Powrot do meczow Czwartek, Kwi 23, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers — Kwi 23, 2026 | Prognoza AI i statystyki

Comerica Park, Detroit
73°F, Sunny
7 mph, In From RF
W Brant Hurter L Abner Uribe

Tablica wynikow

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Brewers 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 4 10 0
Tigers 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 5 7 0

PROGNOZA AIPrognoza sieci neuronowej

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Brewers 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 3
Tigers 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 72% Tigers favored
This matchup presents a compelling contrast between Detroit's established ace and Milwaukee's promising rookie. Tarik Skubal enters with dominant form, posting a microscopic 2.08 ERA and 0.96 WHIP while striking out nearly 10 per nine innings. His four-pitch mix, led by a 96.6 mph fastball and devastating changeup, has been virtually unhittable at Comerica Park. The Tigers' 9-2 home record reflects their comfort level in familiar surroundings, though their extensive injury list creates depth concerns. Brandon Sproat brings intrigue as Milwaukee's young right-hander, showing impressive velocity touching 99.3 mph in recent outings. However, his lack of established MLB statistics creates uncertainty in a crucial divisional matchup. The Brewers counter with superior offensive firepower, averaging over five runs per game behind Brice Turang's unexpected power surge and William Contreras's steady production. Their 13-10 record reflects balanced capability, but injuries to Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio have depleted their outfield depth. The Tigers' recent 5-2 victory in the series opener demonstrated their ability to capitalize on Milwaukee mistakes while Skubal dominated. Kevin McGonigle's .317 average provides offensive hope, though Detroit's lineup lacks the depth of their opponents. The weather conditions favor pitching with clear skies and minimal wind impact, potentially extending both starters' effectiveness. Detroit's home-field advantage becomes crucial given their stark home-road performance differential.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Skubal's strong start limits early scoring
Middle (4-6) 4R Tigers capitalize on Sproat's inexperience in middle innings
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle with some late scoring chances

Matchup Analysis

Tigers

Tarik Skubal elite pitching (2.08 ERA)
Dominant home record (9-2)
Kevin McGonigle hot hitting (.317 avg)
Injury-depleted roster
Poor road performance (4-10)

Brewers

Strong offensive production (120 runs)
Brice Turang's power surge (4 HR)
William Contreras consistency (.301 avg)
Brandon Sproat's inexperience
Key injuries to Yelich and Chourio

Risk Factors

Sproat's young arm could surprise
Tigers' injury situation affects depth

Key Matchups

Brice Turang vs Tarik Skubal pitcher Skubal's slider dominates left-handed hitters
Kevin McGonigle vs Brandon Sproat batter McGonigle's hot streak vs young pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Tigers 65%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Tarik Skubal takes the mound in the afternoon sunshine at Comerica Park, establishing early command with his devastating changeup-fastball combination. The left-hander works around a leadoff single by Garrett Mitchell in the first, then settles into dominant form. Detroit breaks through in the second when Kevin McGonigle doubles off the wall and scores on a Colt Keith single, giving the home crowd early reason to cheer. Brandon Sproat matches Skubal's intensity initially, but his inexperience shows in the fourth inning. After walking the leadoff hitter, he hangs a curveball to McGonigle, who drives it over the left-field wall for a two-run homer. The Tigers add another run in the sixth on aggressive baserunning, capitalizing on Sproat's slower delivery to home plate. Milwaukee finally breaks through against Skubal in the seventh when Brice Turang turns on an elevated fastball for a solo home run, but the left-hander limits further damage. The Brewers mount a late rally in the ninth, scoring twice to make it interesting before Detroit's closer secures the 5-3 victory, maintaining their perfect home dominance in this series.
Confidence sits at 72% due to Skubal's dominant form and Detroit's exceptional home record, though Milwaukee's offensive firepower and Sproat's unknown ceiling create meaningful uncertainty in what should be a competitive divisional game.
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Milwaukee Brewers — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Brandon Lockridge
LF .27406.348.323
Brice Turang
2B .280418.412.512
William Contreras
DH .302214.381.453
Gary Sánchez
C .236513.391.582
Garrett Mitchell
CF .254118.421.407
Sal Frelick
RF .21115.310.276
Luis Rengifo
1B .17905.253.269
Joey Ortiz
SS .19304.270.193
David Hamilton
3B .24604.377.246

Detroit Tigers — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle
3B .319111.407.500
Gleyber Torres
2B .23717.363.290
Jahmai Jones
DH .24024.240.520
Riley Greene
LF .289216.396.444
Dillon Dingler
C .263519.341.513
Matt Vierling
CF .23316.277.395
Spencer Torkelson
1B .19229.330.308
Wenceel Pérez
RF .05711.108.143
Javier Báez
SS .27915.306.397

Akcje punktowe

1
Riley Greene homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Kevin McGonigle scores.
0-2
4
Gary Sánchez doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. William Contreras scores.
1-2
6
Dillon Dingler grounds into a force out, second baseman Brice Turang to shortstop Joey Ortiz. Colt Keith scores. Riley Greene out at 2nd. Dillon Dingler to 1st.
1-3
7
Blake Perkins doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Gary Sánchez scores. Luis Matos scores.
3-3
7
David Hamilton singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Blake Perkins scores. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.
4-3
8
Jahmai Jones homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.
4-4
9
Spencer Torkelson homers (2) on a line drive to left center field.
4-5

Milwaukee Brewers — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Brandon LockridgeLF
3010120.274.671
Brice Turang2B
4000010.280.924
William ContrerasDH
4110000.302.834
Gary SánchezC
4121010.236.973
Garrett MitchellCF
1000010.254.828
Sal FrelickRF
1010000.211.586
Luis Rengifo1B
3000000.179.522
Joey OrtizSS
3010110.193.463
David Hamilton3B
4021000.246.623
Razem334104260
BATTING
2B: Contreras, Wm (7, Skubal); Sánchez (2, Skubal); Perkins, B (3, Skubal).
TB: Contreras, Wm 2; Frelick; Hamilton, D 2; Lockridge; Matos; Ortiz, J; Perkins, B 2; Sánchez 3.
RBI: Hamilton, D (4); Perkins, B 2 (5); Sánchez (13).
2-out RBI: Sánchez.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Matos.
SAC: Rengifo.
GIDP: Contreras, Wm; Hamilton, D; Turang.
Team RISP: 4-for-10.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Perkins, B (Báez, J at 1st base).
DP: (Perkins, B-Rengifo).
a-Struck out for Matos in the 8th.
b-Singled for Perkins, B in the 9th.

Detroit Tigers — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kevin McGonigle3B
4110010.319.907
Gleyber Torres2B
4000010.237.653
Jahmai JonesDH
1111001.240.760
Riley GreeneLF
3122111.289.840
Dillon DinglerC
4011010.263.854
Matt VierlingCF
1000110.233.672
Spencer Torkelson1B
4111021.192.638
Wenceel PérezRF
3000000.057.251
Javier BáezSS
3010000.279.703
Razem31575383
BATTING
2B: McGonigle (10, Sproat).
HR: Greene, R (2, 1st inning off Sproat, 1 on, 2 out); Jones, Jah (2, 8th inning off Zerpa, 0 on, 1 out); Torkelson (2, 9th inning off Uribe, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Báez, J; Dingler; Greene, R 5; Jones, Jah 4; McGonigle 2; Torkelson 4.
RBI: Dingler (19); Greene, R 2 (16); Jones, Jah (4); Torkelson (9).
2-out RBI: Greene, R 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Torkelson.
Team RISP: 1-for-5.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
DP: 3 (McGonigle-Torres-Torkelson; Torkelson-Dingler-Torkelson; Báez, J-Torkelson).
a-Walked for Carpenter in the 6th.
b-Homered for Keith in the 8th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Sproat
5.143324176-466.45
Aaron Ashby
0.110010015-72.93
Grant Anderson
0.10000104-32.63
Trevor Megill(H, 3)
1.00000008-58.00
Angel Zerpa(BS, 3)
1.011102125-156.00
Abner Uribe(L, 1-1)
0.11110118-54.82

Detroit Tigers — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tarik Skubal
6.074405094-712.72
Tyler Holton
1.020010018-93.27
Burch Smith
1.110011024-130.00
Brant Hurter(W, 2-0)
0.20000004-22.79

Informacje o meczu

Sędziowie: Home Plate: Gabe Morales; First Base: Dexter Kelley; Second Base: Emil Jimenez; Third Base: Mike Muchlinski
Stadion: Comerica Park, Detroit
Pogoda: 73°F, Sunny
Wiatr: 7 mph, In From RF

Milwaukee Brewers — Aktualnosci

Detroit Tigers — Aktualnosci

Porownanie sezonowe

Brewers
STAT
Tigers
37-23 Bilans 25-38
61.7% Win % 39.7%
.617 PCT .397
301 Runy zdobyte 248
212 Runy stracone 273
60 Rozegrane mecze 63
L2 Seria W3
7-3 Ostatnie 10 5-5
21-13 Bilans u siebie 14-14
16-10 Bilans na wyjezdzie 11-24

Bezposrednie starcia

1
Ostatnie 2 spotkan
1
Kwi 22
Brewers 2 - 5 Tigers
Kwi 21
Brewers 12 - 4 Tigers

Brewers Ostatnie

Cze 4 vs Giants 12-9 L
Cze 3 vs Giants 1-0 L
Cze 2 vs Giants 3-8 W
Cze 1 vs Giants 2-16 W
Maj 31 @ Astros 2-0 W

Tigers Ostatnie

Cze 5 vs Mariners 3-7 W
Cze 3 @ Rays 7-2 W
Cze 2 @ Rays 8-0 W
Cze 1 @ Rays 10-9 W
Maj 31 @ White Sox 1-2 L

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