Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — Hei 26, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

The Los Angeles Dodgers arrive at Citi Field for the series finale holding all the momentum: a four-game win streak, back-to-back victories over these same Mets, and a run differential of +160 that towers over every team in baseball. The most significant development ahead of this rubber game, however, belongs to New York — Juan Soto, the Mets' offensive cornerstone (.283 AVG, 21 HR, 52 RBI, .422 xwOBA), has been placed on the 10-day IL with a calf strain. Wagaman stepping in is a steep drop in production and removes the one hitter capable of single-handedly changing a game's complexion. Freddy Peralta takes the ball for New York carrying a bloated 5.01 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. His four-seam fastball accounts for over half his pitch mix, and against the Dodgers' contact-oriented, patient lineup, that predictability is exploitable. His walk rate (3.78 BB/9) compounds the danger — free baserunners against this Dodger offense tend to score. Emmet Sheehan counters for Los Angeles with a 5.13 ERA, but his 10.16 K/9 and tighter walk rate (2.77 BB/9) profile better against a Mets lineup that just lost its best bat. New York's bullpen is also concerning — Clay Holmes (60-day IL, fibula fracture), Dedniel Núñez (Tommy John recovery), Reed Garrett, and Tylor Megill are all unavailable, leaving a threadbare relief corps after a three-game losing streak that has taxed available arms. The Dodgers' bullpen, while missing Treinen and Graterol, remains deeper and better rested. Dalton Rushing (11 HR, .242 AVG) and Teoscar Hernández anchor the LA offense in the middle of the order. Citi Field's moderate dimensions and clear 81-degree afternoon conditions favor a crisp, well-pitched game — but Peralta's command issues tilt the run environment toward the visitors.