Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 五月 29, 2026 | AI 預測與數據
計分板
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
|
|
1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 6 | 1 |
AI預測神經網路預測
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
|
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Confidence: 72%
Dodgers favored
這場比賽在Zack Wheeler的已證實統治力與Justin Wrobleski的有前景但未測試的才能之間呈現出迷人的對比。Wheeler以微小的1.67 ERA進場,一直是費城輪轉的支柱,而Wrobleski代表了道奇隊投球發展的未來。速度數據顯示Wheeler以95+英里快速球和多樣的配球維持精英實力,而Wrobleski的90-94英里配置主要依賴滑球和控制。由大谷翔平的9支本壘打和Teoscar Hernández的31分打點領導的道奇隊進攻火力,相比於坐在-17分差的費城掙扎進攻提供了顯著優勢。洛杉磯一直火熱,連贏五場並在該期間以40-16的比分超過對手,而費城在56場比賽中僅得到223分。關鍵是Wheeler是否能在費城進攻對新秀Wrobleski得分時足夠長時間地駕馭道奇隊的陣容。儘管有傷病問題,牛棚優勢明顯傾向洛杉磯,因為費城的救援投手一直不穩定。道奇隊在63度、晴空和最小風力的主場環境創造了應該有利於更有才華的陣容的中立條件。
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
1R
Wheeler的精確性vs Wrobleski的缺乏經驗有利於低得分開局
Middle (4-6)
3R
道奇隊的力量在中局突破Wheeler
Late (7-9)
2R
牛棚限制傷害但道奇隊增加保險跑分
Matchup Analysis
Dodgers
與Ohtani和Hernández的精英進攻火力
強主場紀錄(18-10)
五場連勝的動力
Wrobleski對精英競爭的缺乏經驗
重大投球傷病耗盡深度
Phillies
Zack Wheeler的主導1.67 ERA
堅實的客場紀錄(15-11)
三場連勝
掙扎進攻(-17分差)
傷病導致的較弱牛棚選項
進攻不一致性差
Risk Factors
Wheeler的精英表現可能占優勢
Wrobleski在高壓情況下的缺乏經驗
Key Matchups
Shohei Ohtani
vs
Zack Wheeler
even
MVP才能vs王牌投手經典對決
Teoscar Hernández
vs
Zack Wheeler
batter
Hernández的火熱表現vs Wheeler偶發的全壘打問題
Brandon Marsh
vs
Justin Wrobleski
batter
經驗豐富的打者vs新秀投手在大時刻
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Phillies
58%
Strikeouts
16
14-19
Total Runs
6
5-8
Game Preview
Wheeler將強勢開局,使用他的四縫線快速球和毀滅性的掃球在第一局連續退出道奇隊。Wrobleski將表現早期緊張,在第二局開場時先發行走Trea Turner,然後允許Brandon Marsh的一支RBI安打。比賽在早局演變為投手決鬥,Wheeler展示了他為何擁有1.67 ERA。轉折點來自第五局,當道奇隊終於破解Wheeler的謎題時。大谷翔平將獲得開場行走,Teoscar Hernández將跟進一支關鍵的雙壘安打打入空隙。Wrobleski信心增長,將與Wheeler在第四局前零對零匹配,然後在第五局允許Nick Castellanos的單支全壘打將劣勢縮小到一分。道奇隊將在第七局在Will Smith以一支安全飛球送回Kyle Tucker時增加保險,Tucker在Wheeler的失誤球上到達。費城的牛棚將難以控制道奇隊的深度,而洛杉磯的救援投手將在最後兩局鎖定以確保4-2的勝利。這場比賽體現了球隊進攻能力的差異,因為道奇隊的耐心方法和力量最終磨損甚至像Wheeler這樣的精英投手。
信心水平坐在72%,因為陣容之間有明顯的人才差距和道奇隊的優越近期表現。雖然Wheeler是一位精英投手,但洛杉磯的進攻火力組合和Wrobleski對費城軟弱進攻的高質量開局潛力為主隊提供了多條通向勝利的道路。
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Philadelphia Phillies — 陣容
| 球員 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber |
DH | .238 | 22 | 39 | .351 | .612 |
Trea Turner |
SS | .222 | 7 | 19 | .274 | .352 |
Bryce Harper |
1B | .261 | 13 | 33 | .354 | .512 |
Alec Bohm |
3B | .207 | 5 | 23 | .268 | .321 |
Bryson Stott |
2B | .222 | 5 | 25 | .270 | .375 |
J.T. Realmuto |
C | .228 | 2 | 9 | .299 | .309 |
Brandon Marsh |
LF | .326 | 5 | 24 | .355 | .484 |
Adolis García |
RF | .198 | 4 | 15 | .283 | .307 |
Steward Berroa |
CF | .333 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .333 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — 陣容
| 球員 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani |
DH | .279 | 10 | 31 | .406 | .503 |
Andy Pages |
CF | .297 | 13 | 50 | .345 | .538 |
Freddie Freeman |
1B | .271 | 8 | 27 | .366 | .473 |
Mookie Betts |
SS | .176 | 6 | 15 | .232 | .396 |
Kyle Tucker |
RF | .241 | 4 | 26 | .341 | .392 |
Max Muncy |
3B | .253 | 13 | 20 | .355 | .518 |
Will Smith |
C | .255 | 6 | 23 | .337 | .395 |
Alex Call |
LF | .283 | 0 | 10 | .409 | .358 |
Miguel Rojas |
2B | .262 | 1 | 9 | .312 | .345 |
得分紀錄
▼ 1
Freddie Freeman homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.
0-1
▼ 2
Max Muncy homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-2
▼ 3
Shohei Ohtani homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.
0-3
▼ 5
Will Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-4
▲ 6
Kyle Schwarber homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.
1-4
▲ 8
Steward Berroa singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Brandon Marsh scores.
2-4
Philadelphia Phillies — 打擊
| 球員 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle SchwarberDH |
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .238 | .963 |
Trea TurnerSS |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .626 |
Bryce Harper1B |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .261 | .866 |
Alec Bohm3B |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .589 |
Bryson Stott2B |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .645 |
J.T. RealmutoC |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .228 | .608 |
Brandon MarshLF |
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .326 | .839 |
Adolis GarcíaRF |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .590 |
Steward BerroaCF |
3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 總計 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
BATTING
2B: Marsh (10, Henriquez, E).
HR: Schwarber (22, 6th inning off Wrobleski, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Berroa; Marsh 2; Schwarber 4.
RBI: Berroa (1); Schwarber (39).
2-out RBI: Schwarber; Berroa.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Bohm.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
DP: (Stott-Turner-Harper, B).
Los Angeles Dodgers — 打擊
| 球員 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shohei OhtaniDH |
4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .279 | .909 |
Andy PagesCF |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .297 | .883 |
Freddie Freeman1B |
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .271 | .839 |
Mookie BettsSS |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .176 | .628 |
Kyle TuckerRF |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .241 | .733 |
Max Muncy3B |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .253 | .873 |
Will SmithC |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .255 | .732 |
Alex CallLF |
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .283 | .767 |
Miguel Rojas2B |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .262 | .657 |
| 總計 | 29 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
BATTING
HR: Freeman, F (8, 1st inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 2 out); Muncy (13, 2nd inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 1 out); Ohtani (10, 3rd inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 1 out); Smith, W (6, 5th inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Freeman, F 4; Muncy 4; Ohtani 6; Smith, W 4.
RBI: Freeman, F (27); Muncy (20); Ohtani (31); Smith, W (23).
2-out RBI: Freeman, F.
GIDP: Freeland, A.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
E: Tucker (1, fielding).
a-Popped out for Freeland, A in the 8th.
Philadelphia Phillies — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zack Wheeler(L, 4-1) |
6.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 90-56 | 2.27 |
Tim Mayza |
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25-15 | 3.62 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Justin Wrobleski(W, 7-2) |
7.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 88-63 | 2.87 |
Edgardo Henriquez(H, 3) |
0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-6 | 3.60 |
Alex Vesia(H, 7) |
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-3 | 2.37 |
Tanner Scott(S, 5) |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-11 | 1.14 |
比賽資訊
裁判: Home Plate: Steven Jaschinski; First Base: James Hoye; Second Base: Sean Barber; Third Base: D.J. Reyburn
球場: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
天氣: 66°F, Clear
風: 8 mph, L To R
Los Angeles Dodgers — 新聞
賽季對比
STAT
Dodgers
31-29
戰績
39-22
51.7%
Win %
63.9%
.517
PCT
.639
233
得分
321
258
失分
194
60
比賽場次
61
W1
連勝/負
W1
6-4
最近10場
8-2
15-16
主場戰績
20-11
16-13
客場戰績
19-11
交手記錄
1
五月 31
Phillies
1 - 9
Dodgers
五月 30
Phillies
4 - 3
Dodgers
Phillies 近期
六月 2
vs Padres
2-3
W
五月 31
@ Dodgers
1-9
L
五月 30
@ Dodgers
4-3
W
五月 27
@ Padres
3-0
W
五月 26
@ Padres
4-3
W
Dodgers 近期
六月 2
@ Diamondbacks
6-5
W
六月 1
@ Diamondbacks
1-4
L
五月 31
vs Phillies
1-9
W
五月 30
vs Phillies
4-3
L
五月 27
vs Rockies
1-4
W





















