St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals — 三月 11, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats
St.Louis Cardinals
4-2
已結束
1
:
3
Washington Nationals
3-3
計分板
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Cardinals
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
|
Nationals
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 3 | 8 | 0 |
AI預測神經網路預測
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Cardinals
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
|
Nationals
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Washington’s choice to give the ball to Cade Cavalli in his second start back from surgery is an aggressive one. His fastball was crisp last week, but the command wavered after 60 pitches. St. Louis counters with the steady Miles Mikolas, whose sinker/slider mix matches up well against a Nationals lineup that skews right-handed at the top and struggles to elevate low strikes.
Head-to-head trends favor the Nationals overall (three wins in the last four meetings), yet those victories came largely against back-end Cardinal arms. With Mikolas on normal rest and the bullpen rested after two off-days, St. Louis owns the pitching edge from the fourth inning on. Look for Oliver Marmol to stack right-handed bats (Goldschmidt, Walker, Winn) in the first three spots, pressing Cavalli early and forcing him into fastball counts. One run in the opening frame sets the tone.
Washington should scratch in the even innings when the order turns over: CJ Abrams’ speed and Lane Thomas’ gap power play well against Mikolas the second time through, producing a tally in the 2nd and again in the 5th. But the Nationals’ bullpen—28th in ERA last year and still thin behind Hunter Harvey—remains the glaring weakness. The Cardinals exploit it in the 4th with a two-run double from Nolan Gorman after Cavalli stretches to 80 pitches, and add insurance in the 6th and 9th off middle relievers.
The Nationals’ recent “LWLWL” form mirrors their roster construction: explosive in spurts, unable to sustain pressure. St. Louis, riding back-to-back wins and superior run prevention, should control the pace late and close out a 5-3 victory.
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賽季對比
Cardinals
STAT
Nationals
4-2
戰績
3-3
66.7%
Win %
50.0%
.667
PCT
.500
29
得分
38
28
失分
28
6
比賽場次
6
WWLLW
狀態
LLWWL
交手記錄
2
3
三月 19
Nationals
1 - 5
Cardinals
三月 17
Cardinals
0 - 1
Nationals
三月 15
Nationals
3 - 6
Cardinals
二月 24
Cardinals
1 - 6
Nationals
二月 21
Nationals
6 - 2
Cardinals
Cardinals 近期
四月 1
vs Mets
1-2
W
三月 31
vs Mets
0-3
W
三月 30
vs Mets
4-2
L
三月 29
vs Rays
11-7
L
三月 28
vs Rays
5-6
W
Nationals 近期
四月 1
@ Phillies
5-6
L
三月 31
@ Phillies
2-3
L
三月 30
@ Phillies
13-2
W
三月 29
@ Cubs
6-3
W
三月 28
@ Cubs
2-10
L
陣容
客隊陣容
Alec Burleson
AVG-
HR1
RBI5
OBP-
H6
AB22
José Fermín
AVG-
HR-
RBI-
OBP-
H-
AB-
Nolan Gorman
AVG-
HR2
RBI6
OBP-
H5
AB21
Thomas Saggese
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB7
Ramón Urías
AVG-
HR1
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB9
Iván Herrera
AVG-
HR0
RBI4
OBP-
H4
AB22
Pedro Pagés
AVG-
HR1
RBI2
OBP-
H3
AB15
Yohel Pozo
AVG-
HR-
RBI-
OBP-
H-
AB-
Victor Scott II
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H7
AB20
Nathan Church
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H3
AB18
Andre Pallante
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO3
Chris Roycroft
ERA16.20
W-L0-0
SO0
Dustin May
ERA13.50
W-L0-1
SO3
George Soriano
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO0
Gordon Graceffo
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO0
JoJo Romero
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO3
Justin Bruihl
ERA5.40
W-L0-0
SO2
Kyle Leahy
ERA7.20
W-L0-1
SO1
Matt Svanson
ERA18.00
W-L0-0
SO3
Matthew Liberatore
ERA1.64
W-L0-0
SO4
Michael McGreevy
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO5
Riley O'Brien
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO4
Ryne Stanek
ERA2.25
W-L1-0
SO5
Jordan Walker
AVG-
HR1
RBI3
OBP-
H5
AB19
JJ Wetherholt
AVG-
HR1
RBI4
OBP-
H7
AB25
Masyn Winn
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H4
AB25
主隊陣容
Curtis Mead
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB4
Jorbit Vivas
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB8
Luis García Jr.
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H5
AB20
Brady House
AVG-
HR1
RBI3
OBP-
H8
AB23
José Tena
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H3
AB11
Drew Millas
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H2
AB11
Keibert Ruiz
AVG-
HR1
RBI3
OBP-
H2
AB11
Jacob Young
AVG-
HR1
RBI2
OBP-
H3
AB14
James Wood
AVG-
HR1
RBI3
OBP-
H3
AB27
Joey Wiemer
AVG-
HR2
RBI4
OBP-
H10
AB17
Andre Granillo
ERA20.26
W-L0-0
SO1
Brad Lord
ERA1.69
W-L1-0
SO4
Cade Cavalli
ERA2.79
W-L0-0
SO8
Cionel Pérez
ERA6.75
W-L0-0
SO3
Clayton Beeter
ERA3.00
W-L0-0
SO1
Cole Henry
ERA0.00
W-L0-1
SO2
Foster Griffin
ERA3.60
W-L1-0
SO5
Jake Irvin
ERA3.60
W-L1-0
SO7
Miles Mikolas
ERA7.20
W-L0-1
SO4
PJ Poulin
ERA3.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Zack Littell
ERA5.40
W-L0-1
SO1
Daylen Lile
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H11
AB27
CJ Abrams
AVG-
HR1
RBI6
OBP-
H5
AB21
Nasim Nuñez
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H4
AB17
