返回比赛 星期三, 四月 29, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers — 四月 29, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

American Family Field, Milwaukee
64°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Kevin Ginkel L Brandon Sproat

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Diamondbacks 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 11 0
Brewers 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 1

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Brewers 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 68% Brewers favored
This matchup presents a classic bounce-back scenario after Milwaukee's dominant 13-2 victory yesterday. Eduardo Rodriguez brings veteran stability to the mound for Arizona with his 2.89 ERA and changeup-heavy approach, but faces a Brewers lineup that just exploded for 13 runs and appears to have figured out Arizona pitching. Brandon Sproat counters with impressive velocity (96-97 mph sinkers) and a diverse six-pitch mix, though his limited MLB experience creates some uncertainty in this spot. The key factor is Milwaukee's recent offensive surge coinciding with Arizona's defensive collapse - the Diamondbacks allowed 13 runs on 16 hits yesterday, suggesting systemic issues beyond just pitching. Rodriguez's diminished velocity (averaging 88 mph) could be problematic against hot hitters like Brice Turang (.258, 4 HR) and William Contreras, who have shown ability to turn on mistake pitches. The Brewers' bullpen advantage at home, combined with American Family Field's slight pitcher-friendly dimensions in cooler weather, provides additional edge. Arizona's Corbin Carroll remains their most consistent threat (.287, 3 HR, 17 RBI), but the supporting cast has been inconsistent, particularly on the road where they're 6-7. Milwaukee's injury situation with Yelich and Chourio creates lineup depth concerns, but their recent callups Tyler Black and Shane Drohan suggest organizational depth ready to contribute. The psychological factor of yesterday's blowout cannot be ignored - Arizona must prove they can respond after such a demoralizing defeat.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Eduardo Rodriguez early strike zone command issues
Middle (4-6) 4R Both bullpens tested, key offensive moments
Late (7-9) 2R Brewers bullpen closes strong at home

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Recent offensive explosion vs Arizona
Home field advantage at American Family Field
Sproat's velocity and pitch mix effectiveness
Key injuries to Yelich and Chourio
Sproat's limited MLB experience

Diamondbacks

Eduardo Rodriguez's veteran presence and 2.89 ERA
Corbin Carroll's consistent offensive production
Recent offensive surge in Mexico City series
Massive defensive breakdown in yesterday's 13-2 loss
Road struggles (6-7 away record)

Risk Factors

Cold weather could affect pitch grip
Arizona's unpredictable offensive volatility

Key Matchups

Brice Turang vs Eduardo Rodriguez batter Turang's .258 avg vs Rodriguez's changeup-heavy approach
Corbin Carroll vs Brandon Sproat batter Carroll's speed vs Sproat's sinker-heavy repertoire
William Contreras vs Eduardo Rodriguez batter Contreras' power vs Rodriguez's diminished velocity

Statistical Edges

First to Score Diamondbacks 62%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Eduardo Rodriguez takes the mound seeking to restore Arizona's dignity after yesterday's humiliation, but Milwaukee's confidence is sky-high following their 13-run eruption. The game opens with Rodriguez attacking the strike zone aggressively, getting ahead of Garrett Mitchell before allowing a leadoff single that sets an ominous tone. Corbin Carroll responds immediately in the top of the first, working a walk against Brandon Sproat and stealing second before scoring on a James McCann RBI single - Arizona strikes first 1-0. Sproat settles in after the early jitters, using his devastating sinker-cutter combination to retire the next six batters. Milwaukee's breakthrough comes in the second when Brice Turang ambushes Rodriguez's first-pitch changeup for a double, then scores on William Contreras' opposite-field single to tie it 1-1. The middle innings become a chess match as both starters find their rhythm. Rodriguez's experience shows as he efficiently works through Milwaukee's lineup using his four-pitch mix, while Sproat begins dominating with his power stuff, striking out Carroll and Ildemaro Vargas in consecutive innings. The decisive moment arrives in the fourth when Rodriguez's command wavers in the cool evening air - back-to-back walks to Mitchell and Sal Frelick set up Turang's clutch two-run single, putting Milwaukee ahead 3-1. Arizona responds in the fifth with Carroll's solo homer to left-center, cutting the deficit to 3-2, but Sproat shuts the door with five consecutive outs to end his night strong. Milwaukee's bullpen takes over in the seventh and eighth, adding insurance runs on sacrifice flies while holding Arizona scoreless through the final three frames for a 5-3 victory.
Confidence at 68% reflects Milwaukee's clear momentum advantage and home field edge, but Arizona's veteran pitcher Rodriguez and Carroll's consistent production prevent higher certainty. The 48-degree weather and overcast conditions could affect both offenses.
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Arizona Diamondbacks — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .24416.362.384
Ketel Marte
2B .239511.295.398
Corbin Carroll
RF .284418.389.558
Adrian Del Castillo
C .222211.263.389
Ildemaro Vargas
1B .372620.393.698
Jorge Barrosa
LF .20316.254.407
Nolan Arenado
3B .284517.324.463
Jose Fernandez
DH .325312.349.470
Alek Thomas
CF .195210.233.366

Milwaukee Brewers — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Tyler Black
PH .35703.357.429
Brice Turang
2B .280419.407.500
William Contreras
C .262216.336.374
Jake Bauers
1B .260518.317.469
Gary Sánchez
DH .230514.390.541
Luis Rengifo
3B .18806.258.275
Garrett Mitchell
CF .230120.387.365
Sal Frelick
RF .21228.317.306
David Hamilton
SS .23907.349.268

得分记录

1
Jake Bauers doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Brice Turang scores.
0-1
3
Brice Turang doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Brandon Lockridge scores.
0-2
4
Adrian Del Castillo homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-2
4
Nolan Arenado homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.
4-2
9
Ketel Marte homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.
5-2
9
Corbin Carroll homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
6-2

Arizona Diamondbacks — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Geraldo PerdomoSS
2000310.244.746
Ketel Marte2B
5121011.239.693
Corbin CarrollRF
5121031.284.947
Adrian Del CastilloC
5111021.222.652
Ildemaro Vargas1B
5120010.3721.091
Jorge BarrosaLF
0000000.203.661
Nolan Arenado3B
3113101.284.787
Jose FernandezDH
4010010.325.819
Alek ThomasCF
4000010.195.599
总计3761164104
BATTING
HR: Del Castillo (2, 4th inning off Sproat, 0 on, 1 out); Arenado (5, 4th inning off Sproat, 2 on, 1 out); Marte, K (5, 9th inning off Anderson, G, 0 on, 1 out); Carroll (4, 9th inning off Anderson, G, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Arenado 4; Carroll 5; Del Castillo 4; Fernandez, Jo; Gurriel Jr. 2; Marte, K 5; Vargas, I 2.
RBI: Arenado 3 (17); Carroll (18); Del Castillo (11); Marte, K (11).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Del Castillo 2; Thomas, A.
Team RISP: 2-for-5.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
CS: Fernandez, Jo (1, 2nd base by Sproat/Contreras, Wm).
1-Ran for Gurriel Jr. in the 8th.

Milwaukee Brewers — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Tyler BlackPH
1000010.357.786
Brice Turang2B
4121000.280.907
William ContrerasC
4000010.262.710
Jake Bauers1B
4011020.260.786
Gary SánchezDH
2000200.230.931
Luis Rengifo3B
4020000.188.533
Garrett MitchellCF
2000020.230.752
Sal FrelickRF
2000000.212.623
David HamiltonSS
2000010.239.617
总计332624100
BATTING
2B: Turang 2 (8, Rodriguez, Ed, Rodriguez, Ed); Bauers (5, Rodriguez, Ed); Rengifo (7, Rodriguez, Ed).
TB: Bauers 2; Lockridge; Rengifo 3; Turang 4.
RBI: Bauers (18); Turang (19).
2-out RBI: Bauers.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mitchell; Rengifo; Sánchez; Turang 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-10.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
E: Rengifo (1, throw).
a-Struck out for Jones, G in the 5th.
b-Struck out for Ortiz, J in the 6th.
c-Struck out for Lockridge in the 9th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Eduardo Rodriguez
4.252244087-483.03
Kevin Ginkel(W, 1-1)
1.110003026-163.95
Juan Morillo(H, 8)
1.000001014-101.84
Taylor Clarke(H, 6)
1.000001014-92.87
Paul Sewald
1.000001013-94.09

Milwaukee Brewers — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Brandon Sproat(L, 0-2)
4.164425282-526.75
DL Hall
2.110013042-241.93
Brian Fitzpatrick
1.120010024-130.00
Grant Anderson
1.022202225-183.60

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Alfonso Márquez; First Base: Mike Estabrook; Second Base: Malachi Moore; Third Base: Lance Barrett
球场: American Family Field, Milwaukee
天气: 64°F, Roof Closed
风: 0 mph, None

Milwaukee Brewers — 新闻

赛季对比

Diamondbacks
STAT
Brewers
32-29 战绩 37-22
52.5% Win % 62.7%
.525 PCT .627
273 得分 292
270 失分 200
61 比赛场次 59
L2 连胜/负 L1
5-5 最近10场 7-3
19-12 主场战绩 21-12
13-17 客场战绩 16-10

交手记录

1
最近 3 次交手
2
四月 30
Diamondbacks 1 - 13 Brewers
四月 28
Diamondbacks 2 - 13 Brewers
三月 20
Brewers 7 - 8 Diamondbacks

Diamondbacks 近期

六月 3 vs Dodgers 7-0 L
六月 2 vs Dodgers 6-5 L
六月 1 vs Dodgers 1-4 W
五月 31 @ Mariners 2-3 L
五月 30 @ Mariners 1-5 L

Brewers 近期

六月 3 vs Giants 1-0 L
六月 2 vs Giants 3-8 W
六月 1 vs Giants 2-16 W
五月 31 @ Astros 2-0 W
五月 30 @ Astros 2-9 L

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