This matchup features two struggling teams looking to build momentum, but Miami enters with significant advantages. The Marlins have captured the first two games of this series, outscoring the Mets 6-2 while showing renewed life at home. Tyler Phillips makes his latest start for Miami, though his limited recent work (averaging just 29 pitches per outing) suggests he may not go deep into the game. His fastball sits in the mid-90s with a diverse mix including a splitter and curveball, but his inexperience at this level remains a concern against a Mets lineup anchored by Juan Soto. Christian Scott brings superior stuff to the mound for New York, featuring a plus fastball that touches 98 mph and solid secondary offerings. His recent starts show better durability than Phillips, consistently throwing 80+ pitches. However, Scott faces a Miami lineup that has found its groove lately, particularly Xavier Edwards (.309 average) and Otto Lopez (.340 average), who have provided unexpected offensive production. The Mets' injury crisis continues to decimate their roster - Francisco Lindor, Francisco Alvarez, and Luis Robert Jr. are all sidelined, forcing them to rely heavily on depth pieces and recent call-ups. Miami's bullpen situation appears more stable despite their overall struggles, while the Mets just designated closer Craig Kimbrel for assignment, creating uncertainty in late-inning situations. The weather conditions favor offense with 87-degree temperatures and clear skies, though the southeast wind at 12 mph could affect fly balls. The Marlins' two-game winning streak and superior home record (17-15 vs 11-17 road for NYM) provide additional edges in what should be a competitive but low-scoring affair between two rebuilding clubs.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Early offense from both starters settling in

Middle (4-6) 4R Phillips tires, Scott maintains effectiveness

Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens trade zeros mostly

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Strong recent momentum with 2-game sweep

Home field advantage at loanDepot park

Edwards and Lopez providing offensive spark

Phillips lacks track record

Rotation depth concerns with multiple IL pitchers

Mets

Scott's superior stuff and velocity

Juan Soto's proven bat

Better overall organizational depth

Decimated by injuries to key players

Poor road record (11-17)

Bullpen restructuring after Kimbrel DFA

Risk Factors

Phillips' inexperience could lead to early exit

Mets' injury-depleted lineup depth

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Tyler Phillips batter Elite hitter vs unproven pitcher

Xavier Edwards vs Christian Scott batter Hot hitter (.309) vs young pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 58%

Strikeouts 14 11-17

Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Christian Scott takes the mound for the Mets with their season hanging in the balance, but Miami strikes first when Xavier Edwards leads off the bottom of the first with a sharp single and comes around to score on Otto Lopez's RBI double. Scott settles in after the early damage, using his mid-90s fastball to retire the side in order in the second inning. Tyler Phillips matches Scott early, working around a Juan Soto single in the second inning by inducing a double play. The game remains quiet until the fourth, when the Marlins manufacture another run as Lopez draws a walk and scores on a Kyle Stowers sacrifice fly. Phillips begins to labor in the fifth, walking two batters before Christian Scott helps his own cause with an RBI single to cut the deficit in half. The pivotal sixth inning sees Phillips exit after loading the bases with one out. Miami's bullpen escapes the jam but not before surrendering the tying run on a Marcus Semien sacrifice fly. The Marlins respond immediately in the bottom half, with Edwards and Lopez setting the table again before a Christopher Morel two-run double puts Miami ahead 4-2. The Marlins add an insurance run in the eighth on a Brett Baty error, while the Mets manage one final run on a Soto RBI single but fall short of completing the comeback, giving Miami a satisfying series sweep.

The 67% confidence reflects Miami's strong recent form and home-field advantage, but acknowledges Phillips' inexperience and the Mets' talent edge on paper despite their injuries. The series momentum heavily favors the Marlins.

Troliga pitchers

New York Mets — Trupp

Spelare	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Carson Benge	RF	.246	3	17	.305	.337
Bo Bichette	SS	.218	5	27	.266	.315
A.J. Ewing	CF	.275	1	4	.396	.400
Mark Vientos	1B	.231	6	23	.271	.394
Brett Baty	3B	.236	3	21	.311	.350
Marcus Semien	2B	.214	3	18	.263	.297
Nick Morabito	DH	.000	0	0	.125	.000
Tyrone Taylor	LF	.189	3	14	.214	.326
Luis Torrens	C	.195	0	11	.262	.273

Miami Marlins — Trupp

Spelare	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Liam Hicks	C	.275	11	44	.346	.497
Xavier Edwards	2B	.313	6	19	.395	.478
Heriberto Hernández	LF	.193	2	17	.287	.284
Kyle Stowers	RF	.205	3	8	.299	.330
Otto Lopez	SS	.337	4	21	.367	.481
Jakob Marsee	CF	.198	3	14	.320	.305
Graham Pauley	1B	.175	1	9	.224	.288
Esteury Ruiz	PR	.216	2	5	.231	.514
Javier Sanoja	3B	.262	1	18	.319	.364

Poängsituationer

▼ 9

Heriberto Hernández hits a grand slam (2) to center field. Esteury Ruiz scores. Liam Hicks scores. Xavier Edwards scores.

0-4

New York Mets — Slagstatistik

Spelare	AB	H	BB	K	AVG	OPS
Carson BengeRF	4	0	1	2	.246	.642
Bo BichetteSS	4	1	0	1	.218	.581
A.J. EwingCF	4	2	0	1	.275	.796
Mark Vientos1B	4	0	0	0	.231	.665
Brett Baty3B	3	1	1	2	.236	.661
Marcus Semien2B	4	0	0	0	.214	.560
Nick MorabitoDH	0	0	0	0	.000	.125
Tyrone TaylorLF	3	0	1	0	.189	.540
Luis TorrensC	1	0	1	0	.195	.535
Totalt	31	5	5	8

BATTING

TB: Baty; Bichette; Ewing 2; Melendez, M.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Ewing; Benge; Taylor, T; Senger; Vientos 2.

GIDP: Semien.

Team RISP: 0-for-8.

Team LOB: 10.

BASERUNNING

SB: Ewing (3, 2nd base off Phillips/Hicks, L); Benge (9, 2nd base off Bender/Hicks, L).

CS: Morabito (1, 2nd base by Fairbanks/Hicks, L).

FIELDING

Outfield assists: Ewing (Sanoja at home).

a-Lined out for Senger in the 7th.

1-Ran for Melendez, M in the 9th.

Miami Marlins — Slagstatistik

Spelare	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Liam HicksC	2	1	0	0	3	0	0	.275	.843
Xavier Edwards2B	3	1	2	0	2	0	0	.313	.873
Heriberto HernándezLF	2	1	2	4	0	0	1	.193	.571
Kyle StowersRF	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.205	.629
Otto LopezSS	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	.337	.848
Jakob MarseeCF	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	.198	.625
Graham Pauley1B	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	.175	.512
Esteury RuizPR	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	.216	.745
Javier Sanoja3B	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	.262	.683
Totalt	32	4	9	4	5	6	1

BATTING

2B: Edwards, X (9, Scott); Sanoja (8, Brazobán); Morel, C (3, Williams, D).

HR: Hernández, H (2, 9th inning off Williams, D, 3 on, 1 out).

TB: Edwards, X 3; Hernández, H 5; Lopez, O; Marsee; Morel, C 2; Sanoja 3.

RBI: Hernández, H 4 (17).

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja; Stowers 5.

SAC: Sanoja.

Team RISP: 3-for-10.

Team LOB: 10.

FIELDING

E: Sanoja (5, throw).

DP: (Lopez, O-Edwards, X-Pauley).

a-Singled for Caissie in the 7th.

1-Ran for Morel, C in the 9th.

New York Mets — Kaststatistik

Kastare	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Christian Scott	5.2	4	0	0	2	5	0	94-56	3.20
Huascar Brazobán	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	8-5	1.73
Brooks Raley	0.2	2	0	0	1	0	0	13-8	1.35
Luke Weaver	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	11-7	3.22
Devin Williams(L, 3-2)	0.1	2	4	4	2	0	1	14-8	6.35

Miami Marlins — Kaststatistik

Kastare	IP	H	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA
Tyler Phillips	3.2	2	2	4	59-37	1.07
Calvin Faucher	1.1	2	0	1	23-18	3.92
John King	0.2	0	1	0	13-4	2.11
Anthony Bender	1.0	0	1	0	11-6	3.38
Michael Petersen	1.1	0	0	2	17-11	3.66
Pete Fairbanks(W, 2-2)	1.0	1	1	1	16-11	7.62

Matchinfo

Domare: Home Plate: Jansen Visconti; First Base: Manny Gonzalez; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Derek Thomas

Arena: loanDepot park, Miami

Väder: 72°F, Roof Closed

Vind: 0 mph, None

New York Mets — Nyheter

George Kirby tar femte förlusten mot Mets

Kirbys ERA på 3,77 och K/9 på 7,18 förblir solid, men fyra tjänade poäng på fyra innings på onsdagen signalerar nyliga svårigheter i en säsong där han har noterat en xwOBA på 0,294. Seattle (21-40) ligger 11,5 spel efter i AL West med begränsat utrymme för rotationsineffektivitet.

George Kirby

New York Mets

Mets spelar 12 match med extra inning; tre fler än något annat lag

NYM (26-34, -14 run diff) är 4-6 de senaste 10 och 11-19 på bortaplan—match med extra inning exponerar bullpen-djup och komprimerar vila, vilket förvärrar deras redan svaga run differential. Harrison (1.57 ERA, 15 SO på 14.2 IP) möter ett MIL-lag medan Gausman (3.13 ERA, K/9 8.61) står mot Braves-starterna Elder (2.50 ERA) och Sale (2.02 ERA) i en matchup som gynnar Atlantas elit rotation.

Atlanta Braves

New York Mets

Mets väljer Cionel Perez, utser Anderson Severino

Petersons ERA på 5,57 och hans rekord på 0-4 över 5 starter motiverar rotationsdjupsrörelserna, även om Perez prestationer i Triple-A fortfarande är otillgängliga för att bedöma omedelbar påverkan. New York sitter på 24-33 med en löpdifferens på -27 och behöver rotationsstabilitet bakom Peraltas ERA på 3,54.

Anderson Severino

New York Mets

Manaea tar Petersons plats i Mets rotation

Petersons ERA på 5,57 och hans 0-4 rekord över 5 starter motiverar bytet, även om Manaea anländer med en ERA på 5,56 och ingen IP denna säsong—NYM förblir 23-33 (-29 körskillnad) i söket efter rotationsstabilitet bakom Peraltas ERA på 3,52.

Sean Manaea

New York Mets

Rays Undertecknar Utomfältsspelaren Austin Slater i Minor League-avtal

Slater (.209 AVG, .233 xwOBA 2026) ansluter sig till Tampa Bays fjärde organisation denna säsong efter att ha utmanövrerat av Mets. Rays (34-17, +38 körskillnad) lägger djup till en AL East-ledande trupp.

Austin Slater

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Mets

Miami Marlins — Nyheter

Hernández: 2 HR, 3 RBI i Marlins seger över Nationals

Hernández två home runs på kvällen bröt Miamis fyra matchs förlustsvit och gav Marlins sin första hemmavinst på fem matcher (18-15). Washingtons pitching har tillåtit 330 poäng denna säsong (värst i NL East), vilket gör deras 31-30-rekord överraskande motståndskraftig givet deras vinstprocent på 0,508.

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals

Marlins väljer Brzykcy och Zuber från Triple-A

Miami lägger till djup till en rotation som kämpar med hållbarhet (Junk 4,80 ERA, 3-5 rekord; Alcantara 4,66 ERA) medan de står 26-34 och 0-8 i bortamatcher under sina senaste fem matcher.

Miami Marlins

Marlins väljer Zach Brzykcy

Brzykcy går in i Miamis rotation som för närvarande leds av Meyer (ERA 2.97, 5-0) men är starkt beroende av Alcantara (ERA 4.66) och Junk (ERA 4.80, 3-5). Flytten tar itu med rotationsdjupet då Miami står på 26-33 med en löpskillnad på -20.

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk: Startar inte, kan hamna på IL

Junk (ERA 4,80, 3-5) lämnar Miamis rotation på söndag mot NYM; med Eury Pérez redan skadad (gracilis-sträckning), står Marlins inför djuproblem i en redan skör rotation. Miamis rotation skulle vara starkt beroende av de återstående starterna om Junk hamnar på IL.

Janson Junk

Eury Pérez

Miami Marlins

Eury Pérez missa åtta veckor med muskelöverbelastning

Pérez ERA på 4,60 och hans rekord på 3-6 gjorde honom sårbar i Miamis rotation, men hans K/9 på 10,34 över 62,2 IP lämnar Marlins svagare bakom Max Meyer (2,52 ERA, 5-0). Josh Ekness (1,69 ERA, begränsat urval) ärver en fjärde starterroles i en rotation som redan är förankrad av Meyer och Alcántara (4,66 ERA, 3-4).

Max Meyer

Eury Pérez