Back to Games Saturday, Apr 25, 2026

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — Apr 25, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
57°F, Partly Cloudy
13 mph, In From RF
W Garrett Crochet L Trevor Rogers

Scoreboard

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Red Sox 0 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 17 17 1
Orioles 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 6 3

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Red Sox 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 4
Orioles 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 7
Confidence: 72% Orioles favored
The Baltimore Orioles host the struggling Boston Red Sox in what appears to be a perfect bounce-back opportunity after yesterday's dominant 10-3 victory. Trevor Rogers takes the mound for Baltimore with a respectable 4.08 ERA, facing Garrett Crochet who has been Boston's biggest rotation concern with a bloated 7.88 ERA through 24 innings. The matchup heavily favors the Orioles, who just activated star catcher Adley Rutschman from the IL and are riding a two-game winning streak at Camden Yards. Boston enters this contest in freefall, losers of four straight and sporting the worst record in the AL East at 9-17. Their offensive struggles are well-documented, ranking among MLB's weakest with just 95 runs scored in 26 games. While Wilyer Abreu (.286, 3 HR) and Willson Contreras (.250, 4 HR) provide some pop, the lineup lacks depth and consistency. Crochet's control issues (3.38 BB/9) against an Orioles lineup featuring power threat Gunnar Henderson (7 HR despite .189 average) spell trouble for the visitors. The bullpen matchup also favors Baltimore despite their injury issues. While both teams are dealing with significant IL problems, the Orioles' depth at home gives them an edge in the middle and late innings. The overcast conditions and easterly winds at Camden Yards could keep some fly balls in play, but the 60-degree temperature is favorable for offensive production. Baltimore's recent offensive explosion suggests they've found their rhythm, making them strong favorites to extend Boston's misery.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both offenses capitalize on early mistakes
Middle (4-6) 4R Baltimore breaks through against struggling Crochet
Late (7-9) 4R Bullpen battle with Orioles depth advantage

Matchup Analysis

Orioles

Riding 2-game winning streak
Just activated Adley Rutschman
Better bullpen depth despite injuries
Missing key position players
Inconsistent offense overall

Red Sox

Crochet's high strikeout potential
Wilyer Abreu providing offensive spark
Worst record in AL East
Crochet's 7.88 ERA and control issues
Four-game losing streak

Risk Factors

Weather conditions affecting fly balls
Both starters prone to big innings

Key Matchups

Gunnar Henderson vs Garrett Crochet batter Henderson's power vs Crochet's walks
Wilyer Abreu vs Trevor Rogers batter Abreu's hot start vs Rogers' inconsistency

Statistical Edges

First to Score Red Sox 55%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 11 8-13

Game Preview

The game opens with Boston scratching across a run in the first inning as Connor Wong drives in Wilyer Abreu with a two-out single, capitalizing on Trevor Rogers' early wildness. However, Baltimore responds immediately in the second when Gunnar Henderson crushes a two-run homer to left field off Garrett Crochet, with Adley Rutschman adding an RBI single to make it 3-1 Orioles. The newly activated Rutschman looks comfortable behind the plate and provides the offensive spark Baltimore missed during his absence. Crochet's control problems continue into the fourth inning when he walks two batters and allows a two-run double to Taylor Ward, but Boston fights back with a two-run homer by Willson Contreras to keep pace at 5-3. The middle innings see both starters settle in briefly before Baltimore breaks the game open in the sixth. Henderson strikes again with a solo shot, his second of the day, and the Orioles tack on another run on a wild pitch. Boston manages a solo homer in the seventh from Abreu, but Baltimore's bullpen holds firm while adding an insurance run in the ninth on a Leody Taveras RBI single, securing a 7-4 victory that extends Boston's losing streak to five games.
High confidence based on Boston's terrible form (4-game losing streak, worst AL East record) facing a home Baltimore team that just exploded for 10 runs yesterday and activated their star catcher. Crochet's 7.88 ERA against Rogers' more stable 4.08 creates a clear pitching advantage for the Orioles.
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Boston Red Sox — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .26519.344.361
Willson Contreras
1B .250517.369.435
Wilyer Abreu
RF .297412.349.485
Marcelo Mayer
2B .22215.296.365
Andruw Monasterio
DH .24317.317.432
Jarren Duran
LF .198111.258.291
Caleb Durbin
3B .165110.260.271
Connor Wong
C .30005.382.467
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
SS .21203.257.212

Baltimore Orioles — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Taylor Ward
DH .321111.430.472
Gunnar Henderson
SS .200816.273.461
Adley Rutschman
C .340311.404.660
Pete Alonso
1B .204310.311.350
Tyler O'Neill
RF .24214.342.333
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .279519.300.477
Leody Taveras
CF .288215.400.441
Coby Mayo
3B .188311.273.362
Colton Cowser
LF .18503.262.222

Scoring Plays

2
Caleb Durbin doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Andruw Monasterio scores.
1-0
2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a line drive to left fielder Blaze Alexander. Caleb Durbin scores. Connor Wong to 3rd.
2-0
2
Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Blaze Alexander. Connor Wong scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 2nd.
3-0
4
Willson Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Blaze Alexander. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.
4-0
5
Connor Wong doubles (5) on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Trevor Story scores. Andruw Monasterio scores. Caleb Durbin scores.
7-0
7
Leody Taveras grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras. Tyler O'Neill scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 3rd.
7-1
9
Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.
8-1
9
Andruw Monasterio hits a grand slam (1) to center field. Willson Contreras scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. Trevor Story scores.
12-1
9
Caleb Durbin homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Jarren Duran scores.
14-1
9
Willson Contreras homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.
17-1

Boston Red Sox — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
5231110.265.705
Willson Contreras1B
4225111.250.804
Wilyer AbreuRF
6120000.297.834
Marcelo Mayer2B
0000000.222.661
Andruw MonasterioDH
6334001.243.749
Jarren DuranLF
5110010.198.549
Caleb Durbin3B
4323111.165.531
Connor WongC
3113200.300.849
Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
5221010.212.469
Totals44171717573
BATTING
2B: Monasterio 2 (4, Rogers, Tr, Wells, T); Durbin (6, Rogers, Tr); Wong (5, Suárez, A).
3B: Rafaela (1, Akin).
HR: Monasterio (1, 9th inning off Akin, 3 on, 0 out); Durbin (1, 9th inning off Wilson, W, 1 on, 0 out); Contreras, Wn (5, 9th inning off Wilson, W, 2 on, 1 out).
TB: Abreu, W 2; Contreras, Wn 5; Duran, Ja; Durbin 6; Kiner-Falefa 2; Monasterio 8; Rafaela 5; Story; Wong 2.
RBI: Contreras, Wn 5 (17); Durbin 3 (10); Kiner-Falefa (3); Monasterio 4 (7); Rafaela (9); Wong 3 (5).
2-out RBI: Durbin; Rafaela; Wong 3; Kiner-Falefa.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Abreu, W 2; Durbin; Kiner-Falefa.
SF: Contreras, Wn.
Team RISP: 8-for-15.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Durbin (1, 3rd base off Rogers, Tr/Rutschman); Kiner-Falefa (2, 2nd base off Suárez, A/Rutschman).
CS: Rafaela (3, 2nd base by Suárez, A/Rutschman).
FIELDING
E: Durbin (3, throw).
DP: (Durbin-Kiner-Falefa-Contreras, Wn).

Baltimore Orioles — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Taylor WardDH
3020100.321.902
Gunnar HendersonSS
4000030.200.734
Adley RutschmanC
4010000.3401.064
Pete Alonso1B
4000020.204.661
Tyler O'NeillRF
4110010.242.675
Jeremiah Jackson2B
4010010.279.777
Leody TaverasCF
3001100.288.841
Coby Mayo3B
3010000.188.635
Colton CowserLF
1000010.185.484
Totals32161290
BATTING
2B: Mayo (3, Crochet).
TB: Jackson, J; Mayo 2; O'Neill; Rutschman; Ward 2.
RBI: Taveras, L (15).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Henderson; Alonso; Cowser.
GIDP: Alonso.
Team RISP: 0-for-8.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Rutschman (3, throw); Jackson, J (2, fielding); Mayo (2, throw).
a-Struck out for Alexander in the 7th.

Boston Red Sox — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Garrett Crochet(W, 3-3)
6.030027090-576.30
Greg Weissert
1.021001021-144.22
Danny Coulombe
1.010001015-116.14
Tyler Samaniego
1.000000012-80.00

Baltimore Orioles — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Trevor Rogers(L, 2-3)
1.243322062-384.75
Tyler Wells
1.110001023-153.38
Albert Suárez
4.024032059-343.46
Keegan Akin
1.066602132-2354.00
Weston Wilson
1.044400225-1636.00

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Andy Fletcher; First Base: Alex Tosi; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Jansen Visconti
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Weather: 57°F, Partly Cloudy
Wind: 13 mph, In From RF

Boston Red Sox — News

Season Comparison

Red Sox
STAT
Orioles
26-34 Record 29-33
43.3% Win % 46.8%
.433 PCT .468
241 Runs For 280
241 Runs Against 323
60 Games Played 62
W1 Streak L1
4-6 Last 10 6-4
10-20 Home Record 19-15
16-14 Away Record 10-18

Head to Head

2
Last 4 meetings
2
Jun 3
Orioles 1 - 8 Red Sox
Jun 2
Orioles 4 - 2 Red Sox
Apr 26
Red Sox 5 - 3 Orioles
Apr 24
Red Sox 3 - 10 Orioles

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May 29 @ Guardians 3-4 L

Orioles Recent

Jun 3 @ Red Sox 1-8 L
Jun 2 @ Red Sox 4-2 W
May 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
May 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W
May 29 vs Blue Jays 6-5 L

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