Takaisin peleihin Tiistai, Tou 26, 2026

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets — Tou 26, 2026 | AI-ennuste ja tilastot

Citi Field, Flushing
72°F, Cloudy
8 mph, Out To LF
W Chase Burns L David Peterson

Tulostaulu

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 2 0 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 7 15 0
Mets 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 5 1

AI-ENNUSTENeuroverkon ennuste

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Reds 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Mets 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Reds favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between a Reds team riding momentum and a Mets club desperately seeking to halt their slide. Chase Burns brings elite stuff to the mound for Cincinnati, featuring a four-seam fastball that averages 98.1 mph and a devastating slider that accounts for 37% of his repertoire. His recent velocity readings show consistency in the mid-90s with the ability to reach triple digits, making him a legitimate weapon against a Mets lineup already struggling without Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez. The Mets' TBD starter creates significant uncertainty, though their recent rotation struggles suggest they may be forced into a bullpen game or emergency starter situation. Elly De La Cruz continues to be a dynamic force for Cincinnati with 12 home runs and elite speed that can change games instantly. His .288 average paired with Nathaniel Lowe's steady .268 clip gives the Reds multiple threats against whatever New York throws at them. The Mets counter with Juan Soto when healthy, though recent illness concerns add another layer of uncertainty to an already volatile situation. The overcast conditions and 8 mph wind at Citi Field should create neutral offensive conditions, though both teams have shown the ability to score in bunches recently. Cincinnati's 7-2 victory yesterday demonstrates their current form advantage, while New York's four-game losing streak reflects deeper systemic issues beyond just pitching matchups. The Reds' recent activation of Caleb Ferguson from the IL provides bullpen depth that could prove crucial in what projects as a competitive contest.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Burns vulnerable early, Mets TBD starter struggles
Middle (4-6) 4R Both bullpens taxed, offensive opportunities
Late (7-9) 3R Late-game heroics determine winner

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Juan Soto when healthy
Citi Field home environment
Desperate for turnaround
Four-game losing streak
Missing Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez
TBD starting pitcher uncertainty

Reds

Chase Burns elite velocity and stuff
Elly De La Cruz dynamic offense
Recent momentum with 2-game win streak
Burns still developing command
Road record mediocre at 14-13
Bullpen depth concerns

Risk Factors

Mets TBD starter could be major wildcard
Weather conditions favoring offense

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs TBD batter Elite speed vs unknown starter
Juan Soto vs Chase Burns batter Experience vs young flame-thrower
Nathaniel Lowe vs TBD batter Consistent contact vs uncertain Mets rotation

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 65%
Strikeouts 16 12-20
Total Runs 11 8-14

Game Preview

Chase Burns takes the mound with his signature high-octane approach, but the Mets jump on him early as Juan Soto works a leadoff walk in the first. However, Burns settles in quickly, using his devastating slider to escape further damage. The Reds respond immediately as Elly De La Cruz leads off the second with his trademark aggressive approach, turning on a mistake pitch for a solo home run that gives Cincinnati the early edge. The Mets' TBD starter struggles with command issues, and De La Cruz's speed creates chaos on the basepaths in the third inning, eventually scoring on a Nathaniel Lowe RBI single as part of a two-run frame. New York fights back in the fifth inning when Brett Baty launches a two-run homer to left field, capitalizing on Burns' occasional wildness. The middle innings become a battle of attrition as both bullpens are forced into action earlier than planned. The Reds regain control in the seventh when their lineup strings together quality at-bats against the Mets' relievers, pushing across two crucial runs that prove to be the difference. Despite a late rally attempt by New York in the ninth that produces one run, Cincinnati's pitching staff holds firm to secure the victory and extend their recent surge.
The confidence level reflects Cincinnati's clear advantages in starting pitching certainty and current momentum, offset somewhat by the inherent unpredictability of the Mets' TBD starter situation. Burns' elite stuff gives the Reds a significant edge, though his youth creates some volatility in the projection.
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Cincinnati Reds — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Blake Dunn
RF .31112.380.467
Elly De La Cruz
SS .2841237.349.518
Sal Stewart
DH .2561235.352.478
Spencer Steer
1B .266721.340.435
Eugenio Suárez
3B .245313.319.382
Dane Myers
CF .256312.366.410
JJ Bleday
LF .287721.387.596
Tyler Stephenson
C .191417.294.321
Matt McLain
2B .199520.295.325

New York Mets — Kokoonpano

PelaajaPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .242318.307.330
Bo Bichette
SS .228527.274.321
Juan Soto
DH .2931123.387.571
A.J. Ewing
CF .27114.375.375
Mark Vientos
1B .229623.267.386
Eric Wagaman
3B .00000.000.000
Marcus Semien
2B .216419.264.312
MJ Melendez
LF .20326.322.351
Luis Torrens
C .202011.264.286

Tulosvedot

1
Eugenio Suárez doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Sal Stewart scores. Spencer Steer scores.
2-0
4
Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Dane Myers scores. JJ Bleday to 3rd.
3-0
4
Elly De La Cruz doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Tyler Stephenson scores. Matt McLain scores.
5-0
6
Tyler Stephenson doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. JJ Bleday scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Bo Bichette.
6-0
6
Juan Soto homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Bo Bichette scores.
6-2
8
Sal Stewart singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge, deflected by second baseman Marcus Semien. Blake Dunn scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.
7-2

Cincinnati Reds — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Blake DunnRF
4110110.311.847
Elly De La CruzSS
5022020.284.867
Sal StewartDH
5121020.256.830
Spencer Steer1B
3100210.266.775
Eugenio Suárez3B
5022020.245.701
Dane MyersCF
4120110.256.776
JJ BledayLF
5130020.287.983
Tyler StephensonC
4122110.191.615
Matt McLain2B
4110000.199.620
Yhteensä3971575120
BATTING
2B: Suárez, E (5, Peterson, D); De La Cruz, E (13, Peterson, D); Stephenson, T (5, Peterson, D).
TB: Bleday 3; De La Cruz, E 3; Dunn; McLain, M; Myers 2; Stephenson, T 3; Stewart, S 2; Suárez, E 3.
RBI: De La Cruz, E 2 (37); Stephenson, T 2 (17); Stewart, S (35); Suárez, E 2 (13).
2-out RBI: Suárez, E 2; De La Cruz, E 2; Stewart, S.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Steer; De La Cruz, E 3; Stewart, S; Bleday.
GIDP: Dunn.
Team RISP: 6-for-16.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
CS: Dunn (1, 2nd base by Peterson, D/Torrens).
FIELDING
DP: (McLain, M-De La Cruz, E-Steer).

New York Mets — Lyönti

PelaajaABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
4000010.242.637
Bo BichetteSS
4110010.228.595
Juan SotoDH
4112011.293.958
A.J. EwingCF
4010010.271.750
Mark Vientos1B
2000000.229.653
Eric Wagaman3B
2000010.000.000
Marcus Semien2B
3000010.216.576
MJ MelendezLF
3000010.203.673
Luis TorrensC
3020010.202.550
Yhteensä312522101
BATTING
2B: Torrens (7, Burns, Ch).
HR: Soto, J (11, 6th inning off Burns, Ch, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Bichette; Ewing; Soto, J 4; Torrens 3.
RBI: Soto, J 2 (23).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Soto, J; Bichette.
GIDP: Vientos.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
E: Bichette (6, throw).
Outfield assists: Melendez, M (Suárez, E at home).
DP: (Peterson, D-Torrens-Young, J).
a-Grounded into a double play for Young, J in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Baty in the 7th.

Cincinnati Reds — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Chase Burns(W, 7-1)
5.142228190-551.96
Sam Moll
1.200002024-162.55
Pierce Johnson
0.21000009-53.27
Brock Burke
0.10000004-33.60
Tony Santillan
1.000000010-75.57

New York Mets — Syöttö

SyöttäjäIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
David Peterson(L, 3-5)
5.0116634090-605.57
Sean Manaea
3.031126068-465.56
A.J. Minter
1.010002016-100.00

Ottelutiedot

Tuomarit: Home Plate: Emil Jimenez; First Base: Edwin Moscoso; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Vic Carapazza
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Sää: 72°F, Cloudy
Tuuli: 8 mph, Out To LF

Cincinnati Reds — Uutiset

New York Mets — Uutiset

Kausivertailu

Reds
STAT
Mets
31-29 Tulos 26-35
51.7% Win % 42.6%
.517 PCT .426
262 Juoksuja puolesta 244
300 Juoksuja vastaan 263
60 Pelatut pelit 61
W1 Putki L2
5-5 Viimeiset 10 4-6
16-15 Kotitulos 15-15
15-14 Vierastulos 11-20

Keskinaiset kohtaamiset

1
Viimeiset 2 kohtaamista
1
Tou 27
Reds 2 - 4 Mets
Tou 25
Reds 7 - 2 Mets

Reds Viimeaikaiset

Kes 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Kes 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Tou 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Tou 30 vs Braves 5-2 L
Tou 29 vs Braves 8-3 L

Mets Viimeaikaiset

Kes 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Kes 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Kes 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Tou 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Tou 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W

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