返回比赛 星期三, 四月 22, 2026

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox — 四月 22, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

Fenway Park, Boston
47°F, Cloudy
12 mph, Out To LF
W Max Fried L Ranger Suarez

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Yankees 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 0
Red Sox 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 0

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Yankees 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 5
Red Sox 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 68% Yankees favored
This American League East rivalry matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions. The Yankees enter riding a four-game winning streak at 14-9, while the Red Sox have stumbled to a disappointing 9-14 start despite high expectations. Max Fried brings elite command to the mound for New York, posting a microscopic 0.81 WHIP through five starts, while Ranger Suarez has been Boston's most reliable starter with a 3.22 ERA and solid 1.07 WHIP. The pitching matchup slightly favors the Yankees, as Fried's superior velocity and spin rates give him an edge in the cold Fenway conditions. Both rotations have been decimated by injuries - Boston without Tanner Houck, Kutter Crawford, and Patrick Sandoval, while New York is missing Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodón. This puts additional pressure on both bullpens, where the Yankees' superior season-long performance gives them an advantage. The offensive edge clearly belongs to New York, with their +32 run differential compared to Boston's -17. Cody Bellinger (.276) and Giancarlo Stanton provide consistent power threats, while Boston relies heavily on Wilyer Abreu (.296) and Willson Contreras (.274) for production. The Yankees' recent 4-0 victory over these same Red Sox demonstrates their current dominance in this rivalry. Weather conditions at 46 degrees with overcast skies favor pitching, but the cold could affect grip and command for both starters as the game progresses.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both teams score early against fatigued starters
Middle (4-6) 4R Key offensive surge in middle innings
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle determines outcome

Matchup Analysis

Red Sox

Ranger Suarez's command and WHIP
Fenway Park home field advantage
Willson Contreras power threat
Poor recent form (9-14 record)
Depleted rotation with multiple IL pitchers
Negative run differential (-17)

Yankees

Max Fried's elite control (0.81 WHIP)
Strong offensive momentum (W4 streak)
Superior run differential (+32)
Missing Anthony Volpe at shortstop
Paul Goldschmidt struggling (.150 avg)
Depleted rotation depth

Risk Factors

Cold weather affecting pitch grip
Both teams' rotation injuries creating bullpen fatigue

Key Matchups

Cody Bellinger vs Ranger Suarez batter Bellinger's .276 avg vs Suarez's elevated pitch count recently
Wilyer Abreu vs Max Fried pitcher Fried's elite command against Boston's best hitter
Giancarlo Stanton vs Ranger Suarez batter Stanton's power vs Suarez's tendency to elevate pitches

Statistical Edges

First to Score Yankees 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

Max Fried establishes early dominance, retiring the first six Red Sox hitters while showcasing his elite curveball command in the cold Boston air. The Yankees strike first in the second inning when Cody Bellinger doubles down the left field line and scores on an Amed Rosario single. Boston responds in the bottom half as Wilyer Abreu works a leadoff walk and comes around on Willson Contreras' RBI single, knotting the game at 1-1. The middle innings see both starters labor as pitch counts climb - Fried allows a two-run fourth inning rally highlighted by Connor Wong's clutch two-out hit, while Suarez surrenders back-to-back RBI singles to Bellinger and Stanton in the fifth. The game remains tight into the late innings, with both bullpens exchanging zeros until the Yankees push across the decisive run in the eighth inning off Boston's overworked relief corps. Giancarlo Stanton provides the heroics with a booming RBI double off the Green Monster, giving New York a 6-5 lead they'll ride to victory as their closer shuts down Boston's final rally attempt in the ninth.
The Yankees' superior record, recent head-to-head dominance, and Max Fried's elite performance give them a clear edge. However, Fenway Park's unpredictable nature and both teams' injury-depleted rotations create enough uncertainty to keep confidence moderate rather than high.
Baseball Predict App
BaseballPredicts:预测与统计 AI 驱动的 MLB 预测

在应用中获取预测、统计等更多内容

即将到来比赛的AI预测、逐局预测、专家评论、详细统计和实时更新。

New York Yankees — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Paul Goldschmidt
1B .12513.276.333
Aaron Judge
RF .241916.359.586
Cody Bellinger
LF .265311.370.434
Giancarlo Stanton
DH .265313.315.446
Ryan McMahon
3B .12514.276.188
Trent Grisham
CF .162314.313.338
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .17303.264.235
José Caballero
SS .23818.282.325
Austin Wells
C .17512.324.246

Boston Red Sox — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .27117.354.357
Willson Contreras
1B .263412.392.438
Wilyer Abreu
RF .281311.333.449
Trevor Story
SS .192217.226.303
Andruw Monasterio
DH .19403.286.258
Jarren Duran
LF .194111.266.306
Caleb Durbin
3B .14707.238.213
Connor Wong
C .29602.345.444
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2B .17902.233.179

得分记录

1
Amed Rosario homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Aaron Judge scores. Giancarlo Stanton scores.
3-0
3
Amed Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Aaron Judge scores.
4-0
9
Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Trevor Story scores.
4-1

New York Yankees — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Paul Goldschmidt1B
4000020.125.609
Aaron JudgeRF
2210200.241.945
Cody BellingerLF
4000010.265.804
Giancarlo StantonDH
4120000.265.761
Ryan McMahon3B
1000010.125.464
Trent GrishamCF
2000010.162.651
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4000010.173.499
José CaballeroSS
3010010.238.607
Austin WellsC
3000010.175.570
总计31464291
BATTING
2B: Stanton 2 (6, Suarez, Suarez).
HR: Rosario, A (4, 1st inning off Suarez, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Caballero; Grichuk; Judge; Rosario, A 4; Stanton 4.
RBI: Rosario, A 4 (13).
2-out RBI: Rosario, A 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stanton; Grichuk.
SF: Rosario, A.
GIDP: Wells, A.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 3.
BASERUNNING
SB: Judge (5, 2nd base off Suarez/Wong).
a-Struck out for Rosario, A in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Grichuk in the 6th.

Boston Red Sox — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
4000030.271.711
Willson Contreras1B
3000110.263.830
Wilyer AbreuRF
4010000.281.782
Trevor StorySS
4110020.192.529
Andruw MonasterioDH
3000100.194.544
Jarren DuranLF
4031000.194.572
Caleb Durbin3B
4000010.147.451
Connor WongC
3000010.296.789
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
3000010.179.412
总计32151290
BATTING
2B: Duran, Ja 2 (5, Fried, Fried).
TB: Abreu, W; Duran, Ja 5; Story.
RBI: Duran, Ja (11).
2-out RBI: Duran, Ja.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Durbin; Story; Wong; Kiner-Falefa 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-8.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
DP: (Contreras, Wn-Story-Kiner-Falefa-Durbin).

New York Yankees — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Max Fried(W, 3-1)
8.0300290100-662.40
Brent Headrick
1.021100026-162.08

Boston Red Sox — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Ranger Suarez(L, 1-2)
4.254424171-474.00
Zack Kelly
1.000002011-94.00
Eduardo Rivera
3.110003041-260.00

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Todd Tichenor; First Base: John Libka; Second Base: Clint Vondrak; Third Base: Austin Jones
球场: Fenway Park, Boston
天气: 47°F, Cloudy
风: 12 mph, Out To LF

New York Yankees — 新闻

Boston Red Sox — 新闻

赛季对比

Yankees
STAT
Red Sox
36-25 战绩 26-34
59.0% Win % 43.3%
.590 PCT .433
313 得分 241
221 失分 241
61 比赛场次 60
L2 连胜/负 W1
6-4 最近10场 4-6
17-11 主场战绩 10-20
19-14 客场战绩 16-14

交手记录

2
最近 2 次交手
0
四月 23
Yankees 4 - 2 Red Sox
四月 21
Yankees 4 - 0 Red Sox

Yankees 近期

六月 4 vs Guardians 1-2 W
六月 3 vs Guardians 5-4 L
六月 2 vs Guardians 9-4 L
五月 31 @ Athletics 13-8 W
五月 30 @ Athletics 4-6 L

Red Sox 近期

六月 4 vs Orioles 8-2 L
六月 3 vs Orioles 1-8 W
六月 2 vs Orioles 4-2 L
五月 31 @ Guardians 9-4 W
五月 30 @ Guardians 9-1 W

解锁 AI 预测的力量

高级分析与深度洞察

AI 预测 先进的机器学习预测
深度分析 专业级统计数据
专家解说 详细比赛分析

AI驱动的MLB棒球预测

使用我们的AI预测应用在每场MLB比赛中占据优势。逐局实时得分概率、准确的比赛结果预测、详细的球员和球队分析以及互动性能统计——全部由不断进化的算法驱动。无论您是热情的球迷还是专业分析师,Baseball Predict都为您提供最准确的MLB预测和比赛洞察。

逐局得分概率
准确的比赛结果预测
球员与球队分析
定期AI模型更新
Baseball Predict App — AI MLB Predictions

我们的其他体育应用