Powrot do meczow Niedziela, Kwi 26, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Kwi 26, 2026 | Prognoza AI i statystyki

American Family Field, Milwaukee
62°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Kyle Harrison L Carmen Mlodzinski

Tablica wynikow

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Pirates 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1
Brewers 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 - 5 7 1

PROGNOZA AIPrognoza sieci neuronowej

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Pirates 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 4
Brewers 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 62% Brewers favored
This matchup features two young pitchers looking to establish themselves, with Kyle Harrison making his American Family Field debut against Carmen Mlodzinski's diverse arsenal. Harrison brings impressive strikeout numbers (9.20 K/9) and solid command (1.02 WHIP) but faces a Pirates lineup that has found its rhythm, particularly Oneil Cruz who leads the team with 8 home runs and has been crushing fastballs. The key will be Harrison's ability to locate his four-seam fastball, which comprises nearly 60% of his pitch mix, against a Pirates offense that just scored 12 runs in two games against Milwaukee. Mlodzinski presents an intriguing contrast with his six-pitch mix, featuring nearly equal usage of four-seam fastballs and splitters. His 3.65 BB/9 walk rate suggests some command issues, which could benefit a Brewers lineup desperate to break out of their recent funk. Milwaukee has scored just 9 runs in their last four games, with key contributors Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio on the injured list. However, William Contreras and the emerging Garrett Mitchell provide legitimate threats in the middle of the order. The weather conditions—47 degrees and overcast with 8 mph winds—favor pitchers and could suppress offensive production. Both teams' bullpens have been reliable this season, suggesting this game may be decided by which starter can work deeper into the contest. Pittsburgh's recent success at American Family Field (6-0 and 6-3 victories) gives them psychological momentum, but Milwaukee's desperation to end their losing streak at home could provide the edge needed for a narrow victory.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters show some early vulnerability, expect first-inning scoring
Middle (4-6) 4R Key innings as starters work through lineups second time
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens settle in, limited scoring opportunities

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Kyle Harrison's strikeout rate (9.20 K/9)
Garrett Mitchell's emerging power threat
Home field advantage at American Family Field
Four-game losing streak momentum
Missing key offensive pieces (Yelich, Chourio)

Pirates

Carmen Mlodzinski's diverse pitch mix
Oneil Cruz's power surge (8 HRs)
Recent offensive momentum (12 runs in 2 games vs Milwaukee)
Mlodzinski's walk rate (3.65 BB/9)
Road record slightly below .500 (8-6)

Risk Factors

Cold weather affecting pitch grip and control
Milwaukee's recent offensive struggles continuing

Key Matchups

Oneil Cruz vs Kyle Harrison batter Cruz's power vs Harrison's fastball-heavy approach
William Contreras vs Carmen Mlodzinski batter Contreras handles breaking balls well vs Mlodzinski's curve-heavy mix
Ryan O'Hearn vs Kyle Harrison batter O'Hearn's hot start (.333) vs left-handed pitching

Statistical Edges

First to Score Pirates 58%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Carmen Mlodzinski takes the mound in the chilly Wisconsin afternoon looking to complete a series sweep. His splitter dancing in the cold air, he immediately challenges Garrett Mitchell with a first-pitch fastball that finds the strike zone. However, Mitchell, eager to snap Milwaukee's skid, works a walk after fouling off three straight breaking balls. Brice Turang follows with a sharp single to right, and suddenly the Pirates find themselves in early trouble. But Mlodzinski's experience shows as he induces a double-play grounder from Luis Matos to escape unscathed. Kyle Harrison answers in the bottom of the first, but Oneil Cruz immediately sets the tone by turning on a 94-mph fastball and driving it into the gap for a leadoff double. Nick Gonzales follows with a productive groundout, plating Cruz for the game's first run. The Pirates add two more in the third when Ryan O'Hearn's hot streak continues with an RBI double, followed by Brandon Lowe's sacrifice fly. Milwaukee responds in the fifth inning when William Contreras launches Mlodzinski's hanging curveball over the left field wall for a two-run homer, suddenly making it a 3-2 game. The Brewers complete their comeback in the sixth on Turang's clutch RBI single, then take the lead for good in the eighth when Mitchell's speed creates chaos on the basepaths, scoring on a wild pitch. Milwaukee's bullpen, anchored by their late-inning relievers, closes out the 5-4 victory to end their losing streak and salvage the series finale.
Moderate confidence due to Milwaukee's desperation to end their losing streak at home, combined with solid pitching matchup favoring slight home advantage. However, Pittsburgh's recent offensive surge and psychological edge from previous wins in the series create uncertainty.
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Pittsburgh Pirates — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jake Mangum
LF .25402.313.288
Nick Gonzales
2B .303013.347.348
Bryan Reynolds
RF .242317.387.374
Marcell Ozuna
DH .16928.237.258
Ryan O'Hearn
1B .315416.404.489
Spencer Horwitz
PH .25728.372.371
Konnor Griffin
SS .224112.286.316
Joey Bart
C .15813.214.263
Billy Cook
CF .27300.273.273

Milwaukee Brewers — Kadra

ZawodnikPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Brice Turang
2B .258418.391.462
William Contreras
C .263214.336.384
Jake Bauers
1B .261515.316.477
Gary Sánchez
DH .237514.384.559
Garrett Mitchell
CF .235119.395.382
Sal Frelick
RF .19817.302.259
Luis Rengifo
3B .17306.250.253
Joey Ortiz
SS .18004.265.180
Brandon Lockridge
LF .26908.347.313

Akcje punktowe

4
Gary Sánchez grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. William Contreras scores.
0-1
4
Luis Rengifo singles on a line drive to center fielder Billy Cook. Jake Bauers scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.
0-2
4
David Hamilton doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Sal Frelick scores. Luis Rengifo to 3rd.
0-3
4
Brandon Lockridge singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Luis Rengifo scores. David Hamilton scores.
0-5

Pittsburgh Pirates — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jake MangumLF
4000030.254.601
Nick Gonzales2B
3010120.303.695
Bryan ReynoldsRF
2000210.242.761
Marcell OzunaDH
4010020.169.495
Ryan O'Hearn1B
4000010.315.893
Spencer HorwitzPH
1000010.257.743
Konnor GriffinSS
2000120.224.602
Joey BartC
3000020.158.477
Billy CookCF
3000020.273.546
Razem290204180
BATTING
2B: Gonzales, N (4, Megill).
TB: Gonzales, N 2; Ozuna.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Yorke 2; Reynolds, B 2.
GIDP: O'Hearn.
Team RISP: 0-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Bart (1, catcher interference).
a-Struck out for Yorke in the 9th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Odbijanie

ZawodnikABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Brice Turang2B
4000020.258.853
William ContrerasC
4110000.263.720
Jake Bauers1B
4120010.261.793
Gary SánchezDH
4011000.237.943
Garrett MitchellCF
3000010.235.777
Sal FrelickRF
3100010.198.561
Luis Rengifo3B
3111100.173.503
Joey OrtizSS
0000000.180.445
Brandon LockridgeLF
2012110.269.660
Razem30575270
BATTING
2B: Bauers 2 (4, Mlodzinski, Sanders); Hamilton, D (1, Mlodzinski).
TB: Bauers 4; Contreras, Wm; Hamilton, D 2; Lockridge; Rengifo; Sánchez.
RBI: Hamilton, D (5); Lockridge 2 (8); Rengifo (6); Sánchez (14).
2-out RBI: Rengifo; Hamilton, D; Lockridge 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mitchell; Frelick; Turang 2.
SAC: Hamilton, D.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Lockridge (5, 2nd base off Sisk/Bart).
FIELDING
E: Hamilton, D (3, missed catch).
DP: (Bauers).

Pittsburgh Pirates — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Carmen Mlodzinski(L, 1-2)
3.255414081-524.13
Evan Sisk
1.110002023-132.16
Cam Sanders
2.010011032-2013.50
Justin Lawrence
1.00000009-65.54

Milwaukee Brewers — Miotanie

MiotaczIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Harrison(W, 2-1)
6.01001120101-722.28
Trevor Megill
1.010012026-157.20
Aaron Ashby
1.000022028-142.45
Abner Uribe
1.000002013-93.97

Informacje o meczu

Sędziowie: Home Plate: Manny Gonzalez; First Base: Jacob Metz; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Scott Barry
Stadion: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Pogoda: 62°F, Roof Closed
Wiatr: 0 mph, None

Pittsburgh Pirates — Aktualnosci

Milwaukee Brewers — Aktualnosci

Porownanie sezonowe

Pirates
STAT
Brewers
34-32 Bilans 40-23
51.5% Win % 63.5%
.515 PCT .635
333 Runy zdobyte 329
303 Runy stracone 224
66 Rozegrane mecze 63
L3 Seria W3
5-5 Ostatnie 10 7-3
18-15 Bilans u siebie 21-13
16-17 Bilans na wyjezdzie 19-10

Bezposrednie starcia

2
Ostatnie 2 spotkan
0
Kwi 25
Pirates 6 - 3 Brewers
Kwi 24
Pirates 6 - 0 Brewers

Pirates Ostatnie

Cze 9 vs Dodgers 12-3 L
Cze 7 @ Braves 2-3 L
Cze 6 @ Braves 3-6 L
Cze 5 @ Braves 3-6 L
Cze 4 @ Astros 5-1 W

Brewers Ostatnie

Cze 8 @ Athletics 15-14 W
Cze 7 @ Rockies 12-4 W
Cze 6 @ Rockies 7-1 W
Cze 5 @ Rockies 9-7 W
Cze 4 vs Giants 12-9 L

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