返回比赛 星期五, 四月 24, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — 四月 24, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

American Family Field, Milwaukee
71°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Paul Skenes L Brandon Woodruff

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Pirates 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 6 9 0
Brewers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Pirates 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Brewers 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 65% Brewers favored
This NL Central matchup features an intriguing contrast between a known commodity in Brandon Woodruff and Pittsburgh's mystery starter. Woodruff brings solid credentials with a 3.42 ERA and excellent 0.93 WHIP, though his recent velocity readings (88.1 mph average in his last start) suggest he's still building arm strength. The right-hander's fastball-changeup combination should be effective, but he'll face a Pirates lineup that's been productive early in the season. Milwaukee enters having dropped their last game to Detroit but maintains a solid home record of 7-5. The absence of Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio significantly impacts their offensive depth, leaving William Contreras (.305 average) and Brice Turang as the primary offensive catalysts. Garrett Mitchell provides speed and athleticism, but the lineup lacks the punch it would have at full strength. Pittsburgh arrives with momentum from their recent series, boasting impressive offensive statistics with 122 runs scored in 24 games. Oneil Cruz has emerged as a legitimate power threat with 7 home runs, while Ryan O'Hearn's .325 average suggests he's locked in at the plate. Brandon Lowe adds another power element, making this a dangerous lineup even on the road. The Pirates' rotation uncertainty is their biggest question mark, as the TBD starter could range from a spot starter to a legitimate arm recalled from Triple-A. Recent transactions show they've been active with pitching moves, recalling Wilber Dotel and Cam Sanders, suggesting they're managing their staff carefully. The weather conditions favor offense with 66-degree temperatures and clear skies, though the WNW wind at 11 mph could slightly favor pitchers depending on the direction it's blowing relative to home plate. Milwaukee's bullpen should provide an edge in the later innings, particularly if Woodruff can work efficiently through five or six frames.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Woodruff settling in after early contact, Pirates capitalize first
Middle (4-6) 4R Both offenses find rhythm against bullpens
Late (7-9) 3R Brewers bullpen holds advantage in late innings

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Brandon Woodruff anchoring rotation
William Contreras hot at .305
Home field advantage at American Family Field
Missing Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio
Coming off L1 streak

Pirates

Oneil Cruz power surge (7 HR)
Ryan O'Hearn scorching at .325
Strong offensive run differential (+25)
Unknown starting pitcher creates uncertainty
Jared Jones on 60-day IL hurts rotation depth

Risk Factors

Pirates' unknown starter could be excellent
Woodruff's recent velocity concerns

Key Matchups

Oneil Cruz vs Brandon Woodruff batter Cruz's power vs Woodruff's fastball-heavy mix
William Contreras vs TBD batter Hot hitter vs unknown commodity
Ryan O'Hearn vs Brandon Woodruff batter O'Hearn's .325 average suggests good timing

Statistical Edges

First to Score Pirates 60%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game opens with Pittsburgh's mystery starter taking the mound under the lights at American Family Field, immediately putting pressure on Milwaukee's hitters to solve an unfamiliar arm. The Pirates draw first blood in the opening inning when Oneil Cruz launches a solo shot over the left field wall, capitalizing on Woodruff's tendency to challenge hitters early in counts with his four-seam fastball. Milwaukee responds in the bottom of the second as William Contreras continues his hot start, driving in Brice Turang with a clutch two-out single up the middle. The middle innings become a tactical battle as both managers navigate their bullpens carefully. Milwaukee breaks through in the fourth inning with a two-run rally sparked by Garrett Mitchell's leadoff double and capped by a clutch RBI single from Sal Frelick. Pittsburgh answers in the fifth when Ryan O'Hearn's red-hot bat delivers an RBI double, showcasing the form that has him hitting .325. The seventh inning proves pivotal as the Pirates mount a two-run rally against Milwaukee's middle relief, with Brandon Lowe providing the key blow with a bases-loaded single. However, the Brewers' superior bullpen depth shines through in the eighth inning, as they push across what proves to be the winning run on a wild pitch with runners in scoring position. The ninth inning sees Milwaukee's closer work around a leadoff walk to secure the victory, giving the home crowd something to cheer about after their recent struggles against Detroit.
Moderate confidence due to Pittsburgh's unknown starting pitcher creating significant uncertainty in the matchup. While Woodruff provides stability for Milwaukee, his recent velocity concerns and the Pirates' strong offensive numbers make this a competitive game with multiple variables at play.
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Pittsburgh Pirates — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz
CF .271824.333.542
Brandon Lowe
2B .247719.343.539
Jake Mangum
LF .29402.357.333
Marcell Ozuna
DH .16528.228.259
Ryan O'Hearn
1B .333416.420.524
Nick Gonzales
3B .284012.326.321
Billy Cook
RF .37500.375.375
Konnor Griffin
SS .214111.273.314
Henry Davis
C .17303.283.231

Milwaukee Brewers — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Brice Turang
2B .271418.406.494
William Contreras
C .278214.356.411
Jake Bauers
1B .241515.302.456
Tyler Black
DH .00000.000.000
Luis Rengifo
3B .17105.244.257
Blake Perkins
CF .13205.250.211
Greg Jones
RF .18201.182.182
Brandon Lockridge
LF .26206.333.308
Joey Ortiz
SS .19004.266.190

得分记录

3
Konnor Griffin homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-0
4
Nick Gonzales singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Brandon Lockridge to third baseman Luis Rengifo.
2-0
5
Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Jake Bauers. Spencer Horwitz scores. Konnor Griffin to 3rd.
3-0
6
Spencer Horwitz singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Ryan O'Hearn scores.
4-0
8
Konnor Griffin singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Nick Gonzales scores. Billy Cook to 3rd.
6-0

Pittsburgh Pirates — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Oneil CruzCF
5001010.271.875
Brandon Lowe2B
5110010.247.882
Jake MangumLF
0000000.294.690
Marcell OzunaDH
5000010.165.487
Ryan O'Hearn1B
4220000.333.944
Nick Gonzales3B
4111000.284.647
Billy CookRF
0000000.375.750
Konnor GriffinSS
4133001.214.587
Henry DavisC
4010000.173.514
总计37696351
BATTING
2B: Lowe, B (5, Woodruff); O'Hearn (4, Drohan).
HR: Griffin (1, 3rd inning off Woodruff, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Davis, H; Gonzales, N; Griffin 6; Horwitz; Lowe, B 2; O'Hearn 3.
RBI: Cruz, O (24); Gonzales, N (12); Griffin 3 (11); Horwitz (6).
2-out RBI: Gonzales, N; Griffin 2; Horwitz.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Davis, H; Horwitz; Reynolds, B.
GIDP: Cruz, O.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Griffin (5, 2nd base off Woodruff/Contreras, Wm).
1-Ran for Horwitz in the 8th.
2-Ran for Reynolds, B in the 9th.

Milwaukee Brewers — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Brice Turang2B
3000120.271.900
William ContrerasC
4000000.278.767
Jake Bauers1B
3010010.241.758
Tyler BlackDH
3000010.000.000
Luis Rengifo3B
3000000.171.501
Blake PerkinsCF
1000010.132.461
Greg JonesRF
1000000.182.364
Brandon LockridgeLF
3000010.262.641
Joey OrtizSS
1000000.190.456
总计28010190
BATTING
TB: Bauers.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
E: Hamilton, D (2, throw); Bauers (4, fielding).
Outfield assists: Lockridge (Reynolds, B at 2nd base).
DP: (Turang-Hamilton, D-Bauers).
a-Struck out for Mitchell in the 8th.
b-Lined out for Frelick in the 8th.

Pittsburgh Pirates — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Paul Skenes(W, 4-1)
7.010007093-622.48
Mason Montgomery
1.00000109-74.35
Isaac Mattson
1.000011014-81.23

Milwaukee Brewers — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Woodruff(L, 2-1)
5.053323171-503.77
Shane Drohan
4.043112071-495.40

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Tom Hanahan; First Base: Scott Barry; Second Base: Manny Gonzalez; Third Base: Jacob Metz
球场: American Family Field, Milwaukee
天气: 71°F, Roof Closed
风: 0 mph, None

Pittsburgh Pirates — 新闻

Milwaukee Brewers — 新闻

赛季对比

Pirates
STAT
Brewers
34-29 战绩 37-23
54.0% Win % 61.7%
.540 PCT .617
325 得分 301
288 失分 212
63 比赛场次 60
W1 连胜/负 L2
7-3 最近10场 7-3
18-15 主场战绩 21-13
16-14 客场战绩 16-10

交手记录

1
最近 2 次交手
1
四月 26
Pirates 0 - 5 Brewers
四月 25
Pirates 6 - 3 Brewers

Pirates 近期

六月 5 @ Braves 3-6 L
六月 4 @ Astros 5-1 W
六月 3 @ Astros 9-11 L
六月 2 @ Astros 10-6 W
五月 31 vs Twins 3-9 W

Brewers 近期

六月 5 @ Rockies 9-7 W
六月 4 vs Giants 12-9 L
六月 3 vs Giants 1-0 L
六月 2 vs Giants 3-8 W
六月 1 vs Giants 2-16 W

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