Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees — 七月 1, 2026 | AI 預測與數據
計分板
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
|
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
AI預測神經網路預測
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
|
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Confidence: 62%
Tigers favored
洋基隊以全面危機模式進入本系列賽最後一場——六場連敗、過去十場2勝8負的戰績,以及同時失去Aaron Judge(肋骨)、Giancarlo Stanton(小腿)、Ryan McMahon(喉嚨)和Trent Grisham(腘繩肌)進入傷兵名單的殘破陣容。布朗克斯打線現在大幅依賴Paul Goldschmidt(.284)、Ben Rice(22轟)和Cody Bellinger(.258)來對陣一位一直是棒球最佳保密祕密的虎隊先發投手。
Troy Melton以2.39自責分率和0.85WHIP的微小數字亮相,在37.2局中投出99.5英里時速,混合投出滑球、快速球和分球來製造弱接觸。他低保送率(2.15 BB/9)對陣沒有犯錯空間的衰弱洋基打線尤其危險。Will Warren以3.75自責分率應戰,但他1.36的WHIP表明壘上經常有人;底特律在本系列前兩場已經對紐約得分16分。
虎隊客場戰績14勝28負,這確實糟糕——但他們本週在洋基球場2勝0負,並在這兩場比賽中以16-6領先主隊。這場比賽的對戰明顯有利底特律,擁有更優越的先發、未被過度消耗的牛棚,以及目前毫無對策的洋基輪值/打線組合。96℉下雷暴天氣造成延賽風險,但不能忽視虎隊在本系列賽中的動能。
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
4R
Melton早期銳利,Warren脆弱
Middle (4-6)
4R
虎隊對陣衰弱牛棚大幅領先
Late (7-9)
2R
垃圾時間,雙方牛棚疲勞
Matchup Analysis
Yankees
Ben Rice全壘打激增
Goldschmidt資深球員存在感
主場熟悉度
L6連敗動能
Judge/Stanton/McMahon全部進傷兵名單
Tigers
Melton菁英WHIP/自責分率
W2連勝對陣洋基
深厚投球武器庫
糟糕客場戰績14-28
打擊陣容深度薄弱
Risk Factors
雷暴延賽可能
洋基牛棚因L6連敗而消耗
Key Matchups
Rice, Ben
vs
Troy Melton
pitcher
Melton的0.85WHIP限制強棒;Rice追逐快速球
Keith, Colt
vs
Will Warren
batter
Warren提升的WHIP邀請接觸;Keith最近對他有成績
Bellinger, Cody
vs
Troy Melton
pitcher
Melton的快速球/分球組合中和左打者如Bellinger
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Tigers
60%
Strikeouts
14
11-18
Total Runs
10
7-14
Game Preview
底特律搶先出擊。Melton從第一球開始投球,虎隊在第一局策劃了耐心攻勢,憑Colt Keith的打點單打得分。Melton隨後進入狀態,在第二局前連續三振洋基打者,James Outman在第三局因Warren的失投而上壘,為兩分底特律進攻奠定基礎,比分變為3-0。
Warren試圖堅守陣地,但高溫和他上升的投球數在第四局追上他,當虎隊再得一分時。Ben Rice提供洋基唯一真正的亮點,在第五局擊出一支獨飛全壘打,將分差縮小到4-1,短暫激起洋基球場的觀眾。但Melton恢復狀態,誘發Bellinger滾地球和Goldschmidt用快速球三振來終結威脅。
牛棚投手在第六和第七局繼續製造傷害,衰弱的紐約後援投手降服再失兩分。洋基在晚期靠Rosario的二壘打和一個亂投得分兩分,但對於懷著真正信心朝All-Star賽休期邁進的虎隊陣容來說,這不過是表面傷害。底特律以7-3獲勝,完成三場系列賽橫掃,給紐約第七場連敗,這已成為真正的夏日潰敗。
底特律與Melton的菁英數據相比Warren搖搖欲墜的WHIP保有明顯的先發優勢。洋基的6場連敗、主要傷兵缺席和16-6系列賽得失分差全都指向失利。客場戰績是底特律的主要反向指標。
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Detroit Tigers — 陣容
| 球員 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin McGonigle |
3B | .282 | 7 | 31 | .391 | .424 |
Dillon Dingler |
DH | .267 | 19 | 59 | .328 | .530 |
Matt Vierling |
RF | .201 | 5 | 28 | .255 | .332 |
Riley Greene |
LF | .285 | 11 | 38 | .376 | .446 |
Hao-Yu Lee |
2B | .256 | 3 | 13 | .293 | .383 |
Spencer Torkelson |
1B | .215 | 14 | 38 | .317 | .424 |
Zach McKinstry |
SS | .193 | 3 | 16 | .275 | .289 |
James Outman |
CF | .165 | 3 | 11 | .246 | .311 |
Jake Rogers |
C | .147 | 1 | 6 | .224 | .240 |
New York Yankees — 陣容
| 球員 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Rice |
1B | .269 | 23 | 54 | .360 | .561 |
Ali Sánchez |
C | .240 | 0 | 3 | .296 | .320 |
Cody Bellinger |
LF | .254 | 11 | 49 | .352 | .433 |
Amed Rosario |
DH | .250 | 9 | 27 | .294 | .486 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. |
2B | .225 | 12 | 33 | .307 | .401 |
Anthony Volpe |
SS | .246 | 1 | 13 | .343 | .336 |
Spencer Jones |
CF | .233 | 2 | 7 | .317 | .370 |
José Caballero |
RF | .246 | 8 | 28 | .303 | .385 |
Oswaldo Cabrera |
3B | .000 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
得分紀錄
▲ 3
Kevin McGonigle homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-0
▲ 6
Riley Greene out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Dillon Dingler scores. Kerry Carpenter to 3rd.
2-0
▼ 9
Amed Rosario homers (9) on a line drive to left field.
2-1
▼ 9
Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to third baseman Kevin McGonigle, deflected by pitcher Drew Anderson.
2-2
▲ 11
Spencer Torkelson walks. Kevin McGonigle scores. Riley Greene to 3rd. Hao-Yu Lee to 2nd.
3-2
▲ 11
Zach McKinstry singles on a ground ball to right fielder José Caballero. Riley Greene scores. Hao-Yu Lee scores. Spencer Torkelson scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd. Throwing error by catcher Ali Sánchez.
6-2
Detroit Tigers — 打擊
| 球員 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin McGonigle3B |
5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .282 | .815 |
Dillon DinglerDH |
5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .267 | .858 |
Matt VierlingRF |
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .587 |
Riley GreeneLF |
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .285 | .822 |
Hao-Yu Lee2B |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .256 | .676 |
Spencer Torkelson1B |
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .215 | .741 |
Zach McKinstrySS |
5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .193 | .564 |
James OutmanCF |
5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .165 | .557 |
Jake RogersC |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .147 | .464 |
| 總計 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
BATTING
2B: Dingler (18, Warren, W).
HR: McGonigle (7, 3rd inning off Warren, W, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Carpenter; Dingler 3; Keith; McGonigle 4; McKinstry.
RBI: Greene, R (38); McGonigle (31); McKinstry 2 (16); Torkelson (38).
2-out RBI: Torkelson; McKinstry 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Outman; Greene, R; McKinstry; McGonigle.
SF: Greene, R.
Team RISP: 1-for-11.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Greene, R (2, 2nd base off Doval/Sánchez, A).
a-Lined out for Carpenter in the 8th.
b-Struck out for Keith in the 9th.
New York Yankees — 打擊
| 球員 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Rice1B |
3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .269 | .921 |
Ali SánchezC |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .240 | .616 |
Cody BellingerLF |
5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .254 | .785 |
Amed RosarioDH |
5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | .780 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B |
5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .225 | .708 |
Anthony VolpeSS |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .246 | .679 |
Spencer JonesCF |
2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .233 | .687 |
José CaballeroRF |
3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .246 | .688 |
Oswaldo Cabrera3B |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 總計 | 37 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
BATTING
2B: Chisholm Jr. (11, Melton).
HR: Rosario, A (9, 9th inning off Anderson, D, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Caballero; Chisholm Jr. 3; Jones, S; Rice; Rosario, A 4; Volpe.
RBI: Rosario, A (27).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sánchez, A 2; Domínguez 2; Volpe; Chisholm Jr.
SAC: Caballero; Cabrera, O.
Team RISP: 0-for-8.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Chisholm Jr. 2 (26, 2nd base off Anderson, D/Rogers, 3rd base off Anderson, D/Rogers).
CS: Volpe (4, 2nd base by Anderson, D/Rogers).
FIELDING
E: Wells, A (4, catcher interference); Sánchez, A (2, throw).
a-Singled for Wells, A in the 8th.
Detroit Tigers — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Troy Melton |
6.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 84-50 | 2.05 |
Drew Sommers(H, 4) |
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 3.12 |
Drew Anderson(BS, 4) |
2.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 32-23 | 4.27 |
Keider Montero(W, 5-5) |
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23-14 | 3.31 |
New York Yankees — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Warren |
5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 79-53 | 3.73 |
Paul Blackburn |
1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19-9 | 2.40 |
Brent Headrick |
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 1.52 |
Fernando Cruz |
1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-11 | 2.45 |
Camilo Doval(L, 3-1) |
1.0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21-10 | 4.96 |
比賽資訊
裁判: Home Plate: Lance Barrett; First Base: Malachi Moore; Second Base: Alfonso Márquez; Third Base: Mike Estabrook
球場: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
天氣: 95°F, Sunny
風: 2 mph, Out To LF
Detroit Tigers — 新聞
New York Yankees — 新聞
賽季對比
STAT
Yankees
38-49
戰績
48-38
43.7%
Win %
55.8%
.437
PCT
.558
366
得分
417
355
失分
330
87
比賽場次
86
W3
連勝/負
L7
5-5
最近10場
2-8
23-21
主場戰績
22-18
15-28
客場戰績
26-20
交手記錄
2
六月 30
Tigers
9 - 3
Yankees
六月 29
Tigers
7 - 3
Yankees
六月 24
Yankees
4 - 2
Tigers
六月 23
Yankees
4 - 3
Tigers
六月 22
Yankees
3 - 5
Tigers
Tigers 近期
六月 30
@ Yankees
9-3
W
六月 29
@ Yankees
7-3
W
六月 28
vs Astros
7-5
L
六月 27
vs Astros
8-6
L
六月 26
vs Astros
0-8
W
Yankees 近期
六月 30
vs Tigers
9-3
L
六月 29
vs Tigers
7-3
L
六月 28
@ Red Sox
4-5
L
六月 27
@ Red Sox
1-4
L
六月 26
@ Red Sox
1-6
L
























