This matchup features two struggling teams looking to build momentum, but Miami enters with significant advantages. The Marlins have captured the first two games of this series, outscoring the Mets 6-2 while showing renewed life at home. Tyler Phillips makes his latest start for Miami, though his limited recent work (averaging just 29 pitches per outing) suggests he may not go deep into the game. His fastball sits in the mid-90s with a diverse mix including a splitter and curveball, but his inexperience at this level remains a concern against a Mets lineup anchored by Juan Soto. Christian Scott brings superior stuff to the mound for New York, featuring a plus fastball that touches 98 mph and solid secondary offerings. His recent starts show better durability than Phillips, consistently throwing 80+ pitches. However, Scott faces a Miami lineup that has found its groove lately, particularly Xavier Edwards (.309 average) and Otto Lopez (.340 average), who have provided unexpected offensive production. The Mets' injury crisis continues to decimate their roster - Francisco Lindor, Francisco Alvarez, and Luis Robert Jr. are all sidelined, forcing them to rely heavily on depth pieces and recent call-ups. Miami's bullpen situation appears more stable despite their overall struggles, while the Mets just designated closer Craig Kimbrel for assignment, creating uncertainty in late-inning situations. The weather conditions favor offense with 87-degree temperatures and clear skies, though the southeast wind at 12 mph could affect fly balls. The Marlins' two-game winning streak and superior home record (17-15 vs 11-17 road for NYM) provide additional edges in what should be a competitive but low-scoring affair between two rebuilding clubs.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Early offense from both starters settling in

Middle (4-6) 4R Phillips tires, Scott maintains effectiveness

Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens trade zeros mostly

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Strong recent momentum with 2-game sweep

Home field advantage at loanDepot park

Edwards and Lopez providing offensive spark

Phillips lacks track record

Rotation depth concerns with multiple IL pitchers

Mets

Scott's superior stuff and velocity

Juan Soto's proven bat

Better overall organizational depth

Decimated by injuries to key players

Poor road record (11-17)

Bullpen restructuring after Kimbrel DFA

Risk Factors

Phillips' inexperience could lead to early exit

Mets' injury-depleted lineup depth

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Tyler Phillips batter Elite hitter vs unproven pitcher

Xavier Edwards vs Christian Scott batter Hot hitter (.309) vs young pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 58%

Strikeouts 14 11-17

Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Christian Scott takes the mound for the Mets with their season hanging in the balance, but Miami strikes first when Xavier Edwards leads off the bottom of the first with a sharp single and comes around to score on Otto Lopez's RBI double. Scott settles in after the early damage, using his mid-90s fastball to retire the side in order in the second inning. Tyler Phillips matches Scott early, working around a Juan Soto single in the second inning by inducing a double play. The game remains quiet until the fourth, when the Marlins manufacture another run as Lopez draws a walk and scores on a Kyle Stowers sacrifice fly. Phillips begins to labor in the fifth, walking two batters before Christian Scott helps his own cause with an RBI single to cut the deficit in half. The pivotal sixth inning sees Phillips exit after loading the bases with one out. Miami's bullpen escapes the jam but not before surrendering the tying run on a Marcus Semien sacrifice fly. The Marlins respond immediately in the bottom half, with Edwards and Lopez setting the table again before a Christopher Morel two-run double puts Miami ahead 4-2. The Marlins add an insurance run in the eighth on a Brett Baty error, while the Mets manage one final run on a Soto RBI single but fall short of completing the comeback, giving Miami a satisfying series sweep.

The 67% confidence reflects Miami's strong recent form and home-field advantage, but acknowledges Phillips' inexperience and the Mets' talent edge on paper despite their injuries. The series momentum heavily favors the Marlins.

Pitcher yang Diperkirakan

New York Mets — Roster

Pemain	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Carson Benge	RF	.246	3	17	.305	.337
Bo Bichette	SS	.218	5	27	.266	.315
A.J. Ewing	CF	.275	1	4	.396	.400
Mark Vientos	1B	.231	6	23	.271	.394
Brett Baty	3B	.236	3	21	.311	.350
Marcus Semien	2B	.214	3	18	.263	.297
Nick Morabito	DH	.000	0	0	.125	.000
Tyrone Taylor	LF	.189	3	14	.214	.326
Luis Torrens	C	.195	0	11	.262	.273

Miami Marlins — Roster

Pemain	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Liam Hicks	C	.275	11	44	.346	.497
Xavier Edwards	2B	.313	6	19	.395	.478
Heriberto Hernández	LF	.193	2	17	.287	.284
Kyle Stowers	RF	.205	3	8	.299	.330
Otto Lopez	SS	.337	4	21	.367	.481
Jakob Marsee	CF	.198	3	14	.320	.305
Graham Pauley	1B	.175	1	9	.224	.288
Esteury Ruiz	PR	.216	2	5	.231	.514
Javier Sanoja	3B	.262	1	18	.319	.364

Permainan pencetak skor

▼ 9

Heriberto Hernández hits a grand slam (2) to center field. Esteury Ruiz scores. Liam Hicks scores. Xavier Edwards scores.

0-4

New York Mets — Pukulan

Pemain	AB	H	BB	K	AVG	OPS
Carson BengeRF	4	0	1	2	.246	.642
Bo BichetteSS	4	1	0	1	.218	.581
A.J. EwingCF	4	2	0	1	.275	.796
Mark Vientos1B	4	0	0	0	.231	.665
Brett Baty3B	3	1	1	2	.236	.661
Marcus Semien2B	4	0	0	0	.214	.560
Nick MorabitoDH	0	0	0	0	.000	.125
Tyrone TaylorLF	3	0	1	0	.189	.540
Luis TorrensC	1	0	1	0	.195	.535
Total	31	5	5	8

BATTING

TB: Baty; Bichette; Ewing 2; Melendez, M.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Ewing; Benge; Taylor, T; Senger; Vientos 2.

GIDP: Semien.

Team RISP: 0-for-8.

Team LOB: 10.

BASERUNNING

SB: Ewing (3, 2nd base off Phillips/Hicks, L); Benge (9, 2nd base off Bender/Hicks, L).

CS: Morabito (1, 2nd base by Fairbanks/Hicks, L).

FIELDING

Outfield assists: Ewing (Sanoja at home).

a-Lined out for Senger in the 7th.

1-Ran for Melendez, M in the 9th.

Miami Marlins — Pukulan

Pemain	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Liam HicksC	2	1	0	0	3	0	0	.275	.843
Xavier Edwards2B	3	1	2	0	2	0	0	.313	.873
Heriberto HernándezLF	2	1	2	4	0	0	1	.193	.571
Kyle StowersRF	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.205	.629
Otto LopezSS	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	.337	.848
Jakob MarseeCF	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	.198	.625
Graham Pauley1B	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	.175	.512
Esteury RuizPR	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	.216	.745
Javier Sanoja3B	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	.262	.683
Total	32	4	9	4	5	6	1

BATTING

2B: Edwards, X (9, Scott); Sanoja (8, Brazobán); Morel, C (3, Williams, D).

HR: Hernández, H (2, 9th inning off Williams, D, 3 on, 1 out).

TB: Edwards, X 3; Hernández, H 5; Lopez, O; Marsee; Morel, C 2; Sanoja 3.

RBI: Hernández, H 4 (17).

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja; Stowers 5.

SAC: Sanoja.

Team RISP: 3-for-10.

Team LOB: 10.

FIELDING

E: Sanoja (5, throw).

DP: (Lopez, O-Edwards, X-Pauley).

a-Singled for Caissie in the 7th.

1-Ran for Morel, C in the 9th.

New York Mets — Lemparan

Pelempar	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Christian Scott	5.2	4	0	0	2	5	0	94-56	3.20
Huascar Brazobán	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	8-5	1.73
Brooks Raley	0.2	2	0	0	1	0	0	13-8	1.35
Luke Weaver	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	11-7	3.22
Devin Williams(L, 3-2)	0.1	2	4	4	2	0	1	14-8	6.35

Miami Marlins — Lemparan

Pelempar	IP	H	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA
Tyler Phillips	3.2	2	2	4	59-37	1.07
Calvin Faucher	1.1	2	0	1	23-18	3.92
John King	0.2	0	1	0	13-4	2.11
Anthony Bender	1.0	0	1	0	11-6	3.38
Michael Petersen	1.1	0	0	2	17-11	3.66
Pete Fairbanks(W, 2-2)	1.0	1	1	1	16-11	7.62

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: Jansen Visconti; First Base: Manny Gonzalez; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Derek Thomas

Stadion: loanDepot park, Miami

Cuaca: 72°F, Roof Closed

Angin: 0 mph, None

New York Mets — Berita

George Kirby menderita kekalahan kelima melawan Mets

ERA 3,77 Kirby dan K/9 7,18 tetap solid, tetapi empat run yang diperoleh dalam empat inning Rabu menandakan kesulitan baru-baru ini di musim di mana dia telah mencatat xwOBA 0,294. Seattle (21-40) tertinggal 11,5 game di AL Barat dengan margin terbatas untuk inefisiensi rotasi.

George Kirby

New York Mets

Mets memainkan 12 pertandingan ekstendi; tiga lebih banyak dari tim lain mana pun

NYM (26-34, -14 run diff) 4-6 dalam 10 terakhir dan 11-19 di jalan—pertandingan ekstendi mengungkapkan kedalaman bullpen dan mengompresi istirahat, memperburuk selisih run mereka yang sudah lemah. Harrison (1.57 ERA, 15 SO dalam 14.2 IP) menghadapi tim MIL sementara Gausman (3.13 ERA, K/9 8.61) melawan pemain awal Braves Elder (2.50 ERA) dan Sale (2.02 ERA) dalam pertandingan yang menguntungkan rotasi elit Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves

New York Mets

Mets Memilih Cionel Perez, Menunjuk Anderson Severino

ERA 5,57 Peterson dan catatan 0-4 dalam 5 pertandingan pembuka membenarkan gerakan kedalaman rotasi, meskipun kinerja Perez di Triple-A tetap tidak tersedia untuk menilai dampak langsung. New York duduk di 24-33 dengan selisih putaran -27 dan membutuhkan stabilitas rotasi di belakang ERA 3,54 Peralta.

Anderson Severino

New York Mets

Manaea menggantikan posisi Peterson di rotasi Mets

ERA 5,57 Peterson dan rekor 0-4-nya dalam 5 awal pertandingan membenarkan pertukaran, meski Manaea tiba dengan ERA 5,56 dan tidak ada IP musim ini—NYM tetap 23-33 (-29 selisih lari) mencari stabilitas rotasi di belakang ERA 3,52 Peralta.

Sean Manaea

New York Mets

Rays Menandatangani Penabung Luar Austin Slater dalam Kesepakatan Liga Minor

Slater (.209 AVG, .233 xwOBA di 2026) bergabung dengan organisasi keempat Tampa Bay musim ini setelah dikeluarkan oleh Mets. Rays (34-17, +38 diferensial lari) menambah kedalaman ke roster yang memimpin AL East.

Austin Slater

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Mets

Miami Marlins — Berita

Hernández: 2 HR, 3 RBI dalam kemenangan Marlins atas Nationals

Malam dua home run Hernández mengakhiri kekalahan empat pertandingan Miami dan memberi Marlins kemenangan pertama mereka dalam lima pertandingan di rumah (18-15). Pitching Washington telah menghasilkan 330 poin musim ini (terburuk di NL East), membuat rekor 31-30 mereka terkesan tangguh mengingat profil persentase menang 0,508.

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals

Marlins Memilih Brzykcy dan Zuber dari Triple-A

Miami menambah kedalaman pada rotasi yang berjuang dengan daya tahan (Junk 4,80 ERA, rekor 3-5; Alcantara 4,66 ERA) sambil berada di posisi 26-34 dan 0-8 dalam pertandingan tandang di lima pertandingan terakhir mereka.

Miami Marlins

Marlins memilih Zach Brzykcy

Brzykcy memasuki rotasi Miami yang saat ini dipimpin oleh Meyer (ERA 2.97, 5-0) tetapi sangat bergantung pada Alcantara (ERA 4.66) dan Junk (ERA 4.80, 3-5). Langkah ini mengatasi kedalaman rotasi karena Miami mencatat 26-33 dengan perbedaan lari -20.

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk: Tidak akan memulai, bisa masuk IL

Junk (ERA 4,80, 3-5) keluar dari rotasi Miami hari Minggu melawan NYM; dengan Eury Pérez sudah terluka (regangan gracilis), Marlins menghadapi masalah kedalaman dalam staf yang sudah rapuh. Rotasi MIA akan sangat bergantung pada starter yang tersisa jika Junk masuk IL.

Janson Junk

Eury Pérez

Miami Marlins

Eury Pérez akan absen delapan minggu karena cedera otot paha dalam

ERA 4,60 Pérez dan rekornya 3-6 membuatnya rentan dalam rotasi Miami, tetapi K/9 10,34 miliknya dalam 62,2 IP membuat Marlins lebih lemah di belakang Max Meyer (ERA 2,52, 5-0). Josh Ekness (ERA 1,69, sampel terbatas) mewarisi peran pitcher awal keempat dalam rotasi yang sudah dikunci oleh Meyer dan Alcántara (ERA 4,66, 3-4).

Max Meyer

Eury Pérez