返回賽事 星期六, Apr 25, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals — Apr 25, 2026 | AI 預測與數據

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
73°F, Sunny
6 mph, In From LF
W Matt Brash L Riley O'Brien SV Andrés Muñoz

計分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 11 19 0
Cardinals 2 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 9 14 0

AI預測神經網絡預測

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 5
Cardinals 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 4
Confidence: 67% Mariners favored
今午在布希球場的這場比賽呈現出迷人的投手對比,應該會主導比賽的進程。布賴恩·武以無懈可擊的數據登場——微小的0.88 WHIP和優秀的7.31 K/9速率——使他成為棒球界最具前景的年輕投手之一。他平均時速95.5英里的四縫線快速球配合摧毀性的分裂球,在五場先發中一直讓打者失去重心。與此同時,馬修·利貝拉托雷仍在尋求穩定性,展現出閃光之處,但卻受困於控球問題(3.33 BB/9),這困擾了他整個職業發展。 進攻對陣上,西雅圖的策略對利貝拉托雷的左投提供極為有利。蘭迪·阿羅薩雷納本賽季開局出色(打擊率.290),歷來對控球不穩的左投手懲罰無情。喬丹·沃克是紅雀隊的主要威脅,已打出8支本壘打,但武控制好擊球區並有效變速的能力應該能中和聖路易斯在上一系列對休斯敦投手陣容造成的火力。 西雅圖的客場困境(客場戰績2-8)是支持水手隊的主要疑慮,但他們昨天3-2勝利帶來的勢頭和優越的先發投手對陣關係足以彌補主客場的劣勢。紅雀隊的兩連敗加上利貝拉托雷對陣沉著冷靜的西雅圖打線只有5.33 K/9的平庸表現,預示進攻困境會繼續。氣候條件有利於得分,但武的精準度應該會讓早期得分有限,最終由牛棚的戰術決定勝負。

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R 兩位先發投手在首輪對陣時脆弱
Middle (4-6) 2R 投手進入節奏,防守趨緊
Late (7-9) 3R 牛棚戰鬥、關鍵打擊機會

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

喬丹·沃克的全壘打風潮(8支HR)
布希球場的主場優勢
對休斯敦的近期進攻爆發
利貝拉托雷不穩定的控球(3.33 BB/9)
兩連敗的動力

Mariners

布賴恩·武的精英控制(0.88 WHIP)
蘭迪·阿羅薩雷納的關鍵打擊(.290)
昨天3-2勝利後的新鮮勢頭
糟糕的客場戰績(2-8)
缺少關鍵球員(布賴斯·米勒、維克多·羅布萊斯)

Risk Factors

西雅圖的客場困境可能繼續
利貝拉托雷在關鍵時刻的保送問題

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Bryan Woo batter 沃克擊中快速球,武投出70%的速球
Randy Arozarena vs Matthew Liberatore batter 阿羅薩雷納對陣控球不穩的左投手表現出色

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mariners 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

布賴恩·武早早確立了統治地位,在第一局將96-97英里時速的快速球投過喬丹·沃克和維克多·斯科特二世,隨後阿羅薩雷納擊出一壘安打,得到利貝拉托雷一個在好球帶上飄浮的變速球帶回的本場比賽首個得分。紅雀隊在第二局做出回應,沃克將球擊向左外野的獨得本壘打——本賽季第九支——利用了武唯一的壞球。第三局成為樞紐,利貝拉托雷的控球問題浮現——連續保送滿壘,隨後布倫登·多諾文揮出關鍵沿線二壘打,將西雅圖的領先擴大至3-1。 兩位先發投手在中局進入節奏,武展示出精英級的分裂球連續三振九位紅雀隊打者。利貝拉托雷做出回應,找到滑球的控制,在跑者眾多的情況下保持領先。第七局帶來精彩時刻,代打選手傑·傑·韋瑟霍爾特擊出滿壘時的一壘安打,帶回兩分,但西雅圖立即還擊,打者的安打恢復了兩分領先。第八局中,阿羅薩雷納通過激進的跑壘增加一分保險分,最終被證明是決定性的,因為水手隊以5-4逃離聖路易斯,實現連勝。
中等信心反映了布賴恩·武在投球上對利貝拉托雷的明顯優勢,但西雅圖糟糕的客場戰績(2-8)和聖路易斯的主場優勢對支持客隊造成了合理的顧慮。
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Seattle Mariners — 陣容

球員位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Connor Joe
RF .20002.273.200
Cal Raleigh
DH .202514.290.376
Julio Rodríguez
CF .250210.336.333
Josh Naylor
1B .208311.283.317
Randy Arozarena
LF .287211.373.426
J.P. Crawford
SS .19716.361.288
Mitch Garver
C .20700.324.241
Cole Young
2B .255313.342.398
Leo Rivas
3B .15407.273.200

St. Louis Cardinals — 陣容

球員位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .240412.370.385
Iván Herrera
DH .237413.400.409
Alec Burleson
1B .255317.339.408
Jordan Walker
RF .278816.346.567
Nolan Gorman
3B .224315.299.353
Masyn Winn
SS .278112.363.405
Nathan Church
LF .254412.300.460
Yohel Pozo
C .12503.125.188
Victor Scott II
CF .20004.254.215

得分紀錄

1
Julio Rodríguez homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Cal Raleigh scores.
2-0
1
JJ Wetherholt homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.
2-1
1
Iván Herrera homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.
2-2
2
Will Wilson homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Mitch Garver scores.
4-2
2
Nathan Church homers (3) on a line drive to right center field.
4-3
3
Masyn Winn singles on a fly ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Jordan Walker scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.
4-4
3
Nathan Church out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nolan Gorman scores. Masyn Winn to 2nd.
4-5
3
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Pedro Pagés homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Masyn Winn scores.
4-7
4
Cole Young homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.
5-7
5
Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Julio Rodríguez scores.
6-7
6
Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Cole Young scores.
7-7
7
Nathan Church homers (4) on a line drive to right center field. Masyn Winn scores.
7-9
8
Connor Joe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young scores.
9-9
9
Leo Rivas singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. J.P. Crawford scores. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young to 2nd.
11-9

Seattle Mariners — 打擊

球員ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Connor JoeRF
2012000.200.473
Cal RaleighDH
5120110.202.666
Julio RodríguezCF
6232011.250.669
Josh Naylor1B
5020010.208.600
Randy ArozarenaLF
4011000.287.799
J.P. CrawfordSS
4110100.197.649
Mitch GarverC
4320100.207.565
Cole Young2B
4331011.255.740
Leo Rivas3B
1012000.154.473
總計42111911363
BATTING
2B: Arozarena (8, Liberatore); Young (3, Soriano, G).
HR: Rodríguez, J (2, 1st inning off Liberatore, 1 on, 1 out); Wilson, W (1, 2nd inning off Liberatore, 1 on, 1 out); Young (3, 4th inning off Liberatore, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arozarena 2; Canzone; Crawford, J; Garver 2; Joe; Naylor, J 2; Raleigh 2; Refsnyder; Rivas; Rodríguez, J 6; Wilson, W 4; Young 7.
RBI: Arozarena (11); Canzone (12); Joe 2 (2); Rivas 2 (7); Rodríguez, J 2 (10); Wilson, W 2 (2); Young (13).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rodríguez, J 2; Naylor, J; Crawford, J 2; Garver.
SAC: Rivas.
SF: Arozarena.
GIDP: Raleigh.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Arozarena (7, 3rd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P); Naylor, J 2 (4, 2nd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P, 2nd base off Stanek/Pagés, P); Rodríguez, J (3, 2nd base off Bruihl/Pagés, P).
CS: Raleigh (1, 2nd base by Liberatore/Pagés, P).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Crawford, J-Young-Naylor, J; Naylor, J-Crawford, J).
a-Singled for Wilson, W in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Refsnyder in the 6th.
c-Singled for Raley, L in the 8th.

St. Louis Cardinals — 打擊

球員ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
5131001.240.755
Iván HerreraDH
3111011.237.809
Alec Burleson1B
5000010.255.747
Jordan WalkerRF
4110020.278.913
Nolan Gorman3B
4110110.224.652
Masyn WinnSS
5221010.278.768
Nathan ChurchLF
4224002.254.760
Yohel PozoC
0000000.125.313
Victor Scott IICF
4010010.200.469
總計379149275
BATTING
HR: Wetherholt (4, 1st inning off Woo, 0 on, 0 out); Herrera (4, 1st inning off Woo, 0 on, 0 out); Church 2 (4, 2nd inning off Woo, 0 on, 1 out, 7th inning off Criswell, C, 1 on, 1 out); Pagés, P (2, 3rd inning off Woo, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Church 8; Gorman; Herrera 4; Pagés, P 6; Scott II; Walker, J; Wetherholt 6; Winn 2.
RBI: Church 4 (12); Herrera (13); Pagés, P 2 (7); Wetherholt (12); Winn (12).
2-out RBI: Pagés, P 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gorman; Wetherholt; Herrera.
SF: Church.
GIDP: Church; Walker, J.
Team RISP: 3-for-9.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Pagés, P (2, 2nd base off Woo/Garver).
CS: Walker, J (1, 2nd base by Brash/Garver).
FIELDING
DP: (Burleson-Winn-Graceffo).
1-Ran for Pagés, P in the 7th.

Seattle Mariners — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Bryan Woo
3.097701453-393.86
Jose A. Ferrer
2.020011029-182.08
Cooper Criswell
2.032203136-222.77
Matt Brash(W, 2-0)
1.000001013-70.00
Andrés Muñoz(S, 5)
1.000011014-76.55

St. Louis Cardinals — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Matthew Liberatore
3.185513364-474.75
Gordon Graceffo
0.22110006-41.26
Justin Bruihl(H, 5)
1.000000013-95.02
George Soriano(BS, 1)
1.021101015-124.76
Ryne Stanek
0.210000010-78.44
JoJo Romero
0.222200012-73.55
Riley O'Brien(L, 3-1)(BS, 2)
1.042211039-271.26
Matt Svanson
0.200011018-910.54

比賽資訊

裁判: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: John Bacon; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Edwin Moscoso
球場: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
天氣: 73°F, Sunny
風: 6 mph, In From LF

Seattle Mariners — 新聞

St. Louis Cardinals — 新聞

賽季對比

Mariners
STAT
Cardinals
33-30 戰績 32-28
52.4% Win % 53.3%
.524 PCT .533
267 得分 257
237 失分 269
63 賽事場次 60
L1 連勝/負 W1
8-2 最近10場 3-7
19-16 主場戰績 16-16
14-14 客場戰績 16-12

交手記錄

2
最近 2 次交手
0
Apr 26
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals
Apr 24
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals

Mariners 近期

Jun 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
Jun 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
Jun 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
May 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
May 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W

Cardinals 近期

Jun 3 vs Rangers 3-5 W
Jun 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
Jun 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
May 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
May 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L

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