返回比赛 星期五, 五月 15, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — 五月 15, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

Coors Field, Denver
80°F, Cloudy
4 mph, In From CF
W Merrill Kelly L Kyle Freeland

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Diamondbacks 6 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 9 13 0
Rockies 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 1 0 0 2 0 1 2 0 0 6
Rockies 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 3 1 8
Confidence: 67% Rockies favored
This matchup at Coors Field features two pitchers in serious trouble - Kyle Freeland's 6.00 ERA and Merrill Kelly's ghastly 7.62 ERA set up a potential offensive showcase in baseball's most hitter-friendly environment. Freeland has struggled with command despite a decent 1.09 WHIP, allowing hard contact in his limited 15.2 innings, while Kelly's early-season meltdown has Arizona scrambling for rotation stability. The Diamondbacks enter with slightly better form despite a two-game skid, holding a superior .476 winning percentage compared to Colorado's .386 mark. Ildemaro Vargas (.331 average, 28 RBI) has been Arizona's offensive catalyst, while Hunter Goodman's 10 home runs provide the Rockies' primary power threat. Both teams have struggled defensively, with Colorado allowing 224 runs and Arizona 204, suggesting little pitching help beyond the starters. The thin air and spacious dimensions of Coors Field should amplify offensive production, particularly for gap hitters like Corbin Carroll and potential power surges from both lineups. Jimmy Herget's return from bereavement provides Colorado some bullpen stability, but both teams' relief corps will likely be tested early given the starting pitching concerns.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both struggling starters allow early damage with Coors Field elevation boost
Middle (4-6) 4R Offensive environments favor hitters as pitch quality deteriorates
Late (7-9) 7R Bullpen struggles and Coors Field late-game offensive explosion expected

Matchup Analysis

Rockies

Coors Field home advantage
Hunter Goodman power potential
Improved bullpen depth with Herget return
Kyle Freeland's 6.00 ERA struggles
Poor 3-7 last ten record

Diamondbacks

Ildemaro Vargas hitting .331 with 28 RBI
Corbin Carroll's speed and power combination
Better road offensive approach
Merrill Kelly's alarming 7.62 ERA
Poor 8-13 road record this season

Risk Factors

High-scoring Coors Field environment
Both starters struggling significantly

Key Matchups

Ildemaro Vargas vs Kyle Freeland batter Vargas leads team at .331 vs struggling lefty
Hunter Goodman vs Merrill Kelly batter 10 HR power vs Kelly's 7.62 ERA at elevation
Corbin Carroll vs Kyle Freeland batter Speed and gap power in spacious Coors outfield

Statistical Edges

First to Score Diamondbacks 58%
Strikeouts 12 10-14
Total Runs 14 12-16

Game Preview

Arizona strikes first in the opening frame when Corbin Carroll doubles off the right field wall and scores on an Ildemaro Vargas RBI single, taking advantage of Kyle Freeland's early command issues. Colorado responds immediately in the second inning as Hunter Goodman launches his 11th home run into the left field seats, capitalizing on Merrill Kelly's elevated fastball location. The third inning becomes pivotal when Tyler Freeman doubles and TJ Rumfield drives him home with a clutch two-out single, followed by Ezequiel Tovar's RBI double that puts Colorado ahead 3-1. Arizona battles back in the fourth when Gabriel Moreno's rare extra-base hit drives in two runs, evening the score at 3-3 as Kelly continues to struggle with location. The middle innings see Colorado pull ahead 4-3 on another Goodman RBI, but Arizona ties it 4-4 in the sixth on a Carroll sacrifice fly. The seventh inning proves decisive as Arizona's bullpen falters, allowing two runs on three consecutive singles that give them a 6-4 lead. Colorado's offense explodes in the eighth inning with a three-run rally highlighted by Rumfield's go-ahead two-run triple down the right field line, putting the Rockies ahead 7-6. Freeman adds insurance in the ninth with an RBI single, securing an 8-6 victory that showcases Coors Field's offensive potential despite both teams' pitching struggles.
Both starting pitchers are in poor form with ERAs above 6.00, creating favorable conditions for hitters in Coors Field's offensive environment. However, the slight edge goes to Colorado due to home field advantage and Arizona's particularly poor 8-13 road record, though the game projects as high-scoring and competitive throughout.
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Arizona Diamondbacks — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ketel Marte
2B .209515.263.356
Corbin Carroll
RF .271520.378.500
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .217212.333.348
Nolan Arenado
3B .279620.351.463
Ildemaro Vargas
1B .347730.369.576
Tim Tawa
LF .15216.259.261
Gabriel Moreno
C .228112.276.354
Jose Fernandez
DH .265313.303.381
Ryan Waldschmidt
CF .27305.304.364

Colorado Rockies — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Edouard Julien
2B .237212.331.333
Mickey Moniak
LF .3061226.352.672
Hunter Goodman
C .2471119.310.513
TJ Rumfield
DH .273622.341.441
Troy Johnston
1B .318220.379.455
Jake McCarthy
CF .277216.344.482
Willi Castro
SS .225213.290.317
Sterlin Thompson
RF .00000.000.000
Kyle Karros
3B .221110.336.295

得分记录

1
Ildemaro Vargas singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Corbin Carroll scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.
1-0
1
Gabriel Moreno singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd.
3-0
1
Jose Fernandez doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Troy Johnston. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd.
4-0
1
Ryan Waldschmidt singles on a fly ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Gabriel Moreno scores. Jose Fernandez scores.
6-0
1
Hunter Goodman homers (11) on a line drive to left field.
6-1
4
Ildemaro Vargas singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.
7-1
7
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 2nd.
8-1
7
Gabriel Moreno doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Ildemaro Vargas scores.
9-1

Arizona Diamondbacks — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ketel Marte2B
5000010.209.619
Corbin CarrollRF
5220000.271.878
Geraldo PerdomoSS
5010010.217.681
Nolan Arenado3B
1210400.279.814
Ildemaro Vargas1B
5242000.347.945
Tim TawaLF
0000000.152.520
Gabriel MorenoC
5123020.228.630
Jose FernandezDH
5111000.265.684
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
4012010.273.668
总计389139550
BATTING
2B: Fernandez, Jo (4, Freeland, K); Vargas, I (8, Freeland, K); Arenado (7, Agnos); Moreno (7, Agnos).
TB: Arenado 2; Carroll 2; Fernandez, Jo 2; Gurriel Jr.; Moreno 3; Perdomo; Vargas, I 5; Waldschmidt.
RBI: Fernandez, Jo (13); Gurriel Jr. (7); Moreno 3 (12); Vargas, I 2 (30); Waldschmidt 2 (5).
2-out RBI: Fernandez, Jo; Vargas, I 2; Moreno 2; Waldschmidt 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gurriel Jr. 2; Fernandez, Jo; Marte, K; Waldschmidt.
SF: Gurriel Jr.
Team RISP: 7-for-13.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Carroll (6, 3rd base off Freeland, K/Goodman); Waldschmidt (1, 2nd base off Freeland, K/Goodman).
1-Ran for Gurriel Jr. in the 9th.

Colorado Rockies — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Edouard Julien2B
4000010.237.664
Mickey MoniakLF
4010000.3061.024
Hunter GoodmanC
4111001.247.823
TJ RumfieldDH
4000010.273.782
Troy Johnston1B
3000010.318.834
Jake McCarthyCF
3000000.277.826
Willi CastroSS
3000000.225.607
Sterlin ThompsonRF
1000000.000.000
Kyle Karros3B
3010000.221.631
总计31141031
BATTING
2B: Tovar (9, Kelly, Me); Moniak (9, Kelly, Me).
HR: Goodman (11, 1st inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Goodman 4; Karros, K; Moniak 2; Tovar 2.
RBI: Goodman (19).
2-out RBI: Goodman.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Karros, K; Rumfield.
Team RISP: 0-for-3.
Team LOB: 3.
FIELDING
E: Karros, K (4, throw).
Outfield assists: Moniak (Arenado at home).
a-Grounded out for Tovar in the 8th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Merrill Kelly(W, 3-3)
9.0411031100-735.91

Colorado Rockies — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Freeland(L, 1-5)
3.287743081-507.22
Zach Agnos
4.142201057-415.59
Seth Halvorsen
1.010011025-151.80

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Ryan Blakney; First Base: James Jean; Second Base: Nick Mahrley; Third Base: Marvin Hudson
球场: Coors Field, Denver
天气: 80°F, Cloudy
风: 4 mph, In From CF

Colorado Rockies — 新闻

赛季对比

Diamondbacks
STAT
Rockies
41-42 战绩 33-51
49.4% Win % 39.3%
.494 PCT .393
350 得分 387
381 失分 476
83 比赛场次 84
L3 连胜/负 L1
4-6 最近10场 5-5
24-17 主场战绩 18-22
17-25 客场战绩 15-29

交手记录

4
最近 5 次交手
1
五月 24
Rockies 1 - 9 Diamondbacks
五月 23
Rockies 4 - 5 Diamondbacks
五月 22
Rockies 3 - 2 Diamondbacks
五月 21
Rockies 1 - 2 Diamondbacks
五月 17
Diamondbacks 8 - 6 Rockies

Diamondbacks 近期

六月 28 @ Rays 1-5 L
六月 27 @ Rays 2-4 L
六月 26 @ Rays 1-6 L
六月 24 @ Cardinals 9-4 W
六月 23 @ Cardinals 4-3 W

Rockies 近期

六月 28 @ Twins 2-3 L
六月 27 @ Twins 8-5 W
六月 26 @ Twins 8-9 L
六月 24 vs Red Sox 6-8 W
六月 23 vs Red Sox 5-2 L

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