Back to Games Sunday, May 24, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — May 24, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

American Family Field, Milwaukee
73°F, Sunny
5 mph, In From CF
W Yoshinobu Yamamoto L Brandon Sproat

Scoreboard

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Dodgers 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 0
Brewers 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Dodgers 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 5
Brewers 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 4
Confidence: 68% Dodgers favored
This afternoon matchup at American Family Field presents an intriguing contrast between the Dodgers' proven ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Milwaukee's Brandon Sproat, who remains relatively untested at the MLB level. Yamamoto enters with a solid 3.32 ERA and excellent command (0.96 WHIP), though his recent 107-pitch outing suggests potential fatigue concerns. His splitter-heavy approach (29.1% usage) should play well against a Brewers lineup that includes several free-swinging hitters. Sproat's limited data shows promising velocity (up to 99.7 mph) but lacks the track record to inspire confidence against a potent Dodgers offense led by Shohei Ohtani (.273, 8 HR) and the surging Teoscar Hernández. The Brewers bounce back from yesterday's 11-3 shellacking with William Contreras (.304 average) and Brice Turang (7 HR) providing offensive stability, but they face a Dodgers team riding momentum from that explosive performance. Los Angeles boasts a superior +102 run differential compared to Milwaukee's +71, indicating more sustainable offensive production throughout the season. The Dodgers' 8-2 record over their last ten games reflects their current form advantage, though playing on the road after an emotional high creates some regression risk. Both bullpens have been stretched thin due to extensive injury lists, particularly the Dodgers who are missing key arms like Evan Phillips and Brusdar Graterol. This could force both managers into earlier hooks if their starters struggle, potentially creating a more volatile late-game environment. The pleasant 77-degree conditions with clear skies should favor hitters, though the northwest wind at 8 mph is relatively neutral. Milwaukee's strong 16-10 home record suggests they'll compete, but the pitching matchup and recent form trends favor Los Angeles in what should be a competitive, mid-scoring affair.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Yamamoto settles after rocky first, Ohtani drives early run
Middle (4-6) 2R Both starters finding rhythm, bullpens enter clean
Late (7-9) 3R Brewers rally attempt falls short, Dodgers add insurance

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Strong home record 16-10
Balanced offensive attack led by Contreras
American Family Field day game advantage
Coming off 11-3 blowout loss
Sproat lacks MLB track record
Depleted pitching depth with multiple IL players

Dodgers

Superior run differential +102 vs +71
Elite starter in Yamamoto
Hot streak with 8-2 last ten games
Road game on day after offensive explosion
Extensive injury list including key pitchers
Potential letdown spot after dominant win

Risk Factors

Yamamoto's workload after 107 pitches last start
Sproat's inexperience in big spots

Key Matchups

Shohei Ohtani vs Brandon Sproat batter Elite hitter vs unproven starter
Christian Yelich vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto batter Veteran presence against splitter-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Dodgers 65%
Strikeouts 15 12-18
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound for Los Angeles looking to build on the Dodgers' momentum from their dominant 11-3 victory. The Japanese ace works efficiently through the first inning but allows Shohei Ohtani to jump on Brandon Sproat's fastball in the top of the first, driving in the game's opening run with a sharp single to right field. Sproat settles down initially but struggles with command in the third inning when Kyle Tucker and Will Smith string together quality at-bats, leading to a two-run frame that puts the Dodgers ahead 3-0. Milwaukee responds in the bottom of the second when William Contreras works a patient at-bat against Yamamoto's splitter and drives a hanging offering into the gap for an RBI double. The Brewers add another in the fifth as Christian Yelich's veteran approach pays off against Yamamoto's secondary pitches, cutting the deficit to 3-2. The middle innings become a chess match between the bullpens, with both teams' depth being tested due to extensive injury lists. The decisive moments come in the eighth inning when the Dodgers break through against Milwaukee's depleted bullpen options. Teoscar Hernández delivers the key blow with a clutch two-out hit that plates the go-ahead run, extending the lead to 4-2. The Brewers mount a spirited comeback attempt in the bottom half, with Brice Turang driving in two runs to tie the game at 4-4, but Los Angeles answers immediately in the ninth with an insurance run. Milwaukee threatens in the bottom of the ninth but cannot complete the comeback, as the Dodgers secure a hard-fought 5-4 victory to take two of three in the series.
The 68% confidence reflects Yamamoto's proven track record against Sproat's limited MLB experience, combined with the Dodgers' superior season-long metrics. However, Milwaukee's strong home record and potential for regression after LA's offensive explosion yesterday prevents higher confidence in what should be a competitive game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani
DH .272828.402.473
Mookie Betts
SS .17149.241.355
Freddie Freeman
1B .261623.362.441
Kyle Tucker
RF .251426.355.412
Andy Pages
CF .2821145.335.497
Teoscar Hernández
LF .277731.352.445
Dalton Rushing
C .263717.352.550
Hyeseong Kim
2B .255110.320.327
Miguel Rojas
3B .25618.302.333

Milwaukee Brewers — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jackson Chourio
LF .28915.325.421
Brice Turang
2B .291730.413.486
William Contreras
C .303430.371.410
Luis Rengifo
PH .199014.260.255
Andrew Vaughn
1B .29817.400.447
Blake Perkins
PH .10207.197.153
Sal Frelick
RF .217318.287.298
Joey Ortiz
SS .193111.291.239
David Hamilton
3B .23508.328.270

Scoring Plays

2
Sal Frelick grounds into a force out, second baseman Hyeseong Kim to shortstop Mookie Betts. Jake Bauers scores. Garrett Mitchell out at 2nd. Sal Frelick to 1st.
0-1
4
Shohei Ohtani grounds out to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
1-1
5
Kyle Tucker triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman scores.
3-1
5
Andy Pages homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Tucker scores.
5-1

Los Angeles Dodgers — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Shohei OhtaniDH
3000200.272.875
Mookie BettsSS
5110010.171.596
Freddie Freeman1B
3100230.261.803
Kyle TuckerRF
5122010.251.767
Andy PagesCF
4112021.282.832
Teoscar HernándezLF
3110110.277.797
Dalton RushingC
3010100.263.902
Hyeseong Kim2B
4000030.255.647
Miguel Rojas3B
3000010.256.635
Totals335646121
BATTING
2B: Tucker (14, Sproat).
3B: Tucker (2, Drohan).
HR: Pages, A (11, 5th inning off Drohan, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Betts; Hernández, T; Pages, A 4; Rushing; Tucker 5.
RBI: Pages, A 2 (45); Tucker 2 (26).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Pages, A 2; Tucker; Ohtani 3.
Team RISP: 2-for-9.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Pages, A (Turang at 2nd base).
DP: 2 (Betts-Freeman, F; Betts-Kim, Hy-Freeman, F).

Milwaukee Brewers — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jackson ChourioLF
4010000.289.746
Brice Turang2B
4010010.291.899
William ContrerasC
4010010.303.781
Luis RengifoPH
1000010.199.515
Andrew Vaughn1B
4010010.298.847
Blake PerkinsPH
1000010.102.350
Sal FrelickRF
3001000.217.585
Joey OrtizSS
3010000.193.530
David Hamilton3B
3000010.235.598
Totals31171170
BATTING
TB: Bauers; Chourio, J; Contreras, Wm; Mitchell; Ortiz, J; Turang; Vaughn.
RBI: Frelick (18).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Ortiz, J; Frelick.
GIDP: Turang; Vaughn.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 5.
a-Struck out for Bauers in the 9th.
b-Struck out for Mitchell in the 9th.

Los Angeles Dodgers — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto(W, 4-4)
7.071113092-603.09
Will Klein
1.000002016-102.11
Tanner Scott
1.000002015-101.25

Milwaukee Brewers — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Sproat(L, 1-3)
4.043347089-585.84
Shane Drohan
3.022205140-292.84
Carlos Rodriguez
2.000020038-171.50

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Tyler Jones; First Base: Marvin Hudson; Second Base: Nick Mahrley; Third Base: Tripp Gibson
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Weather: 73°F, Sunny
Wind: 5 mph, In From CF

Season Comparison

Dodgers
STAT
Brewers
39-22 Record 37-21
63.9% Win % 63.8%
.639 PCT .638
321 Runs For 292
194 Runs Against 199
61 Games Played 58
W1 Streak W3
8-2 Last 10 7-3
20-11 Home Record 21-11
19-11 Away Record 16-10

Head to Head

1
Last 2 meetings
1
May 23
Dodgers 11 - 3 Brewers
May 22
Dodgers 1 - 5 Brewers

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Brewers Recent

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