This NL Central matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with Milwaukee's superior run differential (+45 vs STL's even) telling the true story despite similar records. The Brewers enter with significant injury concerns, missing key offensive pieces Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio, but William Contreras (.308) and Brice Turang (.291) have stepped up admirably. St. Louis counters with Jordan Walker's breakout power display (10 homers) anchoring their attack, though they're still without Lars Nootbaar's veteran presence. The pitching matchup heavily favors offense, as Kyle Leahy's 5.52 ERA and 1.67 WHIP suggest continued struggles with command and location. His recent velocity readings show consistency around 89-90 mph, but hitters are clearly timing his six-pitch mix. Chad Patrick remains an unknown quantity with limited MLB data, though his cutter-heavy approach (37.4%) and 94+ mph fastball could keep Cardinals hitters off balance early. Milwaukee's +45 run differential reflects superior offensive consistency despite their injury-depleted roster, while St. Louis has been boom-or-bust, evidenced by their recent 10-5 and 11-7 wins followed by a 1-4 loss to the Dodgers. The 80-degree overcast conditions with 16 mph southwesterly winds at Busch Stadium could aid fly balls to right field, potentially benefiting left-handed power from both sides.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both starters struggling with command early, benefit hitters

Middle (4-6) 3R Offenses capitalize on middle relief matchups

Late (7-9) 4R Bullpen fatigue leads to scoring opportunities

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power surge (10 HR)

Busch Stadium home environment

Recent offensive explosion vs Pirates

Kyle Leahy's 5.52 ERA and command issues

Nootbaar still on IL hurting lineup depth

Brewers

Superior +45 run differential vs STL's even

William Contreras hitting .308 with clutch RBIs

Brice Turang's .291 average and speed

Extensive IL list including Yelich and Chourio

Chad Patrick lacks established MLB track record

Risk Factors

Both starters have concerning ERAs

Weather conditions with SSW 16 mph wind

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Chad Patrick batter Walker's power vs unknown pitcher

William Contreras vs Kyle Leahy batter Contreras hot vs struggling starter

Brice Turang vs Kyle Leahy batter Speed vs high WHIP pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 55%

Strikeouts 16 14-18

Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

First pitch arrives under overcast skies with Jordan Walker looking to continue his power surge against the unknown Chad Patrick. Walker connects early, driving a 2-1 cutter over the right field wall to stake St. Louis to a quick 1-0 lead. Patrick settles in after the early jolt, but Milwaukee responds in the second when William Contreras works a leadoff walk against Kyle Leahy, advances on Brice Turang's single, and scores on Garrett Mitchell's sacrifice fly. The third inning proves pivotal as Leahy's command issues resurface - José Fermín doubles to left-center, Walker drives him home with another RBI hit, and JJ Wetherholt launches his eighth homer of the season for a 4-1 Cardinals advantage. Milwaukee refuses to fold, with Turang leading off the fourth with an infield single, stealing second, and scoring on Contreras' RBI double. Mitchell follows with a clutch two-run single to tie the game at 4-4. Both starters exit by the sixth inning, and the game becomes a bullpen battle. Milwaukee takes the lead in the seventh when pinch-hitter Sal Frelick delivers a go-ahead RBI single off the Cardinals' middle relief. St. Louis answers in the eighth as Walker continues his heroics with an RBI double to knot the score 5-5. The decisive ninth inning sees Milwaukee's Turang reach base for the fourth time, advance on a wild pitch, and score the go-ahead run on another Contreras clutch hit. Mitchell adds insurance with a sacrifice fly, and Milwaukee's closer shuts down St. Louis in order to secure a hard-fought 6-5 victory.

The 68% confidence reflects Milwaukee's superior underlying metrics (+45 run differential vs even) and offensive depth despite injuries, balanced against uncertainty around Chad Patrick's MLB readiness and both teams' pitching vulnerabilities creating multiple scoring scenarios.

Pitcher yang Dijangka

Milwaukee Brewers — Roster

Pemain	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Garrett Mitchell	CF	.219	1	21	.364	.333
Jackson Chourio	LF	1.000	0	0	1.000	1.500
Brice Turang	2B	.304	5	22	.434	.522
William Contreras	C	.295	3	23	.364	.419
Tyler Black	1B	.409	0	7	.435	.591
Andrew Vaughn	DH	.125	0	1	.222	.125
Sal Frelick	RF	.212	3	9	.311	.317
Luis Rengifo	3B	.188	0	11	.252	.267
David Hamilton	SS	.235	0	7	.337	.259

St. Louis Cardinals — Roster

Pemain	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
JJ Wetherholt	2B	.246	7	18	.360	.440
Iván Herrera	DH	.256	4	17	.416	.424
Alec Burleson	1B	.269	5	28	.349	.448
Jordan Walker	RF	.308	10	27	.377	.585
Nolan Gorman	3B	.224	5	21	.285	.379
Masyn Winn	SS	.274	1	14	.357	.372
Nathan Church	LF	.248	5	16	.278	.436
Pedro Pagés	C	.237	3	8	.289	.395
Victor Scott II	CF	.184	1	5	.250	.241

Permainan jaringan

▼ 2

JJ Wetherholt singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Masyn Winn scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd.

0-1

▼ 4

Iván Herrera doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Nathan Church scores. Pedro Pagés scores. JJ Wetherholt scores.

0-4

▲ 6

Luis Rengifo singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Nathan Church. Jake Bauers scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.

1-4

▼ 7

Masyn Winn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jordan Walker scores. Nolan Gorman out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Sal Frelick to shortstop David Hamilton.

1-5

▼ 8

JJ Wetherholt singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Victor Scott II scores.

1-6

▲ 9

Brice Turang homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores.

3-6

Milwaukee Brewers — Pukulan

Pemain	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Garrett MitchellCF	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	.219	.697
Jackson ChourioLF	4	1	4	0	1	0	0	1.000	2.500
Brice Turang2B	5	1	3	2	0	1	1	.304	.956
William ContrerasC	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	.295	.783
Tyler Black1B	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.409	1.026
Andrew VaughnDH	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.125	.347
Sal FrelickRF	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	.212	.628
Luis Rengifo3B	4	0	1	1	0	1	0	.188	.519
David HamiltonSS	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.235	.596
Jumlah	37	3	11	3	4	7	1

BATTING

2B: Chourio, Jac 2 (2, Leahy, Graceffo); Bauers (6, Leahy).

HR: Turang (5, 9th inning off Graceffo, 1 on, 1 out).

TB: Bauers 2; Chourio, Jac 6; Contreras, Wm; Frelick; Rengifo; Turang 6.

RBI: Rengifo (11); Turang 2 (22).

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mitchell; Rengifo 2; Contreras, Wm 2; Vaughn 2.

GIDP: Contreras, Wm.

Team RISP: 2-for-12.

Team LOB: 12.

FIELDING

E: Turang (2, fielding).

Outfield assists: Frelick (Gorman at 3rd base).

a-Walked for Bauers in the 7th.

1-Ran for Sánchez in the 7th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Pukulan

Pemain	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	AVG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt2B	4	1	2	2	1	0	.246	.800
Iván HerreraDH	5	0	2	3	0	2	.256	.840
Alec Burleson1B	5	0	0	0	0	3	.269	.797
Jordan WalkerRF	3	1	1	0	1	2	.308	.962
Nolan Gorman3B	4	0	2	0	0	0	.224	.664
Masyn WinnSS	3	1	1	1	1	0	.274	.729
Nathan ChurchLF	4	1	1	0	0	0	.248	.714
Pedro PagésC	3	1	0	0	1	2	.237	.684
Victor Scott IICF	3	1	2	0	0	0	.184	.491
Jumlah	34	6	11	6	4	9

BATTING

2B: Gorman (3, Patrick); Church (4, Patrick); Herrera (9, Patrick); Scott II (2, Woodford).

TB: Church 2; Gorman 3; Herrera 3; Scott II 3; Walker, J; Wetherholt 2; Winn.

RBI: Herrera 3 (17); Wetherholt 2 (18); Winn (14).

2-out RBI: Wetherholt.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Walker, J; Pagés, P; Gorman; Winn; Herrera.

SAC: Scott II.

Team RISP: 4-for-10.

Team LOB: 9.

FIELDING

DP: (Winn-Burleson).

Milwaukee Brewers — Lontaran

Pelempar	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA
Chad Patrick(L, 2-2)	3.1	7	4	4	3	4	64-38	3.45
DL Hall	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	24-19	1.69
Shane Drohan	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	23-14	4.15
Grant Anderson	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	9-6	3.18
Jake Woodford	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	25-16	4.41

St. Louis Cardinals — Lontaran

Pelempar	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Kyle Leahy(W, 4-3)	5.1	6	1	1	2	5	0	94-56	4.93
George Soriano(H, 5)	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	0	18-9	3.52
JoJo Romero(H, 10)	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	0	16-8	3.71
Ryne Stanek	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7-6	7.20
Gordon Graceffo	0.1	3	2	2	0	0	1	11-7	1.93
Riley O'Brien(S, 10)	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-3	2.12

Info perlawanan

Pengadil: Home Plate: Emil Jimenez; First Base: Mike Muchlinski; Second Base: Dexter Kelley; Third Base: Gabe Morales

Stadium: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Cuaca: 72°F, Cloudy

Angin: 11 mph, R To L

Milwaukee Brewers — Berita

Kyle Harrison menguasai bekas pasukan Giants dalam kemenangan Brewers

ERA 1.57 Harrison dan xwOBA 0.28 melalui 3 permulaan mengesahkan pemerolehan Milwaukee, manakala putaran Giants terus jatuh bebas—Webb (4.82 ERA), Roupp (4.22 ERA), dan Ray (4.45 ERA) bergabung untuk rekod 14-18 semasa SF duduk di -67 dalam pembezaan larian.

Kyle Harrison

San Francisco Giants

Milwaukee Brewers

Red Sox terus menghadapi kesulitan di rumah dengan satu lagi kekalahan

Rekod rumah Boston 9-20 kini termasuk kekalahan berturut-turut; Suarez (ERA 3.38) adalah satu-satunya pemula yang boleh dipercayai manakala Bello (ERA 5.63, xwOBA 0.376) dan Gray memberikan kestabilan minimal kepada pasukan 25-34 yang menghadapi kedudukan lima terbawah dalam bahagian.

Kyle Harrison

San Francisco Giants

Milwaukee Brewers

Boston Red Sox

Guardians mengalahkan Yankees dengan permainan putaran yang kuat

Kemenangan CLE memanjangkan siri mereka kepada 5-5 dalam 10 permainan terakhir di sebalik ERA 3.07 Williams dan rekod 8-3, manakala rekod 36-24 Yankees menyembunyikan kerentanan putaran—Weathers (ERA 3.52) adalah pemula utama mereka dengan rekod sederhana 2-3.

Kyle Harrison

San Francisco Giants

New York Yankees

Milwaukee Brewers

Dodgers pulih dalam persaingan Bahagian Barat

Kemenangan LA mengekalkan momentum dengan rekod 39-22 dan perbezaan larian +127, yang ditambah oleh ERA 0.82 Ohtani dan xwOBA 0.247 dalam 7 permulaan—momentum bersejarah yang harus memanjangkan keunggulan bahagian mereka berbanding Giants (23-38, -67 perbezaan).

Kyle Harrison

San Francisco Giants

Milwaukee Brewers

Los Angeles Dodgers

Dontrelle Willis mencadangkan Brewers harus memperolehi Tarik Skubal daripada Tigers

ERA 2.70 dan WHIP 0.95 Skubal berada dalam ranking terbaik Detroit, tetapi rekod 23-38 Tigers dan perbezaan lari -38 menjadikannya calon dagangan yang berkemungkinan - walaupun putaran Milwaukee (dipimpin Harrison dengan ERA 1.57) sudah memiliki perbezaan lari +88 di tempat pertama.

Tarik Skubal

Milwaukee Brewers

Detroit Tigers

St. Louis Cardinals — Berita

Cardinals Mengaktifkan Nootbaar daripada Senarai IL 60 Hari

St. Louis mengembalikan pemukul ke kedalaman perpaduan selepas ketiadaan yang panjang, walaupun langkah ini datang ketika pasukan duduk di 31-28 dan 3-7 dalam 10 permainan terakhir mereka. Pulangan Nootbaar menangani fleksibiliti skuad tanpa menangani kesukaran putaran—lima pemula yang digabungkan untuk ERA 4.27 dengan nilai xwOBA berkisar antara 0.311 hingga 0.383.

Lars Nootbaar

St. Louis Cardinals

Kardinal Kembalikan Pilihan Peraturan 5 Matt Pushard kepada Marlins

Pushard tidak pernah melempar satu inning untuk St. Louis (ERA 27.00 dalam 0 IP), mendarat di IL hampir segera selepas pemilihan Peraturan 5. Langkah ini mempunyai kesan putaran minimum untuk kedua-dua pasukan memandangkan kumpulan 5 orang semasa Miami dipimpin oleh Meyer (ERA 2.97, 74 SO).

Matt Pushard

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins

Rangers Letak Chris Martin di IL Kerana Impingement Bahu

Texas kehilangan kedalaman bullpen di tengah musim sambil duduk di 28-31 dengan perbezaan run +7. Penarikan balik Curvelo (tiada statistik 2026) dan debut Ahlstrom memberikan pilihan, tetapi tidak seorang pun telah menetapkan rekam jejak MLB yang terbukti terhadap formasi Cardinals yang menghadapi deGrom malam ini.

Chris Martin

St. Louis Cardinals

Texas Rangers

Kardinal Lantik Matt Pushard, Panggil Semula Hunter Dobbins

Pushard muncul dalam sifar permainan untuk STL sebelum langkah ini, menjadikan ini keputusan roster 40 orang yang mudah. Dobbins memasuki putaran di mana Liberatore (4.76 ERA, 1.57 WHIP) dan Leahy (4.25 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) kedua-duanya di atas 4.25 ERA.

Matt Pushard

Hunter Dobbins

St. Louis Cardinals

Jimmy Crooks bersedia untuk masa bermain yang stabil sebagai penjaga

Crooks tidak mempunyai statistik tersedia untuk 2026 untuk menilai pengeluaran ofensif, menjadikan ini langkah kedalaman untuk STL daripada peningkatan—Cardinal berada di -10 dalam pembezaan larian sambil duduk di tempat ke-3 di NLC dengan rentetan 4 kekalahan.

Jimmy Crooks

St. Louis Cardinals