返回比赛 星期六, 四月 25, 2026

Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 四月 25, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
63°F, Cloudy
11 mph, Out To CF
W Roki Sasaki L Colin Rea

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cubs 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 4 9 0
Dodgers 0 0 2 6 0 4 0 0 - 12 14 1

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cubs 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 6
Dodgers 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Cubs favored
The Chicago Cubs arrive at Dodger Stadium riding an unprecedented 10-game winning streak, creating a fascinating clash with a Dodgers team reeling from injuries but still dangerous. Colin Rea has been stellar for Chicago with a 3.00 ERA and excellent command, while the Dodgers counter with rookie sensation Roki Sasaki, whose electric stuff comes with concerning command issues early in his MLB career. The Cubs' offensive surge has been led by Nico Hoerner's breakout performance (.304 average, 22 RBI) and timely contributions throughout their lineup, giving them confidence even on the road. The Dodgers' injury list reads like a who's who of their core - Mookie Betts, Tommy Edman, Blake Snell, and numerous bullpen arms all sidelined, forcing them to rely heavily on their remaining stars like Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez. Yesterday's 6-4 Cubs victory showcased Chicago's ability to manufacture runs against quality pitching while their own staff limited the Dodgers' explosive potential. The overcast conditions and cooler 59-degree temperature may favor pitchers, but both teams have shown they can score in bunches when needed. Rea's six-pitch mix gives him multiple weapons to attack the Dodgers' lineup, while Sasaki's splitter-fastball combination has shown devastating potential when he locates properly. The Cubs' streak has them playing with supreme confidence, and their road record (6-4) suggests they can handle hostile environments. This sets up as a battle between Chicago's hot bats and momentum versus Los Angeles' raw talent and home-field desperation.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Cubs capitalize early on Sasaki's command issues
Middle (4-6) 5R Both teams break through against tired starters
Late (7-9) 4R Cubs bullpen depth proves decisive

Matchup Analysis

Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani's power potential
Roki Sasaki's swing-and-miss stuff
Home field advantage at Dodger Stadium
Massive injury list depleting depth
Recent 1-4 skid showing vulnerability

Cubs

10-game winning streak momentum
Colin Rea's excellent form (3.00 ERA)
Nico Hoerner's hot bat (.304 avg, 22 RBI)
Road splits slightly concerning (6-4)
Bullpen injuries limiting depth

Risk Factors

Sasaki's pitch count limitations
Cubs continuing historic streak

Key Matchups

Nico Hoerner vs Roki Sasaki batter Hoerner's contact skills vs Sasaki's command struggles
Shohei Ohtani vs Colin Rea batter Ohtani's power against Rea's fastball-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cubs 65%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 11 8-13

Game Preview

The Cubs strike first against Sasaki in the opening frame when Nico Hoerner works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on a Michael Conforto sacrifice fly, capitalizing on the young Japanese star's early command struggles. Los Angeles responds in the second when Teoscar Hernandez drives a Rea fastball into the gap for an RBI double, knotting the game at 1-1. The middle innings see both pitchers settle in, with Sasaki finding his splitter command and Rea working efficiently through the Dodgers lineup. The Cubs break through in the fifth when Carson Kelly launches a solo homer, extending Chicago's lead to 2-1. The game opens up in the sixth and seventh innings as both starters tire. The Dodgers rally for two runs in the sixth on RBI singles by Ohtani and Kyle Tucker, taking their first lead at 3-2. However, the Cubs respond immediately in the seventh with a two-run rally capped by a clutch two-out hit from Seiya Suzuki, making it 4-3 Chicago. Both teams add insurance runs late - the Dodgers in the ninth on a Will Smith RBI single and the Cubs with a final run in the ninth on a wild pitch, setting the final score at 6-5 in favor of the visiting Cubs, extending their remarkable streak to 11 games.
The Cubs' 10-game winning streak represents genuine momentum backed by solid fundamentals, while the Dodgers' injury-depleted roster and recent struggles create legitimate vulnerability. However, talent gaps and home field keep this competitive enough to merit moderate rather than high confidence.
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Chicago Cubs — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Nicky Lopez
3B .00000.000.000
Michael Busch
1B .208211.283.297
Michael Conforto
LF .33305.469.458
Matt Shaw
2B .30029.338.483
Seiya Suzuki
RF .32748.439.564
Moisés Ballesteros
DH .397412.446.690
Dansby Swanson
SS .200621.336.433
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF .23517.291.314
Miguel Amaya
C .23425.345.383

Los Angeles Dodgers — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani
DH .240511.371.430
Freddie Freeman
1B .280315.345.460
Santiago Espinal
3B .25002.250.350
Kyle Tucker
RF .235313.319.363
Alex Call
LF .28002.438.360
Dalton Rushing
C .400715.4751.057
Andy Pages
CF .337524.383.551
Hyeseong Kim
SS .35717.429.476
Alex Freeland
2B .23916.307.343

得分记录

2
Seiya Suzuki homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-0
3
Michael Busch singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Miguel Amaya scores.
2-0
3
Max Muncy homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Shohei Ohtani scores.
2-2
4
Moisés Ballesteros homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-2
4
Alex Freeland doubles (3) on a fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Hyeseong Kim scores.
3-3
4
Freddie Freeman singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Alex Freeland scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.
3-4
4
Teoscar Hernández singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman scores. Santiago Espinal to 3rd.
3-6
4
Dalton Rushing singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Santiago Espinal scores. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.
3-7
4
Cubs challenged (touching a base), call on the field was upheld: Andy Pages singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Teoscar Hernández scores. Dalton Rushing to 2nd.
3-8
5
Miguel Amaya homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.
4-8
6
Andy Pages doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Kyle Tucker scores. Teoscar Hernández scores. Dalton Rushing to 3rd.
4-10
6
Hyeseong Kim grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch. Dalton Rushing scores. Andy Pages to 3rd.
4-11
6
Shohei Ohtani grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch.
4-12

Chicago Cubs — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Nicky Lopez3B
2000020.000.000
Michael Busch1B
5011010.208.580
Michael ConfortoLF
1010000.333.927
Matt Shaw2B
1000000.300.821
Seiya SuzukiRF
4131001.3271.003
Moisés BallesterosDH
3111101.3971.136
Dansby SwansonSS
4000010.200.769
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
4000040.235.605
Miguel AmayaC
3211001.234.728
总计354942113
BATTING
HR: Suzuki (4, 2nd inning off Sasaki, 0 on, 1 out); Ballesteros (4, 4th inning off Sasaki, 0 on, 2 out); Amaya (2, 5th inning off Sasaki, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Amaya 4; Ballesteros 4; Busch; Conforto; Hoerner 2; Suzuki 6.
RBI: Amaya (5); Ballesteros (12); Busch (11); Suzuki (8).
2-out RBI: Busch; Ballesteros.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Amaya 2; Crow-Armstrong; Bregman.
GIDP: Bregman; Swanson.
Team RISP: 1-for-8.
Team LOB: 7.
a-Struck out for Hoerner in the 7th.
b-Singled for Bregman in the 7th.
c-Lined out for Happ in the 7th.

Los Angeles Dodgers — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Shohei OhtaniDH
3210200.240.801
Freddie Freeman1B
5111020.280.805
Santiago Espinal3B
2110000.250.600
Kyle TuckerRF
5110010.235.682
Alex CallLF
1000000.280.798
Dalton RushingC
4111120.4001.532
Andy PagesCF
5123000.337.934
Hyeseong KimSS
5121010.357.905
Alex Freeland2B
4121010.239.650
总计38121411671
BATTING
2B: Freeland, A 2 (4, Rea, Assad); Tucker (4, Assad); Pages, A (6, Assad); Espinal (2, Velasquez).
HR: Muncy (9, 3rd inning off Rea, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Espinal 2; Freeland, A 4; Freeman, F; Hernández, T 2; Kim, Hy 2; Muncy 4; Ohtani; Pages, A 3; Rushing; Tucker 2.
RBI: Freeland, A (6); Freeman, F (15); Hernández, T 2 (15); Kim, Hy (7); Muncy 2 (11); Pages, A 3 (24); Rushing (15).
2-out RBI: Pages, A; Hernández, T 2; Rushing.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Kim, Hy; Espinal; Call; Hernández, T.
Team RISP: 7-for-18.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Ohtani (2, 2nd base off Rea/Amaya).
FIELDING
E: Freeland, A (2, missed catch).
DP: 2 (Muncy-Freeland, A-Freeman, F; Espinal-Freeland, A-Freeman, F).
1-Ran for Muncy in the 4th.

Chicago Cubs — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Colin Rea(L, 3-1)
3.166644192-554.61
Javier Assad
2.176622070-397.58
Vince Velasquez
2.110001031-220.00

Los Angeles Dodgers — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Roki Sasaki(W, 1-2)
5.074415399-666.35
Jack Dreyer(H, 3)
0.200012019-114.09
Will Klein(H, 2)
1.110002021-152.45
Kyle Hurt
1.010001010-82.25
Jake Eder
1.000001013-84.50

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Mike Estabrook; First Base: Malachi Moore; Second Base: Alfonso Márquez; Third Base: Willie Traynor
球场: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
天气: 63°F, Cloudy
风: 11 mph, Out To CF

Chicago Cubs — 新闻

Los Angeles Dodgers — 新闻

赛季对比

Cubs
STAT
Dodgers
32-30 战绩 40-22
51.6% Win % 64.5%
.516 PCT .645
289 得分 328
272 失分 194
62 比赛场次 62
L3 连胜/负 W2
3-7 最近10场 8-2
18-13 主场战绩 20-11
14-17 客场战绩 20-11

交手记录

1
最近 2 次交手
1
四月 26
Cubs 0 - 6 Dodgers
四月 24
Cubs 6 - 4 Dodgers

Cubs 近期

六月 3 vs Athletics 5-4 L
六月 2 vs Athletics 2-1 L
五月 31 @ Cardinals 1-5 L
五月 30 @ Cardinals 6-1 W
五月 29 @ Cardinals 5-6 L

Dodgers 近期

六月 3 @ Diamondbacks 7-0 W
六月 2 @ Diamondbacks 6-5 W
六月 1 @ Diamondbacks 1-4 L
五月 31 vs Phillies 1-9 W
五月 30 vs Phillies 4-3 L

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