Inapoi la meciuri Vineri, Mai 29, 2026

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets — Mai 29, 2026 | Predicție AI și statistici

Citi Field, Flushing
74°F, Partly Cloudy
7 mph, Out To CF
W Austin Warren L Pete Fairbanks

Tabela de scor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Marlins 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 0 7 12 2
Mets 4 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 9 8 1

PREDICTIE AIPrognoza retea neuronala

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Marlins 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 68% Mets favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with Max Meyer's emergence as Miami's ace taking center stage against a struggling Mets squad missing key pieces. Meyer enters with an unblemished 5-0 record and sparkling 2.52 ERA, utilizing a slider-heavy approach that has befuddled hitters all season. His 10.09 K/9 rate and 1.05 WHIP demonstrate the command that makes him Miami's most reliable starter. Peralta counters with solid peripherals but concerning recent velocity dips, dropping from 91.3 mph average fastball velocity on May 12th to 88.4 mph in his last start. The Mets' depleted lineup, missing Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez, puts additional pressure on Juan Soto and the supporting cast to generate offense against a pitcher who has dominated quality competition. Miami's recent sweep of the Mets in their previous series provides psychological momentum, even as their poor 8-16 road record suggests vulnerability away from home. The bullpen comparison favors New York with the recent activation of A.J. Minter, though both teams have shown inconsistency in late-game situations. Weather conditions are ideal with clear skies and 77-degree temperatures, neutralizing any environmental advantages. The key battle lies in whether Meyer can maintain his early-season dominance against a Mets lineup desperate to break out of their recent offensive struggles.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Both starters settle in after feeling out hitters
Middle (4-6) 4R Key offensive surge as Peralta tires and Marlins find rhythm
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battles with Mets capitalizing on home field

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Home field advantage at Citi Field
Juan Soto's veteran presence and .301 average
Recently activated A.J. Minter bolsters bullpen
Missing Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez
Poor 3-7 record in last ten games

Marlins

Max Meyer's outstanding 2.52 ERA and 5-0 record
Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez hitting over .300
Recent dominance over Mets (swept them last series)
Terrible 8-16 road record
Lost two straight to Toronto

Risk Factors

Peralta's recent velocity decline
Mets' depleted lineup without key players

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Max Meyer batter Soto's elite plate discipline vs Meyer's slider-heavy approach
Xavier Edwards vs Freddy Peralta batter Edwards' .316 average and speed vs Peralta's fastball command issues
Otto Lopez vs Freddy Peralta batter Lopez's .342 average suggests he's seeing the ball well

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 55%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Max Meyer takes the mound with confidence, establishing his slider command early as the Mets struggle to adjust to his varied attack. The first inning passes quietly for both sides as starting pitchers feel out opposing hitters. Juan Soto provides the game's first breakthrough in the bottom of the second, working a deep count before driving a changeup into the gap for a leadoff double, eventually scoring on Marcus Semien's sacrifice fly. Meyer responds by retiring the next six batters in order, showcasing the dominance that has made him unbeaten this season. The Marlins break through in the third when Xavier Edwards' speed creates chaos on the basepaths, turning a routine single into a double and scoring on Otto Lopez's clutch two-out single. Peralta's command issues surface in the fourth inning as his fastball velocity continues to decline, leading to a two-run outburst fueled by aggressive Miami hitting. The game swings back toward the Mets in the sixth when their depleted lineup finally solves Meyer's slider, stringing together quality at-bats to reclaim the lead. As both starters exit, the bullpen battle intensifies with A.J. Minter's return providing crucial late-game stability for New York. The Marlins push across a run in the eighth to close the gap, but the Mets respond immediately in the bottom half, capitalizing on their home field advantage and crowd energy to secure insurance runs and ultimately prevail in a competitive contest that showcases both teams' resilience despite their respective struggles.
Meyer's excellent form gives Miami a significant starting pitching advantage, but the Mets' home field edge and recently reinforced bullpen with Minter's return provides enough of a counter-balance. The depleted Mets lineup creates uncertainty, but Miami's poor road record is a concerning trend that tilts this toward the home team.
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Miami Marlins — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Xavier Edwards
2B .319620.400.491
Liam Hicks
1B .2641144.340.473
Otto Lopez
SS .336424.364.471
Kyle Stowers
LF .227311.313.367
Jakob Marsee
CF .199316.322.303
Connor Norby
DH .212414.321.339
Owen Caissie
RF .232528.286.399
Javier Sanoja
3B .267120.318.375
Joe Mack
C .21306.262.262

New York Mets — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .242320.308.326
Vidal Bruján
PR .25001.400.250
Juan Soto
LF .2991224.392.585
MJ Melendez
DH .21339.326.400
A.J. Ewing
CF .26816.359.357
Mark Vientos
1B .224724.261.391
Brett Baty
3B .231323.305.343
Marcus Semien
2B .214419.263.306
Luis Torrens
C .200011.258.278

Jocuri de scor

1
A.J. Ewing singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Bo Bichette scores. Juan Soto scores. Jared Young to 3rd.
0-2
1
Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. Jared Young scores. A.J. Ewing scores.
0-4
3
Xavier Edwards triples (4) on a fly ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Owen Caissie scores.
1-4
3
Mark Vientos homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-5
4
Jakob Marsee doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Juan Soto. Kyle Stowers scores.
2-5
4
Luis Torrens out on a sacrifice bunt to catcher Joe Mack. Marcus Semien scores. Throwing error by catcher Joe Mack.
2-6
5
Otto Lopez reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Mark Vientos. Joe Mack scores.
3-6
5
Kyle Stowers doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Otto Lopez scores.
4-6
7
Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Juan Soto. Xavier Edwards scores.
5-6
7
MJ Melendez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Bo Bichette scores.
5-7
8
Owen Caissie homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Jakob Marsee scores.
7-7
10
MJ Melendez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Vidal Bruján scores.
7-9

Miami Marlins — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Xavier Edwards2B
4121100.319.891
Liam Hicks1B
4010100.264.813
Otto LopezSS
4101010.336.835
Kyle StowersLF
5131020.227.680
Jakob MarseeCF
5121010.199.625
Connor NorbyDH
5010030.212.660
Owen CaissieRF
5222011.232.685
Javier Sanoja3B
5000000.267.693
Joe MackC
4110010.213.524
Total417126291
BATTING
2B: Stowers 2 (9, Peralta, F, Peralta, F); Marsee (6, Peralta, F); Hicks, L (5, Brazobán).
3B: Edwards, X (4, Peralta, F).
HR: Caissie (5, 8th inning off Myers, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Caissie 5; Edwards, X 4; Hicks, L 2; Mack; Marsee 3; Norby; Stowers 5.
RBI: Caissie 2 (28); Edwards, X (20); Lopez, O (24); Marsee (16); Stowers (11).
2-out RBI: Stowers; Edwards, X.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja 2; Stowers; Marsee 2; Lopez, O.
SF: Lopez, O.
Team RISP: 3-for-15.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
CS: Norby (3, 2nd base by Peralta, F/Torrens).
FIELDING
E: Stowers (2, fielding); Mack (3, throw).

New York Mets — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
4000120.242.634
Vidal BrujánPR
0100000.250.650
Juan SotoLF
4110100.299.977
MJ MelendezDH
1113001.213.726
A.J. EwingCF
4122010.268.716
Mark Vientos1B
4111001.224.652
Brett Baty3B
4012020.231.648
Marcus Semien2B
4110010.214.569
Luis TorrensC
3000010.200.536
Total34988492
BATTING
HR: Vientos (7, 3rd inning off Meyer, 0 on, 2 out); Melendez, M (3, 10th inning off Fairbanks, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Baty; Bichette; Ewing 2; Melendez, M 4; Semien; Soto, J; Vientos 4.
RBI: Baty 2 (23); Ewing 2 (6); Melendez, M 3 (9); Vientos (24).
2-out RBI: Baty 2; Vientos.
SAC: Torrens.
SF: Melendez, M.
Team RISP: 3-for-5.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Ewing (4, 2nd base off Meyer/Mack).
FIELDING
E: Vientos (3, fielding).
a-Hit a sacrifice fly for Wagaman in the 7th.
1-Ran for Bichette in the 10th.

Miami Marlins — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Max Meyer
6.0665361106-702.97
Cade Gibson
0.111111011-58.59
Calvin Faucher
0.20000006-53.80
Anthony Bender
1.000001010-73.22
Michael Petersen
1.00000109-83.80
Pete Fairbanks(L, 2-3)
0.11210014-47.53

New York Mets — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Freddy Peralta
4.274215094-603.55
A.J. Minter
1.000002014-100.00
Huascar Brazobán(H, 3)
1.011110012-71.93
Brooks Raley(H, 10)
0.10000105-31.25
Tobias Myers(BS, 2)
1.022200110-84.05
Luke Weaver
1.020000014-92.92
Austin Warren(W, 1-1)
1.00000107-61.47

Informații meci

Arbitri: Home Plate: Will Little; First Base: Ryan Additon; Second Base: Ryan Wills; Third Base: Lance Barksdale
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Vreme: 74°F, Partly Cloudy
Vânt: 7 mph, Out To CF

Miami Marlins — Stiri

New York Mets — Stiri

Comparatie sezoane

Marlins
STAT
Mets
28-34 Bilant 26-35
45.2% Win % 42.6%
.452 PCT .426
264 Puncte marcate 244
285 Puncte primite 263
62 Meciuri jucate 61
W2 Serie L2
5-5 Ultimele 10 4-6
18-15 Bilant acasa 15-15
10-19 Bilant deplasare 11-20

Confruntari directe

3
Ultimele 5 intalniri
2
Mai 31
Marlins 1 - 10 Mets
Mai 30
Marlins 1 - 6 Mets
Mai 24
Mets 0 - 4 Marlins
Mai 23
Mets 1 - 4 Marlins
Mai 22
Mets 1 - 2 Marlins

Marlins Recente

Iun 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Iun 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Iun 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Mai 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
Mai 30 @ Mets 1-6 L

Mets Recente

Iun 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Iun 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Iun 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Mai 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Mai 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W

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