San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles — Apr 12, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Adrian Houser’s ground-ball profile keeps the ball in the yard early, but the Orioles’ left-right balance at the top of the order quickly forces deep counts. Taylor Ward’s gap power evens the score in the second, and Gunnar Henderson’s compact swing punishes a first-pitch sinker for a two-run shot in the third. Cade Povich mixes his sweeping slider with a firmer four-seamer, but one bad cutter to Willy Adames in the fourth leaves the yard, trimming the lead. Povich settles for five competitive innings before turning it over to a well-rested bridge of Grant Wolfram and Yennier Cano. Houser battles into the sixth; a tiring arm and a leadoff walk set up Colton Cowser’s RBI flare, nudging Baltimore back in front after the Giants had tied it on a small-ball rally an inning earlier. Once the Giants’ bullpen takes over, Ryan Walker and Matt Gage keep it close, but the eighth belongs to Pete Alonso, who finally unlocks a middle-in fastball for insurance. Ryan Helsley closes with upper-90s velocity and a power curve, stranding Matt Chapman at second to secure a 5-3 Orioles win. Baltimore’s deeper bullpen and timely extra-base hits offset the absence of Adley Rutschman, while San Francisco’s lingering offensive inconsistency—especially from the lower half of the order—prevents a late comeback.