返回比赛 星期三, 四月 22, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins — 四月 22, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

loanDepot park, Miami
72°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Janson Junk L Kyle Leahy SV Pete Fairbanks

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cardinals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 1
Marlins 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 - 4 12 1

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cardinals 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 6
Marlins 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Cardinals favored
This afternoon matchup at loanDepot park features two struggling starters in Janson Junk (4.50 ERA) and Kyle Leahy (5.21 ERA), setting up a potential offensive showcase. Junk has shown command issues with a 1.32 WHIP, while Leahy's 3.79 BB/9 suggests free passes will be abundant. The Cardinals enter with momentum from yesterday's 5-3 victory and boast the superior overall record at 14-9, though both teams have shown inconsistency lately. Jordan Walker's breakout season (.306 average, 8 home runs) gives St. Louis a significant middle-of-the-order threat that Miami's pitching staff has struggled to contain. The Marlins counter with Xavier Edwards' impressive .341 average and recently activated players Kyle Stowers and Maximo Acosta providing depth, but their recent offensive struggles (3-7 in last ten) remain concerning. The 77-degree temperature and ENE wind at 14 mph create favorable hitting conditions that could benefit both offenses, particularly with two pitchers who have shown vulnerability to hard contact. Miami's strong 9-6 home record provides hope, but their overall form suggests they're still searching for consistency. The Cardinals' bullpen depth should prove decisive in the later innings, as both teams will likely need to turn to their relief corps early given the starting pitching matchup.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both pitchers struggle early with control issues
Middle (4-6) 3R Bullpens provide some stability mid-game
Late (7-9) 4R Cardinals bullpen depth shows in final frames

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Xavier Edwards hitting .341
Strong home record (9-6)
Recently activated Stowers and Acosta
Struggling with L1 streak
Poor road performance affecting confidence
Junk's elevated ERA and WHIP

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power (.306 avg, 8 HR)
Better overall record (14-9)
W1 momentum from yesterday's victory
Leahy's control issues (3.79 BB/9)
Worse road record than Miami's home record
Missing Lars Nootbaar

Risk Factors

Both starters have elevated ERAs
Wind conditions could affect fly balls

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Janson Junk batter Walker crushing righties with 8 HR
Xavier Edwards vs Kyle Leahy batter Edwards' contact skills vs Leahy's control issues

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 65%
Strikeouts 13 10-16
Total Runs 11 8-13

Game Preview

Kyle Leahy takes the mound for St. Louis but immediately faces trouble, walking Xavier Edwards to lead off the bottom of the first before settling in. The Cardinals strike first when Jordan Walker connects on a hanging slider from Junk in the second inning, driving in a run with a sharp single to right field. Miami responds in the third when Otto Lopez drives a changeup into the gap for an RBI double, but St. Louis answers right back with a two-run rally sparked by JJ Wetherholt's clutch two-out hitting. The middle innings see both starters battle command issues, with Junk working around multiple baserunners while Leahy's elevated pitch count forces him from the game after five innings. The Marlins capitalize on Cardinals reliever struggles in the fifth, scoring twice on a combination of walks and timely hitting from their newly activated players. However, St. Louis demonstrates their superior bullpen depth in the final three frames, with their setup men effectively shutting down Miami's rally attempts while the Cardinals add crucial insurance runs in the eighth inning through Walker's second RBI of the day.
Both pitchers have concerning peripherals with ERAs above 4.50 and control issues, making this a volatile matchup. The Cardinals' better overall record and momentum from yesterday's win, combined with Jordan Walker's hot hitting, provide enough edge to favor them despite Miami's home field advantage.
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St. Louis Cardinals — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .218311.364.345
Iván Herrera
DH .230312.387.379
Nolan Gorman
3B .208315.284.338
Ramón Urías
1B .18625.294.395
José Fermín
LF .20812.286.375
Nathan Church
RF .23628.295.364
Thomas Saggese
SS .18002.241.220
Pedro Pagés
C .20415.259.306
Victor Scott II
CF .19704.254.213

Miami Marlins — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee
CF .17917.307.263
Xavier Edwards
DH .33017.411.457
Otto Lopez
SS .315311.366.511
Liam Hicks
1B .321421.368.513
Agustín Ramírez
C .227212.303.364
Heriberto Hernández
LF .17909.303.214
Owen Caissie
RF .225214.269.380
Graham Pauley
3B .18505.214.296
Javier Sanoja
2B .35209.397.407

得分记录

2
Owen Caissie singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Agustín Ramírez scores. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.
0-1
2
Jakob Marsee walks. Heriberto Hernández scores. Owen Caissie to 3rd. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.
0-2
4
Jakob Marsee singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nathan Church. Leo Jiménez scores. Javier Sanoja out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Nathan Church to third baseman Nolan Gorman.
0-3
5
Agustín Ramírez singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Otto Lopez scores.
0-4
9
Iván Herrera homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-4

St. Louis Cardinals — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
4000020.218.709
Iván HerreraDH
4111001.230.766
Nolan Gorman3B
3010100.208.622
Ramón Urías1B
4000000.186.689
José FermínLF
4000010.208.661
Nathan ChurchRF
3010120.236.659
Thomas SaggeseSS
3000010.180.461
Pedro PagésC
3010010.204.565
Victor Scott IICF
3000020.197.467
总计31141291
BATTING
2B: Gorman (1, Nardi).
HR: Herrera (3, 9th inning off Bachar, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Church; Gorman 2; Herrera 4; Pagés, P.
RBI: Herrera (12).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Saggese.
GIDP: Fermín.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
E: Urías, R (3, fielding).
Outfield assists: Church (Sanoja at 3rd base).
DP: (Saggese-Urías, R).

Miami Marlins — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jakob MarseeCF
4012100.179.570
Xavier EdwardsDH
5000010.330.868
Otto LopezSS
4110020.315.877
Liam Hicks1B
4010000.321.881
Agustín RamírezC
3121100.227.667
Heriberto HernándezLF
4120000.179.517
Owen CaissieRF
4011020.225.649
Graham Pauley3B
2010000.185.510
Javier Sanoja2B
4030000.352.804
总计344124350
BATTING
TB: Caissie; Hernández, H 2; Hicks, L; Lopez, O; Marsee; Pauley; Ramírez 2; Sanoja 3.
RBI: Caissie (14); Marsee 2 (7); Ramírez (12).
2-out RBI: Marsee.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Edwards, X 5.
GIDP: Edwards, X.
Team RISP: 4-for-12.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Marsee (9, 2nd base off Leahy/Pagés, P).
CS: Ramírez (1, 3rd base by Leahy/Pagés, P).
FIELDING
E: Sanoja (3, fielding).
DP: (Jiménez, L-Hicks, L).

St. Louis Cardinals — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Leahy(L, 2-3)
5.084432089-505.63
Gordon Graceffo
1.020000018-90.77
Matt Svanson
1.00000108-511.08
Ryan Fernandez
1.020002017-122.45

Miami Marlins — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Janson Junk(W, 1-2)
5.010012056-383.67
Andrew Nardi
1.010002013-105.40
Anthony Bender
1.01000109-86.75
Michael Petersen
1.000003013-103.38
Lake Bachar
0.11111019-43.09
Pete Fairbanks(S, 5)
0.200001012-77.27

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Jacob Metz; First Base: Tom Hanahan; Second Base: Scott Barry; Third Base: Manny Gonzalez
球场: loanDepot park, Miami
天气: 72°F, Roof Closed
风: 0 mph, None

St. Louis Cardinals — 新闻

Miami Marlins — 新闻

赛季对比

Cardinals
STAT
Marlins
32-28 战绩 29-34
53.3% Win % 46.0%
.533 PCT .460
257 得分 268
269 失分 286
60 比赛场次 63
W1 连胜/负 W3
3-7 最近10场 5-5
16-16 主场战绩 18-15
16-12 客场战绩 11-19

交手记录

2
最近 3 次交手
1
四月 21
Cardinals 5 - 3 Marlins
四月 20
Cardinals 3 - 5 Marlins
三月 21
Marlins 4 - 7 Cardinals

Cardinals 近期

六月 3 vs Rangers 3-5 W
六月 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
六月 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
五月 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
五月 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L

Marlins 近期

六月 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
六月 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
六月 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
五月 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
五月 30 @ Mets 1-6 L

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