Назад к играм Вторник, Апр 21, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs — Апр 21, 2026 | Прогноз ИИ и статистика

Wrigley Field, Chicago
72°F, Partly Cloudy
3 mph, Out To RF
W Shota Imanaga L Tanner Banks SV Caleb Thielbar

Счёт

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Phillies 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 4 6 0
Cubs 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 1 - 7 12 2

AI-ПРОГНОЗПрогноз нейросети

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Phillies 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Cubs 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 7
Confidence: 82% Cubs favored
The Cubs return to Wrigley Field riding a scorching six-game winning streak and carrying tremendous momentum from their recent dominance over these same Phillies. Shota Imanaga takes the mound with pristine command metrics - a 0.77 WHIP and 12.68 K/9 ratio that represents one of the season's most impressive pitching performances. His splitter-heavy approach has been devastating, and he's maintained excellent velocity and spin rates through his recent starts. The left-hander faces a Philadelphia lineup that has managed just 76 runs through 22 games, a concerning offensive output that reflects deeper systematic issues. Philadelphia counters with Jesús Luzardo, whose 7.94 ERA tells the story of early-season struggles despite respectable strikeout numbers. Luzardo's command has been erratic, evidenced by hard contact allowed and inconsistent location of his four-seam fastball and sinker combination. The Phillies enter this contest in freefall, losers of six straight and showing clear signs of offensive dysfunction. Trea Turner and Brandon Marsh represent their most consistent threats, but the supporting cast has failed to provide adequate run production. The Cubs' offensive surge has been powered by Nico Hoerner's breakout performance (.325 average, 21 RBI) and Michael Conforto's veteran consistency (.304). This lineup has shown remarkable adaptability and clutch hitting during their winning streak, averaging over five runs per game in their last ten contests. While Chicago's pitching depth remains a concern with ten arms on the injured list, their remaining bullpen pieces have stepped up admirably. The combination of home field advantage at pitcher-friendly Wrigley Field, superior recent form, and a significant pitching matchup edge positions the Cubs as strong favorites to extend their dominance over Philadelphia.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Cubs capitalize on Luzardo's command issues in first two innings
Middle (4-6) 2R Both pitchers settle in, modest offensive production
Late (7-9) 4R Cubs bullpen holds while offense adds insurance runs

Matchup Analysis

Cubs

Hot streak momentum (W6)
Strong offensive lineup led by Hoerner (.325) and Conforto (.304)
Imanaga's excellent command (0.77 WHIP, 12.68 K/9)
Decimated pitching depth with 10 pitchers on IL
Heavy bullpen usage concerns

Phillies

Luzardo's strikeout ability (11.91 K/9)
Turner and Marsh providing some offensive spark
Desperation motivation to end losing streak
Luzardo's inflated ERA (7.94) and poor recent performance
Team-wide offensive struggles (76 runs in 22 games)
Six-game losing streak crushing confidence

Risk Factors

Cubs bullpen fatigue from heavy IL list
Phillies desperate for momentum shift

Key Matchups

Nico Hoerner vs Jesús Luzardo batter Hot hitter vs struggling command
Trea Turner vs Shota Imanaga pitcher Imanaga's splitter neutralizes speed

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cubs 78%
Strikeouts 14 12-16
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Imanaga establishes his rhythm early, working ahead in counts with his four-seam fastball before devastating Phillies hitters with his signature splitter. Hoerner continues his torrid pace with a two-RBI double in the second inning, capitalizing on Luzardo's struggles with command in the strike zone. The Cubs build a 3-1 advantage through five innings as Imanaga navigates the heart of Philadelphia's order with precision, striking out Turner looking on a perfectly located splitter. Luzardo settles into a groove during the middle innings, but the damage proves insurmountable as Chicago's lineup continues to apply pressure. Conforto adds an RBI single in the sixth, while the Cubs' makeshift bullpen combination holds the Phillies to minimal scoring opportunities. The Wrigley Field faithful witness another dominant performance in what has become a statement series for the surging Cubs, as they push their winning streak to seven games while extending Philadelphia's misery on the road.
The confidence stems from Chicago's exceptional recent form (6-0 streak) combined with a significant pitching advantage - Imanaga's elite metrics against Luzardo's struggles. Philadelphia's offensive dysfunction (3.5 runs per game) facing a Cubs team that has dominated this matchup recently creates a clear edge.
Baseball Predict App
BaseballPredicts: Прогнозы и статистика Прогнозы MLB на основе ИИ

Прогнозы, статистика и многое другое в приложении

AI-прогнозы на предстоящие игры, прогнозы по иннингам, экспертные комментарии, детальная статистика и обновления в реальном времени.

Philadelphia Phillies — Состав

ИгрокПоз.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trea Turner
SS .23427.294.340
Kyle Schwarber
DH .217815.363.554
Bryce Harper
1B .274513.365.536
Felix Reyes
LF .28611.286.714
Adolis García
RF .21025.301.333
J.T. Realmuto
C .25914.344.352
Alec Bohm
3B .128111.205.179
Brandon Marsh
CF .276211.300.408
Edmundo Sosa
2B .21915.265.375

Chicago Cubs — Состав

ИгрокПоз.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Nico Hoerner
2B .326422.402.533
Alex Bregman
DH .24529.327.340
Ian Happ
LF .244611.367.512
Seiya Suzuki
RF .25614.396.359
Carson Kelly
C .310210.420.466
Michael Busch
1B .17305.269.198
Dansby Swanson
SS .187515.337.400
Scott Kingery
3B .25000.250.250
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF .22515.281.303

Результативные розыгрыши

5
Moisés Ballesteros walks. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.
0-1
6
Kyle Schwarber homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-1
6
Michael Busch singles on a fly ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Nico Hoerner scores. Ian Happ scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd.
1-3
7
Nico Hoerner homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.
1-4
7
Seiya Suzuki homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Bregman scores.
1-6
8
Bryce Harper homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.
3-6
8
Nico Hoerner hit by pitch.
3-7
9
Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Adolis García scores.
4-7

Philadelphia Phillies — Отбивание

ИгрокABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trea TurnerSS
4000110.234.634
Kyle SchwarberDH
3211101.217.917
Bryce Harper1B
4112011.274.901
Felix ReyesLF
4010000.2861.000
Adolis GarcíaRF
4110000.210.634
J.T. RealmutoC
4000000.259.696
Alec Bohm3B
3001000.128.384
Brandon MarshCF
4020000.276.708
Edmundo Sosa2B
4000010.219.640
Итого34464232
BATTING
HR: Schwarber (8, 6th inning off Imanaga, 0 on, 1 out); Harper, B (5, 8th inning off Martin, R, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: García, Ad; Harper, B 4; Marsh 2; Reyes, F; Schwarber 4.
RBI: Bohm (11); Harper, B 2 (13); Schwarber (15).
2-out RBI: Harper, B 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Turner 2; Reyes, F.
SF: Bohm.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Turner (3, 2nd base off Imanaga/Kelly, C).

Chicago Cubs — Отбивание

ИгрокABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Nico Hoerner2B
5221001.326.935
Alex BregmanDH
4110200.245.667
Ian HappLF
4210200.244.879
Seiya SuzukiRF
4122011.256.755
Carson KellyC
4010110.310.886
Michael Busch1B
4112110.173.467
Dansby SwansonSS
2000310.187.737
Scott Kingery3B
2010000.250.500
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
5020010.225.584
Итого3671261062
BATTING
HR: Hoerner (4, 7th inning off Mayza, 0 on, 1 out); Suzuki (1, 7th inning off Mayza, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Bregman; Busch; Crow-Armstrong 2; Happ; Hoerner 5; Kelly, C; Kingery; Shaw; Suzuki 5.
RBI: Ballesteros (11); Busch 2 (5); Hoerner (22); Suzuki 2 (4).
2-out RBI: Busch 2; Suzuki 2; Ballesteros.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Busch 2; Crow-Armstrong 3; Bregman; Happ 2; Kingery 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-14.
Team LOB: 17.
BASERUNNING
SB: Happ (1, 2nd base off Banks/Realmuto).
FIELDING
E: Kingery 2 (2, throw, throw).
a-Walked for Shaw in the 5th.
1-Ran for Ballesteros in the 5th.

Philadelphia Phillies — Подача

ПитчерIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jesús Luzardo
4.2511430100-606.91
Orion Kerkering
0.100020015-64.05
Tanner Banks(L, 0-1)
1.032221030-175.59
Tim Mayza
1.023311223-164.85
José Alvarado
0.121111023-139.82
Brad Keller
0.20000003-33.86

Chicago Cubs — Подача

ПитчерIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Shota Imanaga(W, 2-1)
7.031111187-522.17
Riley Martin
1.012212117-102.45
Jacob Webb
0.12100007-74.82
Caleb Thielbar(S, 2)
0.20000006-42.08

Информация о матче

Судьи: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: John Bacon; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Edwin Moscoso
Стадион: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Погода: 72°F, Partly Cloudy
Ветер: 3 mph, Out To RF

Philadelphia Phillies — Новости

Chicago Cubs — Новости

Сравнение сезонов

Phillies
STAT
Cubs
32-29 Рекорд 32-30
52.5% Win % 51.6%
.525 PCT .516
236 Раны забитые 289
260 Раны пропущенные 272
61 Игр сыграно 62
W2 Серия L3
7-3 Последние 10 3-7
16-16 Дома 18-13
16-13 В гостях 14-17

Личные встречи

0
Последние 5 встреч
5
Апр 23
Phillies 7 - 8 Cubs
Апр 22
Phillies 2 - 7 Cubs
Апр 20
Phillies 1 - 5 Cubs
Апр 15
Cubs 11 - 2 Phillies
Апр 14
Cubs 10 - 4 Phillies

Phillies Недавние

Июн 4 vs Padres 4-6 W
Июн 3 vs Padres 2-3 W
Июн 2 vs Padres 2-3 W
Май 31 @ Dodgers 1-9 L
Май 30 @ Dodgers 4-3 W

Cubs Недавние

Июн 3 vs Athletics 5-4 L
Июн 2 vs Athletics 2-1 L
Май 31 @ Cardinals 1-5 L
Май 30 @ Cardinals 6-1 W
Май 29 @ Cardinals 5-6 L

Раскройте силу AI-прогнозов

Премиум-аналитика и глубокие инсайты

AI-прогнозы Продвинутые прогнозы машинного обучения
Глубокая аналитика Профессиональная статистика
Экспертный комментарий Детальный анализ игры

AI-прогнозы на бейсбол MLB

Получите преимущество в каждой игре MLB с нашим AI-приложением для прогнозов. Вероятности счёта по иннингам в реальном времени, точные прогнозы исходов игр, детальная аналитика игроков и команд, интерактивная статистика — всё на базе постоянно совершенствующегося алгоритма. Болельщик или аналитик — Baseball Predict доставляет самые точные прогнозы и аналитику MLB прямо на ваш телефон.

Вероятности счёта по иннингам
Точные прогнозы исходов игр
Аналитика игроков и команд
Регулярные обновления AI-модели
Baseball Predict App — AI MLB Predictions

Наши другие спортивные приложения