Inapoi la meciuri Duminica, Iul 26, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — Iul 26, 2026 | Predicție AI și statistici

Citi Field, Flushing
79°F, Sunny
5 mph, In From CF
W Cionel Pérez L Evan Phillips

Tabela de scor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Dodgers 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 9 0
Mets 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 0 - 8 6 1

PREDICTIE AIPrognoza retea neuronala

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Dodgers 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 5
Mets 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2
Confidence: 72% Dodgers favored
The Los Angeles Dodgers arrive at Citi Field for the series finale holding all the momentum: a four-game win streak, back-to-back victories over these same Mets, and a run differential of +160 that towers over every team in baseball. The most significant development ahead of this rubber game, however, belongs to New York — Juan Soto, the Mets' offensive cornerstone (.283 AVG, 21 HR, 52 RBI, .422 xwOBA), has been placed on the 10-day IL with a calf strain. Wagaman stepping in is a steep drop in production and removes the one hitter capable of single-handedly changing a game's complexion. Freddy Peralta takes the ball for New York carrying a bloated 5.01 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. His four-seam fastball accounts for over half his pitch mix, and against the Dodgers' contact-oriented, patient lineup, that predictability is exploitable. His walk rate (3.78 BB/9) compounds the danger — free baserunners against this Dodger offense tend to score. Emmet Sheehan counters for Los Angeles with a 5.13 ERA, but his 10.16 K/9 and tighter walk rate (2.77 BB/9) profile better against a Mets lineup that just lost its best bat. New York's bullpen is also concerning — Clay Holmes (60-day IL, fibula fracture), Dedniel Núñez (Tommy John recovery), Reed Garrett, and Tylor Megill are all unavailable, leaving a threadbare relief corps after a three-game losing streak that has taxed available arms. The Dodgers' bullpen, while missing Treinen and Graterol, remains deeper and better rested. Dalton Rushing (11 HR, .242 AVG) and Teoscar Hernández anchor the LA offense in the middle of the order. Citi Field's moderate dimensions and clear 81-degree afternoon conditions favor a crisp, well-pitched game — but Peralta's command issues tilt the run environment toward the visitors.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Dodgers strike first vs shaky Peralta
Middle (4-6) 2R Soto-less NYM offense sputters vs Sheehan
Late (7-9) 2R LAD bullpen closes out depleted Mets lineup

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Juan Soto presence in lineup
Citi Field home familiarity
Tyrone Taylor provides pop
Soto on IL — massive loss
Peralta's 5.01 ERA struggles

Dodgers

MLB-best run differential +160
4-game win streak momentum
Deep versatile lineup
Multiple key pitchers on IL
Will Smith out at catcher

Risk Factors

Peralta early implosion possible
Mets bullpen overworked on L3 streak

Key Matchups

Teoscar Hernandez vs Freddy Peralta batter Peralta's high walk rate leaves gaps for Hernandez's power
Dalton Rushing vs Freddy Peralta batter Rushing's 11 HR vs fastball-heavy pitchers, Peralta 53% FF
Tyrone Taylor vs Emmet Sheehan pitcher Sheehan's slider neutralizes Taylor's contact approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Dodgers 65%
Strikeouts 17 14-21
Total Runs 7 5-10

Game Preview

With Juan Soto watching from the dugout in street clothes, Freddy Peralta faces a Dodger lineup buzzing with confidence from consecutive Citi Field wins. The trouble starts in the first inning when Teoscar Hernández works a walk against Peralta's wandering fastball command, and Dalton Rushing follows with a run-scoring double into the left-center gap, staking Los Angeles to a 1-0 lead before the Mets have swung the bat. Peralta settles somewhat but surrenders a solo home run to Rushing in the third to extend the deficit to 2-0. The Mets show fight, getting a run back in the bottom half on a Tyrone Taylor RBI single, trimming it to 2-1. Emmet Sheehan, however, is sharp in his element — his slider is biting and the Mets' lineup without Soto has no answer for it through the middle innings. The Dodgers tack on another run in the fourth via an Alex Call RBI groundout, and then again in the seventh when a Mets reliever enters and promptly allows an inherited runner to score, pushing the lead to 5-1. The Mets manufacture a garbage-time run in the sixth on a Luis Torrens sacrifice fly, but the margin remains too large. The Dodgers' bullpen slams the door in the eighth and ninth, completing the three-game sweep at Citi Field. Los Angeles has now won four straight and owns the series decisively, outscoring New York 13-7 across the final two days.
Soto's IL placement is the decisive blow — it strips NYM's offense while LAD has a better pitcher, deeper bullpen, and 4-game win streak. Both starters have elevated ERAs, but the lineup gap is now glaring.
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Los Angeles Dodgers — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Alex Call
PH .246116.355.314
Andy Pages
CF .2631769.332.454
Alex Freeland
PH .231319.309.313
Max Muncy
3B .2562048.351.500
Mookie Betts
SS .2291334.291.410
Tommy Edman
2B .337217.414.490
Kyle Tucker
RF .239951.334.376
Teoscar Hernández
LF .251837.323.390
Dalton Rushing
C .2461133.333.463

New York Mets — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
A.J. Ewing
CF .264725.338.413
Francisco Lindor
SS .223617.308.378
Bo Bichette
3B .2571052.305.370
Carson Benge
RF .2581140.323.389
Jorge Polanco
DH .14914.208.223
Marcus Semien
2B .2071133.263.344
Tyrone Taylor
LF .237823.281.481
Brett Baty
1B .222633.295.328
Luis Torrens
C .223219.284.320

Jocuri de scor

1
Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. A.J. Ewing scores.
0-1
3
Freddie Freeman doubles (27) on a line drive to left fielder Tyrone Taylor. Eliezer Alfonzo scores. Andy Pages to 3rd.
1-1
3
Max Muncy grounds out, second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Jared Young. Andy Pages scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd.
2-1
4
Eliezer Alfonzo grounds out, pitcher Freddy Peralta to second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Jared Young. Tommy Edman scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.
3-1
6
Tyrone Taylor homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Carson Benge scores. Luis Robert Jr. scores.
3-4
7
Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
3-5
7
Marcus Semien homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Bo Bichette scores. Jorge Polanco scores.
3-8

Los Angeles Dodgers — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Alex CallPH
1000010.246.669
Andy PagesCF
4100120.263.786
Alex FreelandPH
1000010.231.622
Max Muncy3B
3001110.256.851
Mookie BettsSS
4000000.229.701
Tommy Edman2B
4120010.337.904
Kyle TuckerRF
3000000.239.710
Teoscar HernándezLF
4020010.251.713
Dalton RushingC
1010000.246.796
Total363932100
BATTING
2B: Ohtani (19, Peralta, F); Alfonzo (2, Peralta, F); Freeman, F (27, Peralta, F).
TB: Alfonzo 2; Edman 2; Freeman, F 3; Hernández, T 2; Ohtani 2; Rushing.
RBI: Alfonzo (2); Freeman, F (52); Muncy (48).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Pages, A 2; Hernández, T 2; Freeland, A; Betts 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-13.
Team LOB: 9.
FIELDING
PB: Rushing (6).
a-Lined out for Alfonzo in the 7th.
b-Struck out for Ohtani in the 9th.
c-Struck out for Freeman, F in the 9th.

New York Mets — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
A.J. EwingCF
3210200.264.751
Francisco LindorSS
5011010.223.686
Bo Bichette3B
4120010.257.675
Carson BengeRF
2100210.258.712
Jorge PolancoDH
3100100.149.431
Marcus Semien2B
1113001.207.607
Tyrone TaylorLF
3113011.237.762
Brett Baty1B
3000120.222.623
Luis TorrensC
4000020.223.604
Total30867792
BATTING
2B: Ewing (12, Sheehan).
HR: Taylor, T (8, 6th inning off Phillips, E, 2 on, 1 out); Semien (11, 7th inning off Klein, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Bichette 2; Ewing 2; Lindor; Semien 4; Taylor, T 4.
RBI: Lindor (17); Semien 3 (33); Taylor, T 3 (23).
2-out RBI: Semien 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Young, J.
Team RISP: 4-for-8.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Young, J (3, fielding).
Outfield assists: Taylor, T (Hernández, T at 2nd base).
a-Walked for Young, J in the 6th.

Los Angeles Dodgers — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Emmet Sheehan
5.031125087-544.95
Jack Dreyer(H, 6)
0.102220019-83.24
Evan Phillips(L, 0-2)(BS, 1)
0.211101110-76.75
Will Klein
1.024421131-143.57
Charlie Barnes
1.000012020-106.92

New York Mets — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Freddy Peralta
4.063223093-574.99
Cionel Pérez(W, 4-3)
2.000003027-165.09
Brooks Raley(H, 14)
1.00000107-62.09
Luke Weaver
1.020000022-141.93
Devin Williams
1.010003019-134.41

Informații meci

Arbitri: Home Plate: Malachi Moore; First Base: Alfonso Márquez; Second Base: Mike Estabrook; Third Base: Lance Barrett
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Vreme: 79°F, Sunny
Vânt: 5 mph, In From CF

New York Mets — Stiri

Comparatie sezoane

Dodgers
STAT
Mets
67-38 Bilant 43-62
63.8% Win % 41.0%
.638 PCT .410
543 Puncte marcate 424
383 Puncte primite 491
105 Meciuri jucate 105
W4 Serie L3
6-4 Ultimele 10 3-7
31-19 Bilant acasa 21-30
36-19 Bilant deplasare 22-32

Confruntari directe

5
Ultimele 5 intalniri
0
Iul 25
Dodgers 4 - 3 Mets
Iul 24
Dodgers 4 - 2 Mets
Apr 15
Mets 2 - 8 Dodgers
Apr 14
Mets 1 - 2 Dodgers
Apr 13
Mets 0 - 4 Dodgers

Dodgers Recente

Iul 25 @ Mets 4-3 W
Iul 24 @ Mets 4-2 W
Iul 22 @ Phillies 9-5 W
Iul 21 @ Phillies 2-1 W
Iul 20 @ Phillies 7-10 L

Mets Recente

Iul 25 vs Dodgers 4-3 L
Iul 24 vs Dodgers 4-2 L
Iul 22 @ Brewers 3-4 L
Iul 21 @ Brewers 4-0 W
Iul 20 @ Brewers 3-8 L

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