Chicago White Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks — 4월 21, 2026 | AI 예측 & 통계
스코어보드
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
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4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
AI 예측뉴럴 네트워크 예측
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
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0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Confidence: 72%
Diamondbacks favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with Arizona (13-9, .591) hosting a struggling Chicago squad (8-14, .364) that's been outscored by 31 runs this season. The Diamondbacks get veteran right-hander Merrill Kelly, who brings a 3.38 ERA and an arsenal built around a devastating changeup that comprises 25% of his pitch mix. Kelly's recent start showed encouraging velocity (88.9 mph average) and his six-pitch repertoire should give the White Sox lineup fits, particularly his cutter-changeup combination that has been effective against left-handed hitters.
Chicago counters with Sean Burke, a young arm showing improved stuff with recent starts averaging 93.6 mph on his four-seam fastball and solid spin rates above 2,450 RPM. Burke's slider-knuckle curve combination gives him two quality breaking balls, but his command has been inconsistent, evidenced by the White Sox's offensive struggles that rank near the bottom in most categories. The visitor's lineup is anchored by Derek Hill (.259 average) and features Miguel Vargas as the primary power threat (3 HR, 10 RBI), but the depth is concerning with players like Sam Antonacci hitting just .125.
Arizona's offense should capitalize on Burke's occasional wildness, led by Corbin Carroll's hot start (3 HR, 16 RBI, .300 average) and the return of Lourdes Gurriel Jr. from the IL, though his early .125 average is worrying. The Diamondbacks are missing key contributors Carlos Santana and Gabriel Moreno, but their home record (7-3) and superior run differential position them favorably. Chicago's bullpen depth issues, combined with Arizona's Chase Field advantage in 90-degree conditions, should favor the home team in what projects as a moderate-scoring affair where Kelly's experience and pitch mix prove the difference.
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
3R
Burke struggles with command early, Kelly settles in after first
Middle (4-6)
4R
Both pitchers find rhythm, key at-bats decide momentum
Late (7-9)
3R
Bullpen battle favors Arizona depth and home environment
Matchup Analysis
Diamondbacks
Merrill Kelly's veteran presence and pitch mix diversity
Strong home record (7-3) and Chase Field advantage
Corbin Carroll's offensive production (3 HR, 16 RBI)
Coming off ugly 10-4 loss to Toronto
Missing key players like Carlos Santana and Gabriel Moreno
White Sox
Sean Burke's improved velocity and spin rates
Fresh off series win against Oakland
Derek Hill's solid contact rate (.259 avg)
Terrible run differential (-31) and road struggles (5-8)
Weak offensive depth beyond Hill and McGuire
Risk Factors
Kelly's recent high pitch count concerns
White Sox desperation could spark unexpected offense
Key Matchups
Corbin Carroll
vs
Sean Burke
batter
Carroll's speed vs Burke's slower breaking balls
Derek Hill
vs
Merrill Kelly
pitcher
Kelly's changeup should neutralize Hill's contact approach
Statistical Edges
First to Score
White Sox
65%
Strikeouts
16
13-19
Total Runs
10
8-12
Game Preview
Sean Burke takes the mound for Chicago under pressure, immediately facing Corbin Carroll's patient approach. Burke's fastball command wavers early, and Carroll works a leadoff walk before stealing second on James McCann's framing. Derek Hill drives him home with a sharp single to right, giving the White Sox an early 1-0 lead that validates their aggressive approach against Kelly's changeup-heavy attack.
The game settles into a pitcher's duel through the middle innings, with Kelly finding his rhythm after the rocky start. His changeup begins fooling White Sox hitters, particularly freezing Miguel Vargas on a crucial two-out pitch in the fourth. Arizona answers in the bottom of the second when Ildemaro Vargas (.368 average) ropes a double down the left field line and scores on a wild pitch, evening the score. The Diamondbacks break through in the third inning as their patient approach pays dividends - Burke walks two batters before Carroll delivers a clutch two-RBI single that showcases his improved plate discipline.
The late innings belong to Arizona's superior depth. Kelly pitches into the seventh before handing over to a fresher bullpen, while Burke's pitch count climbs as Chicago's thin rotation forces them to push him deeper. The Diamondbacks add insurance runs in the seventh and ninth innings, with McCann contributing an RBI single and the home crowd energizing a team that improves to 8-3 at Chase Field. Chicago manages a late rally attempt in the seventh with consecutive doubles, but Arizona's bullpen holds firm to secure a 6-4 victory that highlights the talent gap between these two franchises.
Arizona's superior record, home field advantage, and Kelly's veteran presence against a struggling White Sox team with poor run differential justify solid confidence. However, Burke's improved stuff and baseball's inherent unpredictability prevent higher certainty.
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Chicago White Sox — 로스터
| 선수 | 포지션 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Benintendi |
DH | .209 | 1 | 6 | .264 | .358 |
Munetaka Murakami |
1B | .234 | 9 | 17 | .394 | .584 |
Miguel Vargas |
3B | .177 | 4 | 11 | .320 | .392 |
Colson Montgomery |
SS | .213 | 6 | 16 | .323 | .500 |
Everson Pereira |
RF | .275 | 3 | 6 | .348 | .600 |
Sam Antonacci |
LF | .190 | 1 | 3 | .320 | .429 |
Chase Meidroth |
2B | .253 | 1 | 2 | .344 | .354 |
Tristan Peters |
CF | .250 | 0 | 1 | .308 | .271 |
Reese McGuire |
C | .192 | 0 | 3 | .300 | .192 |
Arizona Diamondbacks — 로스터
| 선수 | 포지션 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte |
2B | .218 | 4 | 9 | .284 | .379 |
Corbin Carroll |
RF | .288 | 3 | 16 | .391 | .575 |
Geraldo Perdomo |
SS | .233 | 1 | 5 | .341 | .342 |
Adrian Del Castillo |
C | .263 | 1 | 9 | .282 | .395 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. |
LF | .091 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .091 |
Jose Fernandez |
DH | .297 | 2 | 9 | .297 | .422 |
Nolan Arenado |
3B | .224 | 3 | 11 | .241 | .368 |
Ildemaro Vargas |
1B | .361 | 3 | 11 | .381 | .623 |
Alek Thomas |
CF | .185 | 1 | 8 | .221 | .338 |
득점 장면
▲ 1
Colson Montgomery doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Andrew Benintendi scores. Munetaka Murakami scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.
2-0
▲ 1
Everson Pereira out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd.
3-0
▲ 1
Sam Antonacci triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Colson Montgomery scores.
4-0
▲ 2
Munetaka Murakami homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.
5-0
▲ 2
Miguel Vargas homers (4) on a line drive to left field.
6-0
▲ 2
Colson Montgomery homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.
7-0
▼ 4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Geraldo Perdomo scores.
7-1
▲ 5
Reese McGuire out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Taylor Clarke to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 2nd.
8-1
▼ 5
Alek Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.
8-2
▲ 9
Umpire reviewed (rules check), call on the field was upheld: Sam Antonacci hits an inside-the-park home run (1) on a ground ball down the left-field line. Everson Pereira scores.
10-2
▲ 9
Andrew Benintendi grounds into a double play, pitcher James McCann to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd. Reese McGuire out at 2nd. Andrew Benintendi out at 1st.
11-2
▼ 9
Ildemaro Vargas homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Fernandez scores. Nolan Arenado scores.
11-5
Chicago White Sox — 타격
| 선수 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew BenintendiDH |
6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .622 |
Munetaka Murakami1B |
5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .234 | .978 |
Miguel Vargas3B |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .177 | .712 |
Colson MontgomerySS |
5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .213 | .823 |
Everson PereiraRF |
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .275 | .948 |
Sam AntonacciLF |
5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .190 | .749 |
Chase Meidroth2B |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .253 | .698 |
Tristan PetersCF |
5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .579 |
Reese McGuireC |
2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .192 | .492 |
| 합계 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
BATTING
2B: Montgomery, C (5, Kelly, Me).
3B: Antonacci (1, Kelly, Me).
HR: Murakami (9, 2nd inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out); Vargas, M (4, 2nd inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out); Montgomery, C (6, 2nd inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out); Antonacci (1, 9th inning off Thompson, R, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Antonacci 7; Benintendi 2; Meidroth; Montgomery, C 6; Murakami 6; Peters 3; Vargas, M 4.
RBI: Antonacci 3 (3); McGuire (3); Montgomery, C 3 (16); Murakami (17); Pereira (6); Vargas, M (11).
2-out RBI: Murakami; Montgomery, C; Vargas, M.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Peters; Pereira 2; Murakami; Benintendi 2.
SAC: McGuire.
SF: Pereira.
GIDP: Benintendi.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Peters (2, 2nd base off Loáisiga/Del Castillo).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Burke, S-McGuire; Murakami).
Arizona Diamondbacks — 타격
| 선수 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte2B |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .218 | .663 |
Corbin CarrollRF |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .288 | .966 |
Geraldo PerdomoSS |
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .233 | .683 |
Adrian Del CastilloC |
5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .263 | .677 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF |
3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .091 | .258 |
Jose FernandezDH |
4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .297 | .719 |
Nolan Arenado3B |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .224 | .609 |
Ildemaro Vargas1B |
4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .361 | 1.004 |
Alek ThomasCF |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .185 | .559 |
| 합계 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
BATTING
2B: Arenado (2, Burke, S).
3B: Perdomo (1, Burke, S).
HR: Thomas, A (1, 5th inning off Burke, S, 0 on, 2 out); Vargas, I (3, 9th inning off Bido, 2 on, 0 out).
TB: Arenado 3; Fernandez, Jo; Marte, K; Perdomo 3; Thomas, A 5; Vargas, I 4.
RBI: Gurriel Jr. (1); Thomas, A (8); Vargas, I 3 (11).
2-out RBI: Thomas, A.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gurriel Jr.; Del Castillo 2; Thomas, A; Vargas, I.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
DP: (McCann-Perdomo-Vargas, I).
Chicago White Sox — 투구
| 투수 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sean Burke(W, 1-2) |
6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 101-68 | 4.10 |
Lucas Sims |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16-7 | 3.00 |
Osvaldo Bido |
2.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 53-31 | 7.50 |
Arizona Diamondbacks — 투구
| 투수 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merrill Kelly(L, 1-1) |
4.1 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 101-56 | 9.31 |
Taylor Clarke |
1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-10 | 3.09 |
Jonathan Loáisiga |
1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27-18 | 3.97 |
Kevin Ginkel |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-9 | 4.66 |
Ryan Thompson |
0.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10-3 | 3.12 |
James McCann |
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13-7 | 22.50 |
경기 정보
심판: Home Plate: Doug Eddings; First Base: Jeremie Rehak; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Adam Beck
구장: Chase Field, Phoenix
날씨: 89°F, Overcast
바람: 9 mph, R To L
Chicago White Sox — 뉴스
Arizona Diamondbacks — 뉴스
시즌 비교
STAT
Diamondbacks
33-29
기록
32-29
53.2%
Win %
52.5%
.532
PCT
.525
293
득점
273
282
실점
270
62
경기 수
61
W1
연속
L2
7-3
최근 10경기
5-5
20-11
홈 기록
19-12
13-18
원정 기록
13-17
상대 전적
1
4월 23
White Sox
4 - 1
Diamondbacks
4월 22
White Sox
7 - 11
Diamondbacks
White Sox 최근
6월 3
@ Twins
8-0
W
6월 2
@ Twins
4-6
L
6월 1
@ Twins
6-9
L
5월 31
vs Tigers
1-2
W
5월 30
vs Tigers
1-7
W
Diamondbacks 최근
6월 3
vs Dodgers
7-0
L
6월 2
vs Dodgers
6-5
L
6월 1
vs Dodgers
1-4
W
5월 31
@ Mariners
2-3
L
5월 30
@ Mariners
1-5
L
























