The Mariners enter this interleague clash riding a scorching 6-game winning streak and sporting an impressive 8-2 record over their last ten games, while the Mets arrive with their own 4-game win streak but remain hampered by a brutal injury list that has decimated their roster. Emerson Hancock takes the mound for Seattle with sublime form, posting a 2.78 ERA and 1.01 WHIP while striking out 63 batters in 64.2 innings. His four-seam fastball-sinker combination has been devastating, and his 4-2 record understates his effectiveness. The Mariners' offense has found its rhythm, scoring 255 runs with Randy Arozarena (.292 average, 6 HR) and Victor Robles (.292) leading the charge, though they'll miss Cal Raleigh's power behind the plate. The Mets counter with Austin Warren, a reliever pressed into starting duty with a microscopic 1.40 ERA, but his recent outings show short pitch counts that suggest he won't work deep into the game. Juan Soto's acquisition has provided offensive stability (.300 average) alongside Marcus Semien and Brett Baty, but the team's -13 run differential and 11-18 road record expose underlying weaknesses. Francisco Lindor, Francisco Alvarez, and Luis Robert Jr. headline a massive injured list that has forced New York to rely heavily on depth pieces. The Mariners' superior bullpen depth, home-field advantage at T-Mobile Park, and Hancock's current form give them multiple edges in what should be a competitive but manageable victory.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Both starters working efficiently, minimal offense

Middle (4-6) 4R Key breakthrough for Mariners in 5th, bullpen entry point

Late (7-9) 2R Seattle adds insurance, Mets struggle vs Mariners relief

Matchup Analysis

Mariners

Emerson Hancock's elite form

Red-hot 6-game win streak

Strong run differential at home

Missing Cal Raleigh behind plate

Depth concerns with IL list

Mets

Juan Soto's offensive presence

Recent 4-game winning streak

Austin Warren's microscopic ERA

Terrible road record (11-18)

Massive IL depleted roster

Warren primarily reliever starting

Risk Factors

Warren's stamina as starter

Mariners recent heavy bullpen usage

Key Matchups

Randy Arozarena vs Austin Warren batter Power vs finesse reliever

Juan Soto vs Emerson Hancock batter Elite plate discipline vs young starter

Marcus Semien vs Emerson Hancock pitcher Sinker effectiveness vs contact approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 55%

Strikeouts 14 11-17

Total Runs 7 5-9

Game Preview

Austin Warren will work carefully through the Mariners' lineup early, relying heavily on his slider to keep hitters off balance, but Emerson Hancock's pristine command will set the tone from the first pitch. The game remains scoreless through the opening frame as both pitchers settle in, with Warren's unconventional starter role creating uncertainty about his stamina. The Mets break through first in the third when Juan Soto works a characteristic patient at-bat and scores on a Marcus Semien RBI single, giving New York an early 1-0 lead. Seattle responds immediately in the bottom half when Randy Arozarena launches Warren's elevated fastball into the left field seats for a solo home run, knotting the game at 1-1. The pivotal fifth inning sees Warren begin to tire, walking the leadoff batter before Victor Robles drives home two runs with a clutch double down the right field line. The Mariners add another run in the sixth on a sacrifice fly, extending their lead to 4-1 as Hancock continues to dominate with his sinker-splitter combination. Warren exits after five innings having battled admirably, but the Mets' depleted bullpen struggles to contain Seattle's suddenly potent offense. The Mariners tack on an insurance run in the eighth inning off New York's relief corps, while their own bullpen shuts down the Mets' comeback attempt to secure a 5-2 victory that extends their winning streak to seven games.

The 72% confidence reflects Seattle's superior starting pitcher matchup with Hancock's excellent form against Warren making an unusual start, plus the Mariners' home-field advantage and current hot streak. However, the Mets' recent offensive surge and Soto's presence prevent higher confidence.

Probable Pitchers

New York Mets — Roster

Player	Pos	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Carson Benge	RF	.248	4	21	.312	.351
Bo Bichette	SS	.216	5	28	.271	.303
Juan Soto	LF	.297	13	29	.388	.582
Mark Vientos	1B	.224	7	26	.259	.388
A.J. Ewing	CF	.224	1	6	.316	.299
MJ Melendez	DH	.205	3	9	.323	.385
Brett Baty	3B	.227	3	23	.299	.335
Marcus Semien	2B	.228	6	23	.281	.349
Luis Torrens	C	.208	0	13	.269	.281

Seattle Mariners — Roster

Player	Pos	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
J.P. Crawford	SS	.215	9	22	.338	.382
Julio Rodríguez	CF	.259	12	30	.315	.457
Victor Robles	RF	.308	0	2	.308	.385
Randy Arozarena	LF	.286	6	26	.371	.446
Patrick Wisdom	1B	.133	0	2	.133	.200
Cole Young	2B	.250	4	30	.325	.363
Dominic Canzone	DH	.248	7	23	.324	.496
Mitch Garver	C	.187	2	6	.330	.293
Colt Emerson	3B	.250	3	8	.340	.568

Scoring Plays

▼ 3

Colt Emerson homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.

0-1

▲ 5

Jared Young homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.

1-1

▲ 6

Marcus Semien homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.

2-1

▼ 7

Josh Naylor homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.

2-2

▼ 10

Cole Young singles on a soft line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. Randy Arozarena scores.

2-3

New York Mets — Batting

Player	AB	R	H	RBI	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Carson BengeRF	4	0	0	0	1	0	.248	.663
Bo BichetteSS	4	0	0	0	1	0	.216	.574
Juan SotoLF	4	0	0	0	1	0	.297	.970
Mark Vientos1B	1	0	0	0	1	0	.224	.647
A.J. EwingCF	4	0	0	0	2	0	.224	.615
MJ MelendezDH	2	0	0	0	2	0	.205	.708
Brett Baty3B	3	0	0	0	1	0	.227	.634
Marcus Semien2B	3	1	1	1	1	1	.228	.630
Luis TorrensC	3	0	0	0	1	0	.208	.550
Totals	31	2	2	2	12	2

BATTING

HR: Young, J (2, 5th inning off Hancock, 0 on, 0 out); Semien (6, 6th inning off Hancock, 0 on, 0 out).

TB: Semien 4; Young, J 4.

RBI: Semien (23); Young, J (4).

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Ewing.

Team RISP: 0-for-3.

Team LOB: 1.

FIELDING

DP: (Baty-Semien-Young, J).

a-Struck out for Young, J in the 10th.

Seattle Mariners — Batting

Player	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
J.P. CrawfordSS	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.215	.720
Julio RodríguezCF	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.259	.772
Victor RoblesRF	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.308	.693
Randy ArozarenaLF	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	.286	.817
Patrick Wisdom1B	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	.133	.333
Cole Young2B	3	0	2	1	1	0	0	.250	.688
Dominic CanzoneDH	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.248	.820
Mitch GarverC	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.187	.623
Colt Emerson3B	3	1	1	1	0	1	1	.250	.908
Totals	31	3	4	3	1	9	2

BATTING

HR: Emerson (3, 3rd inning off Manaea, 0 on, 1 out); Naylor, J (6, 7th inning off Raley, B, 0 on, 0 out).

TB: Emerson 4; Naylor, J 4; Young 2.

RBI: Emerson (8); Naylor, J (25); Young (30).

GIDP: Refsnyder.

Team RISP: 1-for-3.

Team LOB: 3.

BASERUNNING

SB: Arozarena 2 (17, 2nd base off Manaea/Torrens, 3rd base off Minter/Torrens).

FIELDING

DP: (Young-Wisdom).

a-Struck out for Raley, L in the 7th.

b-Flied out for Refsnyder in the 7th.

New York Mets — Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Austin Warren	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	19-11	1.33
Sean Manaea	5.0	1	1	1	1	4	1	63-40	5.08
Brooks Raley(BS, 1)	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	1	19-13	1.61
Luke Weaver	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	15-9	2.77
Devin Williams	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	18-13	5.40
A.J. Minter(L, 0-1)	0.1	1	1	0	0	1	0	9-5	0.00

Seattle Mariners — Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Emerson Hancock	6.0	2	2	2	7	2	91-59	2.80
José A. Ferrer	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	13-10	1.69
Matt Brash	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	12-8	0.60
Andrés Muñoz	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	12-7	4.76
Gabe Speier(W, 1-2)	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21-13	2.45

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Jeremie Rehak; First Base: Dan Iassogna; Second Base: Adam Beck; Third Base: Jen Pawol

Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: 74°F, Partly Cloudy

Wind: 7 mph, L To R

New York Mets — News

George Kirby takes fifth loss against Mets

Kirby's 3.77 ERA and 7.18 K/9 remain solid, but four earned runs in four innings Wednesday signal recent struggles in a season where he's posted a 0.294 xwOBA. Seattle (21-40) sits 11.5 games back in the AL West with limited margin for rotation inefficiency.

George Kirby

New York Mets

Mets playing 12 extra-inning games; three more than any other team

NYM (26-34, -14 run diff) is 4-6 in last 10 and 11-19 on the road—extra-inning games expose depth bullpens and compress rest, compounding their already weak run differential. Harrison (1.57 ERA, 15 SO in 14.2 IP) faces a MIL team while Gausman (3.13 ERA, 8.61 K/9) opposes Braves starters Elder (2.50 ERA) and Sale (2.02 ERA) in a matchup favoring Atlanta's elite rotation.

Atlanta Braves

New York Mets

Mets Select Cionel Perez, Designate Anderson Severino

Peterson's 5.57 ERA and 0-4 record across 5 starts justify rotation depth moves, though Perez's Triple-A performance remains unavailable to assess immediate impact. New York sits 24-33 with a -27 run differential and needs rotation stability behind Peralta's 3.54 ERA.

Anderson Severino

New York Mets

Manaea takes Peterson's rotation spot for Mets

Peterson's 5.57 ERA and 0-4 record across 5 starts justify the swap, though Manaea arrives with a 5.56 ERA and no IP this season—NYM remain 23-33 (-29 run diff) searching for rotation stability behind Peralta's 3.52 ERA.

Sean Manaea

New York Mets

Rays Sign Outfielder Austin Slater To Minor League Deal

Slater (.209 AVG, .233 xwOBA in 2026) joins Tampa Bay's fourth organization this season after being outrighted by the Mets. The Rays (34-17, +38 run differential) add depth to an AL East-leading roster.

Austin Slater

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Mets

Seattle Mariners — News

Mariners extend win streak to 7 with 2nd consecutive walk-off

Seattle (32-29, +31 run diff) has won 8 of last 10 and climbed to AL West lead despite ranking last in the division 10 games ago. Logan Gilbert (3.69 ERA, 3-4) starts today against NYM, with the Mariners' pitching staff anchored by Hancock (2.80 ERA, 4-2) and Woo (3.44 ERA, 5-3).

Logan Gilbert

Seattle Mariners

Mariners adopt six-man rotation for 16 games in 17 days

Seattle (29-29, +25 run differential) shifts to a six-man rotation with Bryce Miller starting and Luis Castillo piggyback-pitching Sunday, managing a brutal stretch that requires depth across their full staff. Hancock (2.78 ERA, 4-2) remains their most efficient starter, while Gilbert (3.69 ERA, 5-4) and Kirby (3.77 ERA, 5-4) anchor the rotation alongside the piggyback approach.

Luis Castillo

Bryce Miller

Seattle Mariners

Texas Rangers

Kurtz extends on-base streak to 47 games, chases McGwire A's record

Oakland's first baseman sits one game behind Mark McGwire's franchise record; Athletics (27-26, 5-5 L10) host Seattle tonight with Civale (3.31 ERA, 5-1) facing a Mariners rotation averaging 3.85 ERA (Kirby, Woo, Gilbert, Hancock) that's won only 4 of last 10.

Athletics

Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mariners Notes: Crawford, Rotation, Castillo

Crawford is batting .204/.362/.354 (107 wRC+ career) across 43 games, well below his historical average, while the Seattle rotation remains intact with Kirby (3.45 ERA, 5-3) and Woo (3.51 ERA, 4-2) leading a solid foursome. Castillo's 6.41 ERA and .366 xwOBA suggest he remains unavailable or struggling significantly.

Seattle Mariners

Mariners Recall Robinson Ortiz, Reinstate Patrick Wisdom

Ortiz makes his MLB debut as Seattle's rotation remains anchored by Hancock (3.02 ERA, 0.316 xwOBA) and Kirby (3.45 ERA, 0.286 xwOBA), though the Mariners sit 22-26 with a -3 run differential despite a +6 overall RS-RA gap suggesting better offensive support ahead.

Robinson Ortiz

Patrick Wisdom