返回比赛 星期六, 四月 25, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals — 四月 25, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
73°F, Sunny
6 mph, In From LF
W Matt Brash L Riley O'Brien SV Andrés Muñoz

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 11 19 0
Cardinals 2 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 9 14 0

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 5
Cardinals 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 4
Confidence: 67% Mariners favored
This afternoon tilt at Busch Stadium features a fascinating pitching contrast that should dictate the game's flow. Bryan Woo enters with pristine peripherals - a microscopic 0.88 WHIP and excellent 7.31 K/9 rate - making him one of baseball's most promising young arms. His four-seam fastball averaging 95.5 mph paired with a devastating splitter has kept hitters off balance through five starts. Meanwhile, Matthew Liberatore continues searching for consistency, showing flashes of brilliance but struggling with command (3.33 BB/9) that has plagued him throughout his development. The offensive matchups heavily favor Seattle's approach against Liberatore's left-handed offerings. Randy Arozarena has been locked in early this season (.290 average) and historically punishes southpaws who struggle with the strike zone. Jordan Walker presents the Cardinals' primary threat with eight home runs already, but Woo's ability to command the zone and mix speeds effectively should neutralize St. Louis' power surge that torched Houston's pitching staff last series. Seattle's road woes (2-8 away record) create the primary concern for backing the Mariners, but their recent momentum from yesterday's 3-2 victory and superior starting pitching matchup outweigh venue disadvantage. The Cardinals' two-game skid, combined with Liberatore's pedestrian 5.33 K/9 rate against a patient Seattle lineup, suggests continued offensive struggles. Weather conditions are ideal for hitting, but Woo's precision should keep runs at a premium early before bullpen chess matches determine the outcome.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both starters vulnerable first time through order
Middle (4-6) 2R Pitchers settle in, defense tightens up
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battles, clutch hitting opportunities

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power surge (8 HR)
Home field advantage at Busch
Recent offensive explosions vs Houston
Liberatore's inconsistent command (3.33 BB/9)
Two-game losing streak momentum

Mariners

Bryan Woo's elite control (0.88 WHIP)
Randy Arozarena's clutch hitting (.290)
Fresh off yesterday's 3-2 victory
Terrible road record (2-8)
Missing key pieces (Bryce Miller, Victor Robles)

Risk Factors

Seattle's road struggles could continue
Liberatore's walk issues in crucial spots

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Bryan Woo batter Walker mashing fastballs, Woo throws 70% heat
Randy Arozarena vs Matthew Liberatore batter Arozarena excels vs LHP with command issues

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mariners 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Bryan Woo establishes his dominance early, pumping 96-97 mph fastballs past Jordan Walker and Victor Scott II in the first inning before Arozarena singles home the game's first run on a Liberatore changeup left over the plate. The Cardinals answer in the second when Walker launches a solo blast to left field, his ninth of the season, capitalizing on Woo's only mistake pitch. The third inning proves pivotal as Liberatore's command issues surface - consecutive walks load the bases before Brendan Donovan drives home two with a clutch double down the line, extending Seattle's lead to 3-1. Both starters settle into a rhythm through the middle innings, with Woo showcasing his elite splitter to retire nine straight Cardinals batters. Liberatore responds by finding his slider command, working around traffic to keep the deficit manageable. The seventh inning brings fireworks as pinch-hitter JJ Wetherholt drives home two with a bases-loaded single, but Seattle immediately answers when Garver's RBI single restores their two-run cushion. The eighth sees Arozarena add an insurance run with aggressive baserunning, ultimately proving decisive as the Mariners escape St. Louis with their second consecutive victory, 5-4.
Moderate confidence reflects Bryan Woo's clear pitching advantage over Liberatore, but Seattle's brutal road record (2-8) and St. Louis' home-field edge create legitimate concerns about backing the away side.
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Seattle Mariners — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Connor Joe
RF .20002.273.200
Cal Raleigh
DH .202514.290.376
Julio Rodríguez
CF .250210.336.333
Josh Naylor
1B .208311.283.317
Randy Arozarena
LF .287211.373.426
J.P. Crawford
SS .19716.361.288
Mitch Garver
C .20700.324.241
Cole Young
2B .255313.342.398
Leo Rivas
3B .15407.273.200

St. Louis Cardinals — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .240412.370.385
Iván Herrera
DH .237413.400.409
Alec Burleson
1B .255317.339.408
Jordan Walker
RF .278816.346.567
Nolan Gorman
3B .224315.299.353
Masyn Winn
SS .278112.363.405
Nathan Church
LF .254412.300.460
Yohel Pozo
C .12503.125.188
Victor Scott II
CF .20004.254.215

得分记录

1
Julio Rodríguez homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Cal Raleigh scores.
2-0
1
JJ Wetherholt homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.
2-1
1
Iván Herrera homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.
2-2
2
Will Wilson homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Mitch Garver scores.
4-2
2
Nathan Church homers (3) on a line drive to right center field.
4-3
3
Masyn Winn singles on a fly ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Jordan Walker scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.
4-4
3
Nathan Church out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nolan Gorman scores. Masyn Winn to 2nd.
4-5
3
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Pedro Pagés homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Masyn Winn scores.
4-7
4
Cole Young homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.
5-7
5
Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Julio Rodríguez scores.
6-7
6
Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Cole Young scores.
7-7
7
Nathan Church homers (4) on a line drive to right center field. Masyn Winn scores.
7-9
8
Connor Joe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young scores.
9-9
9
Leo Rivas singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. J.P. Crawford scores. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young to 2nd.
11-9

Seattle Mariners — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Connor JoeRF
2012000.200.473
Cal RaleighDH
5120110.202.666
Julio RodríguezCF
6232011.250.669
Josh Naylor1B
5020010.208.600
Randy ArozarenaLF
4011000.287.799
J.P. CrawfordSS
4110100.197.649
Mitch GarverC
4320100.207.565
Cole Young2B
4331011.255.740
Leo Rivas3B
1012000.154.473
总计42111911363
BATTING
2B: Arozarena (8, Liberatore); Young (3, Soriano, G).
HR: Rodríguez, J (2, 1st inning off Liberatore, 1 on, 1 out); Wilson, W (1, 2nd inning off Liberatore, 1 on, 1 out); Young (3, 4th inning off Liberatore, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arozarena 2; Canzone; Crawford, J; Garver 2; Joe; Naylor, J 2; Raleigh 2; Refsnyder; Rivas; Rodríguez, J 6; Wilson, W 4; Young 7.
RBI: Arozarena (11); Canzone (12); Joe 2 (2); Rivas 2 (7); Rodríguez, J 2 (10); Wilson, W 2 (2); Young (13).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rodríguez, J 2; Naylor, J; Crawford, J 2; Garver.
SAC: Rivas.
SF: Arozarena.
GIDP: Raleigh.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Arozarena (7, 3rd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P); Naylor, J 2 (4, 2nd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P, 2nd base off Stanek/Pagés, P); Rodríguez, J (3, 2nd base off Bruihl/Pagés, P).
CS: Raleigh (1, 2nd base by Liberatore/Pagés, P).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Crawford, J-Young-Naylor, J; Naylor, J-Crawford, J).
a-Singled for Wilson, W in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Refsnyder in the 6th.
c-Singled for Raley, L in the 8th.

St. Louis Cardinals — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
5131001.240.755
Iván HerreraDH
3111011.237.809
Alec Burleson1B
5000010.255.747
Jordan WalkerRF
4110020.278.913
Nolan Gorman3B
4110110.224.652
Masyn WinnSS
5221010.278.768
Nathan ChurchLF
4224002.254.760
Yohel PozoC
0000000.125.313
Victor Scott IICF
4010010.200.469
总计379149275
BATTING
HR: Wetherholt (4, 1st inning off Woo, 0 on, 0 out); Herrera (4, 1st inning off Woo, 0 on, 0 out); Church 2 (4, 2nd inning off Woo, 0 on, 1 out, 7th inning off Criswell, C, 1 on, 1 out); Pagés, P (2, 3rd inning off Woo, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Church 8; Gorman; Herrera 4; Pagés, P 6; Scott II; Walker, J; Wetherholt 6; Winn 2.
RBI: Church 4 (12); Herrera (13); Pagés, P 2 (7); Wetherholt (12); Winn (12).
2-out RBI: Pagés, P 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gorman; Wetherholt; Herrera.
SF: Church.
GIDP: Church; Walker, J.
Team RISP: 3-for-9.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Pagés, P (2, 2nd base off Woo/Garver).
CS: Walker, J (1, 2nd base by Brash/Garver).
FIELDING
DP: (Burleson-Winn-Graceffo).
1-Ran for Pagés, P in the 7th.

Seattle Mariners — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Bryan Woo
3.097701453-393.86
Jose A. Ferrer
2.020011029-182.08
Cooper Criswell
2.032203136-222.77
Matt Brash(W, 2-0)
1.000001013-70.00
Andrés Muñoz(S, 5)
1.000011014-76.55

St. Louis Cardinals — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Matthew Liberatore
3.185513364-474.75
Gordon Graceffo
0.22110006-41.26
Justin Bruihl(H, 5)
1.000000013-95.02
George Soriano(BS, 1)
1.021101015-124.76
Ryne Stanek
0.210000010-78.44
JoJo Romero
0.222200012-73.55
Riley O'Brien(L, 3-1)(BS, 2)
1.042211039-271.26
Matt Svanson
0.200011018-910.54

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: John Bacon; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Edwin Moscoso
球场: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
天气: 73°F, Sunny
风: 6 mph, In From LF

Seattle Mariners — 新闻

St. Louis Cardinals — 新闻

赛季对比

Mariners
STAT
Cardinals
33-30 战绩 32-28
52.4% Win % 53.3%
.524 PCT .533
267 得分 257
237 失分 269
63 比赛场次 60
L1 连胜/负 W1
8-2 最近10场 3-7
19-16 主场战绩 16-16
14-14 客场战绩 16-12

交手记录

2
最近 2 次交手
0
四月 26
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals
四月 24
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals

Mariners 近期

六月 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
六月 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
六月 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
五月 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
五月 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W

Cardinals 近期

六月 3 vs Rangers 3-5 W
六月 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
六月 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
五月 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
五月 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L

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