Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets — Apr 24, 2026 | AI-prognos & statistik

This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between two struggling teams with the Mets hosting Colorado at Citi Field. The key storyline revolves around Juan Soto's return from the IL for New York, which should provide a significant boost to an offense that managed just 78 runs through their first 24 games. Soto was hitting .353 with a .380 OBP in limited action before his injury, and his presence in the lineup gives the Mets their most dangerous threat alongside the recently sidelined Francisco Lindor. However, Lindor's absence creates a void both offensively (.341 OBP) and defensively, with Ronny Mauricio stepping in at shortstop despite limited Triple-A production. Freddy Peralta takes the mound for New York with a 4.05 ERA and impressive 9.45 K/9 rate, though his recent velocity readings have been inconsistent (87.2-89.4 mph average). His four-pitch mix led by a 93.6 mph fastball should be effective against a Rockies lineup that's shown vulnerability on the road (3-10 record). The unknown starter for Colorado creates significant uncertainty, but their offense has been more productive than the Mets', averaging 4.0 runs per game compared to New York's 3.25. Hunter Goodman has emerged as a legitimate power threat with 6 home runs, while TJ Rumfield provides steady production at .253 with 13 RBI. The Mets' bullpen situation is dire with key relievers A.J. Minter, Reed Garrett, and Dedniel Núñez all on the IL. This creates late-inning vulnerability that Colorado could exploit, especially given their recent offensive outbursts including an 8-run performance against San Diego. The weather conditions are favorable with clear skies and light winds, while the home crowd should provide energy after the team finally ended their brutal 12-game losing streak. Both teams are desperate for consistency, but the Mets' home field advantage combined with Soto's return and a known quantity in Peralta gives them the edge in what should be a competitive, higher-scoring affair.