This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with Max Meyer's emergence as Miami's ace taking center stage against a struggling Mets squad missing key pieces. Meyer enters with an unblemished 5-0 record and sparkling 2.52 ERA, utilizing a slider-heavy approach that has befuddled hitters all season. His 10.09 K/9 rate and 1.05 WHIP demonstrate the command that makes him Miami's most reliable starter. Peralta counters with solid peripherals but concerning recent velocity dips, dropping from 91.3 mph average fastball velocity on May 12th to 88.4 mph in his last start. The Mets' depleted lineup, missing Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez, puts additional pressure on Juan Soto and the supporting cast to generate offense against a pitcher who has dominated quality competition. Miami's recent sweep of the Mets in their previous series provides psychological momentum, even as their poor 8-16 road record suggests vulnerability away from home. The bullpen comparison favors New York with the recent activation of A.J. Minter, though both teams have shown inconsistency in late-game situations. Weather conditions are ideal with clear skies and 77-degree temperatures, neutralizing any environmental advantages. The key battle lies in whether Meyer can maintain his early-season dominance against a Mets lineup desperate to break out of their recent offensive struggles.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Both starters settle in after feeling out hitters

Middle (4-6) 4R Key offensive surge as Peralta tires and Marlins find rhythm

Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battles with Mets capitalizing on home field

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Home field advantage at Citi Field

Juan Soto's veteran presence and .301 average

Recently activated A.J. Minter bolsters bullpen

Missing Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez

Poor 3-7 record in last ten games

Marlins

Max Meyer's outstanding 2.52 ERA and 5-0 record

Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez hitting over .300

Recent dominance over Mets (swept them last series)

Terrible 8-16 road record

Lost two straight to Toronto

Risk Factors

Peralta's recent velocity decline

Mets' depleted lineup without key players

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Max Meyer batter Soto's elite plate discipline vs Meyer's slider-heavy approach

Xavier Edwards vs Freddy Peralta batter Edwards' .316 average and speed vs Peralta's fastball command issues

Otto Lopez vs Freddy Peralta batter Lopez's .342 average suggests he's seeing the ball well

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 55%

Strikeouts 16 13-19

Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Max Meyer takes the mound with confidence, establishing his slider command early as the Mets struggle to adjust to his varied attack. The first inning passes quietly for both sides as starting pitchers feel out opposing hitters. Juan Soto provides the game's first breakthrough in the bottom of the second, working a deep count before driving a changeup into the gap for a leadoff double, eventually scoring on Marcus Semien's sacrifice fly. Meyer responds by retiring the next six batters in order, showcasing the dominance that has made him unbeaten this season. The Marlins break through in the third when Xavier Edwards' speed creates chaos on the basepaths, turning a routine single into a double and scoring on Otto Lopez's clutch two-out single. Peralta's command issues surface in the fourth inning as his fastball velocity continues to decline, leading to a two-run outburst fueled by aggressive Miami hitting. The game swings back toward the Mets in the sixth when their depleted lineup finally solves Meyer's slider, stringing together quality at-bats to reclaim the lead. As both starters exit, the bullpen battle intensifies with A.J. Minter's return providing crucial late-game stability for New York. The Marlins push across a run in the eighth to close the gap, but the Mets respond immediately in the bottom half, capitalizing on their home field advantage and crowd energy to secure insurance runs and ultimately prevail in a competitive contest that showcases both teams' resilience despite their respective struggles.

Meyer's excellent form gives Miami a significant starting pitching advantage, but the Mets' home field edge and recently reinforced bullpen with Minter's return provides enough of a counter-balance. The depleted Mets lineup creates uncertainty, but Miami's poor road record is a concerning trend that tilts this toward the home team.

Probable Pitchers

Miami Marlins — Roster

Player	Pos	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Xavier Edwards	2B	.319	6	20	.400	.491
Liam Hicks	1B	.264	11	44	.340	.473
Otto Lopez	SS	.336	4	24	.364	.471
Kyle Stowers	LF	.227	3	11	.313	.367
Jakob Marsee	CF	.199	3	16	.322	.303
Connor Norby	DH	.212	4	14	.321	.339
Owen Caissie	RF	.232	5	28	.286	.399
Javier Sanoja	3B	.267	1	20	.318	.375
Joe Mack	C	.213	0	6	.262	.262

New York Mets — Roster

Player	Pos	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Carson Benge	RF	.242	3	20	.308	.326
Vidal Bruján	PR	.250	0	1	.400	.250
Juan Soto	LF	.299	12	24	.392	.585
MJ Melendez	DH	.213	3	9	.326	.400
A.J. Ewing	CF	.268	1	6	.359	.357
Mark Vientos	1B	.224	7	24	.261	.391
Brett Baty	3B	.231	3	23	.305	.343
Marcus Semien	2B	.214	4	19	.263	.306
Luis Torrens	C	.200	0	11	.258	.278

Scoring Plays

▼ 1

A.J. Ewing singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Bo Bichette scores. Juan Soto scores. Jared Young to 3rd.

0-2

▼ 1

Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. Jared Young scores. A.J. Ewing scores.

0-4

▲ 3

Xavier Edwards triples (4) on a fly ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Owen Caissie scores.

1-4

▼ 3

Mark Vientos homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.

1-5

▲ 4

Jakob Marsee doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Juan Soto. Kyle Stowers scores.

2-5

▼ 4

Luis Torrens out on a sacrifice bunt to catcher Joe Mack. Marcus Semien scores. Throwing error by catcher Joe Mack.

2-6

▲ 5

Otto Lopez reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Mark Vientos. Joe Mack scores.

3-6

▲ 5

Kyle Stowers doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Otto Lopez scores.

4-6

▲ 7

Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Juan Soto. Xavier Edwards scores.

5-6

▼ 7

MJ Melendez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Bo Bichette scores.

5-7

▲ 8

Owen Caissie homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Jakob Marsee scores.

7-7

▼ 10

MJ Melendez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Vidal Bruján scores.

7-9

Miami Marlins — Batting

Player	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Xavier Edwards2B	4	1	2	1	1	0	0	.319	.891
Liam Hicks1B	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	.264	.813
Otto LopezSS	4	1	0	1	0	1	0	.336	.835
Kyle StowersLF	5	1	3	1	0	2	0	.227	.680
Jakob MarseeCF	5	1	2	1	0	1	0	.199	.625
Connor NorbyDH	5	0	1	0	0	3	0	.212	.660
Owen CaissieRF	5	2	2	2	0	1	1	.232	.685
Javier Sanoja3B	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	.267	.693
Joe MackC	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	.213	.524
Totals	41	7	12	6	2	9	1

BATTING

2B: Stowers 2 (9, Peralta, F, Peralta, F); Marsee (6, Peralta, F); Hicks, L (5, Brazobán).

3B: Edwards, X (4, Peralta, F).

HR: Caissie (5, 8th inning off Myers, 1 on, 1 out).

TB: Caissie 5; Edwards, X 4; Hicks, L 2; Mack; Marsee 3; Norby; Stowers 5.

RBI: Caissie 2 (28); Edwards, X (20); Lopez, O (24); Marsee (16); Stowers (11).

2-out RBI: Stowers; Edwards, X.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja 2; Stowers; Marsee 2; Lopez, O.

SF: Lopez, O.

Team RISP: 3-for-15.

Team LOB: 8.

BASERUNNING

CS: Norby (3, 2nd base by Peralta, F/Torrens).

FIELDING

E: Stowers (2, fielding); Mack (3, throw).

New York Mets — Batting

Player	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Carson BengeRF	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	.242	.634
Vidal BrujánPR	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	.250	.650
Juan SotoLF	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	.299	.977
MJ MelendezDH	1	1	1	3	0	0	1	.213	.726
A.J. EwingCF	4	1	2	2	0	1	0	.268	.716
Mark Vientos1B	4	1	1	1	0	0	1	.224	.652
Brett Baty3B	4	0	1	2	0	2	0	.231	.648
Marcus Semien2B	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	.214	.569
Luis TorrensC	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.200	.536
Totals	34	9	8	8	4	9	2

BATTING

HR: Vientos (7, 3rd inning off Meyer, 0 on, 2 out); Melendez, M (3, 10th inning off Fairbanks, 1 on, 1 out).

TB: Baty; Bichette; Ewing 2; Melendez, M 4; Semien; Soto, J; Vientos 4.

RBI: Baty 2 (23); Ewing 2 (6); Melendez, M 3 (9); Vientos (24).

2-out RBI: Baty 2; Vientos.

SAC: Torrens.

SF: Melendez, M.

Team RISP: 3-for-5.

Team LOB: 4.

BASERUNNING

SB: Ewing (4, 2nd base off Meyer/Mack).

FIELDING

E: Vientos (3, fielding).

a-Hit a sacrifice fly for Wagaman in the 7th.

1-Ran for Bichette in the 10th.

Miami Marlins — Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Max Meyer	6.0	6	6	5	3	6	1	106-70	2.97
Cade Gibson	0.1	1	1	1	1	1	0	11-5	8.59
Calvin Faucher	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	6-5	3.80
Anthony Bender	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10-7	3.22
Michael Petersen	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	9-8	3.80
Pete Fairbanks(L, 2-3)	0.1	1	2	1	0	0	1	4-4	7.53

New York Mets — Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Freddy Peralta	4.2	7	4	2	1	5	0	94-60	3.55
A.J. Minter	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	14-10	0.00
Huascar Brazobán(H, 3)	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	0	12-7	1.93
Brooks Raley(H, 10)	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	5-3	1.25
Tobias Myers(BS, 2)	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	1	10-8	4.05
Luke Weaver	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	14-9	2.92
Austin Warren(W, 1-1)	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7-6	1.47

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Will Little; First Base: Ryan Additon; Second Base: Ryan Wills; Third Base: Lance Barksdale

Venue: Citi Field, Flushing

Weather: 74°F, Partly Cloudy

Wind: 7 mph, Out To CF

Miami Marlins — News

Hernandez: 2 HR, 3 RBI in Marlins win over Nationals

Hernandez's two-homer night snapped Miami's 4-game skid and gave the Marlins their first win in five games at home (18-15). Washington's pitching has given up 330 runs this season (worst in NL East), making their 31-30 record surprisingly resilient given the 0.508 win% profile.

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals

Marlins Select Brzykcy and Zuber From Triple-A

Miami adds depth arms to a rotation struggling with durability (Junk 4.80 ERA, 3-5 record; Alcantara 4.66 ERA) while sitting 26-34 and 0-8 in road games over their last five contests.

Miami Marlins

Marlins select Zach Brzykcy

Brzykcy enters a Miami rotation currently anchored by Meyer (2.97 ERA, 5-0) but relying heavily on Alcantara (4.66 ERA) and Junk (4.80 ERA, 3-5). The move addresses rotation depth as Miami sits 26-33 with a -20 run differential.

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk: Not starting, could hit IL

Junk (4.80 ERA, 3-5) exits Miami's rotation Sunday against NYM; with Eury Pérez already sidelined (gracilis strain), the Marlins face depth concerns in an already fragile staff. MIA's rotation would lean heavily on remaining starters if Junk lands on IL.

Janson Junk

Eury Pérez

Miami Marlins

Eury Pérez to miss eight weeks with gracilis strain

Pérez's 4.60 ERA and 3-6 record made him vulnerable in Miami's rotation, but his 10.34 K/9 over 62.2 IP leaves the Marlins thinner behind Max Meyer (2.52 ERA, 5-0). Josh Ekness (1.69 ERA, limited sample) inherits a fourth-starter role in a rotation already anchored by Meyer and Alcántara (4.66 ERA, 3-4).

Max Meyer

Eury Pérez

Josh Ekness

Miami Marlins

New York Mets — News

George Kirby takes fifth loss against Mets

Kirby's 3.77 ERA and 7.18 K/9 remain solid, but four earned runs in four innings Wednesday signal recent struggles in a season where he's posted a 0.294 xwOBA. Seattle (21-40) sits 11.5 games back in the AL West with limited margin for rotation inefficiency.

George Kirby

New York Mets

Mets playing 12 extra-inning games; three more than any other team

NYM (26-34, -14 run diff) is 4-6 in last 10 and 11-19 on the road—extra-inning games expose depth bullpens and compress rest, compounding their already weak run differential. Harrison (1.57 ERA, 15 SO in 14.2 IP) faces a MIL team while Gausman (3.13 ERA, 8.61 K/9) opposes Braves starters Elder (2.50 ERA) and Sale (2.02 ERA) in a matchup favoring Atlanta's elite rotation.

Atlanta Braves

New York Mets

Mets Select Cionel Perez, Designate Anderson Severino

Peterson's 5.57 ERA and 0-4 record across 5 starts justify rotation depth moves, though Perez's Triple-A performance remains unavailable to assess immediate impact. New York sits 24-33 with a -27 run differential and needs rotation stability behind Peralta's 3.54 ERA.

Anderson Severino

New York Mets

Manaea takes Peterson's rotation spot for Mets

Peterson's 5.57 ERA and 0-4 record across 5 starts justify the swap, though Manaea arrives with a 5.56 ERA and no IP this season—NYM remain 23-33 (-29 run diff) searching for rotation stability behind Peralta's 3.52 ERA.

Sean Manaea

New York Mets

Rays Sign Outfielder Austin Slater To Minor League Deal

Slater (.209 AVG, .233 xwOBA in 2026) joins Tampa Bay's fourth organization this season after being outrighted by the Mets. The Rays (34-17, +38 run differential) add depth to an AL East-leading roster.

Austin Slater