Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles — Apr 13, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Trevor Rogers has been overpowering in the early going, commanding both sides of the plate with a mid-90s fastball and a devastating change-up that neutralizes right-handed hitters. Against an Arizona lineup missing its top catcher and leaning on several left-hand bats, Rogers should cruise through the first two trips of the order. Ryne Nelson counters with solid stuff but has shown early vulnerability to the long ball, and Camden Yards’ short alleys won’t help. Baltimore’s offense is down two key bats (Rutschman, O’Neill), yet Gunnar Henderson and Taylor Ward are carrying the attack, and rookie Dylan Beavers lengthens the lineup. The Birds scrape a run in the second when Ward doubles and Henderson plates him on a sharp single. They add another in the fifth as Henderson turns on a Nelson cutter for a solo shot. The decisive blow comes in the seventh when Arizona’s bullpen is forced in early; Yennier Cano sets the table with a rare pinch-run, Henderson draws a walk, and Pete Alonso drives a two-run gapper off Taylor Clarke. Arizona breaks through only twice. Corbin Carroll legs out a triple in the third and scores on a Ketel Marte sac fly. In the seventh, Carroll singles, swipes second, and scores on Nolan Arenado’s line-drive single, but Rogers exits having allowed just two runs over seven strong. Baltimore’s late-inning duo of Rico Garcia and Ryan Helsley slams the door with clean eighth and ninth frames. Key edges: superior starting pitching, healthier and deeper bullpen, and Henderson’s red-hot bat. Orioles stay atop the division with a crisp 4-2 victory.