Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — 四月 25, 2026 | AI 预测与数据
记分板
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 1 |
|
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
AI预测神经网络预测
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
|
0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
Confidence: 72%
Orioles favored
The Baltimore Orioles host the struggling Boston Red Sox in what appears to be a perfect bounce-back opportunity after yesterday's dominant 10-3 victory. Trevor Rogers takes the mound for Baltimore with a respectable 4.08 ERA, facing Garrett Crochet who has been Boston's biggest rotation concern with a bloated 7.88 ERA through 24 innings. The matchup heavily favors the Orioles, who just activated star catcher Adley Rutschman from the IL and are riding a two-game winning streak at Camden Yards.
Boston enters this contest in freefall, losers of four straight and sporting the worst record in the AL East at 9-17. Their offensive struggles are well-documented, ranking among MLB's weakest with just 95 runs scored in 26 games. While Wilyer Abreu (.286, 3 HR) and Willson Contreras (.250, 4 HR) provide some pop, the lineup lacks depth and consistency. Crochet's control issues (3.38 BB/9) against an Orioles lineup featuring power threat Gunnar Henderson (7 HR despite .189 average) spell trouble for the visitors.
The bullpen matchup also favors Baltimore despite their injury issues. While both teams are dealing with significant IL problems, the Orioles' depth at home gives them an edge in the middle and late innings. The overcast conditions and easterly winds at Camden Yards could keep some fly balls in play, but the 60-degree temperature is favorable for offensive production. Baltimore's recent offensive explosion suggests they've found their rhythm, making them strong favorites to extend Boston's misery.
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
3R
Both offenses capitalize on early mistakes
Middle (4-6)
4R
Baltimore breaks through against struggling Crochet
Late (7-9)
4R
Bullpen battle with Orioles depth advantage
Matchup Analysis
Orioles
Riding 2-game winning streak
Just activated Adley Rutschman
Better bullpen depth despite injuries
Missing key position players
Inconsistent offense overall
Red Sox
Crochet's high strikeout potential
Wilyer Abreu providing offensive spark
Worst record in AL East
Crochet's 7.88 ERA and control issues
Four-game losing streak
Risk Factors
Weather conditions affecting fly balls
Both starters prone to big innings
Key Matchups
Gunnar Henderson
vs
Garrett Crochet
batter
Henderson's power vs Crochet's walks
Wilyer Abreu
vs
Trevor Rogers
batter
Abreu's hot start vs Rogers' inconsistency
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Red Sox
55%
Strikeouts
14
11-17
Total Runs
11
8-13
Game Preview
The game opens with Boston scratching across a run in the first inning as Connor Wong drives in Wilyer Abreu with a two-out single, capitalizing on Trevor Rogers' early wildness. However, Baltimore responds immediately in the second when Gunnar Henderson crushes a two-run homer to left field off Garrett Crochet, with Adley Rutschman adding an RBI single to make it 3-1 Orioles. The newly activated Rutschman looks comfortable behind the plate and provides the offensive spark Baltimore missed during his absence.
Crochet's control problems continue into the fourth inning when he walks two batters and allows a two-run double to Taylor Ward, but Boston fights back with a two-run homer by Willson Contreras to keep pace at 5-3. The middle innings see both starters settle in briefly before Baltimore breaks the game open in the sixth. Henderson strikes again with a solo shot, his second of the day, and the Orioles tack on another run on a wild pitch. Boston manages a solo homer in the seventh from Abreu, but Baltimore's bullpen holds firm while adding an insurance run in the ninth on a Leody Taveras RBI single, securing a 7-4 victory that extends Boston's losing streak to five games.
High confidence based on Boston's terrible form (4-game losing streak, worst AL East record) facing a home Baltimore team that just exploded for 10 runs yesterday and activated their star catcher. Crochet's 7.88 ERA against Rogers' more stable 4.08 creates a clear pitching advantage for the Orioles.
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Boston Red Sox — 阵容
| 球员 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ceddanne Rafaela |
CF | .265 | 1 | 9 | .344 | .361 |
Willson Contreras |
1B | .250 | 5 | 17 | .369 | .435 |
Wilyer Abreu |
RF | .297 | 4 | 12 | .349 | .485 |
Marcelo Mayer |
2B | .222 | 1 | 5 | .296 | .365 |
Andruw Monasterio |
DH | .243 | 1 | 7 | .317 | .432 |
Jarren Duran |
LF | .198 | 1 | 11 | .258 | .291 |
Caleb Durbin |
3B | .165 | 1 | 10 | .260 | .271 |
Connor Wong |
C | .300 | 0 | 5 | .382 | .467 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa |
SS | .212 | 0 | 3 | .257 | .212 |
Baltimore Orioles — 阵容
| 球员 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taylor Ward |
DH | .321 | 1 | 11 | .430 | .472 |
Gunnar Henderson |
SS | .200 | 8 | 16 | .273 | .461 |
Adley Rutschman |
C | .340 | 3 | 11 | .404 | .660 |
Pete Alonso |
1B | .204 | 3 | 10 | .311 | .350 |
Tyler O'Neill |
RF | .242 | 1 | 4 | .342 | .333 |
Jeremiah Jackson |
2B | .279 | 5 | 19 | .300 | .477 |
Leody Taveras |
CF | .288 | 2 | 15 | .400 | .441 |
Coby Mayo |
3B | .188 | 3 | 11 | .273 | .362 |
Colton Cowser |
LF | .185 | 0 | 3 | .262 | .222 |
得分记录
▲ 2
Caleb Durbin doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Andruw Monasterio scores.
1-0
▲ 2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a line drive to left fielder Blaze Alexander. Caleb Durbin scores. Connor Wong to 3rd.
2-0
▲ 2
Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Blaze Alexander. Connor Wong scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 2nd.
3-0
▲ 4
Willson Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Blaze Alexander. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.
4-0
▲ 5
Connor Wong doubles (5) on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Trevor Story scores. Andruw Monasterio scores. Caleb Durbin scores.
7-0
▼ 7
Leody Taveras grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras. Tyler O'Neill scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 3rd.
7-1
▲ 9
Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.
8-1
▲ 9
Andruw Monasterio hits a grand slam (1) to center field. Willson Contreras scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. Trevor Story scores.
12-1
▲ 9
Caleb Durbin homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Jarren Duran scores.
14-1
▲ 9
Willson Contreras homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.
17-1
Boston Red Sox — 打击
| 球员 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ceddanne RafaelaCF |
5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .265 | .705 |
Willson Contreras1B |
4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .250 | .804 |
Wilyer AbreuRF |
6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .297 | .834 |
Marcelo Mayer2B |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .661 |
Andruw MonasterioDH |
6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .243 | .749 |
Jarren DuranLF |
5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .198 | .549 |
Caleb Durbin3B |
4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .165 | .531 |
Connor WongC |
3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .300 | .849 |
Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .212 | .469 |
| 总计 | 44 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
BATTING
2B: Monasterio 2 (4, Rogers, Tr, Wells, T); Durbin (6, Rogers, Tr); Wong (5, Suárez, A).
3B: Rafaela (1, Akin).
HR: Monasterio (1, 9th inning off Akin, 3 on, 0 out); Durbin (1, 9th inning off Wilson, W, 1 on, 0 out); Contreras, Wn (5, 9th inning off Wilson, W, 2 on, 1 out).
TB: Abreu, W 2; Contreras, Wn 5; Duran, Ja; Durbin 6; Kiner-Falefa 2; Monasterio 8; Rafaela 5; Story; Wong 2.
RBI: Contreras, Wn 5 (17); Durbin 3 (10); Kiner-Falefa (3); Monasterio 4 (7); Rafaela (9); Wong 3 (5).
2-out RBI: Durbin; Rafaela; Wong 3; Kiner-Falefa.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Abreu, W 2; Durbin; Kiner-Falefa.
SF: Contreras, Wn.
Team RISP: 8-for-15.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Durbin (1, 3rd base off Rogers, Tr/Rutschman); Kiner-Falefa (2, 2nd base off Suárez, A/Rutschman).
CS: Rafaela (3, 2nd base by Suárez, A/Rutschman).
FIELDING
E: Durbin (3, throw).
DP: (Durbin-Kiner-Falefa-Contreras, Wn).
Baltimore Orioles — 打击
| 球员 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taylor WardDH |
3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .321 | .902 |
Gunnar HendersonSS |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .200 | .734 |
Adley RutschmanC |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .340 | 1.064 |
Pete Alonso1B |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .204 | .661 |
Tyler O'NeillRF |
4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .242 | .675 |
Jeremiah Jackson2B |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .279 | .777 |
Leody TaverasCF |
3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .288 | .841 |
Coby Mayo3B |
3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .635 |
Colton CowserLF |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .185 | .484 |
| 总计 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
BATTING
2B: Mayo (3, Crochet).
TB: Jackson, J; Mayo 2; O'Neill; Rutschman; Ward 2.
RBI: Taveras, L (15).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Henderson; Alonso; Cowser.
GIDP: Alonso.
Team RISP: 0-for-8.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Rutschman (3, throw); Jackson, J (2, fielding); Mayo (2, throw).
a-Struck out for Alexander in the 7th.
Boston Red Sox — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Crochet(W, 3-3) |
6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 90-57 | 6.30 |
Greg Weissert |
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21-14 | 4.22 |
Danny Coulombe |
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-11 | 6.14 |
Tyler Samaniego |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 0.00 |
Baltimore Orioles — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor Rogers(L, 2-3) |
1.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 62-38 | 4.75 |
Tyler Wells |
1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23-15 | 3.38 |
Albert Suárez |
4.0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 59-34 | 3.46 |
Keegan Akin |
1.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 32-23 | 54.00 |
Weston Wilson |
1.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25-16 | 36.00 |
比赛信息
裁判: Home Plate: Andy Fletcher; First Base: Alex Tosi; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Jansen Visconti
球场: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
天气: 57°F, Partly Cloudy
风: 13 mph, In From RF
Boston Red Sox — 新闻
Baltimore Orioles — 新闻
赛季对比
STAT
Orioles
26-34
战绩
29-33
43.3%
Win %
46.8%
.433
PCT
.468
241
得分
280
241
失分
323
60
比赛场次
62
W1
连胜/负
L1
4-6
最近10场
6-4
10-20
主场战绩
19-15
16-14
客场战绩
10-18
交手记录
2
六月 3
Orioles
1 - 8
Red Sox
六月 2
Orioles
4 - 2
Red Sox
四月 26
Red Sox
5 - 3
Orioles
四月 24
Red Sox
3 - 10
Orioles
Red Sox 近期
六月 3
vs Orioles
1-8
W
六月 2
vs Orioles
4-2
L
五月 31
@ Guardians
9-4
W
五月 30
@ Guardians
9-1
W
五月 29
@ Guardians
3-4
L
Orioles 近期
六月 3
@ Red Sox
1-8
L
六月 2
@ Red Sox
4-2
W
五月 31
vs Blue Jays
5-9
W
五月 30
vs Blue Jays
5-6
W
五月 29
vs Blue Jays
6-5
L
























