Powrot do meczow Wtorek, Kwi 28, 2026

Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Kwi 28, 2026 | Prognoza AI i statystyki

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
66°F, Clear
9 mph, Out To RF
W Janson Junk L Shohei Ohtani SV Tyler Phillips

Tablica wynikow

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Marlins 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 8 1
Dodgers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 7 1

PROGNOZA AIPrognoza sieci neuronowej

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Marlins 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3
Dodgers 1 0 2 1 0 1 0 2 0 7
Confidence: 88% Dodgers favored
This matchup presents a classic David vs. Goliath scenario, with Shohei Ohtani's otherworldly pitching form facing off against Miami's struggling road offense. Ohtani enters with a microscopic 0.38 ERA and has been nothing short of dominant through his first four starts, striking out 25 batters in 24 innings while maintaining elite velocity readings. The two-way superstar's fastball-splitter combination has been virtually unhittable, and facing a Marlins lineup that's managed just 3-10 on the road makes this an ideal spot for another dominant outing. Janson Junk presents the opposite profile - a back-of-rotation starter with pedestrian stuff who relies heavily on command and changing eye levels. His 5.67 K/9 rate suggests he'll struggle to miss bats against a Dodgers lineup that features dangerous threats like Teoscar Hernández, Kyle Tucker, and Will Smith. The Dodgers' offensive depth should create multiple scoring opportunities against Junk's limited arsenal, particularly his heavy reliance on four-seam fastballs and sliders that lack elite spin rates. Miami's offensive bright spots come from Xavier Edwards (.343 average) and Otto Lopez (.314, 3 HR), but their road struggles are well-documented and reflect deeper systemic issues with their lineup construction. The absence of Christopher Morel and Griffin Conine further depletes their already thin offensive depth. While the Marlins showed fight in yesterday's narrow loss, their -67 run differential on the road tells the story of a team overmatched in hostile environments. The Dodgers' home dominance (12-4) and recent offensive explosion against quality pitching suggests they'll capitalize early and often against Junk.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Dodgers capitalize early against Junk's limited arsenal
Middle (4-6) 3R Both starters settle in, Ohtani dominates middle innings
Late (7-9) 3R Dodgers bullpen holds lead, Marlins mount late rally attempt

Matchup Analysis

Dodgers

Ohtani's elite pitching form (0.38 ERA)
Deep offensive lineup with Teoscar and Tucker
Strong home record (12-4)
Missing Mookie Betts and Tommy Edman
Depleted bullpen with multiple IL arms

Marlins

Xavier Edwards hitting .343
Otto Lopez providing pop (.314, 3 HR)
Fighting spirit despite poor road record
Terrible road record (3-10)
Janson Junk's limited strikeout ability (5.67 K/9)
Missing Christopher Morel and Griffin Conine

Risk Factors

Marlins desperation with poor road record
Ohtani's pitch count management as two-way player

Key Matchups

Shohei Ohtani vs Janson Junk batter Elite hitter vs. mediocre pitcher
Xavier Edwards vs Shohei Ohtani pitcher Contact hitter vs. dominant stuff
Kyle Tucker vs Janson Junk batter Power threat vs. homer-prone pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Dodgers 75%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

The game begins with Ohtani's trademark intensity, as he establishes his four-seam fastball early against Edwards and Lopez before getting a crucial strikeout to end the first. The Dodgers respond immediately in the bottom half when Tucker works a leadoff walk against Junk, setting up Teoscar Hernández for an RBI double that puts Los Angeles ahead 1-0. Junk settles into a rhythm through the second and third innings, but his command wavers in the fourth when consecutive walks to Smith and Alex Call lead to another run on a wild pitch. Ohtani continues his dominance through the middle innings, using his devastating splitter to keep Miami's hitters off balance while building a comfortable pitch count. The Dodgers break the game open in the sixth inning when Ohtani himself delivers a two-run single, showcasing his two-way brilliance before Kyle Tucker adds an insurance run with a towering solo homer. Miami mounts a late rally attempt in the ninth when Edwards and Lopez string together consecutive hits, but the deficit proves too large to overcome as the Dodgers secure a convincing victory behind Ohtani's complete-game effort.
High confidence stems from the massive pitching disparity between Ohtani's elite form and Junk's pedestrian stuff, combined with Miami's historically poor road performance (3-10) against a Dodgers team that's dominant at home (12-4). The talent gap is too significant to ignore.
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Miami Marlins — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee
CF .18418.304.272
Kyle Stowers
LF .25001.333.344
Otto Lopez
SS .325312.366.500
Xavier Edwards
2B .33919.438.459
Agustín Ramírez
C .231212.308.356
Connor Norby
DH .233310.333.389
Esteury Ruiz
RF .00000.000.000
Javier Sanoja
3B .31709.379.367
Graham Pauley
1B .20319.239.344

Los Angeles Dodgers — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Dalton Rushing
DH .349716.429.884
Freddie Freeman
1B .270315.341.432
Will Smith
C .273315.337.386
Kyle Tucker
RF .239315.326.363
Max Muncy
3B .286911.375.592
Teoscar Hernández
LF .235417.303.398
Andy Pages
CF .324525.370.528
Hyeseong Kim
SS .29417.362.392
Alex Freeland
2B .23016.293.324

Akcje punktowe

2
Owen Caissie out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Agustín Ramírez scores.
1-0
5
Kyle Stowers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Christopher Morel scores.
2-0
8
Will Smith singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Dalton Rushing scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd.
2-1

Miami Marlins — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jakob MarseeCF
4000040.184.576
Kyle StowersLF
5021020.250.677
Otto LopezSS
5030010.325.866
Xavier Edwards2B
3010100.339.897
Agustín RamírezC
2100110.231.664
Connor NorbyDH
4010020.233.722
Esteury RuizRF
0000000.000.000
Javier Sanoja3B
0000000.317.746
Graham Pauley1B
4000010.203.583
Razem332823130
BATTING
2B: Lopez, O (7, Ohtani).
TB: Caissie; Edwards, X; Lopez, O 4; Norby; Stowers 2.
RBI: Caissie (15); Stowers (1).
2-out RBI: Stowers.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Caissie; Morel, C; Ramírez 2; Edwards, X.
SAC: Marsee.
SF: Caissie.
Team RISP: 1-for-8.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Ramírez (3, 2nd base off Ohtani/Smith, W); Norby 2 (2, 2nd base off Treinen/Smith, W, 3rd base off Treinen/Smith, W).
FIELDING
E: Lopez, O (6, throw).

Los Angeles Dodgers — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Dalton RushingDH
4100010.3491.313
Freddie Freeman1B
4010000.270.773
Will SmithC
4031000.273.723
Kyle TuckerRF
3010110.239.689
Max Muncy3B
4000000.286.967
Teoscar HernándezLF
4000000.235.701
Andy PagesCF
4010010.324.898
Hyeseong KimSS
4000000.294.754
Alex Freeland2B
4010010.230.617
Razem35171140
BATTING
TB: Freeland, A; Freeman, F; Pages, A; Smith, W 3; Tucker.
RBI: Smith, W (15).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Hernández, T 2; Muncy.
Team RISP: 2-for-7.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
E: Ohtani (1, throw).

Miami Marlins — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Janson Junk(W, 2-2)
6.030014076-553.00
Anthony Bender(H, 4)
1.00000008-75.25
Michael Petersen(H, 3)
0.13110009-73.65
John King(H, 2)
0.20000003-30.71
Tyler Phillips(S, 2)
1.010000016-121.47

Los Angeles Dodgers — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Shohei Ohtani(L, 2-1)
6.0521390104-670.60
Tanner Scott
1.010001016-132.03
Blake Treinen
1.010001021-124.15
Jack Dreyer
1.010002023-153.46

Informacje o meczu

Sędziowie: Home Plate: Clint Vondrak; First Base: Austin Jones; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Tripp Gibson
Stadion: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Pogoda: 66°F, Clear
Wiatr: 9 mph, Out To RF

Miami Marlins — Aktualnosci

Los Angeles Dodgers — Aktualnosci

Porownanie sezonowe

Marlins
STAT
Dodgers
39-38 Bilans 49-28
50.6% Win % 63.6%
.506 PCT .636
334 Runy zdobyte 404
335 Runy stracone 260
77 Rozegrane mecze 77
W3 Seria L1
7-3 Ostatnie 10 6-4
25-16 Bilans u siebie 26-13
14-22 Bilans na wyjezdzie 23-15

Bezposrednie starcia

1
Ostatnie 2 spotkan
1
Kwi 29
Marlins 3 - 2 Dodgers
Kwi 27
Marlins 4 - 5 Dodgers

Marlins Ostatnie

Cze 21 vs Giants 1-2 W
Cze 20 vs Giants 3-6 W
Cze 19 vs Giants 3-4 W
Cze 17 @ Phillies 12-4 W
Cze 16 @ Phillies 2-8 L

Dodgers Ostatnie

Cze 21 vs Orioles 12-1 L
Cze 20 vs Orioles 3-2 L
Cze 19 vs Orioles 5-6 W
Cze 17 vs Rays 4-5 W
Cze 16 vs Rays 0-1 W

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