返回比赛 星期六, 四月 18, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins — 四月 18, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

loanDepot park, Miami
83°F, Sunny
10 mph, In From RF
W Brandon Woodruff L Sandy Alcantara SV Abner Uribe

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Brewers 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 0 5 6 1
Marlins 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 8 0

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Brewers 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 6
Marlins 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Brewers favored
Sandy Alcantara returns to loanDepot park seeking to bounce back from Miami's recent slide, facing a Milwaukee club riding momentum from yesterday's 7-5 victory. The Cy Young winner's 2.67 ERA and 0.86 WHIP suggest vintage form, but his reduced velocity (91-93 mph vs career norms) raises questions about complete dominance. Alcantara's changeup-heavy approach (23.9% usage) will be tested by Milwaukee's patient hitters, particularly Christian Yelich (.314) and the red-hot William Contreras (.317, 2 HR). Brandon Woodruff enters with concerning peripherals—his 4.32 ERA and reduced velocity readings indicate he's still working back to full strength. The Brewers' offensive depth provides crucial support, with Brice Turang's surprising power surge (3 HR, .300 avg) complementing Yelich's table-setting. Milwaukee's +16 run differential reflects superior offensive consistency compared to Miami's injury-ravaged lineup missing Christopher Morel, Kyle Stowers, and Griffin Conine. The Marlins' 7-3 home record provides optimism, but their recent form (3-7 last ten) and depleted outfield create vulnerability. Xavier Edwards (.338) and Otto Lopez (.328) lead Miami's offensive charge, yet the lineup lacks the depth to match Milwaukee's balanced attack. The Brewers' bullpen depth advantage becomes crucial in close games, while Miami's pen has been overtaxed during their recent struggles. Weather conditions favor hitters with 82-degree temperatures and minimal wind interference. Milwaukee's recent 4-1 road trip success, combined with their ability to score in bunches (8+ runs four times), suggests they're better equipped to capitalize on scoring opportunities. While Alcantara remains capable of vintage dominance, the surrounding circumstances favor the visiting Brewers in what projects as a competitive, medium-scoring affair.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both offenses capitalize early against starting pitchers finding their rhythm
Middle (4-6) 4R Alcantara settles in but Brewers maintain pressure with timely hitting
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens take over with Milwaukee's depth advantage showing

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Sandy Alcantara's dominant stuff
Strong home record (7-3)
Xavier Edwards (.338 avg) leading table-setter
Multiple key outfielders on IL
Two-game losing streak
Struggling offense (3-7 last 10)

Brewers

Superior run differential (+16 vs +2)
Christian Yelich (.314) and William Contreras (.317) hot
Deeper lineup with Turang (.300, 3 HR)
Woodruff's elevated 4.32 ERA
Rotation depth concerns
Key players Jackson Chourio and Andrew Vaughn injured

Risk Factors

Alcantara vintage performance could neutralize Milwaukee's offense
Miami's injury-depleted lineup lacks depth

Key Matchups

Christian Yelich vs Sandy Alcantara batter Yelich's patient approach vs Alcantara's changeup
Xavier Edwards vs Brandon Woodruff batter Edwards' contact skills vs Woodruff's fastball command issues
William Contreras vs Sandy Alcantara batter Contreras' power vs Alcantara's elevated sinker

Statistical Edges

First to Score Brewers 65%
Strikeouts 14 12-16
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

The first inning sets an aggressive tone as Christian Yelich works a leadoff walk against Sandy Alcantara, eventually scoring on William Contreras' RBI single to give Milwaukee an early 1-0 lead. Miami responds in the second when Xavier Edwards' speed creates havoc, scoring from first on Otto Lopez's double down the line to tie it 1-1. The game's pivotal sequence arrives in the third inning as Brandon Woodruff's command wavers. Brice Turang launches a two-run homer to left-center, his fourth of the season, extending Milwaukee's lead to 3-1. The Brewers add insurance in the fourth when Garrett Mitchell's sacrifice fly plates another run. Miami fights back in the fourth as their injury-depleted lineup shows resilience—Austin Slater doubles and scores on a Deyvison De Los Santos single, while Edwards drives in another to cut the deficit to 4-3. Alcantara settles into his rhythm through the middle innings, but Milwaukee's patient approach eventually breaks through in the seventh. Luis Matos reaches base and scores on a clutch two-out hit from the lower order, extending the lead to 5-3. Miami manages one final rally in the sixth inning as Lopez delivers another RBI hit, but the Brewers' bullpen—led by Trevor Megill and Abner Uribe—shuts the door. A late insurance run in the ninth seals Milwaukee's 6-4 victory, continuing their recent hot streak while Miami's struggles persist despite Alcantara's quality outing.
Milwaukee's superior offensive depth and run differential provide a clear edge, while Miami's injury-depleted outfield limits their scoring potential. Though Alcantara remains formidable, Woodruff's recent struggles are offset by the Brewers' more complete roster construction.
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Milwaukee Brewers — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Sal Frelick
RF .17914.286.254
William Contreras
C .306211.398.472
Brice Turang
2B .299414.434.582
Gary Sánchez
DH .23759.442.658
Jake Bauers
1B .234513.310.484
Luis Rengifo
3B .16104.226.268
Garrett Mitchell
CF .277116.452.426
Brandon Lockridge
LF .25506.333.294
Joey Ortiz
SS .19604.268.196

Miami Marlins — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee
CF .16004.274.222
Xavier Edwards
2B .34216.409.481
Agustín Ramírez
DH .233110.313.356
Liam Hicks
C .313418.352.531
Otto Lopez
SS .342310.393.566
Connor Norby
1B .27027.365.444
Owen Caissie
RF .246213.297.421
Heriberto Hernández
LF .13707.267.176
Javier Sanoja
3B .31307.353.375

得分记录

2
Connor Norby singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Liam Hicks scores.
0-1
4
Brandon Lockridge singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Luis Rengifo scores.
1-1
5
Brice Turang homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores.
3-1
6
Brewers challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Sal Frelick reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Xavier Edwards. Garrett Mitchell scores. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.
4-1
6
Brice Turang singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.
5-1
9
Heriberto Hernández grounds into a force out, third baseman Luis Rengifo to second baseman Brice Turang. Otto Lopez scores. Connor Norby to 3rd. Owen Caissie out at 2nd. Heriberto Hernández to 1st.
5-2

Milwaukee Brewers — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Sal FrelickRF
5011000.179.540
William ContrerasC
4110110.306.870
Brice Turang2B
3123201.2991.016
Gary SánchezDH
3000110.2371.100
Jake Bauers1B
5000000.234.794
Luis Rengifo3B
4110100.161.494
Garrett MitchellCF
2100310.277.878
Brandon LockridgeLF
4011120.255.627
Joey OrtizSS
2100200.196.464
总计325651151
BATTING
2B: Rengifo (6, Alcantara, S); Contreras, Wm (6, Alcantara, S).
HR: Turang (4, 5th inning off Alcantara, S, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Contreras, Wm 2; Frelick; Lockridge; Rengifo 2; Turang 5.
RBI: Frelick (4); Lockridge (6); Turang 3 (14).
2-out RBI: Turang; Lockridge.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rengifo; Ortiz, J; Bauers 2; Lockridge.
GIDP: Sánchez; Turang.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 12.
BASERUNNING
SB: Lockridge (4, 2nd base off Alcantara, S/Hicks, L); Mitchell (4, 2nd base off Bender/Hicks, L).
FIELDING
E: Bauers (3, throw).

Miami Marlins — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jakob MarseeCF
4010000.160.496
Xavier Edwards2B
4010010.342.890
Agustín RamírezDH
4000010.233.669
Liam HicksC
4120000.313.883
Otto LopezSS
4110000.342.959
Connor Norby1B
4021000.270.809
Owen CaissieRF
4010020.246.718
Heriberto HernándezLF
4001000.137.443
Javier Sanoja3B
3000100.313.728
总计35282140
BATTING
TB: Caissie; Edwards, X; Hicks, L 2; Lopez, O; Marsee; Norby 2.
RBI: Hernández, H (7); Norby (7).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja; Caissie; Ramírez.
Team RISP: 2-for-7.
Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING
PB: Hicks, L (2).
DP: 2 (Lopez, O-Norby; Lopez, O-Edwards, X-Norby).

Milwaukee Brewers — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Woodruff(W, 2-0)
7.031114092-703.42
Jake Woodford
1.151100033-224.15
Abner Uribe(S, 2)
0.20000004-34.00

Miami Marlins — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Sandy Alcantara(L, 2-2)
5.053361197-543.06
Anthony Bender
0.212222026-128.22
Lake Bachar
2.100021040-222.38
John King
1.000011010-61.04

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Sean Barber; First Base: Jansen Visconti; Second Base: Cory Blaser; Third Base: Derek Thomas
球场: loanDepot park, Miami
天气: 83°F, Sunny
风: 10 mph, In From RF

Milwaukee Brewers — 新闻

Miami Marlins — 新闻

赛季对比

Brewers
STAT
Marlins
48-29 战绩 41-39
62.3% Win % 51.3%
.623 PCT .513
401 得分 345
279 失分 344
77 比赛场次 80
W3 连胜/负 W1
6-4 最近10场 6-4
25-15 主场战绩 27-17
23-14 客场战绩 14-22

交手记录

1
最近 2 次交手
1
四月 19
Brewers 3 - 5 Marlins
四月 17
Brewers 7 - 5 Marlins

Brewers 近期

六月 23 @ Reds 2-0 W
六月 22 @ Reds 2-1 W
六月 21 @ Braves 9-4 W
六月 20 @ Braves 3-4 L
六月 19 @ Braves 2-3 L

Marlins 近期

六月 24 vs Rangers 2-4 W
六月 23 vs Rangers 4-6 W
六月 22 vs Rangers 4-3 L
六月 21 vs Giants 1-2 W
六月 20 vs Giants 3-6 W

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