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Chicago White Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Apr 21, 2026 | Prediksi AI & statistik

Chase Field, Phoenix
89°F, Overcast
9 mph, R To L
W Sean Burke L Merrill Kelly

Papan Skor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
White Sox 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 11 14 0
Diamondbacks 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 8 0

PREDIKSI AIRamalan Jaringan Saraf

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
White Sox 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 4
Diamondbacks 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 6
Confidence: 72% Diamondbacks favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with Arizona (13-9, .591) hosting a struggling Chicago squad (8-14, .364) that's been outscored by 31 runs this season. The Diamondbacks get veteran right-hander Merrill Kelly, who brings a 3.38 ERA and an arsenal built around a devastating changeup that comprises 25% of his pitch mix. Kelly's recent start showed encouraging velocity (88.9 mph average) and his six-pitch repertoire should give the White Sox lineup fits, particularly his cutter-changeup combination that has been effective against left-handed hitters. Chicago counters with Sean Burke, a young arm showing improved stuff with recent starts averaging 93.6 mph on his four-seam fastball and solid spin rates above 2,450 RPM. Burke's slider-knuckle curve combination gives him two quality breaking balls, but his command has been inconsistent, evidenced by the White Sox's offensive struggles that rank near the bottom in most categories. The visitor's lineup is anchored by Derek Hill (.259 average) and features Miguel Vargas as the primary power threat (3 HR, 10 RBI), but the depth is concerning with players like Sam Antonacci hitting just .125. Arizona's offense should capitalize on Burke's occasional wildness, led by Corbin Carroll's hot start (3 HR, 16 RBI, .300 average) and the return of Lourdes Gurriel Jr. from the IL, though his early .125 average is worrying. The Diamondbacks are missing key contributors Carlos Santana and Gabriel Moreno, but their home record (7-3) and superior run differential position them favorably. Chicago's bullpen depth issues, combined with Arizona's Chase Field advantage in 90-degree conditions, should favor the home team in what projects as a moderate-scoring affair where Kelly's experience and pitch mix prove the difference.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Burke struggles with command early, Kelly settles in after first
Middle (4-6) 4R Both pitchers find rhythm, key at-bats decide momentum
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle favors Arizona depth and home environment

Matchup Analysis

Diamondbacks

Merrill Kelly's veteran presence and pitch mix diversity
Strong home record (7-3) and Chase Field advantage
Corbin Carroll's offensive production (3 HR, 16 RBI)
Coming off ugly 10-4 loss to Toronto
Missing key players like Carlos Santana and Gabriel Moreno

White Sox

Sean Burke's improved velocity and spin rates
Fresh off series win against Oakland
Derek Hill's solid contact rate (.259 avg)
Terrible run differential (-31) and road struggles (5-8)
Weak offensive depth beyond Hill and McGuire

Risk Factors

Kelly's recent high pitch count concerns
White Sox desperation could spark unexpected offense

Key Matchups

Corbin Carroll vs Sean Burke batter Carroll's speed vs Burke's slower breaking balls
Derek Hill vs Merrill Kelly pitcher Kelly's changeup should neutralize Hill's contact approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score White Sox 65%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

Sean Burke takes the mound for Chicago under pressure, immediately facing Corbin Carroll's patient approach. Burke's fastball command wavers early, and Carroll works a leadoff walk before stealing second on James McCann's framing. Derek Hill drives him home with a sharp single to right, giving the White Sox an early 1-0 lead that validates their aggressive approach against Kelly's changeup-heavy attack. The game settles into a pitcher's duel through the middle innings, with Kelly finding his rhythm after the rocky start. His changeup begins fooling White Sox hitters, particularly freezing Miguel Vargas on a crucial two-out pitch in the fourth. Arizona answers in the bottom of the second when Ildemaro Vargas (.368 average) ropes a double down the left field line and scores on a wild pitch, evening the score. The Diamondbacks break through in the third inning as their patient approach pays dividends - Burke walks two batters before Carroll delivers a clutch two-RBI single that showcases his improved plate discipline. The late innings belong to Arizona's superior depth. Kelly pitches into the seventh before handing over to a fresher bullpen, while Burke's pitch count climbs as Chicago's thin rotation forces them to push him deeper. The Diamondbacks add insurance runs in the seventh and ninth innings, with McCann contributing an RBI single and the home crowd energizing a team that improves to 8-3 at Chase Field. Chicago manages a late rally attempt in the seventh with consecutive doubles, but Arizona's bullpen holds firm to secure a 6-4 victory that highlights the talent gap between these two franchises.
Arizona's superior record, home field advantage, and Kelly's veteran presence against a struggling White Sox team with poor run differential justify solid confidence. However, Burke's improved stuff and baseball's inherent unpredictability prevent higher certainty.
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Chicago White Sox — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Andrew Benintendi
DH .20916.264.358
Munetaka Murakami
1B .234917.394.584
Miguel Vargas
3B .177411.320.392
Colson Montgomery
SS .213616.323.500
Everson Pereira
RF .27536.348.600
Sam Antonacci
LF .19013.320.429
Chase Meidroth
2B .25312.344.354
Tristan Peters
CF .25001.308.271
Reese McGuire
C .19203.300.192

Arizona Diamondbacks — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ketel Marte
2B .21849.284.379
Corbin Carroll
RF .288316.391.575
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .23315.341.342
Adrian Del Castillo
C .26319.282.395
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
LF .09101.167.091
Jose Fernandez
DH .29729.297.422
Nolan Arenado
3B .224311.241.368
Ildemaro Vargas
1B .361311.381.623
Alek Thomas
CF .18518.221.338

Permainan pencetak skor

1
Colson Montgomery doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Andrew Benintendi scores. Munetaka Murakami scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.
2-0
1
Everson Pereira out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd.
3-0
1
Sam Antonacci triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Colson Montgomery scores.
4-0
2
Munetaka Murakami homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.
5-0
2
Miguel Vargas homers (4) on a line drive to left field.
6-0
2
Colson Montgomery homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.
7-0
4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Geraldo Perdomo scores.
7-1
5
Reese McGuire out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Taylor Clarke to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 2nd.
8-1
5
Alek Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.
8-2
9
Umpire reviewed (rules check), call on the field was upheld: Sam Antonacci hits an inside-the-park home run (1) on a ground ball down the left-field line. Everson Pereira scores.
10-2
9
Andrew Benintendi grounds into a double play, pitcher James McCann to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd. Reese McGuire out at 2nd. Andrew Benintendi out at 1st.
11-2
9
Ildemaro Vargas homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Fernandez scores. Nolan Arenado scores.
11-5

Chicago White Sox — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Andrew BenintendiDH
6120010.209.622
Munetaka Murakami1B
5231101.234.978
Miguel Vargas3B
4211101.177.712
Colson MontgomerySS
5223021.213.823
Everson PereiraRF
3101020.275.948
Sam AntonacciLF
5123001.190.749
Chase Meidroth2B
3210210.253.698
Tristan PetersCF
5030010.250.579
Reese McGuireC
2001210.192.492
Total38111410684
BATTING
2B: Montgomery, C (5, Kelly, Me).
3B: Antonacci (1, Kelly, Me).
HR: Murakami (9, 2nd inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out); Vargas, M (4, 2nd inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out); Montgomery, C (6, 2nd inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 2 out); Antonacci (1, 9th inning off Thompson, R, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Antonacci 7; Benintendi 2; Meidroth; Montgomery, C 6; Murakami 6; Peters 3; Vargas, M 4.
RBI: Antonacci 3 (3); McGuire (3); Montgomery, C 3 (16); Murakami (17); Pereira (6); Vargas, M (11).
2-out RBI: Murakami; Montgomery, C; Vargas, M.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Peters; Pereira 2; Murakami; Benintendi 2.
SAC: McGuire.
SF: Pereira.
GIDP: Benintendi.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Peters (2, 2nd base off Loáisiga/Del Castillo).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Burke, S-McGuire; Murakami).

Arizona Diamondbacks — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ketel Marte2B
4010110.218.663
Corbin CarrollRF
3000230.288.966
Geraldo PerdomoSS
3110200.233.683
Adrian Del CastilloC
5000010.263.677
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
3001100.091.258
Jose FernandezDH
4110010.297.719
Nolan Arenado3B
3120100.224.609
Ildemaro Vargas1B
4113001.3611.004
Alek ThomasCF
4121001.185.559
Total33585762
BATTING
2B: Arenado (2, Burke, S).
3B: Perdomo (1, Burke, S).
HR: Thomas, A (1, 5th inning off Burke, S, 0 on, 2 out); Vargas, I (3, 9th inning off Bido, 2 on, 0 out).
TB: Arenado 3; Fernandez, Jo; Marte, K; Perdomo 3; Thomas, A 5; Vargas, I 4.
RBI: Gurriel Jr. (1); Thomas, A (8); Vargas, I 3 (11).
2-out RBI: Thomas, A.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gurriel Jr.; Del Castillo 2; Thomas, A; Vargas, I.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
DP: (McCann-Perdomo-Vargas, I).

Chicago White Sox — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Sean Burke(W, 1-2)
6.0522131101-684.10
Lucas Sims
1.000021016-73.00
Osvaldo Bido
2.033342153-317.50

Arizona Diamondbacks — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Merrill Kelly(L, 1-1)
4.11088353101-569.31
Taylor Clarke
1.110000016-103.09
Jonathan Loáisiga
1.110012027-183.97
Kevin Ginkel
1.000001015-94.66
Ryan Thompson
0.013310110-33.12
James McCann
1.010010013-722.50

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: Doug Eddings; First Base: Jeremie Rehak; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Adam Beck
Stadion: Chase Field, Phoenix
Cuaca: 89°F, Overcast
Angin: 9 mph, R To L

Chicago White Sox — Berita

Perbandingan Musim

White Sox
STAT
Diamondbacks
33-29 Rekor 32-29
53.2% Win % 52.5%
.532 PCT .525
293 Poin Dicetak 273
282 Poin Kemasukan 270
62 Pertandingan Dimainkan 61
W1 Streak L2
7-3 10 terakhir 5-5
20-11 Rekor Kandang 19-12
13-18 Rekor Tandang 13-17

Pertemuan Langsung

1
Terakhir 2 pertemuan
1
Apr 23
White Sox 4 - 1 Diamondbacks
Apr 22
White Sox 7 - 11 Diamondbacks

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Jun 3 @ Twins 8-0 W
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Jun 1 @ Twins 6-9 L
Mei 31 vs Tigers 1-2 W
Mei 30 vs Tigers 1-7 W

Diamondbacks Terbaru

Jun 3 vs Dodgers 7-0 L
Jun 2 vs Dodgers 6-5 L
Jun 1 vs Dodgers 1-4 W
Mei 31 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Mei 30 @ Mariners 1-5 L

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