返回比賽 星期六, 四月 25, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals — 四月 25, 2026 | AI 預測與數據

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
73°F, Sunny
6 mph, In From LF
W Matt Brash L Riley O'Brien SV Andrés Muñoz

計分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 11 19 0
Cardinals 2 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 9 14 0

AI預測神經網路預測

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 5
Cardinals 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 4
Confidence: 67% Mariners favored
今天下午在布希球場舉行的這場比賽呈現了令人著迷的投手對比,這將決定比賽的流向。布萊恩·吳(Bryan Woo)以完美的外圍數據進入 - 極低的0.88 WHIP和優秀的7.31 K/9比率 - 使他成為棒球中最有前景的年輕投手之一。他的平均時速95.5英里的四縫線快速球加上毀滅性的分裂球在五場先發中讓打者措手不及。與此同時,馬修·利貝羅特(Matthew Liberatore)仍在尋求穩定性,展現出精彩瞬間,但卻在控球力上掙扎(3.33 BB/9),這個問題在他的職業生涯中一直困擾著他。 進攻配對方面,西雅圖的打線對利貝羅特的左手投球明顯占優。蘭迪·阿羅薩雷納(Randy Arozarena)本賽季初期表現火熱(打擊率0.290),歷來對控球不佳的左投造成嚴重威脅。喬丹·沃克(Jordan Walker)是紅雀隊的主要威脅,已經擊出8支本壘打,但吳的區域控制能力和有效的速度變化應該能遏制聖路易斯的全壘打威力 - 上一個系列他們摧毀了休斯頓的投手陣容。 西雅圖的客場成績不佳(2-8的客場記錄)是支持水手隊的主要隱憂,但他們昨天3-2勝利帶來的近期勢頭和優越的先發投手配對超越了客場劣勢。紅雀隊的兩連敗,加上利貝羅特對耐心的西雅圖打線只有5.33 K/9的平庸成績,預示著進攻困難將持續。氣象條件有利於擊球,但吳的精準度應該在牛棚戰術決定結果之前將得分保持在較低水平。

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R 兩位先發投手在首輪打擊順序時脆弱
Middle (4-6) 2R 投手進入狀態,防守變得更嚴密
Late (7-9) 3R 牛棚戰術,關鍵打擊機會

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

喬丹·沃克的全壘打熱潮(8支HR)
在布希球場的主場優勢
對休斯頓的近期進攻爆發
利貝羅特不穩定的控球(3.33 BB/9)
兩連敗的負面勢頭

Mariners

布萊恩·吳的精英控球(0.88 WHIP)
蘭迪·阿羅薩雷納的關鍵打擊(0.290)
昨天3-2勝利後士氣高漲
糟糕的客場記錄(2-8)
缺少關鍵球員(布萊斯·米勒,維克多·羅布雷斯)

Risk Factors

西雅圖的客場困境可能持續
利貝羅特在關鍵時刻的保送問題

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Bryan Woo batter 沃克擊打快速球,吳投出70%的快速球
Randy Arozarena vs Matthew Liberatore batter 阿羅薩雷納對控球困難的左投表現出色

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mariners 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

布萊恩·吳早早確立優勢,在第一局投出96-97英里的快速球,讓喬丹·沃克和維克托·斯科特二世(Victor Scott II)出局,隨後阿羅薩雷納擊出單打,打回利貝羅特投出的球空中的改球,得到本場比賽的第一分。紅雀隊在第二局回應,沃克將球打向左外野本壘打,這是他本賽季的第九支,利用吳唯一的失投球。第三局成為關鍵 - 利貝羅特的控球問題浮現 - 連續保送壘球滿壘,然後布倫丹·多諾萬(Brendan Donovan)擊出沿著邊線的二壘打送回兩分,將西雅圖領先優勢擴大到3-1。 兩位先發投手在中局找到節奏,吳展現精銳的分裂球連續退出九位紅雀打者。利貝羅特透過找到滑球控制力來回應,在壘上局面中保持落後,讓分差保持在可控範圍。第七局帶來精彩時刻 - 代打JJ·韋瑟霍爾特(JJ Wetherholt)擊出壘滿時的單打送回兩分,但西雅圖立即回應 - 加維爾(Garver)的打點單打恢復了他們的兩分領先優勢。第八局中,阿羅薩雷納透過積極的跑壘增加了一分保險分,最終西雅圖成功逃離聖路易斯,以5-4連勝第二場。
中等信心反映了布萊恩·吳對利貝羅特的明顯投手優勢,但西雅圖的糟糕客場記錄(2-8)和聖路易斯的主場優勢對支持客隊造成了合理的顧慮。
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Seattle Mariners — 陣容

球員位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Connor Joe
RF .20002.273.200
Cal Raleigh
DH .202514.290.376
Julio Rodríguez
CF .250210.336.333
Josh Naylor
1B .208311.283.317
Randy Arozarena
LF .287211.373.426
J.P. Crawford
SS .19716.361.288
Mitch Garver
C .20700.324.241
Cole Young
2B .255313.342.398
Leo Rivas
3B .15407.273.200

St. Louis Cardinals — 陣容

球員位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .240412.370.385
Iván Herrera
DH .237413.400.409
Alec Burleson
1B .255317.339.408
Jordan Walker
RF .278816.346.567
Nolan Gorman
3B .224315.299.353
Masyn Winn
SS .278112.363.405
Nathan Church
LF .254412.300.460
Yohel Pozo
C .12503.125.188
Victor Scott II
CF .20004.254.215

得分紀錄

1
Julio Rodríguez homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Cal Raleigh scores.
2-0
1
JJ Wetherholt homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.
2-1
1
Iván Herrera homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.
2-2
2
Will Wilson homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Mitch Garver scores.
4-2
2
Nathan Church homers (3) on a line drive to right center field.
4-3
3
Masyn Winn singles on a fly ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Jordan Walker scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.
4-4
3
Nathan Church out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nolan Gorman scores. Masyn Winn to 2nd.
4-5
3
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Pedro Pagés homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Masyn Winn scores.
4-7
4
Cole Young homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.
5-7
5
Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Julio Rodríguez scores.
6-7
6
Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Cole Young scores.
7-7
7
Nathan Church homers (4) on a line drive to right center field. Masyn Winn scores.
7-9
8
Connor Joe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young scores.
9-9
9
Leo Rivas singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. J.P. Crawford scores. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young to 2nd.
11-9

Seattle Mariners — 打擊

球員ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Connor JoeRF
2012000.200.473
Cal RaleighDH
5120110.202.666
Julio RodríguezCF
6232011.250.669
Josh Naylor1B
5020010.208.600
Randy ArozarenaLF
4011000.287.799
J.P. CrawfordSS
4110100.197.649
Mitch GarverC
4320100.207.565
Cole Young2B
4331011.255.740
Leo Rivas3B
1012000.154.473
總計42111911363
BATTING
2B: Arozarena (8, Liberatore); Young (3, Soriano, G).
HR: Rodríguez, J (2, 1st inning off Liberatore, 1 on, 1 out); Wilson, W (1, 2nd inning off Liberatore, 1 on, 1 out); Young (3, 4th inning off Liberatore, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arozarena 2; Canzone; Crawford, J; Garver 2; Joe; Naylor, J 2; Raleigh 2; Refsnyder; Rivas; Rodríguez, J 6; Wilson, W 4; Young 7.
RBI: Arozarena (11); Canzone (12); Joe 2 (2); Rivas 2 (7); Rodríguez, J 2 (10); Wilson, W 2 (2); Young (13).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rodríguez, J 2; Naylor, J; Crawford, J 2; Garver.
SAC: Rivas.
SF: Arozarena.
GIDP: Raleigh.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Arozarena (7, 3rd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P); Naylor, J 2 (4, 2nd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P, 2nd base off Stanek/Pagés, P); Rodríguez, J (3, 2nd base off Bruihl/Pagés, P).
CS: Raleigh (1, 2nd base by Liberatore/Pagés, P).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Crawford, J-Young-Naylor, J; Naylor, J-Crawford, J).
a-Singled for Wilson, W in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Refsnyder in the 6th.
c-Singled for Raley, L in the 8th.

St. Louis Cardinals — 打擊

球員ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
5131001.240.755
Iván HerreraDH
3111011.237.809
Alec Burleson1B
5000010.255.747
Jordan WalkerRF
4110020.278.913
Nolan Gorman3B
4110110.224.652
Masyn WinnSS
5221010.278.768
Nathan ChurchLF
4224002.254.760
Yohel PozoC
0000000.125.313
Victor Scott IICF
4010010.200.469
總計379149275
BATTING
HR: Wetherholt (4, 1st inning off Woo, 0 on, 0 out); Herrera (4, 1st inning off Woo, 0 on, 0 out); Church 2 (4, 2nd inning off Woo, 0 on, 1 out, 7th inning off Criswell, C, 1 on, 1 out); Pagés, P (2, 3rd inning off Woo, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Church 8; Gorman; Herrera 4; Pagés, P 6; Scott II; Walker, J; Wetherholt 6; Winn 2.
RBI: Church 4 (12); Herrera (13); Pagés, P 2 (7); Wetherholt (12); Winn (12).
2-out RBI: Pagés, P 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gorman; Wetherholt; Herrera.
SF: Church.
GIDP: Church; Walker, J.
Team RISP: 3-for-9.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Pagés, P (2, 2nd base off Woo/Garver).
CS: Walker, J (1, 2nd base by Brash/Garver).
FIELDING
DP: (Burleson-Winn-Graceffo).
1-Ran for Pagés, P in the 7th.

Seattle Mariners — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Bryan Woo
3.097701453-393.86
Jose A. Ferrer
2.020011029-182.08
Cooper Criswell
2.032203136-222.77
Matt Brash(W, 2-0)
1.000001013-70.00
Andrés Muñoz(S, 5)
1.000011014-76.55

St. Louis Cardinals — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Matthew Liberatore
3.185513364-474.75
Gordon Graceffo
0.22110006-41.26
Justin Bruihl(H, 5)
1.000000013-95.02
George Soriano(BS, 1)
1.021101015-124.76
Ryne Stanek
0.210000010-78.44
JoJo Romero
0.222200012-73.55
Riley O'Brien(L, 3-1)(BS, 2)
1.042211039-271.26
Matt Svanson
0.200011018-910.54

比賽資訊

裁判: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: John Bacon; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Edwin Moscoso
球場: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
天氣: 73°F, Sunny
風: 6 mph, In From LF

Seattle Mariners — 新聞

St. Louis Cardinals — 新聞

賽季對比

Mariners
STAT
Cardinals
33-30 戰績 32-28
52.4% Win % 53.3%
.524 PCT .533
267 得分 257
237 失分 269
63 比賽場次 60
L1 連勝/負 W1
8-2 最近10場 3-7
19-16 主場戰績 16-16
14-14 客場戰績 16-12

交手記錄

2
最近 2 次交手
0
四月 26
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals
四月 24
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals

Mariners 近期

六月 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
六月 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
六月 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
五月 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
五月 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W

Cardinals 近期

六月 3 vs Rangers 3-5 W
六月 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
六月 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
五月 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
五月 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L

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