Back to Games Friday, Apr 24, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals — Apr 24, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
68°F, Partly Cloudy
2 mph, In From RF
W George Kirby L Andre Pallante SV Andrés Muñoz

Scoreboard

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 0
Cardinals 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 0

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Cardinals 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 68% Cardinals favored
This interleague matchup features a clear pitching advantage for Seattle with George Kirby taking the mound against St. Louis' Andre Pallante. Kirby enters with a sparkling 2.97 ERA and excellent 1.05 WHIP, showcasing the control that has made him one of the American League's most reliable starters. His four-seam fastball sits at 96.7 mph with a devastating slider that has batters off balance. Conversely, Pallante has struggled with command early in the season, posting a concerning 4.95 BB/9 rate alongside a 4.05 ERA. His slider-heavy approach has been inconsistent, and the Cardinals will need him to attack the strike zone more aggressively. The offensive matchups favor different aspects for each club. St. Louis boasts Jordan Walker's emerging power, as he's already launched 8 home runs and driven in 16 runs despite a young lineup around him. Walker's .292 average suggests he's making consistent contact, and Kirby's fastball-heavy approach could play into his wheelhouse. For Seattle, Randy Arozarena brings proven MLB production with his .290 average and gap-to-gap approach. The Mariners' lineup construction has been hampered by injuries to key contributors like Brendan Donovan, who was just placed on the IL with a groin strain. Seattle's road struggles are impossible to ignore - their 1-8 away record is among the worst in baseball and represents a massive concern. Meanwhile, St. Louis sits at a respectable 7-5 at Busch Stadium, where the dimensions and fan support provide tangible advantages. The Cardinals have shown offensive upside in recent games, scoring 7+ runs in three of their last six contests. However, their pitching staff has allowed 123 runs through 24 games, creating a concerning trend that Pallante must buck tonight. Bullpen usage will be critical as both starters have shown stamina limitations in recent outings. The Cardinals' relief corps has been more reliable at home, while Seattle's pen has been overtaxed due to their rotation injuries. With Bryce Miller on the IL and other pitching depth concerns, the Mariners may need length from Kirby that he hasn't consistently provided. Weather conditions appear ideal with 73 degrees and overcast skies, neutralizing any atmospheric advantages for either side.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Kirby sharp early, Pallante settles after rough first
Middle (4-6) 4R Both starters tire, bullpens engaged
Late (7-9) 2R Cardinals bullpen holds slim lead

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Home field advantage at Busch
Jordan Walker power threat
Bullpen depth with key arms healthy
Pallante's high walk rate
Below average team ERA

Mariners

George Kirby's excellent control
Randy Arozarena contact ability
Superior run differential
Brutal 1-8 road record
Multiple key injuries
Brendan Donovan IL placement

Risk Factors

Pallante's control issues
Seattle's road struggles continuing

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs George Kirby batter Walker's power vs Kirby's fastball command
Randy Arozarena vs Andre Pallante batter Contact hitter vs high walk rate pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mariners 62%
Strikeouts 15 13-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

George Kirby establishes early command, painting the strike zone with his four-seamer to retire Walker and Scott II in order, but JJ Wetherholt works a two-out walk and scores on Victor Scott's clutch RBI single to give Seattle a 1-0 first inning advantage. Pallante responds by walking Randy Arozarena to lead off the bottom half before settling down to strand him at second base. The Cardinals answer in the second when Jordan Walker turns on a Kirby slider, driving it into the left field bleachers for his ninth homer to tie the game 1-1. Both pitchers cruise through the third inning, but the fourth proves pivotal as Seattle breaks through against Pallante's command issues. After issuing back-to-back walks, Arozarena delivers a clutch two-RBI single to put the Mariners ahead 3-1. The Cardinals immediately respond in their half of the fifth, as Wetherholt doubles and Walker drives him home with a sharp single. Scott II follows with an RBI groundout to tie the game at 3-3, then Pozo surprises with a go-ahead RBI double down the left field line. Kirby departs after six innings with Seattle trailing 5-4, having surrendered a sixth-inning RBI single to Fermín. The Mariners tie it in the seventh against the Cardinals bullpen on Connor Joe's sacrifice fly, but St. Louis reclaims the lead in the bottom of the eighth when Walker delivers his second RBI of the night with a clutch single. The Cardinals bullpen locks down the ninth inning, with their closer inducing a game-ending groundout to secure a 5-4 victory and snap their brief losing streak.
The confidence level reflects Seattle's exceptional road struggles (1-8) against St. Louis' solid home performance, but Kirby's pitching advantage over Pallante keeps this from being a higher conviction play. Multiple injury concerns for Seattle also tip the scales toward the Cardinals.
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Seattle Mariners — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .19416.359.290
Cal Raleigh
C .192514.280.375
Julio Rodríguez
CF .23518.328.294
Josh Naylor
1B .198311.278.313
Randy Arozarena
LF .289210.381.423
Rob Refsnyder
RF .06912.176.172
Dominic Canzone
DH .263311.328.526
Cole Young
2B .234212.321.340
Leo Rivas
3B .14105.263.188

St. Louis Cardinals — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .220311.360.341
Iván Herrera
C .233312.391.378
Alec Burleson
1B .269317.355.430
Jordan Walker
RF .280816.343.581
Nolan Gorman
DH .222315.293.358
Masyn Winn
SS .270111.360.405
Nathan Church
CF .23728.292.356
Ramón Urías
3B .17025.273.362
José Fermín
LF .22212.290.370

Scoring Plays

2
Cole Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Randy Arozarena scores.
1-0
4
Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Josh Naylor scores.
2-0
4
Masyn Winn singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Jordan Walker scores. Nolan Gorman scores. Masyn Winn to 2nd.
2-2
6
Josh Naylor homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-2

Seattle Mariners — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
2000110.194.649
Cal RaleighC
3000110.192.655
Julio RodríguezCF
4000000.235.622
Josh Naylor1B
3211121.198.591
Randy ArozarenaLF
4110030.289.804
Rob RefsnyderRF
1000100.069.348
Dominic CanzoneDH
3011110.263.854
Cole Young2B
4011010.234.661
Leo Rivas3B
4000000.141.451
Totals303435101
BATTING
2B: Arozarena (7, Pallante).
HR: Naylor, J (3, 6th inning off Pallante, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arozarena 2; Canzone; Naylor, J 4; Young.
RBI: Canzone (11); Naylor, J (11); Young (12).
2-out RBI: Canzone; Young.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rodríguez, J.
GIDP: Young.
Team RISP: 2-for-8.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Naylor, J (2, 2nd base off Pallante/Herrera).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Young-Crawford, J-Naylor, J; Crawford, J-Young-Naylor, J).
a-Walked for Raley, L in the 6th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
4010000.220.701
Iván HerreraC
3010000.233.769
Alec Burleson1B
3000110.269.785
Jordan WalkerRF
4100020.280.924
Nolan GormanDH
4120000.222.651
Masyn WinnSS
4022010.270.765
Nathan ChurchCF
4010000.237.648
Ramón Urías3B
4000010.170.635
José FermínLF
3010000.222.660
Totals33282150
BATTING
2B: Gorman (2, Kirby).
TB: Church; Fermín; Gorman 3; Herrera; Wetherholt; Winn 2.
RBI: Winn 2 (11).
2-out RBI: Winn 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Church.
GIDP: Burleson; Walker, J.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
DP: (Wetherholt-Winn-Burleson).

Seattle Mariners — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
George Kirby(W, 4-2)
6.052212081-542.97
Matt Brash(H, 4)
1.000000013-100.00
Gabe Speier(H, 4)
0.120001011-92.70
Eduard Bazardo(H, 3)
0.20000004-41.64
Andrés Muñoz(S, 4)
1.010002014-107.20

St. Louis Cardinals — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Andre Pallante(L, 2-2)
5.143338190-544.26
Justin Bruihl
1.000020020-95.40
George Soriano
0.200000011-84.35
Gordon Graceffo
2.000002023-150.66

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Edwin Moscoso; First Base: Vic Carapazza; Second Base: John Bacon; Third Base: Hunter Wendelstedt
Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Weather: 68°F, Partly Cloudy
Wind: 2 mph, In From RF

Seattle Mariners — News

Season Comparison

Mariners
STAT
Cardinals
33-30 Record 32-28
52.4% Win % 53.3%
.524 PCT .533
267 Runs For 257
237 Runs Against 269
63 Games Played 60
L1 Streak W1
8-2 Last 10 3-7
19-16 Home Record 16-16
14-14 Away Record 16-12

Head to Head

2
Last 2 meetings
0
Apr 26
Mariners 3 - 2 Cardinals
Apr 25
Mariners 11 - 9 Cardinals

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Cardinals Recent

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