Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox — 五月 7, 2026 | AI 预测与数据
记分板
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 1 |
|
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
AI预测神经网络预测
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
|
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Confidence: 68%
Rays favored
这场美联东区对决呈现两支球队走向截然相反的局面,坦帕湾棒球队正经历六连胜,而波士顿红袜队则连胜三场以摆脱赛季初期的困境。从纸面实力看,这个投手对阵有利于红袜队,杰克·贝内特1.80的自责分率与格里芬·雅克斯5.14的成绩形成鲜明对比,但两位投手都存在重大隐患。贝内特最近仅投过一场比赛,过度依赖球速低90英里的变速球和沉球,而雅克斯尽管快速球达到90年代中期,但在控球和一致性方面表现不佳。波士顿的进攻在目前的火热状态中找到了生机,对阵底特律时场均超过6分,但他们将面对领跑美联东区且得失分差为+15的棒球队,该队近来势不可挡。红袜队投手阵容因伤痕累累,加雷特·克罗歇特、桑尼·格雷、坦纳·豪克和库特·克劳福德均已伤停,被迫依赖贝内特这样的替补阵容。坦帕湾也面临自己的伤病问题,刚刚将史蒂文·马茨列入伤病名单,并尽管雅克斯的外围数据糟糕,仍将其作为轮转选项。由扬迪·迪亚兹.320打率和小胡尼奥·卡米内罗大爆发领导的棒球队进攻应该能对阵波士顿临时拼凑的投手阵容取得成功,而红袜队将寄望于威尔耶·阿布雷和最近获得的威尔森·孔特雷拉斯在芬威公园继续他们的进攻复兴。
Scoring Dynamics
Early (1-3)
4R
两支进攻都对不稳定的投手早期发起进攻
Middle (4-6)
3R
牛棚稳定下来但关键安打突破
Late (7-9)
2R
势均力敌的比赛造就关键时刻
Matchup Analysis
Red Sox
进攻火热
芬威公园主场优势
进攻产出提升
投手阵容残破
主场战绩糟糕(6-10)
贝内特缺乏经验
Rays
美联东区领袖
六连胜纪录
得失分差更优
雅克斯的高自责分率
客场战绩
投手深度令人担忧
Risk Factors
两位先发投手都存在隐患
天气可能影响高飞球
Key Matchups
Yandy Díaz
vs
Jake Bennett
batter
.320打率对阵经验不足的投手
Wilyer Abreu
vs
Griffin Jax
batter
5支全垒打对阵困境中的右手投手
Junior Caminero
vs
Jake Bennett
batter
强力威胁对阵低球速左手投手
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Rays
62%
Strikeouts
14
11-17
Total Runs
9
7-11
Game Preview
格里芬·雅克斯将代表坦帕湾登板,希望从近期的困境中反弹,但扬迪·迪亚兹在第一局立即带来压力,打出首棒安打。这位经验丰富的三垒手在小胡尼奥·卡米内罗的牺牲高飞球下得分,使棒球队以1-0领先。波士顿在第二局迅速反击,威尔耶·阿布雷将杰克·贝内特的球打过绿怪兽飞出全垒打,将比分扳平1-1。第三局证明至关重要,当坦帕湾对贝内特发动进攻时,尼克·福特和瑞安·维亚德连续打出二垒安打,设置了两分攻势。随着比赛的进行,贝内特的变速球失效,他的低球速变得更容易被攻击。波士顿在第四局反击,威尔森·孔特雷拉斯通过关键二垒安打打回两分,利用了雅克斯持续的控球问题。中局两支牛棚相继上场,但比赛战成平局,坦帕湾在第五局通过康纳·黄的传球失误得到一分。波士顿在第六局通过以赛亚·基纳-法雷法的打点安打扳平,为激烈的收官阶段做好准备。比赛通过常规赛时间仍然战成平局,两队的救援投手逐渐稳定表现,芬威夜晚的凉爽空气将一些在温暖夜晚可能飞出球场的高飞球留在了场地内。这场比赛具备加时赛大戏的所有要素,两支球队在本赛季可能具有决定意义的系列赛首战中为每一个优势而奋力争夺。
尽管波士顿从最近击败底特律的表现中获得了动力,但坦帕湾更好的整体战绩、得失分差和更长的连胜纪录表明他们是更强的球队。鉴于两位先发投手的不确定性,投手对阵基本上是平手,这本质上是一场可能轻易进入加时的对赌。
BaseballPredicts:预测与统计
AI 驱动的 MLB 预测
在应用中获取预测、统计等更多内容
即将到来比赛的AI预测、逐局预测、专家评论、详细统计和实时更新。
Tampa Bay Rays — 阵容
| 球员 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Richie Palacios |
DH | .192 | 1 | 5 | .348 | .269 |
Hunter Feduccia |
C | .270 | 0 | 4 | .386 | .297 |
Junior Caminero |
3B | .259 | 10 | 18 | .350 | .496 |
Jonathan Aranda |
1B | .263 | 7 | 29 | .365 | .459 |
Jonny DeLuca |
RF | .284 | 2 | 14 | .318 | .444 |
Ben Williamson |
2B | .267 | 0 | 12 | .339 | .337 |
Chandler Simpson |
LF | .313 | 0 | 11 | .340 | .361 |
Cedric Mullins |
CF | .143 | 2 | 10 | .198 | .232 |
Taylor Walls |
SS | .197 | 0 | 6 | .307 | .237 |
Boston Red Sox — 阵容
| 球员 | 位置 | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jarren Duran |
LF | .192 | 4 | 18 | .255 | .331 |
Willson Contreras |
1B | .263 | 8 | 23 | .373 | .474 |
Wilyer Abreu |
RF | .300 | 5 | 17 | .377 | .464 |
Trevor Story |
SS | .204 | 2 | 18 | .242 | .286 |
Masataka Yoshida |
DH | .295 | 0 | 5 | .411 | .361 |
Ceddanne Rafaela |
CF | .270 | 2 | 15 | .341 | .385 |
Marcelo Mayer |
2B | .247 | 1 | 8 | .315 | .340 |
Connor Wong |
C | .255 | 0 | 7 | .340 | .362 |
Caleb Durbin |
3B | .182 | 1 | 14 | .261 | .264 |
得分记录
▲ 2
Ben Williamson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Jonny DeLuca scores.
1-0
▲ 2
Cedric Mullins singles on a soft bunt ground ball to first baseman Willson Contreras. Ben Williamson scores. Nick Fortes to 3rd.
2-0
▲ 2
Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Nick Fortes scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd. Taylor Walls to 2nd.
3-0
▼ 2
Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to shortstop Taylor Walls, deflected by third baseman Junior Caminero. Trevor Story scores. Masataka Yoshida to 2nd.
3-1
▼ 2
Connor Wong reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Taylor Walls. Masataka Yoshida scores. Marcelo Mayer to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Taylor Walls.
3-2
▼ 2
Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Marcelo Mayer scores. Connor Wong to 2nd.
3-3
▲ 6
Chandler Simpson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Junior Caminero scores. Jonny DeLuca scores. Ben Williamson to 2nd.
5-3
▲ 8
Chandler Simpson triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Ben Williamson scores.
6-3
▼ 8
Wilyer Abreu out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jarren Duran scores.
6-4
▲ 9
Junior Caminero homers (10) on a line drive to center field. Richie Palacios scores.
8-4
Tampa Bay Rays — 打击
| 球员 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Richie PalaciosDH |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .192 | .617 |
Hunter FeducciaC |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .270 | .683 |
Junior Caminero3B |
4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .259 | .846 |
Jonathan Aranda1B |
5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .263 | .824 |
Jonny DeLucaRF |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .284 | .762 |
Ben Williamson2B |
4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .267 | .676 |
Chandler SimpsonLF |
2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .313 | .701 |
Cedric MullinsCF |
4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .430 |
Taylor WallsSS |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .197 | .544 |
| 总计 | 36 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
BATTING
2B: Díaz, Y (4, Watson, R).
3B: Simpson (3, Watson, R).
HR: Caminero (10, 9th inning off Watson, R, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Caminero 5; DeLuca 2; Díaz, Y 3; Fortes; Mullins; Simpson 4; Vilade; Williamson 2.
RBI: Caminero 2 (18); Díaz, Y (23); Mullins (10); Simpson 3 (11); Williamson (12).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Walls 2; Vilade 2.
SAC: Feduccia.
SF: Díaz, Y.
GIDP: Caminero; Vilade.
Team RISP: 4-for-9.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: DeLuca (5, 2nd base off Bennett/Wong); Mullins (7, 2nd base off Bennett/Wong).
FIELDING
E: Walls (2, throw).
Outfield assists: Simpson (Contreras, Wn at 2nd base).
DP: (Williamson-Walls-Aranda).
a-Singled for Fortes in the 6th.
1-Ran for Díaz, Y in the 9th.
Boston Red Sox — 打击
| 球员 | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | HR | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jarren DuranLF |
4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .192 | .586 |
Willson Contreras1B |
4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .263 | .847 |
Wilyer AbreuRF |
3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .300 | .841 |
Trevor StorySS |
4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .204 | .528 |
Masataka YoshidaDH |
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .295 | .772 |
Ceddanne RafaelaCF |
4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .270 | .726 |
Marcelo Mayer2B |
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .247 | .655 |
Connor WongC |
3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .255 | .702 |
Caleb Durbin3B |
3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .525 |
| 总计 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
BATTING
2B: Duran, Ja (6, Cleavinger).
TB: Abreu, W; Contreras, Wn; Duran, Ja 2; Durbin; Rafaela; Story; Wong.
RBI: Abreu, W (17); Durbin (14); Rafaela (15); Wong (7).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Yoshida.
SF: Abreu, W.
GIDP: Duran, Ja.
Team RISP: 3-for-8.
Team LOB: 3.
BASERUNNING
SB: Story (4, 2nd base off Jax/Fortes); Abreu, W (3, 2nd base off Jax/Fortes).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Story-Mayer-Contreras, Wn; Mayer-Story-Contreras, Wn).
Tampa Bay Rays — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Jax |
4.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 59-38 | 5.00 |
Hunter Bigge(W, 1-0) |
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26-19 | 2.77 |
Kevin Kelly(H, 7) |
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-9 | 3.24 |
Garrett Cleavinger(H, 5) |
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 5.79 |
Cole Sulser |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-12 | 2.61 |
Boston Red Sox — 投球
| 投手 | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Bennett(L, 1-1) |
5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 86-52 | 4.35 |
Greg Weissert |
0.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11-6 | 5.52 |
Tyler Samaniego |
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-5 | 0.00 |
Ryan Watson |
3.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 51-36 | 6.46 |
比赛信息
裁判: Home Plate: Tyler Jones; First Base: Steven Jaschinski; Second Base: David Rackley; Third Base: Jen Pawol
球场: Fenway Park, Boston
天气: 62°F, Clear
风: 16 mph, Out To RF
Tampa Bay Rays — 新闻
Boston Red Sox — 新闻
赛季对比
STAT
Red Sox
40-25
战绩
27-39
61.5%
Win %
40.9%
.615
PCT
.409
297
得分
258
285
失分
272
65
比赛场次
66
W3
连胜/负
L4
5-5
最近10场
4-6
24-9
主场战绩
10-21
16-16
客场战绩
17-18
交手记录
1
六月 10
Red Sox
5 - 7
Rays
六月 9
Red Sox
3 - 4
Rays
六月 8
Red Sox
1 - 3
Rays
五月 10
Rays
4 - 1
Red Sox
五月 8
Rays
0 - 2
Red Sox
Rays 近期
六月 10
vs Red Sox
5-7
W
六月 9
vs Red Sox
3-4
W
六月 8
vs Red Sox
1-3
W
六月 7
@ Marlins
1-4
L
六月 6
@ Marlins
3-4
L
Red Sox 近期
六月 10
@ Rays
5-7
L
六月 9
@ Rays
3-4
L
六月 8
@ Rays
1-3
L
六月 7
@ Yankees
1-6
L
六月 5
@ Yankees
5-3
W
























