Takaisin peleihin Perjantai, Tou 29, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Tou 29, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
66°F, Clear
8 mph, L To R
W Justin Wrobleski L Zack Wheeler SV Tanner Scott

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Phillies 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 3 0
Dodgers 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 - 4 6 1

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Phillies 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Dodgers 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Dodgers favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between Zack Wheeler's proven dominance and Justin Wrobleski's promising but untested talent. Wheeler enters with a microscopic 1.67 ERA and has been the anchor of Philadelphia's rotation, while Wrobleski represents the future of the Dodgers' pitching development. The velocity data shows Wheeler maintaining his elite stuff with 95+ mph fastballs and diverse pitch mix, while Wrobleski's 90-94 mph repertoire relies heavily on his slider and command. The Dodgers' offensive firepower, led by Shohei Ohtani's 9 homers and Teoscar Hernández's 31 RBIs, provides a significant advantage over Philadelphia's struggling offense that sits at -17 run differential. Los Angeles has been scorching hot, winning five straight and outscoring opponents 40-16 in that span, while the Phillies have managed just 223 runs in 56 games. The key will be whether Wheeler can navigate the Dodgers' deep lineup long enough for Philadelphia's offense to scratch across runs against the rookie Wrobleski. The bullpen advantage clearly favors Los Angeles, despite their injury concerns, as Philadelphia's relief corps has been inconsistent. The Dodgers' home environment at 63 degrees with clear skies and minimal wind creates neutral conditions that should favor the more talented lineup.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Wheeler's precision vs Wrobleski's inexperience favors low-scoring start
Middle (4-6) 3R Dodgers' power breaks through Wheeler in middle innings
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens limit damage but Dodgers add insurance run

Matchup Analysis

Dodgers

Elite offensive firepower with Ohtani and Hernández
Strong home record (18-10)
Five-game winning streak momentum
Wrobleski's inexperience against elite competition
Significant pitching injuries depleting depth

Phillies

Zack Wheeler's dominant 1.67 ERA
Solid road record (15-11)
Three-game winning streak
Struggling offense (-17 run differential)
Weaker bullpen options with injuries
Poor offensive consistency

Risk Factors

Wheeler's elite form could dominate
Wrobleski's inexperience in pressure situations

Key Matchups

Shohei Ohtani vs Zack Wheeler even MVP talent vs ace pitcher classic showdown
Teoscar Hernández vs Zack Wheeler batter Hernández's hot streak vs Wheeler's occasional home run issues
Brandon Marsh vs Justin Wrobleski batter Experienced hitter vs rookie pitcher in big spot

Statistical Edges

First to Score Phillies 58%
Strikeouts 16 14-19
Total Runs 6 5-8

Game Preview

Wheeler will start strong, using his four-seam fastball and devastating sweeper to retire the Dodgers in order in the first inning. Wrobleski will show early nerves, walking Trea Turner to lead off the second before allowing an RBI single to Brandon Marsh. The game settles into a pitcher's duel through the early innings, with Wheeler showcasing why he owns a 1.67 ERA. The turning point comes in the fifth inning when the Dodgers finally solve Wheeler's puzzle. Shohei Ohtani will work a leadoff walk, and Teoscar Hernández will follow with a clutch two-run double into the gap. Wrobleski, growing in confidence, will match Wheeler zero for zero through the fourth before allowing a solo shot to Nick Castellanos in the fifth to cut the deficit to one. The Dodgers will add insurance in the seventh when Will Smith drives home Kyle Tucker with a sacrifice fly after Tucker reaches on a Wheeler mistake pitch. Philadelphia's bullpen will struggle to contain the Dodgers' depth, while Los Angeles' relievers will lock down the final two frames to secure a 4-2 victory. The game exemplifies the difference between the teams' offensive capabilities, as the Dodgers' patient approach and power eventually wear down even an elite pitcher like Wheeler.
The confidence level sits at 72% due to the clear talent gap between the lineups and the Dodgers' superior recent form. While Wheeler is an elite pitcher, the combination of Los Angeles' offensive firepower and Wrobleski's potential for a quality start against Philadelphia's weak offense provides multiple paths to victory for the home team.
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Philadelphia Phillies — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kyle Schwarber
DH .2382239.351.612
Trea Turner
SS .222719.274.352
Bryce Harper
1B .2611333.354.512
Alec Bohm
3B .207523.268.321
Bryson Stott
2B .222525.270.375
J.T. Realmuto
C .22829.299.309
Brandon Marsh
LF .326524.355.484
Adolis García
RF .198415.283.307
Steward Berroa
CF .33301.333.333

Los Angeles Dodgers — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani
DH .2791031.406.503
Andy Pages
CF .2971350.345.538
Freddie Freeman
1B .271827.366.473
Mookie Betts
SS .176615.232.396
Kyle Tucker
RF .241426.341.392
Max Muncy
3B .2531320.355.518
Will Smith
C .255623.337.395
Alex Call
LF .283010.409.358
Miguel Rojas
2B .26219.312.345

Tulosvedot

1
Freddie Freeman homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.
0-1
2
Max Muncy homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-2
3
Shohei Ohtani homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.
0-3
5
Will Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-4
6
Kyle Schwarber homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.
1-4
8
Steward Berroa singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Brandon Marsh scores.
2-4

Philadelphia Phillies — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kyle SchwarberDH
4111021.238.963
Trea TurnerSS
4000010.222.626
Bryce Harper1B
4000030.261.866
Alec Bohm3B
4000000.207.589
Bryson Stott2B
3000010.222.645
J.T. RealmutoC
3000010.228.608
Brandon MarshLF
3110020.326.839
Adolis GarcíaRF
3000000.198.590
Steward BerroaCF
3011010.333.666
Yhteensä312320111
BATTING
2B: Marsh (10, Henriquez, E).
HR: Schwarber (22, 6th inning off Wrobleski, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Berroa; Marsh 2; Schwarber 4.
RBI: Berroa (1); Schwarber (39).
2-out RBI: Schwarber; Berroa.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Bohm.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
DP: (Stott-Turner-Harper, B).

Los Angeles Dodgers — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Shohei OhtaniDH
4131011.279.909
Andy PagesCF
4000000.297.883
Freddie Freeman1B
4111001.271.839
Mookie BettsSS
3000010.176.628
Kyle TuckerRF
3000010.241.733
Max Muncy3B
3111001.253.873
Will SmithC
3111021.255.732
Alex CallLF
2000100.283.767
Miguel Rojas2B
1000000.262.657
Yhteensä29464154
BATTING
HR: Freeman, F (8, 1st inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 2 out); Muncy (13, 2nd inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 1 out); Ohtani (10, 3rd inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 1 out); Smith, W (6, 5th inning off Wheeler, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Freeman, F 4; Muncy 4; Ohtani 6; Smith, W 4.
RBI: Freeman, F (27); Muncy (20); Ohtani (31); Smith, W (23).
2-out RBI: Freeman, F.
GIDP: Freeland, A.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
E: Tucker (1, fielding).
a-Popped out for Freeland, A in the 8th.

Philadelphia Phillies — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Zack Wheeler(L, 4-1)
6.054414490-562.27
Tim Mayza
2.010001025-153.62

Los Angeles Dodgers — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Justin Wrobleski(W, 7-2)
7.011109188-632.87
Edgardo Henriquez(H, 3)
0.22110007-63.60
Alex Vesia(H, 7)
0.10000106-32.37
Tanner Scott(S, 5)
1.000001015-111.14

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Steven Jaschinski; First Base: James Hoye; Second Base: Sean Barber; Third Base: D.J. Reyburn
Stadion: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Sää: 66°F, Clear
Tuuli: 8 mph, L To R

Philadelphia Phillies — Uutiset

Los Angeles Dodgers — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Phillies
STAT
Dodgers
31-29 Tulos 39-22
51.7% Win % 63.9%
.517 PCT .639
233 Juoksuja puolesta 321
258 Juoksuja vastaan 194
60 Pelatut pelit 61
W1 Putki W1
6-4 Viimeiset 10 8-2
15-16 Kotitulos 20-11
16-13 Vierastulos 19-11

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

1
Viimeiset 2 kohtaamista
1
Tou 31
Phillies 1 - 9 Dodgers
Tou 30
Phillies 4 - 3 Dodgers

Phillies Viimeaikaiset

Kes 2 vs Padres 2-3 W
Tou 31 @ Dodgers 1-9 L
Tou 30 @ Dodgers 4-3 W
Tou 27 @ Padres 3-0 W
Tou 26 @ Padres 4-3 W

Dodgers Viimeaikaiset

Kes 2 @ Diamondbacks 6-5 W
Kes 1 @ Diamondbacks 1-4 L
Tou 31 vs Phillies 1-9 W
Tou 30 vs Phillies 4-3 L
Tou 27 vs Rockies 1-4 W

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