Back to Games Tuesday, Jul 7, 2026

Athletics vs Detroit Tigers — Jul 7, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Comerica Park, Detroit
85°F, Clear
5 mph, In From LF
W Tarik Skubal L J.T. Ginn

Scoreboard

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Athletics 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 7 1
Tigers 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 - 6 8 1

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Athletics 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2
Tigers 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 5
Confidence: 72% Tigers favored
This matchup is defined by a stark pitching disparity at the top. Tarik Skubal brings one of the AL's most dominant profiles to Comerica Park — a 3.15 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and a staggering 10.28 K/9 that makes him a genuine Cy Young contender. His five-pitch mix led by a 96.7 mph four-seamer and a devastating changeup gives the Athletics' struggling lineup very little to key on. Oakland comes in having lost three straight to Miami — a team well below them — and their offensive profile without Brent Rooker (knee) and Tyler Soderstrom (hip) is notably diminished. J.T. Ginn counters with respectable numbers on the surface (3.15 ERA, 88.2 IP), but his 3.65 BB/9 and 1.22 WHIP reveal a pitcher who works in traffic. Detroit's hitters — particularly Kevin McGonigle (.284, 7 HR, 31 RBI) and Colt Keith (.250, 6 HR) — are patient enough to capitalize on Ginn's free passes. The Tigers' bullpen, even depleted by losses of Vest and others, holds a clear edge over Oakland's reshuffled unit, which recently outrighted Hartlieb and released Kelly. Detroit's IL casualties are significant — Verlander, Jobe, Olson, and others gone — but Skubal alone elevates this team's ceiling tonight. The Tigers are on a W2 streak, 6-4 over ten games, and have been particularly strong at Comerica (23-21 home). The Athletics' road splits are actually solid (22-21), but their -72 run differential tells the real story: they've been outscored badly all season, and tonight's pitching matchup makes a repeat likely.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Skubal dominant, Ginn settles in early
Middle (4-6) 3R Tigers break through vs. Ginn mid-game
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen holds; A's scratch late run

Matchup Analysis

Tigers

Skubal elite strikeout rate
Strong home record 23-21
Hot streak W2, 6-4 L10
Thin rotation behind Skubal
Multiple key IL absences

Athletics

Kurtz/Langeliers power threat
Ginn solid ERA 3.15
Strong road record 22-21
L3 streak, 3-7 last ten
Brent Rooker on IL

Risk Factors

A's power surge (Kurtz/Langeliers HR)
Skubal pitch count limit

Key Matchups

Nick Kurtz vs Tarik Skubal pitcher Skubal's elite changeup neutralizes Kurtz's pull-side power
Shea Langeliers vs Tarik Skubal pitcher High K/9 from Skubal limits Langeliers' HR threat
Kevin McGonigle vs J.T. Ginn batter McGonigle's .284 avg should handle Ginn's walk-heavy profile

Statistical Edges

First to Score Tigers 62%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 7 5-9

Game Preview

The stage is set for a Skubal showcase at Comerica Park on a warm, overcast July night. Detroit's ace takes the hill against an Athletics club in visible freefall, having dropped three straight to Miami. Expect Skubal to work quickly, punching out Bolte and Muncy in the first before McGonigle squares up Ginn for a leadoff RBI single in the home half, staking Detroit to an early 1-0 lead. The middle innings are where this game turns. Ginn's walk issues catch up to him in the fifth — Keith draws a free pass, McGonigle laces a double, and two runs score to push the Tigers' advantage to 3-1. Skubal, sitting at 75 pitches through six, continues to stifle Oakland's power threat. Langeliers gets a hold of one in the eighth off the Detroit bullpen to make it 4-2, briefly sparking hope, but McGonigle adds an insurance run in the seventh on a sac fly. The Tigers' pen closes it down cleanly from there. Skubal finishes with 10-plus strikeouts through seven innings, earning a quality start while protecting a lead Detroit refuses to relinquish. The final is 5-2, Detroit, extending their winning streak to three and handing Oakland their fourth consecutive defeat.
Skubal's elite profile against a declining A's offense on a losing streak drives strong conviction. Ginn's walk rate gives Detroit baserunners. A's missing Rooker hurts their lineup depth significantly.
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Athletics — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Zack Gelof
LF .2811129.335.489
Nick Kurtz
1B .2712066.410.505
Shea Langeliers
C .2642045.330.492
Jonah Heim
DH .243929.305.486
Jacob Wilson
SS .272426.304.379
Lawrence Butler
RF .200522.294.302
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer
2B .46201.481.577
Max Muncy
3B .227520.303.396
Henry Bolte
CF .292315.373.385

Detroit Tigers — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle
3B .287732.398.423
Hao-Yu Lee
2B .250415.286.393
Riley Greene
LF .2891344.376.468
Dillon Dingler
C .2621960.323.514
Kerry Carpenter
DH .2311336.305.477
Zach McKinstry
SS .203316.282.297
Spencer Torkelson
1B .2141438.313.411
Ben Malgeri
RF .31304.429.375
Matt Vierling
CF .203530.255.342

Scoring Plays

1
Colt Keith homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin McGonigle scores.
0-2
3
Henry Bolte homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.
1-2
6
Ben Malgeri doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Zach McKinstry scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd.
1-3
6
Matt Vierling doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Spencer Torkelson scores. Ben Malgeri scores.
1-5
6
Kevin McGonigle singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Matt Vierling scores.
1-6
7
Shea Langeliers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. Henry Bolte scores. Nick Kurtz to 2nd.
2-6

Athletics — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Zack GelofLF
5010040.281.824
Nick Kurtz1B
5000020.271.915
Shea LangeliersC
3011120.264.822
Jonah HeimDH
3010000.243.791
Jacob WilsonSS
4000010.272.683
Lawrence ButlerRF
2000000.200.596
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer2B
4030000.4621.058
Max Muncy3B
3000110.227.699
Henry BolteCF
3211001.292.758
Totals342722121
BATTING
2B: Kuroda-Grauer (3, Skubal).
HR: Bolte (3, 3rd inning off Skubal, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Bolte 4; Gelof; Heim; Kuroda-Grauer 4; Langeliers.
RBI: Bolte (15); Langeliers (45).
2-out RBI: Langeliers.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Heim; Muncy 2; Bolte; Wilson, J 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
CS: Kuroda-Grauer (1, 2nd base by Finnegan/Dingler).
PO: Kuroda-Grauer (1st base by Finnegan).
FIELDING
E: Bolte (4, fielding).
DP: (Kurtz-Wilson, J).
a-Grounded out for Thomas, C in the 6th.

Detroit Tigers — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Kevin McGonigle3B
4121110.287.821
Hao-Yu Lee2B
1000010.250.679
Riley GreeneLF
4000010.289.844
Dillon DinglerC
4000020.262.837
Kerry CarpenterDH
3000020.231.782
Zach McKinstrySS
3120100.203.579
Spencer Torkelson1B
4110020.214.724
Ben MalgeriRF
1111100.313.804
Matt VierlingCF
4112010.203.597
Totals326864111
BATTING
2B: Malgeri (1, Lopez, J); Vierling (12, Lopez, J).
HR: Keith (7, 1st inning off Ginn, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Keith 4; Malgeri 2; McGonigle 2; McKinstry 2; Torkelson; Vierling 2.
RBI: Keith 2 (21); Malgeri (4); McGonigle (32); Vierling 2 (30).
2-out RBI: Malgeri; Vierling 2; McGonigle.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Dingler; Vierling; McGonigle.
GIDP: Keith.
Team RISP: 3-for-10.
Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING
E: Lee (3, fielding).
Pickoffs: Finnegan (Kuroda-Grauer at 1st base).
a-Doubled for Outman in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Keith in the 6th.

Athletics — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
J.T. Ginn(L, 7-5)
4.022224161-403.10
Jacob Lopez
3.054414063-397.04
Elvis Alvarado
1.010013023-155.33

Detroit Tigers — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tarik Skubal(W, 5-4)
5.051129196-623.06
Kyle Finnegan(H, 10)
1.010000010-72.18
Drew Anderson
1.011002029-164.28
Jacob Waguespack
2.000001023-201.54

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Jim Wolf; First Base: Alex MacKay; Second Base: Roberto Ortiz; Third Base: Alan Porter
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit
Weather: 85°F, Clear
Wind: 5 mph, In From LF

Athletics — News

Detroit Tigers — News

Season Comparison

Athletics
STAT
Tigers
41-49 Record 40-50
45.6% Win % 44.4%
.456 PCT .444
416 Runs For 379
488 Runs Against 368
90 Games Played 90
L3 Streak W2
3-7 Last 10 6-4
19-28 Home Record 23-21
22-21 Away Record 17-29

Athletics Recent

Jul 5 vs Marlins 9-8 L
Jul 4 vs Marlins 7-2 L
Jul 3 vs Marlins 12-5 L
Jul 1 vs Dodgers 1-7 W
Jun 30 vs Dodgers 9-3 L

Tigers Recent

Jul 5 @ Rangers 6-3 W
Jul 4 @ Rangers 3-0 W
Jul 2 @ Rangers 4-10 L
Jul 1 @ Yankees 6-2 W
Jun 30 @ Yankees 9-3 W

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