Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — מאי 15, 2026 | תחזית AI וסטטיסטיקות
לוח תוצאות
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
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1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
תחזית AIתחזית רשת עצבים
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
|
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0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
Confidence: 67%
Rockies favored
This matchup at Coors Field features two pitchers in serious trouble - Kyle Freeland's 6.00 ERA and Merrill Kelly's ghastly 7.62 ERA set up a potential offensive showcase in baseball's most hitter-friendly environment. Freeland has struggled with command despite a decent 1.09 WHIP, allowing hard contact in his limited 15.2 innings, while Kelly's early-season meltdown has Arizona scrambling for rotation stability. The Diamondbacks enter with slightly better form despite a two-game skid, holding a superior .476 winning percentage compared to Colorado's .386 mark. Ildemaro Vargas (.331 average, 28 RBI) has been Arizona's offensive catalyst, while Hunter Goodman's 10 home runs provide the Rockies' primary power threat. Both teams have struggled defensively, with Colorado allowing 224 runs and Arizona 204, suggesting little pitching help beyond the starters. The thin air and spacious dimensions of Coors Field should amplify offensive production, particularly for gap hitters like Corbin Carroll and potential power surges from both lineups. Jimmy Herget's return from bereavement provides Colorado some bullpen stability, but both teams' relief corps will likely be tested early given the starting pitching concerns.
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
3R
Both struggling starters allow early damage with Coors Field elevation boost
Middle (4-6)
4R
Offensive environments favor hitters as pitch quality deteriorates
Late (7-9)
7R
Bullpen struggles and Coors Field late-game offensive explosion expected
Matchup Analysis
Rockies
Coors Field home advantage
Hunter Goodman power potential
Improved bullpen depth with Herget return
Kyle Freeland's 6.00 ERA struggles
Poor 3-7 last ten record
Diamondbacks
Ildemaro Vargas hitting .331 with 28 RBI
Corbin Carroll's speed and power combination
Better road offensive approach
Merrill Kelly's alarming 7.62 ERA
Poor 8-13 road record this season
Risk Factors
High-scoring Coors Field environment
Both starters struggling significantly
Key Matchups
Ildemaro Vargas
vs
Kyle Freeland
batter
Vargas leads team at .331 vs struggling lefty
Hunter Goodman
vs
Merrill Kelly
batter
10 HR power vs Kelly's 7.62 ERA at elevation
Corbin Carroll
vs
Kyle Freeland
batter
Speed and gap power in spacious Coors outfield
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Diamondbacks
58%
Strikeouts
12
10-14
Total Runs
14
12-16
Game Preview
Arizona strikes first in the opening frame when Corbin Carroll doubles off the right field wall and scores on an Ildemaro Vargas RBI single, taking advantage of Kyle Freeland's early command issues. Colorado responds immediately in the second inning as Hunter Goodman launches his 11th home run into the left field seats, capitalizing on Merrill Kelly's elevated fastball location. The third inning becomes pivotal when Tyler Freeman doubles and TJ Rumfield drives him home with a clutch two-out single, followed by Ezequiel Tovar's RBI double that puts Colorado ahead 3-1. Arizona battles back in the fourth when Gabriel Moreno's rare extra-base hit drives in two runs, evening the score at 3-3 as Kelly continues to struggle with location. The middle innings see Colorado pull ahead 4-3 on another Goodman RBI, but Arizona ties it 4-4 in the sixth on a Carroll sacrifice fly. The seventh inning proves decisive as Arizona's bullpen falters, allowing two runs on three consecutive singles that give them a 6-4 lead. Colorado's offense explodes in the eighth inning with a three-run rally highlighted by Rumfield's go-ahead two-run triple down the right field line, putting the Rockies ahead 7-6. Freeman adds insurance in the ninth with an RBI single, securing an 8-6 victory that showcases Coors Field's offensive potential despite both teams' pitching struggles.
Both starting pitchers are in poor form with ERAs above 6.00, creating favorable conditions for hitters in Coors Field's offensive environment. However, the slight edge goes to Colorado due to home field advantage and Arizona's particularly poor 8-13 road record, though the game projects as high-scoring and competitive throughout.
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קולעים צפויים
Arizona Diamondbacks — סגל
| שחקן | עמדה | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte |
2B | .209 | 5 | 15 | .263 | .356 |
Corbin Carroll |
RF | .271 | 5 | 20 | .378 | .500 |
Geraldo Perdomo |
SS | .217 | 2 | 12 | .333 | .348 |
Nolan Arenado |
3B | .279 | 6 | 20 | .351 | .463 |
Ildemaro Vargas |
1B | .347 | 7 | 30 | .369 | .576 |
Tim Tawa |
LF | .152 | 1 | 6 | .259 | .261 |
Gabriel Moreno |
C | .228 | 1 | 12 | .276 | .354 |
Jose Fernandez |
DH | .265 | 3 | 13 | .303 | .381 |
Ryan Waldschmidt |
CF | .273 | 0 | 5 | .304 | .364 |
Colorado Rockies — סגל
| שחקן | עמדה | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Edouard Julien |
2B | .237 | 2 | 12 | .331 | .333 |
Mickey Moniak |
LF | .306 | 12 | 26 | .352 | .672 |
Hunter Goodman |
C | .247 | 11 | 19 | .310 | .513 |
TJ Rumfield |
DH | .273 | 6 | 22 | .341 | .441 |
Troy Johnston |
1B | .318 | 2 | 20 | .379 | .455 |
Jake McCarthy |
CF | .277 | 2 | 16 | .344 | .482 |
Willi Castro |
SS | .225 | 2 | 13 | .290 | .317 |
Sterlin Thompson |
RF | .000 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Kyle Karros |
3B | .221 | 1 | 10 | .336 | .295 |
משחקי ניקוד
▲ 1
Ildemaro Vargas singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Corbin Carroll scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.
1-0
▲ 1
Gabriel Moreno singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd.
3-0
▲ 1
Jose Fernandez doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Troy Johnston. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd.
4-0
▲ 1
Ryan Waldschmidt singles on a fly ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Gabriel Moreno scores. Jose Fernandez scores.
6-0
▼ 1
Hunter Goodman homers (11) on a line drive to left field.
6-1
▲ 4
Ildemaro Vargas singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.
7-1
▲ 7
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 2nd.
8-1
▲ 7
Gabriel Moreno doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Ildemaro Vargas scores.
9-1
Arizona Diamondbacks — חבטה
| שחקן | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte2B |
5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .619 |
Corbin CarrollRF |
5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .271 | .878 |
Geraldo PerdomoSS |
5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .681 |
Nolan Arenado3B |
1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .814 |
Ildemaro Vargas1B |
5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .347 | .945 |
Tim TawaLF |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .152 | .520 |
Gabriel MorenoC |
5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .228 | .630 |
Jose FernandezDH |
5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .265 | .684 |
Ryan WaldschmidtCF |
4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .273 | .668 |
| סכומים | 38 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
BATTING
2B: Fernandez, Jo (4, Freeland, K); Vargas, I (8, Freeland, K); Arenado (7, Agnos); Moreno (7, Agnos).
TB: Arenado 2; Carroll 2; Fernandez, Jo 2; Gurriel Jr.; Moreno 3; Perdomo; Vargas, I 5; Waldschmidt.
RBI: Fernandez, Jo (13); Gurriel Jr. (7); Moreno 3 (12); Vargas, I 2 (30); Waldschmidt 2 (5).
2-out RBI: Fernandez, Jo; Vargas, I 2; Moreno 2; Waldschmidt 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gurriel Jr. 2; Fernandez, Jo; Marte, K; Waldschmidt.
SF: Gurriel Jr.
Team RISP: 7-for-13.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Carroll (6, 3rd base off Freeland, K/Goodman); Waldschmidt (1, 2nd base off Freeland, K/Goodman).
1-Ran for Gurriel Jr. in the 9th.
Colorado Rockies — חבטה
| שחקן | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Edouard Julien2B |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .237 | .664 |
Mickey MoniakLF |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .306 | 1.024 |
Hunter GoodmanC |
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .247 | .823 |
TJ RumfieldDH |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .273 | .782 |
Troy Johnston1B |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .318 | .834 |
Jake McCarthyCF |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .826 |
Willi CastroSS |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .607 |
Sterlin ThompsonRF |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Kyle Karros3B |
3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .221 | .631 |
| סכומים | 31 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
BATTING
2B: Tovar (9, Kelly, Me); Moniak (9, Kelly, Me).
HR: Goodman (11, 1st inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Goodman 4; Karros, K; Moniak 2; Tovar 2.
RBI: Goodman (19).
2-out RBI: Goodman.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Karros, K; Rumfield.
Team RISP: 0-for-3.
Team LOB: 3.
FIELDING
E: Karros, K (4, throw).
Outfield assists: Moniak (Arenado at home).
a-Grounded out for Tovar in the 8th.
Arizona Diamondbacks — זריקה
| זורק | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merrill Kelly(W, 3-3) |
9.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 100-73 | 5.91 |
Colorado Rockies — זריקה
| זורק | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Freeland(L, 1-5) |
3.2 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 81-50 | 7.22 |
Zach Agnos |
4.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 57-41 | 5.59 |
Seth Halvorsen |
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25-15 | 1.80 |
מידע על המשחק
שופטים: Home Plate: Ryan Blakney; First Base: James Jean; Second Base: Nick Mahrley; Third Base: Marvin Hudson
אצטדיון: Coors Field, Denver
מזג אוויר: 80°F, Cloudy
רוח: 4 mph, In From CF
Arizona Diamondbacks — חדשות
Colorado Rockies — חדשות
השוואת עונות
STAT
Rockies
41-42
מאזן
33-51
49.4%
Win %
39.3%
.494
PCT
.393
350
ריצות בעד
387
381
ריצות נגד
476
83
משחקים ששוחקו
84
L3
רצף
L1
4-6
10 אחרונים
5-5
24-17
מאזן בית
18-22
17-25
מאזן חוץ
15-29
עימות ישיר
1
מאי 24
Rockies
1 - 9
Diamondbacks
מאי 23
Rockies
4 - 5
Diamondbacks
מאי 22
Rockies
3 - 2
Diamondbacks
מאי 21
Rockies
1 - 2
Diamondbacks
מאי 17
Diamondbacks
8 - 6
Rockies
Diamondbacks אחרונים
יונ 28
@ Rays
1-5
L
יונ 27
@ Rays
2-4
L
יונ 26
@ Rays
1-6
L
יונ 24
@ Cardinals
9-4
W
יונ 23
@ Cardinals
4-3
W
Rockies אחרונים
יונ 28
@ Twins
2-3
L
יונ 27
@ Twins
8-5
W
יונ 26
@ Twins
8-9
L
יונ 24
vs Red Sox
6-8
W
יונ 23
vs Red Sox
5-2
L



















