Back to Games Sunday, Jul 19, 2026

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies — Jul 19, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Coors Field, Denver
92°F, Sunny
4 mph, Out To LF
W Hunter Greene L Ryan Feltner

Scoreboard

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 5 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 9 10 1
Rockies 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 6 8 0

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Reds 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 5
Rockies 1 0 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 7
Confidence: 57% Rockies favored
Ryan Feltner takes the ball for Colorado in the rubber game of this series, and while he's a serviceable mid-rotation arm, his 4.55 ERA and 6.68 K/9 are concerning numbers at Coors Field in 96-degree heat. Feltner's four-seamer sits 94-95 mph, but without swing-and-miss stuff he'll rely on weak contact — a dangerous strategy when the ball carries like a rocket in thin Denver air. His walk rate of 3.41 BB/9 could unravel innings quickly if Cincinnati's lineup works counts. Hunter Greene presents the more compelling storyline. The power righty is returning from what appears to be an injury-shortened first half, logging just 10.1 innings across two starts. His 99 mph fastball and plus slider are elite weapons, and his 16.55 K/9 is jaw-dropping — but so is his 6.97 ERA. At altitude with a small sample, Greene is a high-variance arm. He could deal seven scoreless innings or get tagged early if the Rockies jump on his elevated pitch counts. Colorado holds the series edge 2-1 in this homestand after blowing out Cincinnati 10-3 on Friday, with TJ Rumfield and Troy Johnston providing the offensive backbone. The Reds' front office is clearly in sell mode — the wave of minor-league signings signals a roster reset for 2027, which may subtly affect clubhouse focus in this finale. Sal Stewart and Elly De La Cruz remain dangerous bats, but the Rockies' home altitude advantage and momentum lean slightly toward Colorado.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Greene velocity vs. Coors hitters early
Middle (4-6) 5R Bullpens taxed; Coors inflation kicks in
Late (7-9) 3R Late-inning relief volatility at altitude

Matchup Analysis

Rockies

Coors Field home advantage
TJ Rumfield power threat
Troy Johnston .312 avg
Feltner low strikeout rate
Depleted pitching staff depth

Reds

Elly De La Cruz dynamic presence
Sal Stewart 19 HR power
Hunter Greene elite velocity
Greene 6.97 ERA at Coors risk
Reds trade-deadline sell mode

Risk Factors

Coors Field run inflation
Greene's tiny 10.1 IP sample

Key Matchups

TJ Rumfield vs Hunter Greene batter Greene's 99 mph FB plays up but Coors adds carry; Rumfield has pop
Elly De La Cruz vs Ryan Feltner batter Feltner's 6.68 K/9 can't neutralize De La Cruz's speed and power
Sal Stewart vs Ryan Feltner batter Stewart's 19 HR vs. Feltner's pedestrian stuff; altitude amplifies

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rockies 58%
Strikeouts 16 13-20
Total Runs 12 9-16

Game Preview

The rubber game at Coors Field kicks off under brutal 96-degree midday heat, setting the stage for a high-scoring afternoon. Feltner navigates a shaky first but the Rockies push across a run in the bottom half on a Kyle Karros single that plates Troy Johnston. Greene comes out firing triple-digits and fans two Colorado hitters in the second, looking every bit the ace his stuff suggests. The game opens up in the third when TJ Rumfield deposits a Greene fastball into the left-field bleachers for a two-run shot, pushing Colorado's lead to 3-1. Cincinnati answers in the fourth as Sal Stewart hits a rope off Feltner into the gap, scoring two to make it a 3-2 game. Elly De La Cruz adds to the chaos with a stolen base and a sacrifice fly in the sixth, but the Rockies' bullpen holds the line while Colorado adds insurance in the sixth on a Brett Sullivan RBI single. The Reds chip away through the seventh and eighth, but Colorado's bullpen — deeper by attrition compared to a Cincinnati relief corps stretched thin — slams the door. Rumfield's power and Johnston's consistent contact prove too much for an undermanned Reds squad playing out the string before the trade deadline reshapes their roster.
Feltner vs. Greene is a volatile matchup at Coors with thin samples on both sides. Colorado's home altitude edge and series momentum give a slim lean, but Greene's upside and Cincinnati's dangerous lineup keep confidence modest.
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Cincinnati Reds — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Elly De La Cruz
SS .2821645.353.506
Edwin Arroyo
2B .23604.274.283
JJ Bleday
RF .2431643.351.486
Spencer Steer
1B .2461640.324.435
Nathaniel Lowe
DH .2491130.333.473
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B .13825.194.215
Tyler Stephenson
C .247827.325.396
TJ Friedl
LF .175311.258.263
Dane Myers
CF .260314.370.390

Colorado Rockies — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jake McCarthy
CF .3021055.348.512
Mickey Moniak
LF .2761540.322.557
Hunter Goodman
C .2573056.326.561
TJ Rumfield
1B .2991351.380.480
Willi Castro
SS .263940.331.397
Kyle Karros
3B .259934.353.430
Troy Johnston
DH .296340.366.411
Tyler Freeman
RF .256323.332.330
Edouard Julien
2B .219320.329.306

Scoring Plays

1
Nathaniel Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Elly De La Cruz scores. JJ Bleday scores.
3-0
1
Tyler Stephenson homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Eugenio Suárez scores.
5-0
1
Hunter Goodman homers (28) on a fly ball to center field.
5-1
2
Sal Stewart homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Dane Myers scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.
8-1
5
Tyler Stephenson homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.
9-1
6
Hunter Goodman homers (29) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake McCarthy scores.
9-3
8
Hunter Goodman homers (30) on a fly ball to center field. Mickey Moniak scores.
9-5
9
Willi Castro homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.
9-6

Cincinnati Reds — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Elly De La CruzSS
4210100.282.859
Edwin Arroyo2B
0000000.236.557
JJ BledayRF
4110100.243.837
Spencer Steer1B
5000010.246.759
Nathaniel LoweDH
5113021.249.806
Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
0000000.138.409
Tyler StephensonC
4233002.247.721
TJ FriedlLF
3000100.175.521
Dane MyersCF
2120200.260.760
Totals369109564
BATTING
2B: Myers (7, Feltner); Stephenson, T (11, Gordon, T).
HR: Lowe, N (11, 1st inning off Feltner, 2 on, 2 out); Stephenson, T 2 (8, 1st inning off Feltner, 1 on, 2 out, 5th inning off Gordon, T, 0 on, 1 out); Stewart, S (20, 2nd inning off Feltner, 2 on, 0 out).
TB: Bleday; De La Cruz, E; Lowe, N 4; Myers 3; Stephenson, T 10; Stewart, S 4; Suárez, E.
RBI: Lowe, N 3 (30); Stephenson, T 3 (27); Stewart, S 3 (70).
2-out RBI: Lowe, N 3; Stephenson, T 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Suárez, E; Friedl; Stewart, S.
Team RISP: 2-for-9.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Bleday (5, 2nd base off Feltner/Goodman).
FIELDING
E: De La Cruz, E (8, throw).

Colorado Rockies — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jake McCarthyCF
4110010.302.860
Mickey MoniakLF
4110000.276.879
Hunter GoodmanC
4335013.257.887
TJ Rumfield1B
4000020.299.860
Willi CastroSS
4111021.263.728
Kyle Karros3B
4010000.259.783
Troy JohnstonDH
4010010.296.777
Tyler FreemanRF
4000020.256.662
Edouard Julien2B
4000000.219.635
Totals36686094
BATTING
HR: Goodman 3 (30, 1st inning off Greene, H, 0 on, 2 out, 6th inning off Greene, H, 1 on, 1 out, 8th inning off Moll, 1 on, 2 out); Castro, W (9, 9th inning off Pagán, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Castro, W 4; Goodman 12; Johnston, T; Karros, K; McCarthy; Moniak.
RBI: Castro, W (40); Goodman 5 (56).
2-out RBI: Goodman 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Julien.
Team RISP: 0-for-1.
Team LOB: 3.
FIELDING
DP: (Rumfield).

Cincinnati Reds — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Hunter Greene(W, 2-1)
6.043307294-676.06
Brock Burke
1.00000009-62.89
Sam Moll
1.022200117-124.43
Emilio Pagán
1.021102122-166.23

Colorado Rockies — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Ryan Feltner(L, 3-4)
2.178843371-425.48
Tanner Gordon
5.231112166-485.95
Jordan Romano
1.000001012-87.11

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Alex Tosi; First Base: Cory Blaser; Second Base: Jansen Visconti; Third Base: Andy Fletcher
Venue: Coors Field, Denver
Weather: 92°F, Sunny
Wind: 4 mph, Out To LF

Cincinnati Reds — News

Colorado Rockies — News

Season Comparison

Reds
STAT
Rockies
44-53 Record 40-60
45.4% Win % 40.0%
.454 PCT .400
405 Runs For 478
467 Runs Against 565
97 Games Played 100
L1 Streak W1
4-6 Last 10 4-6
22-28 Home Record 23-26
22-25 Away Record 17-34

Head to Head

3
Last 5 meetings
2
Jul 18
Reds 3 - 10 Rockies
Jul 17
Reds 7 - 2 Rockies
Apr 30
Rockies 4 - 6 Reds
Apr 29
Rockies 13 - 2 Reds
Apr 28
Rockies 2 - 7 Reds

Reds Recent

Jul 18 @ Rockies 3-10 L
Jul 17 @ Rockies 7-2 W
Jul 12 vs Cubs 8-4 L
Jul 11 vs Cubs 5-3 L
Jul 10 vs Cubs 0-4 W

Rockies Recent

Jul 18 vs Reds 3-10 W
Jul 17 vs Reds 7-2 L
Jul 12 @ Giants 1-3 L
Jul 11 @ Giants 2-4 L
Jul 10 @ Giants 4-3 W

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