This matchup features two struggling teams with significant question marks on the mound. Toronto sends out Trey Yesavage, a relative unknown making just his fourth MLB appearance, while Miami counters with Janson Junk, who has been hammered to a 5.07 ERA through 55 innings. The Blue Jays are reeling from injuries to key rotation pieces Jose Berrios, Max Scherzer, and Shane Bieber, forcing them to rely on unproven arms. Yesavage's limited track record shows modest velocity (93.9 mph fastball) with a splitter-heavy approach, but his 88-pitch outings suggest stamina concerns. Junk brings more experience but has been inconsistent, surrendering too many hard-hit balls despite decent strikeout numbers. His six-pitch mix could be effective if he can locate, but recent starts show declining velocity trends that concern scouts. The offensive matchup slightly favors Miami, as their recent three-game sweep of the Mets has Xavier Edwards (.308) and Otto Lopez (.338) swinging hot bats. However, their 7-14 road record is alarming and suggests they struggle away from home. Toronto counters with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.287, 22 RBI) and the surprising Ernie Clement (.296), though their lineup depth is questionable with multiple injuries. Both bullpens have been worked heavily due to starter inconsistencies, creating potential leverage situations late in games. The clear weather and neutral conditions at Rogers Centre should favor offense, especially if either starter falters early.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters likely to struggle early with command

Middle (4-6) 3R Teams settle in but occasional rallies develop

Late (7-9) 4R Bullpen matchups and clutch hitting opportunities

Matchup Analysis

Blue Jays

Better home record (15-12)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. producing (.287 avg, 22 RBI)

Ernie Clement hot streak (.296 avg)

Massive injury list depleting rotation and bullpen

Coming off disappointing loss to Pirates

Marlins

Hot streak (W3) after sweeping Mets

Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez both hitting well

Better offensive production (231 runs vs 214)

Terrible road record (7-14)

Janson Junk struggling (5.07 ERA, 2-5 record)

Risk Factors

Both starters lack extensive MLB track record

Toronto's depleted pitching depth

Key Matchups

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Janson Junk batter Junk's struggles vs quality hitters

Xavier Edwards vs Trey Yesavage batter Edwards' hot streak vs unknown commodity

Otto Lopez vs Trey Yesavage batter Lopez hitting .338 with good plate discipline

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 58%

Strikeouts 14 10-18

Total Runs 10 7-13

Game Preview

The game opens with Miami immediately testing Yesavage's composure as Edwards works a leadoff walk and steals second, eventually scoring on Lopez's two-out single for a 1-0 lead. Toronto answers in the bottom half when Clement doubles and Guerrero Jr. drives him home with a sharp single to left. Both starters settle in briefly, with Junk retiring six straight and Yesavage finding his splitter command. The pivotal fourth inning sees Toronto break through against Junk, as consecutive walks load the bases before Okamoto delivers a two-run single and another run scores on a wild pitch for a 4-1 advantage. Miami responds immediately in the fifth when Edwards launches his seventh homer of the season, cutting the deficit to 4-2. The middle innings become a chess match as both managers turn to their bullpens earlier than planned. Toronto extends to 5-2 in the sixth on another Clement RBI hit, but Miami rallies in the seventh with a two-run double from Lopez that makes it 5-4. The late innings feature several momentum shifts as both teams' depleted bullpens struggle with command. Miami ties it 5-5 in the ninth on a clutch RBI single, setting up extra innings where Toronto's home-field advantage and slightly better bullpen depth prove decisive in a marathon finish.

The confidence level is modest at 52% due to significant unknowns with both starting pitchers and the extensive injury lists affecting both teams' depth. While Toronto has home-field advantage, Miami's hot streak and better offensive numbers create genuine uncertainty about the outcome.

Probable Pitchers

J. Junk Marlins

3-5 4.80 ERA

43 K

T. Yesavage Blue Jays

--- - ERA

- K

Miami Marlins — Roster

Player	Pos	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Xavier Edwards	2B	.311	6	19	.391	.476
Liam Hicks	1B	.275	11	44	.347	.491
Otto Lopez	SS	.332	4	22	.363	.474
Kyle Stowers	DH	.216	3	10	.305	.353
Jakob Marsee	CF	.195	3	15	.319	.300
Javier Sanoja	3B	.270	1	20	.325	.387
Owen Caissie	RF	.221	4	26	.279	.374
Joe Mack	C	.222	0	6	.276	.278
Esteury Ruiz	LF	.195	2	5	.209	.463

Toronto Blue Jays — Roster

Player	Pos	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
George Springer	DH	.199	5	13	.278	.360
Nathan Lukes	RF	.286	0	8	.328	.357
Yohendrick Piñango	LF	.306	1	11	.342	.403
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	.215	10	27	.294	.403
Myles Straw	CF	.241	2	6	.312	.349
Ernie Clement	2B	.299	4	19	.324	.441
Andrés Giménez	SS	.225	5	27	.265	.364
Brandon Valenzuela	C	.239	4	10	.330	.398
Lenyn Sosa	1B	.200	1	9	.205	.291

Scoring Plays

▲ 1

Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yohendrick Piñango. Xavier Edwards scores.

1-0

▲ 5

Owen Caissie doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Javier Sanoja scores.

2-0

▼ 5

Yohendrick Piñango singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Lenyn Sosa scores. Nathan Lukes to 3rd.

2-1

▲ 6

Kyle Stowers doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Yohendrick Piñango. Liam Hicks scores.

3-1

▲ 6

Javier Sanoja doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Yohendrick Piñango. Kyle Stowers scores. Jakob Marsee scores.

5-1

▼ 6

Ernie Clement homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.

5-2

▲ 8

Kyle Stowers doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Yohendrick Piñango. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.

6-2

▲ 8

Jakob Marsee grounds out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to first baseman Lenyn Sosa. Otto Lopez scores. Kyle Stowers to 3rd.

7-2

▲ 8

Owen Caissie singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Javier Sanoja scores.

8-2

Miami Marlins — Batting

Player	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	AVG	OPS
Xavier Edwards2B	5	1	1	0	0	1	.311	.867
Liam Hicks1B	4	2	1	0	1	0	.275	.838
Otto LopezSS	3	1	0	1	1	0	.332	.837
Kyle StowersDH	4	1	2	2	0	2	.216	.658
Jakob MarseeCF	3	1	0	1	1	1	.195	.619
Javier Sanoja3B	4	2	2	2	0	0	.270	.712
Owen CaissieRF	4	0	2	2	0	1	.221	.653
Joe MackC	4	0	1	0	0	1	.222	.554
Esteury RuizLF	4	0	0	0	0	2	.195	.672
Totals	35	8	9	8	3	8

BATTING

2B: Edwards, X (10, Yesavage); Sanoja 2 (10, Yesavage, Yesavage); Caissie (8, Yesavage); Stowers 2 (7, Yesavage, Rogers, Ty).

TB: Caissie 3; Edwards, X 2; Hicks, L; Mack; Sanoja 4; Stowers 4.

RBI: Caissie 2 (26); Lopez, O (22); Marsee (15); Sanoja 2 (20); Stowers 2 (10).

2-out RBI: Sanoja 2; Stowers; Caissie.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Caissie; Ruiz, E 2.

SF: Lopez, O.

Team RISP: 4-for-11.

Team LOB: 4.

Toronto Blue Jays — Batting

Player	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
George SpringerDH	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	.199	.638
Nathan LukesRF	4	0	3	0	0	1	0	.286	.685
Yohendrick PiñangoLF	5	0	1	1	0	1	0	.306	.745
Kazuma Okamoto3B	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	.215	.697
Myles StrawCF	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.241	.661
Ernie Clement2B	4	1	2	1	0	0	1	.299	.765
Andrés GiménezSS	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.225	.629
Brandon ValenzuelaC	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	.239	.728
Lenyn Sosa1B	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	.200	.496
Totals	37	2	10	2	1	8	1

BATTING

HR: Clement (4, 6th inning off Bachar, 0 on, 0 out).

TB: Clement 5; Lukes 3; Okamoto; Piñango; Sosa, L; Sánchez, J; Valenzuela.

RBI: Clement (19); Piñango (11).

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Valenzuela; Piñango 2; Sánchez, J.

Team RISP: 1-for-9.

Team LOB: 10.

a-Grounded out for Sánchez, J in the 8th.

Miami Marlins — Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Janson Junk(W, 3-5)	5.0	8	1	1	0	3	0	93-58	4.80
Lake Bachar	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	1	20-13	3.04
Andrew Nardi(H, 8)	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	12-9	5.06
John King	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	14-8	2.01
Cade Gibson	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	18-11	11.57

Toronto Blue Jays — Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA
Trey Yesavage(L, 2-2)	6.2	5	5	5	2	6	98-62	2.25
Mason Fluharty	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	6-4	4.74
Tyler Rogers	0.2	2	3	3	1	0	17-10	2.63
Adam Macko	0.1	2	0	0	0	1	10-9	0.00
Tanner Andrews	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15-9	0.00

Game Info

Umpires: Home Plate: Nic Lentz; First Base: Gabe Morales; Second Base: Austin Jones; Third Base: Doug Eddings

Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: 62°F, Clear

Wind: 5 mph, Out To RF

Miami Marlins — News

Hernandez: 2 HR, 3 RBI in Marlins win over Nationals

Hernandez's two-homer night snapped Miami's 4-game skid and gave the Marlins their first win in five games at home (18-15). Washington's pitching has given up 330 runs this season (worst in NL East), making their 31-30 record surprisingly resilient given the 0.508 win% profile.

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals

Marlins Select Brzykcy and Zuber From Triple-A

Miami adds depth arms to a rotation struggling with durability (Junk 4.80 ERA, 3-5 record; Alcantara 4.66 ERA) while sitting 26-34 and 0-8 in road games over their last five contests.

Miami Marlins

Marlins select Zach Brzykcy

Brzykcy enters a Miami rotation currently anchored by Meyer (2.97 ERA, 5-0) but relying heavily on Alcantara (4.66 ERA) and Junk (4.80 ERA, 3-5). The move addresses rotation depth as Miami sits 26-33 with a -20 run differential.

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk: Not starting, could hit IL

Junk (4.80 ERA, 3-5) exits Miami's rotation Sunday against NYM; with Eury Pérez already sidelined (gracilis strain), the Marlins face depth concerns in an already fragile staff. MIA's rotation would lean heavily on remaining starters if Junk lands on IL.

Janson Junk

Eury Pérez

Miami Marlins

Eury Pérez to miss eight weeks with gracilis strain

Pérez's 4.60 ERA and 3-6 record made him vulnerable in Miami's rotation, but his 10.34 K/9 over 62.2 IP leaves the Marlins thinner behind Max Meyer (2.52 ERA, 5-0). Josh Ekness (1.69 ERA, limited sample) inherits a fourth-starter role in a rotation already anchored by Meyer and Alcántara (4.66 ERA, 3-4).

Max Meyer

Eury Pérez

Josh Ekness

Miami Marlins

Toronto Blue Jays — News

Twins Trade Simeon Woods Richardson to Blue Jays

Richardson posted a 7.74 ERA with a 1.72 WHIP and 4.38 K/9 across 8 starts for Minnesota before designation—Toronto adds a reclamation arm to a rotation featuring Gausman (3.13 ERA, 74 SO in 13 starts) as its clear anchor.

Simeon Woods Richardson

Toronto Blue Jays

Minnesota Twins

Blue Jays sign Justin Topa to minor league deal

Topa, 35, carries an 8.05 ERA with 0.376 xwOBA and has no 2026 MLB appearances—purely depth for Toronto's Triple-A affiliate as the Jays sit 29-32 with a -8 run differential.

Justin Topa

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays' Jesús Sánchez exits with right wrist bruise from fan-thrown object

Sánchez (.285 AVG, .461 SLG, 6 HR in 55 G) leaves Toronto's outfield during a series against Baltimore where the Blue Jays sit 29-30 and have won just 3 of their last 10 despite a .276 team xwOBA.

Jesús Sánchez

Toronto Blue Jays

Orioles beat Blue Jays 6-5; Ward reaches 51 walks

Ward's 53 BB in 58 G (0.353 OBP) reflects elite plate discipline, though his 0.254 AVG and -42 team run differential expose Baltimore's offensive fragility despite the comeback win.

Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles

Blue Jays Designate Austin Voth, Select Hayden Juenger

Voth's 9.00 ERA across minimal work made him rotation-expendable; Toronto (29-29, W4 streak) adds bullpen depth with Juenger as Gausman (3.13 ERA) and Cease (3.05 ERA) anchor the staff.

Austin Voth