Back to Games Tuesday, Jul 7, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — Jul 7, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Milwaukee Brewers 56-33
Final
DH 1/2
↺ Rescheduled from May 5
4 : 3
St. Louis Cardinals 47-41
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
84°F, Cloudy
8 mph, L To R
W Jacob Misiorowski L Ryne Stanek SV Abner Uribe

Scoreboard

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Brewers 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 4 10 0
Cardinals 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 0

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Brewers 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 6
Cardinals 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 3
Confidence: 68% Brewers favored
The defining asymmetry in this makeup game is staggering: Milwaukee sends Jacob Misiorowski — one of the most dominant starters in baseball at 1.46 ERA, 13.27 K/9 — against a TBD Cardinals starter, which in context likely means a bullpen game or an emergency arm. That mismatch alone tips the scales heavily toward Milwaukee before considering the broader context. Misiorowski has been electric in his last three starts, averaging 98+ mph on his fastball and generating elite spin rates. His 146 strikeouts in 99 innings speak to a pitcher operating at an ace level. Cardinals hitters ranked mid-tier in contact against high-velocity arms will find him particularly challenging in warm, overcast Busch Stadium conditions. St. Louis enters on a two-game skid, dropping yesterday's series opener 4-3 to these same Brewers. With Ramón Urías already on the 60-day IL and the offense leaning heavily on Jordan Walker (20 HR, 67 RBI) to carry production, the Cardinals need a named starter badly — and don't have one confirmed. Ryan Fernandez and Ryne Stanek returning to the bullpen provides some late-game stability but cannot compensate for five or six innings of unknown starting quality. Milwaukee's bullpen is depleted by multiple IL stints (Hall, Henderson, Woodruff, Crow, Fitzpatrick), but Drew Rom and Craig Yoho were just recalled and should provide adequate bridge work. The Brewers' +128 run differential is the best indicator of their true class advantage. This is a split doubleheader, so each team approaches this independently, but Milwaukee's superior roster depth wins comfortably today.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Misiorowski dominates, Cards' TBD leaks early
Middle (4-6) 4R Brewers extend lead vs STL bullpen patchwork
Late (7-9) 2R Cards scratch vs MIL pen, Brewers add insurance

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Jordan Walker power surge
Strong away-game carry-over
Ryne Stanek back in pen
TBD starter massive disadvantage
On two-game losing skid

Brewers

Misiorowski elite ERA/strikeout rate
Brewers +128 run differential
William Contreras/.295 lineup anchor
Multiple IL pitchers depleted bullpen
Hamilton hamstring adds lineup depth concern

Risk Factors

STL TBD starter could be catastrophic
Misiorowski on short rest (5 days)

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Jacob Misiorowski pitcher 100+ mph fastball overwhelms even Walker's 20-HR power
William Contreras vs TBD batter Career .295 avg; unknown STL arm a mismatch against hot Contreras
Brice Turang vs TBD batter 12 HR, 51 RBI; pounces on inferior opposing starter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Brewers 68%
Strikeouts 16 13-20
Total Runs 9 6-12

Game Preview

The first pitch at Busch Stadium sets the tone immediately. Misiorowski, firing at 100 mph, punches out two of the first three Cardinals hitters, showcasing exactly why his 1.46 ERA has made him the talk of the NL Central. Brice Turang drives in the first run of the afternoon with a line-drive single in the top of the first, and the tone is set. By the third inning, the Cardinals' makeshift starting situation unravels. William Contreras draws a walk before Turang connects again, and suddenly Milwaukee leads 3-1 after Jordan Walker answers with a solo shot in the home half — one of the only blemishes against Misiorowski all afternoon. The right-hander settles in through five innings, striking out eight, allowing just two hits and the Walker homer while showcasing an elite slider-fastball combination that Cardinals hitters simply cannot solve. The Cardinals attempt a sixth-inning rally against Milwaukee's patched bullpen — Nathan Church singles home a run to make it 4-2 — but Garrett Mitchell crushes a two-run double off a Cardinals reliever in the seventh to push the lead back to 6-2. The Cardinals scratch a final run in the eighth against Drew Rom, making it 6-3, but the Brewers closer slams the door in the ninth. Milwaukee wins comfortably, completing consecutive victories over St. Louis and reinforcing their NL Central dominance heading into the All-Star break.
High confidence driven by Misiorowski's elite profile vs. Cardinals TBD starter — the pitching mismatch is among the clearest in recent MLB data. Slight reduction for unknown STL arm possibly being better than expected and Misiorowski on 5-day rest.
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Milwaukee Brewers — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Christian Yelich
DH .247630.329.390
Jackson Chourio
LF .2861335.342.513
Brice Turang
2B .2651253.360.449
William Contreras
C .288951.352.406
Andrew Vaughn
1B .326224.414.504
Garrett Mitchell
CF .273843.366.462
Sal Frelick
RF .238331.307.327
Cooper Pratt
SS .19602.324.214
Joey Ortiz
3B .220221.290.283

St. Louis Cardinals — Roster

PlayerPosAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
SS .2661336.362.410
Iván Herrera
DH .2551140.390.406
Alec Burleson
1B .2771463.340.466
Jordan Walker
RF .2902169.352.531
Masyn Winn
PR .253438.325.345
Bryan Torres
2B .21448.279.464
Nathan Church
CF .250828.295.406
José Fermín
3B .268317.318.394
Pedro Pagés
C .218411.257.345

Scoring Plays

1
Jordan Walker homers (21) on a fly ball to left field. JJ Wetherholt scores.
0-2
3
Joey Ortiz doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Cooper Pratt scores.
1-2
3
Christian Yelich singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Joey Ortiz scores.
2-2
3
Iván Herrera homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.
2-3
6
Cardinals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Garrett Mitchell singles on a line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Jake Bauers scores. Garrett Mitchell to 2nd.
3-3
7
Christian Yelich doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Cooper Pratt scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.
4-3

Milwaukee Brewers — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Christian YelichDH
5032000.247.719
Jackson ChourioLF
5000000.286.855
Brice Turang2B
4000130.265.809
William ContrerasC
4000100.288.758
Andrew Vaughn1B
1000000.326.918
Garrett MitchellCF
4021010.273.828
Sal FrelickRF
4000000.238.634
Cooper PrattSS
2200210.196.538
Joey Ortiz3B
4131000.220.573
Totals364104450
BATTING
2B: Yelich 2 (12, Svanson, Romero, J); Ortiz, J (6, Zimmermann); Bauers 2 (15, Zimmermann, Zimmermann).
TB: Bauers 4; Mitchell 2; Ortiz, J 4; Yelich 5.
RBI: Mitchell (43); Ortiz, J (21); Yelich 2 (30).
2-out RBI: Mitchell.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Frelick; Contreras, Wm 3; Pratt; Vaughn 2.
GIDP: Chourio, J.
Team RISP: 4-for-16.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Turang (14, 2nd base off Bruihl/Pagés, P).
a-Grounded out for Bauers in the 7th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Batting

PlayerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ WetherholtSS
3110010.266.772
Iván HerreraDH
4121001.255.796
Alec Burleson1B
4000010.277.806
Jordan WalkerRF
4112011.290.883
Masyn WinnPR
0000000.253.670
Bryan Torres2B
4000030.214.743
Nathan ChurchCF
4000010.250.701
José Fermín3B
3000020.268.712
Pedro PagésC
0000000.218.602
Totals323531132
BATTING
2B: Nootbaar (6, Misiorowski).
HR: Walker, J (21, 1st inning off Misiorowski, 1 on, 2 out); Herrera (11, 3rd inning off Misiorowski, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Herrera 5; Nootbaar 2; Walker, J 4; Wetherholt.
RBI: Herrera (40); Walker, J 2 (69).
2-out RBI: Walker, J 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Burleson; Torres, B.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
PB: Pagés, P (3).
DP: (Torres, B-Burleson).
a-Struck out for Crooks in the 8th.
1-Ran for Nootbaar in the 9th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jacob Misiorowski(W, 10-4)
7.03330112103-751.62
Aaron Ashby(H, 6)
1.020001018-123.19
Abner Uribe(S, 6)
1.000011019-132.70

St. Louis Cardinals — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Matt Svanson
1.010001014-106.52
Bruce Zimmermann
5.063312072-465.40
Ryne Stanek(L, 2-2)
0.01111006-24.93
JoJo Romero
1.010011016-113.60
Justin Bruihl
2.010011030-203.53

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Clint Vondrak; First Base: Edwin Jimenez; Second Base: Jen Pawol; Third Base: Todd Tichenor
Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Weather: 84°F, Cloudy
Wind: 8 mph, L To R

Season Comparison

Brewers
STAT
Cardinals
56-33 Record 47-41
62.9% Win % 53.4%
.629 PCT .534
453 Runs For 406
325 Runs Against 394
89 Games Played 88
W2 Streak L2
6-4 Last 10 5-5
29-18 Home Record 23-22
27-15 Away Record 24-19

Head to Head

5
Last 5 meetings
0
Jul 7
Brewers 10 - 2 Cardinals
Jul 6
Brewers 4 - 3 Cardinals
May 27
Cardinals 1 - 2 Brewers
May 26
Cardinals 0 - 6 Brewers
May 25
Cardinals 1 - 5 Brewers

Brewers Recent

Jul 7 @ Cardinals 10-2 W
Jul 6 @ Cardinals 4-3 W
Jul 5 @ Diamondbacks 3-2 W
Jul 4 @ Diamondbacks 3-4 L
Jul 3 @ Diamondbacks 7-4 W

Cardinals Recent

Jul 7 vs Brewers 10-2 L
Jul 6 vs Brewers 4-3 L
Jul 5 @ Cubs 4-6 L
Jul 4 @ Cubs 3-0 W
Jul 3 @ Cubs 17-1 W

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