁進攻表現
在T-Mobile公園的主場優勢
缺少關鍵球員凱爾·雷利和布倫丹·多諾萬
不穩定的主場戰績(14-15)
Diamondbacks
優越的戰績和動力(五連勝)
由伊爾德瑪羅·瓦爾加斯和科爾賓·卡羅爾領導的進攻
最近客隊表現更好
扎克·加倫提高的防禦率和WHIP
因傷病缺少幾個關鍵進攻幫手
Risk Factors
影響球飛行的涼爽天氣
兩支球隊都缺少關鍵進攻貢獻者
Key Matchups
Randy Arozarena
vs
Zac Gallen
batter
阿羅薩雷納的.295打擊率對加倫的4.80防禦率
Corbin Carroll
vs
George Kirby
pitcher
柯比的滑球對左打者速度的有效性
Ildemaro Vargas
vs
George Kirby
batter
瓦爾加斯以.303打擊率領導亞利桑那州進攻
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Diamondbacks
62%
Strikeouts
14
11-17
Total Runs
9
7-11
Game Preview
比賽開始時,扎克·加倫在寒冷的太平洋西北部夜晚苦於控制不力,四壞球迫使蘭迪·阿羅薩雷納領先上壘,隨後允許一支帶有生命的安打讓亞利桑那州以1-0領先。喬治·柯比用提高的速度進行回應,利用他改進的速度在前兩局依次解決水手隊。西雅圖在第二局回應,維克多·羅布萊斯領先四壞球,最終通過帕特里克·威斯多姆的犧牲飛球得分,將比分扳至1-1平。兩位投手在中間幾局找到了節奏,柯比的滑球對亞利桑那州的左手打者特別有效。響尾蛇隊在第三局突破,科爾賓·卡羅爾盜壘上二壘,並通過伊爾德瑪羅·瓦爾加斯打往左外野線的二壘安打得分。西雅圖最好的得分機會出現在第四局,他們在一出局時裝滿壘包,但加倫僅在蘭迪·阿羅薩雷納的兩分安打中逃脫,只允許兩分,暫時讓水手隊以3-2領先。比賽在第六局轉折,亞利桑那州利用西雅圖的牛棚轉換,通過加布里埃爾·莫雷諾的打點滾地球得分,將比分扳至3-3平。決定性時刻出現在第八局,當響尾蛇隊對西雅圖過度使用的救援投手連續打出三安打時,卡羅爾和瓦爾加斯依次擊出打點安打,以5-3領先。亞利桑那州的終結者儘管西雅圖有過遲到的追平嘗試,仍確保了最後三出局,完成響尾蛇隊的第六連勝,並保持了他們在國家聯盟西部競爭中的強勢地位。
信心水平反映了亞利桑那州相對於西雅圖柯比投手優勢的優越最近表現和動力。儘管柯比應該明顯優於加倫的表現,但亞利桑那州的熱進攻和後期局數中的牛棚邊緣提供了決定性因素。
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Arizona Diamondbacks — 陣容
| 球員 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte |
2B | .271 | 9 | 32 | .326 | .467 |
Corbin Carroll |
RF | .294 | 7 | 28 | .390 | .546 |
Geraldo Perdomo |
SS | .232 | 3 | 21 | .341 | .362 |
Gabriel Moreno |
C | .268 | 3 | 19 | .325 | .420 |
Tim Tawa |
DH | .175 | 1 | 8 | .273 | .263 |
Ryan Waldschmidt |
CF | .294 | 0 | 7 | .351 | .397 |
Ildemaro Vargas |
1B | .295 | 7 | 37 | .322 | .472 |
Jose Fernandez |
3B | .268 | 3 | 15 | .301 | .376 |
Tommy Troy |
LF | .313 | 0 | 0 | .421 | .438 |
Seattle Mariners — 陣容
| 球員 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.P. Crawford |
SS | .218 | 9 | 22 | .344 | .397 |
Julio Rodríguez |
CF | .265 | 11 | 29 | .323 | .457 |
Josh Naylor |
1B | .258 | 5 | 24 | .323 | .352 |
Randy Arozarena |
LF | .297 | 6 | 26 | .382 | .467 |
Victor Robles |
RF | .292 | 0 | 1 | .292 | .375 |
Cole Young |
2B | .243 | 3 | 27 | .320 | .347 |
Rob Refsnyder |
DH | .120 | 3 | 8 | .198 | .240 |
Mitch Garver |
C | .203 | 2 | 6 | .353 | .319 |
Colt Emerson |
3B | .229 | 1 | 6 | .325 | .457 |
得分紀錄
▼ 1
J.P. Crawford homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.
0-1
▼ 3
Julio Rodríguez homers (11) on a line drive to left field. J.P. Crawford scores.
0-3
▲ 4
Geraldo Perdomo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.
1-3
▼ 5
J.P. Crawford homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jhonny Pereda scores.
1-5
▲ 6
Gabriel Moreno doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores.
3-5
▲ 6
Ildemaro Vargas grounds into a force out, first baseman Josh Naylor to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Gabriel Moreno scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 3rd. Ryan Waldschmidt out at 2nd. Ildemaro Vargas to 1st.
4-5
▲ 6
Jose Fernandez singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Adrian Del Castillo scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd.
5-5
▼ 6
Luke Raley homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.
5-6
▲ 9
Ildemaro Vargas reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Josh Naylor. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd. Tim Tawa to 2nd.
6-6
▼ 10
Randy Arozarena doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. J.P. Crawford scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.
6-7
Arizona Diamondbacks — 打擊
| 球員 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte2B |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .271 | .793 |
Corbin CarrollRF |
6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .294 | .936 |
Geraldo PerdomoSS |
6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .232 | .703 |
Gabriel MorenoC |
5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .268 | .745 |
Tim TawaDH |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .175 | .536 |
Ryan WaldschmidtCF |
5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .294 | .748 |
Ildemaro Vargas1B |
5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .295 | .794 |
Jose Fernandez3B |
5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .268 | .677 |
Tommy TroyLF |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .313 | .859 |
| 總計 | 43 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
BATTING
2B: Fernandez, Jo 2 (7, Kirby, Bazardo); Perdomo (9, Kirby); Moreno (8, Kirby).
HR: Perdomo (3, 4th inning off Kirby, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arenado; Carroll 2; Fernandez, Jo 5; Moreno 4; Perdomo 7; Waldschmidt.
RBI: Fernandez, Jo (15); Moreno 2 (19); Perdomo (21); Vargas, I 2 (37).
2-out RBI: Fernandez, Jo.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Troy 2; Marte, K 2; Waldschmidt; Carroll 2; Perdomo.
Team RISP: 3-for-17.
Team LOB: 13.
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Waldschmidt (Naylor, J at 2nd base).
DP: 2 (Marte, K-Perdomo-Vargas, I; Perdomo-Vargas, I).
a-Singled for Del Castillo in the 7th.
1-Ran for Arenado in the 9th.
Seattle Mariners — 打擊
| 球員 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.P. CrawfordSS |
4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .218 | .741 |
Julio RodríguezCF |
5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .265 | .780 |
Josh Naylor1B |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .258 | .675 |
Randy ArozarenaLF |
5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .297 | .849 |
Victor RoblesRF |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .292 | .667 |
Cole Young2B |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .243 | .667 |
Rob RefsnyderDH |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .120 | .438 |
Mitch GarverC |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .672 |
Colt Emerson3B |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .229 | .782 |
| 總計 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
BATTING
2B: Rodríguez, J (12, Pfaadt); Arozarena (16, Morillo, J).
HR: Crawford, J 2 (9, 1st inning off Gallen, 0 on, 0 out, 5th inning off Gallen, 1 on, 1 out); Rodríguez, J (11, 3rd inning off Gallen, 1 on, 2 out); Raley, L (12, 6th inning off Pfaadt, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Arozarena 3; Crawford, J 8; Naylor, J; Pereda; Raley, L 5; Rodríguez, J 7; Wisdom; Young.
RBI: Arozarena (26); Crawford, J 3 (22); Raley, L (30); Rodríguez, J 2 (29).
2-out RBI: Rodríguez, J 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Naylor, J.
GIDP: Canzone; Naylor, J.
Team RISP: 2-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Arozarena (15, 2nd base off Gallen/Moreno).
FIELDING
DP: (Young-Naylor, J).
a-Struck out for Canzone in the 9th.
b-Singled for Pereda in the 9th.
Arizona Diamondbacks — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zac Gallen |
5.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 84-53 | 5.16 |
Brandon Pfaadt |
1.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 31-20 | 5.59 |
Taylor Clarke |
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-3 | 1.96 |
Jonathan Loáisiga |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-13 | 2.53 |
Brandyn Garcia |
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16-10 | 0.90 |
Juan Morillo(L, 1-2) |
0.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 2.86 |
Seattle Mariners — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
George Kirby |
5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 87-61 | 3.77 |
Matt Brash(BS, 2) |
0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22-11 | 0.64 |
José A. Ferrer(H, 7) |
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-9 | 1.75 |
Eduard Bazardo(H, 10) |
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27-15 | 2.13 |
Gabe Speier(H, 6) |
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 2.63 |
Andrés Muñoz(BS, 4) |
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25-16 | 4.98 |
Cooper Criswell(W, 2-1) |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 3.20 |
比賽資訊
裁判: Home Plate: Chris Guccione; First Base: David Rackley; Second Base: Nestor Ceja; Third Base: Louie Krupa
球場: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
天氣: 58°F, Roof Closed
風: 5 mph, In From LF
Arizona Diamondbacks — 新聞
Seattle Mariners — 新聞
賽季對比
STAT
Mariners
32-28
戰績
33-29
53.3%
Win %
53.2%
.533
PCT
.532
273
得分
266
263
失分
230
60
比賽場次
62
L1
連勝/負
W8
6-4
最近10場
8-2
19-11
主場戰績
19-15
13-17
客場戰績
14-14
交手記錄
2
五月 31
Diamondbacks
2 - 3
Mariners
五月 30
Diamondbacks
1 - 5
Mariners
Diamondbacks 近期
六月 2
vs Dodgers
6-5
L
六月 1
vs Dodgers
1-4
W
五月 31
@ Mariners
2-3
L
五月 30
@ Mariners
1-5
L
五月 27
@ Giants
3-2
W
Mariners 近期
六月 3
vs Mets
7-1
L
六月 2
vs Mets
3-8
W
六月 1
vs Mets
2-3
W
五月 31
vs Diamondbacks
2-3
W
五月 30
vs Diamondbacks
1-5
W




























