返回比赛 星期日, 四月 26, 2026

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — 四月 26, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
53°F, Partly Cloudy
14 mph, In From LF
W Connelly Early L Kyle Bradish SV Aroldis Chapman

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Red Sox 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 5 7 0
Orioles 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 3 6 1

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Red Sox 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 5
Orioles 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 62% Red Sox favored
This matchup presents two struggling teams trying to find consistency amid significant roster upheaval. Baltimore enters off a devastating 17-1 loss that followed a 10-3 victory, epitomizing their season-long inconsistency. The Orioles' injury list reads like a who's who of their core players - Rutschman and O'Neill just returned, but they're still missing key pieces like Ryan Mountcastle, Jordan Westburg, and Jackson Holliday. Kyle Bradish takes the mound with solid strikeout numbers (10.08 K/9) but concerning control issues (4.68 BB/9, 1.76 WHIP) that have contributed to his 3.96 ERA. Boston comes in riding the momentum of that explosive offensive outburst but faces the challenge of Connelly Early making what appears to be an early-season start. Early's limited MLB experience and velocity readings in the low-90s suggest vulnerability against a Baltimore lineup that, despite injuries, still features Gunnar Henderson's power threat (8 HR, 16 RBI). The Red Sox offense has been feast-or-famine, as evidenced by their -13 run differential matching Baltimore's despite very different recent results. The weather conditions - overcast skies and 51-degree temperatures with northeast winds - typically favor pitchers, which could lead to a tighter game than recent results suggest. Both bullpens will be crucial, especially given the injury situations affecting both rotations. Baltimore's recent activation of Andrew Kittredge provides some relief help, while Boston's pitching depth remains questionable with multiple arms on the IL. Key storylines include whether Henderson can continue his power display against Early's changeup-heavy approach, and if Baltimore can avoid another offensive meltdown after yesterday's historic collapse. The game projects as a closer contest than the recent blowouts would indicate, with both teams' inconsistencies creating multiple swing scenarios.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both offenses looking to bounce back from extreme results
Middle (4-6) 4R Key matchups as starters tire around 5th-6th innings
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle with both teams using all hands

Matchup Analysis

Orioles

Gunnar Henderson power threat
Kyle Bradish strikeout ability
Home field advantage at Camden Yards
Massive injury list depleting roster depth
Coming off brutal 17-1 loss

Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu hot bat (.295 avg, 4 HR)
Fresh off dominant 17-1 victory
Connor Wong providing catcher stability
Connelly Early lacks extensive MLB experience
Struggling rotation with multiple injuries
Poor overall record (10-17)

Risk Factors

Overcast 51°F weather could suppress offense
Both teams dealing with significant injury issues

Key Matchups

Gunnar Henderson vs Connelly Early batter 8 HR power vs inexperienced pitcher
Wilyer Abreu vs Kyle Bradish batter Hot streak vs elevated WHIP
Connor Wong vs Kyle Bradish batter Contact hitter vs control issues

Statistical Edges

First to Score Red Sox 58%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

The game opens with Early working carefully around Henderson in the first inning, but Wilyer Abreu jumps on a Kyle Bradish slider for an RBI single to give Boston the early 1-0 lead. Baltimore answers in the second when Taylor Ward, filling in admirably, drives home the tying run with a clutch two-out hit. The third inning sees Boston break through again as Connor Wong's patient approach pays off with a two-run double, capitalizing on Bradish's walk issues to take a 3-1 advantage. Baltimore storms back in the fourth inning, with Henderson finally connecting on an Early changeup for a two-run homer that electrifies the Camden Yards crowd and ties the game at 3-3. The middle innings become a chess match as both starters settle in, but Early's pitch count climbs due to Baltimore's aggressive approach. Boston regains the lead in the fifth on a solo shot from Willson Contreras, making it 4-3. The late innings feature heavy bullpen usage as both managers, dealing with rotation uncertainty, turn to their available arms early. Baltimore ties it in the sixth on a squeeze play, but Boston answers in the seventh with another run. The game heads to the ninth tied at 5-5 after Baltimore's comeback efforts, setting up extra innings where Boston's deeper bench and recent offensive confidence ultimately prevails in the 11th inning on a clutch hit from their backup catcher.
Moderate confidence due to both teams' extreme inconsistency and significant injury impacts. Boston's recent offensive explosion suggests momentum, but Baltimore's home field and Henderson's power create multiple outcome scenarios in what projects as a competitive game.
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Boston Red Sox — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jarren Duran
LF .189111.255.278
Willson Contreras
1B .253619.374.463
Roman Anthony
DH .21714.356.313
Wilyer Abreu
RF .298412.354.481
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .276110.351.402
Marcelo Mayer
2B .22416.293.358
Caleb Durbin
3B .169110.260.270
Connor Wong
C .27305.368.424
Andruw Monasterio
SS .24418.311.415

Baltimore Orioles — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Taylor Ward
LF .312111.424.459
Gunnar Henderson
SS .210918.280.487
Adley Rutschman
DH .333311.393.627
Pete Alonso
1B .196310.301.336
Tyler O'Neill
RF .21614.310.297
Samuel Basallo
C .23358.325.452
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .270519.290.461
Dylan Beavers
CF .24328.308.371
Coby Mayo
3B .188311.273.362

得分记录

5
Andruw Monasterio singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Beavers. Caleb Durbin scores.
1-0
5
Willson Contreras homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores.
3-0
5
Samuel Basallo homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.
3-1
6
Ceddanne Rafaela triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Beavers. Wilyer Abreu scores.
4-1
6
Marcelo Mayer singles on a soft ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.
5-1
6
Gunnar Henderson homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.
5-2
8
Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Colton Cowser scores.
5-3

Boston Red Sox — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jarren DuranLF
4100110.189.533
Willson Contreras1B
3112111.253.837
Roman AnthonyDH
3000120.217.669
Wilyer AbreuRF
3110100.298.835
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
4121010.276.753
Marcelo Mayer2B
4011000.224.651
Caleb Durbin3B
4110010.169.530
Connor WongC
3000100.273.792
Andruw MonasterioSS
4011000.244.726
总计32575561
BATTING
2B: Rafaela (4, Bradish).
3B: Rafaela (2, Wolfram).
HR: Contreras, Wn (6, 5th inning off Bradish, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Abreu, W; Contreras, Wn 4; Durbin; Mayer; Monasterio; Rafaela 5.
RBI: Contreras, Wn 2 (19); Mayer (6); Monasterio (8); Rafaela (10).
2-out RBI: Contreras, Wn 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Abreu, W; Anthony.
Team RISP: 2-for-10.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Duran, Ja (5, 2nd base off Bradish/Basallo); Durbin 2 (3, 2nd base off Bradish/Basallo, 2nd base off Cano/Basallo); Mayer (2, 2nd base off Cano/Basallo).
CS: Monasterio (1, 2nd base by Cano/Basallo).
PO: Abreu, W (1st base by Basallo).
FIELDING
DP: (Monasterio-Contreras, Wn).

Baltimore Orioles — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Taylor WardLF
3000100.312.883
Gunnar HendersonSS
4122011.210.767
Adley RutschmanDH
4010000.3331.020
Pete Alonso1B
4000000.196.637
Tyler O'NeillRF
4000030.216.607
Samuel BasalloC
4121011.233.777
Jeremiah Jackson2B
3000010.270.751
Dylan BeaversCF
3000010.243.679
Coby Mayo3B
0000000.188.635
总计32363172
BATTING
HR: Basallo (5, 5th inning off Early, 0 on, 0 out); Henderson (9, 6th inning off Early, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Basallo 5; Cowser; Henderson 5; Rutschman.
RBI: Basallo (8); Henderson 2 (18).
2-out RBI: Henderson.
GIDP: Jackson, J.
Team RISP: 1-for-1.
Team LOB: 3.
FIELDING
E: Jackson, J (3, fielding).
Outfield assists: O'Neill (Rafaela at 3rd base).
Pickoffs: Basallo (Abreu, W at 1st base).
DP: (O'Neill-Alexander).
a-Singled for Alexander in the 8th.

Boston Red Sox — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Connelly Early(W, 2-1)
6.242214292-592.84
Zack Kelly(H, 2)
0.10000004-33.86
Garrett Whitlock(H, 4)
1.021101019-162.70
Aroldis Chapman(S, 5)
1.00000207-71.04

Baltimore Orioles — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Bradish(L, 1-3)
5.043343188-524.20
Grant Wolfram
0.032200010-84.50
Yennier Cano
1.000000017-121.86
Anthony Nunez
1.000011016-101.35
Rico Garcia
1.000001010-70.69
Andrew Kittredge
1.000001016-100.00

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Alex Tosi; First Base: Cory Blaser; Second Base: Jansen Visconti; Third Base: Andy Fletcher
球场: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
天气: 53°F, Partly Cloudy
风: 14 mph, In From LF

Boston Red Sox — 新闻

Baltimore Orioles — 新闻

赛季对比

Red Sox
STAT
Orioles
27-38 战绩 31-37
41.5% Win % 45.6%
.415 PCT .456
253 得分 317
265 失分 352
65 比赛场次 68
L3 连胜/负 L4
4-6 最近10场 5-5
10-21 主场战绩 19-17
17-17 客场战绩 12-20

交手记录

2
最近 5 次交手
3
六月 4
Orioles 8 - 2 Red Sox
六月 3
Orioles 1 - 8 Red Sox
六月 2
Orioles 4 - 2 Red Sox
四月 25
Red Sox 17 - 1 Orioles
四月 24
Red Sox 3 - 10 Orioles

Red Sox 近期

六月 9 @ Rays 3-4 L
六月 8 @ Rays 1-3 L
六月 7 @ Yankees 1-6 L
六月 5 @ Yankees 5-3 W
六月 4 vs Orioles 8-2 L

Orioles 近期

六月 9 vs Mariners 6-5 L
六月 8 vs Mariners 6-3 L
六月 7 @ Blue Jays 4-6 L
六月 6 @ Blue Jays 4-6 L
六月 5 @ Blue Jays 13-3 W

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