Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs — إبريل 21, 2026 | توقعات الذكاء الاصطناعي والإحصائيات
لوحة النتائج
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
|
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - | 7 | 12 | 2 |
تنبؤ AIتوقعات الشبكة العصبية
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Confidence: 82%
Cubs favored
The Cubs return to Wrigley Field riding a scorching six-game winning streak and carrying tremendous momentum from their recent dominance over these same Phillies. Shota Imanaga takes the mound with pristine command metrics - a 0.77 WHIP and 12.68 K/9 ratio that represents one of the season's most impressive pitching performances. His splitter-heavy approach has been devastating, and he's maintained excellent velocity and spin rates through his recent starts. The left-hander faces a Philadelphia lineup that has managed just 76 runs through 22 games, a concerning offensive output that reflects deeper systematic issues.
Philadelphia counters with Jesús Luzardo, whose 7.94 ERA tells the story of early-season struggles despite respectable strikeout numbers. Luzardo's command has been erratic, evidenced by hard contact allowed and inconsistent location of his four-seam fastball and sinker combination. The Phillies enter this contest in freefall, losers of six straight and showing clear signs of offensive dysfunction. Trea Turner and Brandon Marsh represent their most consistent threats, but the supporting cast has failed to provide adequate run production.
The Cubs' offensive surge has been powered by Nico Hoerner's breakout performance (.325 average, 21 RBI) and Michael Conforto's veteran consistency (.304). This lineup has shown remarkable adaptability and clutch hitting during their winning streak, averaging over five runs per game in their last ten contests. While Chicago's pitching depth remains a concern with ten arms on the injured list, their remaining bullpen pieces have stepped up admirably. The combination of home field advantage at pitcher-friendly Wrigley Field, superior recent form, and a significant pitching matchup edge positions the Cubs as strong favorites to extend their dominance over Philadelphia.
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
3R
Cubs capitalize on Luzardo's command issues in first two innings
Middle (4-6)
2R
Both pitchers settle in, modest offensive production
Late (7-9)
4R
Cubs bullpen holds while offense adds insurance runs
Matchup Analysis
Cubs
Hot streak momentum (W6)
Strong offensive lineup led by Hoerner (.325) and Conforto (.304)
Imanaga's excellent command (0.77 WHIP, 12.68 K/9)
Decimated pitching depth with 10 pitchers on IL
Heavy bullpen usage concerns
Phillies
Luzardo's strikeout ability (11.91 K/9)
Turner and Marsh providing some offensive spark
Desperation motivation to end losing streak
Luzardo's inflated ERA (7.94) and poor recent performance
Team-wide offensive struggles (76 runs in 22 games)
Six-game losing streak crushing confidence
Risk Factors
Cubs bullpen fatigue from heavy IL list
Phillies desperate for momentum shift
Key Matchups
Nico Hoerner
vs
Jesús Luzardo
batter
Hot hitter vs struggling command
Trea Turner
vs
Shota Imanaga
pitcher
Imanaga's splitter neutralizes speed
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Cubs
78%
Strikeouts
14
12-16
Total Runs
9
7-11
Game Preview
Imanaga establishes his rhythm early, working ahead in counts with his four-seam fastball before devastating Phillies hitters with his signature splitter. Hoerner continues his torrid pace with a two-RBI double in the second inning, capitalizing on Luzardo's struggles with command in the strike zone. The Cubs build a 3-1 advantage through five innings as Imanaga navigates the heart of Philadelphia's order with precision, striking out Turner looking on a perfectly located splitter.
Luzardo settles into a groove during the middle innings, but the damage proves insurmountable as Chicago's lineup continues to apply pressure. Conforto adds an RBI single in the sixth, while the Cubs' makeshift bullpen combination holds the Phillies to minimal scoring opportunities. The Wrigley Field faithful witness another dominant performance in what has become a statement series for the surging Cubs, as they push their winning streak to seven games while extending Philadelphia's misery on the road.
The confidence stems from Chicago's exceptional recent form (6-0 streak) combined with a significant pitching advantage - Imanaga's elite metrics against Luzardo's struggles. Philadelphia's offensive dysfunction (3.5 runs per game) facing a Cubs team that has dominated this matchup recently creates a clear edge.
BaseballPredicts: توقعات وإحصائيات
توقعات MLB بالذكاء الاصطناعي
التنبؤات والإحصائيات والمزيد في التطبيق
تنبؤات AI للمباريات القادمة، توقعات شوط بشوط، تعليقات الخبراء، إحصائيات تفصيلية، وتحديثات لحظية.
الرماة المحتملون
Philadelphia Phillies — قائمة اللاعبين
| اللاعب | المركز | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trea Turner |
SS | .234 | 2 | 7 | .294 | .340 |
Kyle Schwarber |
DH | .217 | 8 | 15 | .363 | .554 |
Bryce Harper |
1B | .274 | 5 | 13 | .365 | .536 |
Felix Reyes |
LF | .286 | 1 | 1 | .286 | .714 |
Adolis García |
RF | .210 | 2 | 5 | .301 | .333 |
J.T. Realmuto |
C | .259 | 1 | 4 | .344 | .352 |
Alec Bohm |
3B | .128 | 1 | 11 | .205 | .179 |
Brandon Marsh |
CF | .276 | 2 | 11 | .300 | .408 |
Edmundo Sosa |
2B | .219 | 1 | 5 | .265 | .375 |
Chicago Cubs — قائمة اللاعبين
| اللاعب | المركز | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nico Hoerner |
2B | .326 | 4 | 22 | .402 | .533 |
Alex Bregman |
DH | .245 | 2 | 9 | .327 | .340 |
Ian Happ |
LF | .244 | 6 | 11 | .367 | .512 |
Seiya Suzuki |
RF | .256 | 1 | 4 | .396 | .359 |
Carson Kelly |
C | .310 | 2 | 10 | .420 | .466 |
Michael Busch |
1B | .173 | 0 | 5 | .269 | .198 |
Dansby Swanson |
SS | .187 | 5 | 15 | .337 | .400 |
Scott Kingery |
3B | .250 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .250 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong |
CF | .225 | 1 | 5 | .281 | .303 |
أهداف المباراة
▼ 5
Moisés Ballesteros walks. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.
0-1
▲ 6
Kyle Schwarber homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-1
▼ 6
Michael Busch singles on a fly ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Nico Hoerner scores. Ian Happ scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd.
1-3
▼ 7
Nico Hoerner homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.
1-4
▼ 7
Seiya Suzuki homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Bregman scores.
1-6
▲ 8
Bryce Harper homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.
3-6
▼ 8
Nico Hoerner hit by pitch.
3-7
▲ 9
Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Adolis García scores.
4-7
Philadelphia Phillies — الضرب
| اللاعب | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trea TurnerSS |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .234 | .634 |
Kyle SchwarberDH |
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .217 | .917 |
Bryce Harper1B |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .274 | .901 |
Felix ReyesLF |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .286 | 1.000 |
Adolis GarcíaRF |
4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .634 |
J.T. RealmutoC |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .259 | .696 |
Alec Bohm3B |
3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .128 | .384 |
Brandon MarshCF |
4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .708 |
Edmundo Sosa2B |
4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .640 |
| الإجمالي | 34 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
BATTING
HR: Schwarber (8, 6th inning off Imanaga, 0 on, 1 out); Harper, B (5, 8th inning off Martin, R, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: García, Ad; Harper, B 4; Marsh 2; Reyes, F; Schwarber 4.
RBI: Bohm (11); Harper, B 2 (13); Schwarber (15).
2-out RBI: Harper, B 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Turner 2; Reyes, F.
SF: Bohm.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Turner (3, 2nd base off Imanaga/Kelly, C).
Chicago Cubs — الضرب
| اللاعب | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nico Hoerner2B |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .326 | .935 |
Alex BregmanDH |
4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .245 | .667 |
Ian HappLF |
4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .244 | .879 |
Seiya SuzukiRF |
4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .256 | .755 |
Carson KellyC |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .310 | .886 |
Michael Busch1B |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .173 | .467 |
Dansby SwansonSS |
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .187 | .737 |
Scott Kingery3B |
2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .500 |
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF |
5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .225 | .584 |
| الإجمالي | 36 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 |
BATTING
HR: Hoerner (4, 7th inning off Mayza, 0 on, 1 out); Suzuki (1, 7th inning off Mayza, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Bregman; Busch; Crow-Armstrong 2; Happ; Hoerner 5; Kelly, C; Kingery; Shaw; Suzuki 5.
RBI: Ballesteros (11); Busch 2 (5); Hoerner (22); Suzuki 2 (4).
2-out RBI: Busch 2; Suzuki 2; Ballesteros.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Busch 2; Crow-Armstrong 3; Bregman; Happ 2; Kingery 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-14.
Team LOB: 17.
BASERUNNING
SB: Happ (1, 2nd base off Banks/Realmuto).
FIELDING
E: Kingery 2 (2, throw, throw).
a-Walked for Shaw in the 5th.
1-Ran for Ballesteros in the 5th.
Philadelphia Phillies — الرمي
| الرامي | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jesús Luzardo |
4.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 100-60 | 6.91 |
Orion Kerkering |
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15-6 | 4.05 |
Tanner Banks(L, 0-1) |
1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30-17 | 5.59 |
Tim Mayza |
1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23-16 | 4.85 |
José Alvarado |
0.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23-13 | 9.82 |
Brad Keller |
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 3.86 |
Chicago Cubs — الرمي
| الرامي | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shota Imanaga(W, 2-1) |
7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 87-52 | 2.17 |
Riley Martin |
1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17-10 | 2.45 |
Jacob Webb |
0.1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-7 | 4.82 |
Caleb Thielbar(S, 2) |
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-4 | 2.08 |
معلومات المباراة
الحكام: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: John Bacon; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Edwin Moscoso
الملعب: Wrigley Field, Chicago
الطقس: 72°F, Partly Cloudy
الرياح: 3 mph, Out To RF
Philadelphia Phillies — الأخبار
Chicago Cubs — الأخبار
مقارنة المواسم
STAT
Cubs
32-29
السجل
32-30
52.5%
Win %
51.6%
.525
PCT
.516
236
الأشواط المسجلة
289
260
الأشواط المستقبلة
272
61
المباريات الملعوبة
62
W2
سلسلة
L3
7-3
آخر 10
3-7
16-16
سجل المحلي
18-13
16-13
سجل الزائر
14-17
مواجهات مباشرة
5
إبريل 23
Phillies
7 - 8
Cubs
إبريل 22
Phillies
2 - 7
Cubs
إبريل 20
Phillies
1 - 5
Cubs
إبريل 15
Cubs
11 - 2
Phillies
إبريل 14
Cubs
10 - 4
Phillies
Phillies الأخيرة
يونيو 4
vs Padres
4-6
W
يونيو 3
vs Padres
2-3
W
يونيو 2
vs Padres
2-3
W
مايو 31
@ Dodgers
1-9
L
مايو 30
@ Dodgers
4-3
W
Cubs الأخيرة
يونيو 3
vs Athletics
5-4
L
يونيو 2
vs Athletics
2-1
L
مايو 31
@ Cardinals
1-5
L
مايو 30
@ Cardinals
6-1
W
مايو 29
@ Cardinals
5-6
L

























