Quay lại trận đấu Thứ sáu, Tháng 4 24, 2026

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets — Tháng 4 24, 2026 | Dự đoán AI & Thống kê

Citi Field, Flushing
57°F, Clear
8 mph, Out To LF
W Michael Lorenzen L Freddy Peralta SV Antonio Senzatela

Bảng tỷ số

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rockies 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 4 10 1
Mets 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 11 0

DỰ ĐOÁN AIDự báo mạng thần kinh

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rockies 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 4
Mets 0 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 7
Confidence: 72% Mets favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between two struggling teams with the Mets hosting Colorado at Citi Field. The key storyline revolves around Juan Soto's return from the IL for New York, which should provide a significant boost to an offense that managed just 78 runs through their first 24 games. Soto was hitting .353 with a .380 OBP in limited action before his injury, and his presence in the lineup gives the Mets their most dangerous threat alongside the recently sidelined Francisco Lindor. However, Lindor's absence creates a void both offensively (.341 OBP) and defensively, with Ronny Mauricio stepping in at shortstop despite limited Triple-A production. Freddy Peralta takes the mound for New York with a 4.05 ERA and impressive 9.45 K/9 rate, though his recent velocity readings have been inconsistent (87.2-89.4 mph average). His four-pitch mix led by a 93.6 mph fastball should be effective against a Rockies lineup that's shown vulnerability on the road (3-10 record). The unknown starter for Colorado creates significant uncertainty, but their offense has been more productive than the Mets', averaging 4.0 runs per game compared to New York's 3.25. Hunter Goodman has emerged as a legitimate power threat with 6 home runs, while TJ Rumfield provides steady production at .253 with 13 RBI. The Mets' bullpen situation is dire with key relievers A.J. Minter, Reed Garrett, and Dedniel Núñez all on the IL. This creates late-inning vulnerability that Colorado could exploit, especially given their recent offensive outbursts including an 8-run performance against San Diego. The weather conditions are favorable with clear skies and light winds, while the home crowd should provide energy after the team finally ended their brutal 12-game losing streak. Both teams are desperate for consistency, but the Mets' home field advantage combined with Soto's return and a known quantity in Peralta gives them the edge in what should be a competitive, higher-scoring affair.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both offenses capitalize early against unknown starter matchup
Middle (4-6) 4R Peralta settles in while Rockies struggle with TBD pitcher
Late (7-9) 4R Mets bullpen depth concerns create late-inning opportunities

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Juan Soto's return from IL adds proven offensive threat
Recent offensive explosion vs Twins shows potential
Freddy Peralta's strikeout ability (9.45 K/9)
Francisco Lindor on IL removes key offensive catalyst
Bullpen decimated by injuries (Minter, Garrett, Núñez out)

Rockies

Better road offense than Mets home offense
Hunter Goodman's power surge (6 HR in 25 games)
TJ Rumfield providing consistent production (.253 AVG, 3 HR)
Terrible road record (3-10)
Unknown starting pitcher creates uncertainty

Risk Factors

Mets bullpen injury crisis
Unknown Rockies starter could be strength or weakness

Key Matchups

Hunter Goodman vs Freddy Peralta batter Power hitter vs fly ball pitcher
Juan Soto vs TBD batter Elite hitter returning from IL against unknown commodity

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rockies 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 11 8-13

Game Preview

The game opens with Colorado's unknown starter immediately tested by Juan Soto's return to the Mets lineup. After Soto works a leadoff walk in the first, the Rockies strike first when TJ Rumfield drives in Ezequiel Tovar with a sharp single to right field. Freddy Peralta settles in quickly, using his slider effectively to retire the side in the second inning while the Mets respond with Tyrone Taylor's RBI double to tie the game. The third inning becomes the pivotal frame as Soto delivers immediately upon his return, crushing a two-run homer to left field that energizes the Citi Field crowd. The Mets add another run on Brett Baty's sacrifice fly, taking a 3-1 lead that reflects their renewed offensive confidence. Peralta continues to dominate through the middle innings, striking out six batters over the fourth and fifth frames while Colorado's starter labors through multiple walks. The sixth inning sees Colorado mount their strongest rally when Hunter Goodman connects for his seventh home run of the season, a two-run blast that cuts the deficit to 4-3. However, the Mets respond decisively in the seventh with Luis Robert Jr. driving in two runs with a clutch two-out single. As the game moves to the late innings, Colorado's inability to generate consistent offense on the road becomes apparent, while the Mets add an insurance run in the ninth to secure a 7-4 victory that moves them toward respectability at home.
The 72% confidence reflects Juan Soto's immediate impact potential and Freddy Peralta's known quantities against Colorado's road struggles, though the unknown starter and Mets bullpen concerns prevent higher certainty. The home field advantage and recent offensive explosion against Minnesota provide additional support for this prediction.
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Colorado Rockies — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Mickey Moniak
DH .315815.338.712
Hunter Goodman
C .26469.343.527
TJ Rumfield
1B .266316.333.426
Tyler Freeman
2B .28907.360.311
Troy Johnston
RF .317214.371.463
Kyle Karros
3B .20313.341.284
Ezequiel Tovar
SS .21616.255.330
Jordan Beck
LF .16017.204.260
Brenton Doyle
CF .21912.288.288

New York Mets — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Bo Bichette
3B .239112.270.312
Juan Soto
DH .31715.404.439
Luis Torrens
C .24004.240.320
Brett Baty
RF .240112.263.360
Mark Vientos
1B .24227.282.364
Marcus Semien
2B .22818.287.315
Carson Benge
LF .16424.238.274
MJ Melendez
PH .29412.368.588
Ronny Mauricio
SS .27301.273.273

Lượt ghi điểm

2
Marcus Semien grounds into a double play, second baseman Tyler Freeman to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Brett Baty scores. Mark Vientos out at 2nd. Marcus Semien out at 1st.
0-1
5
TJ Rumfield grounds out, pitcher Freddy Peralta to first baseman Mark Vientos. Brenton Doyle scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.
1-1
6
Jake McCarthy doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Kyle Karros scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd.
2-1
7
Troy Johnston singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor, deflected by second baseman Marcus Semien. Hunter Goodman scores. TJ Rumfield scores.
4-1
8
Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Ronny Mauricio scores. Bo Bichette scores. Francisco Alvarez to 2nd.
4-3

Colorado Rockies — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Mickey MoniakDH
5010020.3151.050
Hunter GoodmanC
4110120.264.870
TJ Rumfield1B
3111110.266.759
Tyler Freeman2B
4010010.289.671
Troy JohnstonRF
5012020.317.834
Kyle Karros3B
4110110.203.625
Ezequiel TovarSS
4020020.216.585
Jordan BeckLF
1000010.160.464
Brenton DoyleCF
3110120.219.576
Tổng3641044150
BATTING
2B: McCarthy (5, Peralta, F).
TB: Doyle, B; Freeman, T; Goodman; Johnston, T; Karros, K; McCarthy 2; Moniak; Rumfield; Tovar 2.
RBI: Johnston, T 2 (14); McCarthy (5); Rumfield (16).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Freeman, T 2; Rumfield; Beck; Moniak 2; Tovar.
SAC: Freeman, T.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 11.
BASERUNNING
SB: Doyle, B (6, 2nd base off Manaea/Alvarez, F).
FIELDING
E: Karros, K (3, fielding).
DP: 4 (Freeman, T-Tovar-Rumfield; Tovar-Freeman, T-Rumfield; Karros, K-Freeman, T-Rumfield; Freeman, T).
a-Struck out for McCarthy in the 7th.

New York Mets — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Bo Bichette3B
4110000.239.582
Juan SotoDH
4010000.317.843
Luis TorrensC
0000000.240.560
Brett BatyRF
4122000.240.623
Mark Vientos1B
4020010.242.646
Marcus Semien2B
4000000.228.602
Carson BengeLF
4010000.164.512
MJ MelendezPH
1000010.294.956
Ronny MauricioSS
3120000.273.546
Tổng353112040
BATTING
2B: Baty (4, Lorenzen).
TB: Alvarez, F; Baty 3; Benge; Bichette; Mauricio 2; Soto, J; Taylor, T; Vientos 2.
RBI: Baty 2 (12).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mauricio.
GIDP: Alvarez, F; Bichette; Semien.
Team RISP: 3-for-8.
Team LOB: 5.
a-Struck out for Taylor, T in the 9th.
1-Ran for Alvarez, F in the 8th.

Colorado Rockies — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael Lorenzen(W, 2-2)
7.071103090-555.97
Jaden Hill(H, 5)
0.142200012-93.48
Antonio Senzatela(S, 2)
1.200001010-70.50

New York Mets — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Freddy Peralta(L, 1-3)
5.272238095-673.90
Sean Manaea
3.132217061-444.66

Thông tin trận đấu

Trọng tài: Home Plate: Nick Mahrley; First Base: Marvin Hudson; Second Base: Louie Krupa; Third Base: Ryan Blakney
Sân vận động: Citi Field, Flushing
Thời tiết: 57°F, Clear
Gió: 8 mph, Out To LF

Colorado Rockies — Tin tức

New York Mets — Tin tức

So sánh mùa giải

Rockies
STAT
Mets
24-39 Thành tích 27-35
38.1% Win % 43.5%
.381 PCT .435
272 Điểm ghi được 251
355 Điểm để thua 264
63 Trận đã đấu 62
L1 Chuỗi W1
4-6 10 trận gần nhất 5-5
12-16 Thành tích sân nhà 15-15
12-23 Thành tích sân khách 12-20

Đối đầu

3
Gần nhất 5 lần gặp
2
Tháng 5 7
Mets 2 - 6 Rockies
Tháng 5 6
Mets 10 - 5 Rockies
Tháng 5 4
Mets 4 - 2 Rockies
Tháng 4 26
Rockies 3 - 0 Mets
Tháng 4 26
Rockies 3 - 1 Mets

Rockies Gần đây

Tháng 6 5 vs Brewers 9-7 L
Tháng 6 3 @ Angels 4-11 L
Tháng 6 2 @ Angels 8-2 W
Tháng 6 1 @ Angels 9-8 W
Tháng 5 31 vs Giants 19-6 L

Mets Gần đây

Tháng 6 5 @ Padres 5-0 W
Tháng 6 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Tháng 6 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Tháng 6 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Tháng 5 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W

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